Kevin Doty

Development of a comprehensive, multiscale ''one-atmosphere'' modeling system: application to the Southern Appalachian Mountains

A comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian photochemical model (URM-1ATM) was developed that simulates urban and regional gas and size-resolved aerosol concentrations of pollutants in the atmosphere and both wet and dry deposition. In this study, RAMS and EMS-95 are used to generate meteorological and emission input files, respectively. The modeling system is then applied to simulate the evolution, transport, and removal of atmospheric pollutants over the Eastern US for the 11–19 July 1995 episode. Performance statistics are calculated for ozone, speciated fine particles, and acid deposition mass fluxes. r 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

Integrated Assessment Modeling of Atmospheric Pollutants in the Southern Appalachian Mountains. Part I: Hourly and Seasonal Ozone

Abstract Recently, a comprehensive air quality modeling system was developed as part of the Southern Appalachians Mountains Initiative (SAMI) with the ability to simulate meteorology, emissions, ozone, size- and composition-resolved particulate matter, and pollutant deposition fluxes. As part of SAMI, the RAMS/EMS-95/URM-1ATM modeling system was used to evaluate potential emission control strategies to reduce atmospheric pollutant levels at Class I areas located in the Southern Appalachians Mountains. This article discusses the details of the ozone model performance and the methodology that was used to scale discrete episodic pollutant levels to seasonal and annual averages. The daily mean normalized bias and error for 1-hr and 8-hr ozone were within U.S. Environment Protection Agency guidance criteria for urban-scale modeling. The model typically showed a systematic overestimation for low ozone levels and an underestimation for high levels. Because SAMI was primarily interested in simulating the growing season ozone levels in Class I areas, daily and seasonal cumulative ozone exposure, as characterized by the W126 index, were also evaluated. The daily ozone W126 performance was not as good as the hourly ozone performance; however, the seasonal ozone W126 scaled up from daily values was within 17% of the observations at two typical Class I areas of the SAMI region. The overall ozone performance of the model was deemed acceptable for the purposes of SAMI’s assessment.

A Real-Time Gridded Crop Model for Assessing Spatial Drought Stress on Crops in the Southeastern United States

AbstractThe severity of drought has many implications for society. Its impacts on rain-fed agriculture are especially direct, however. The southeastern United States, with substantial rain-fed agriculture and large variability in growing-season precipitation, is especially vulnerable to drought. As commodity markets, drought assistance programs, and crop insurance have matured, more advanced information is needed on the evolution and impacts of drought. So far many new drought products and indices have been developed. These products generally do not include spatial details needed in the Southeast or do not include the physiological state of the crop, however. Here, a new type of drought measure is described that incorporates high-resolution physical inputs into a crop model (corn) that evolves based on the physical–biophysical conditions. The inputs include relatively high resolution (as compared with standard surface or NOAA Cooperative Observer Program data) (5 km) radar-derived precipitation, satellite...

An integrated crop and hydrologic modeling system to estimate hydrologic impacts of crop irrigation demands

The present paper discusses a coupled gridded crop modeling and hydrologic modeling system that can examine the benefits of irrigation and costs of irrigation and the coincident impact of the irrigation water withdrawals on surface water hydrology. The system is applied to the Southeastern U.S. The system tools to be discussed include a gridded version (GriDSSAT) of the crop modeling system DSSAT. The irrigation demand from GriDSSAT is coupled to a regional hydrologic model (WaSSI). GriDSSAT and WaSSI are coupled through the USDA NASS CropScape data to provide crop acreages in each watershed. The crop model provides the dynamic irrigation demand which is a function of the weather. The hydrologic model responds to the weather and includes all other anthropogenic competing uses of water. Examples of the system include an analysis of the hydrologic impact of future expansion of irrigation and the real-time impact of short-term drought. We built a gridded version (GriDSSAT) of the crop model DSSAT that estimates irrigation demand.We coupled irrigation demand to a regional hydrologic model (WaSSI).We incorporated USDA CropScape data to provide crop acreage in each watershed.We utilized the resulting tool to model the impact of irrigation withdrawals on surface water hydrology.

Satellite-Based Model Parameterization of Diabatic Heating

Future meteorological satellites are expected to provide much needed fine-scale information that can improve the accuracy of weather and climate models. As one application of this improved capability, we introduce the concept of a generalized parameterization framework using satellite datasets that will increase the accuracy and the computational efficiency of weather and climate modeling. In an atmospheric model, several different parameterizations usually are used to reproduce the various physical processes. However, it is generally unrealistic to separate the processes in this artificial way since the observations and physics make no such artificial separation. Thus, we propose a new unified parameterization framework to remove the unrealistic separation between parameterizations.

Improving Cloud Simulation for Air Quality Studies Through Assimilation of Geostationary Satellite Observations in Retrospective Meteorological Modeling

AbstractDevelopment of clouds in space and time within numerical meteorological models as observed in nature is essential for producing an accurate representation of the physical atmosphere for input into air quality models. In this study, a new technique was developed to assimilate Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-derived cloud fields into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) meteorological model to improve the placement of clouds in space and time within the model. The simulations were performed on 36-, 12-, and 4-km grid-size domains covering the contiguous United States, the south-southeastern United States, and eastern Texas, respectively. The technique was tested over the month of August 2006. The results indicate that the assimilation technique significantly improves the agreement between the model-predicted and GOES-derived cloud fields. The daily average percentage increase in the cloud agreement was determined to be 14.02%, 11.29%, and 4.96% for the 36-, 12-, and 4-...

Examination of the Physical Atmosphere in the Great Lakes Region and its Potential Impact on Air Quality - Over-Water Stability and Satellite Assimilation

AbstractHigh mixing ratios of ozone along the shores of Lake Michigan have been a recurring theme over the last 40 years. Models continue to have difficulty in replicating ozone behavior in the reg...