Kim Mulholland

Burden of disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae in children younger than 5 years: global estimates

BACKGROUND Streptococcus pneumoniae is a leading cause of bacterial pneumonia, meningitis, and sepsis in children worldwide. However, many countries lack national estimates of disease burden. Effective interventions are available, including pneumococcal conjugate vaccine and case management. To support local and global policy decisions on pneumococcal disease prevention and treatment, we estimated country-specific incidence of serious cases and deaths in children younger than 5 years. METHODS We measured the burden of pneumococcal pneumonia by applying the proportion of pneumonia cases caused by S pneumoniae derived from efficacy estimates from vaccine trials to WHO country-specific estimates of all-cause pneumonia cases and deaths. We also estimated burden of meningitis and non-pneumonia, non-meningitis invasive disease using disease incidence and case-fatality data from a systematic literature review. When high-quality data were available from a country, these were used for national estimates. Otherwise, estimates were based on data from neighbouring countries with similar child mortality. Estimates were adjusted for HIV prevalence and access to care and, when applicable, use of vaccine against Haemophilus influenzae type b. FINDINGS In 2000, about 14.5 million episodes of serious pneumococcal disease (uncertainty range 11.1-18.0 million) were estimated to occur. Pneumococcal disease caused about 826,000 deaths (582,000-926,000) in children aged 1-59 months, of which 91,000 (63,000-102,000) were in HIV-positive and 735,000 (519,000-825,000) in HIV-negative children. Of the deaths in HIV-negative children, over 61% (449,000 [316,000-501,000]) occurred in ten African and Asian countries. INTERPRETATION S pneumoniae causes around 11% (8-12%) of all deaths in children aged 1-59 months (excluding pneumococcal deaths in HIV-positive children). Achievement of the UN Millennium Development Goal 4 for child mortality reduction can be accelerated by prevention and treatment of pneumococcal disease, especially in regions of the world with the greatest burden. FUNDING GAVI Alliance and the Vaccine Fund.

Epidemiology and etiology of childhood pneumonia

Childhood pneumonia is the leading single cause of mortality in children aged less than 5 years. The incidence in this age group is estimated to be 0.29 episodes per child-year in developing and 0.05 episodes per child-year in developed countries. This translates into about 156 million new episodes each year worldwide, of which 151 million episodes are in the developing world. Most cases occur in India (43 million), China (21 million) and Pakistan (10 million), with additional high numbers in Bangladesh, Indonesia and Nigeria (6 million each). Of all community cases, 7-13% are severe enough to be life-threatening and require hospitalization. Substantial evidence revealed that the leading risk factors contributing to pneumonia incidence are lack of exclusive breastfeeding, undernutrition, indoor air pollution, low birth weight, crowding and lack of measles immunization. Pneumonia is responsible for about 19% of all deaths in children aged less than 5 years, of which more than 70% take place in sub-Saharan Africa and south-east Asia. Although based on limited available evidence, recent studies have identified Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae and respiratory syncytial virus as the main pathogens associated with childhood pneumonia.

Burden of disease caused by Haemophilus influenzae type b in children younger than 5 years: global estimates

BACKGROUND Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) is a leading cause of childhood bacterial meningitis, pneumonia, and other serious infections. Hib disease can be almost completely eliminated through routine vaccination. We assessed the global burden of disease to help national policy makers and international donors set priorities. METHODS We did a comprehensive literature search of studies of Hib disease incidence, case-fatality ratios, age distribution, syndrome distribution, and effect of Hib vaccine. We used vaccine trial data to estimate the proportion of pneumonia cases and pneumonia deaths caused by Hib. We applied these proportions to WHO country-specific estimates of pneumonia cases and deaths to estimate Hib pneumonia burden. We used data from surveillance studies to develop estimates of incidence and mortality of Hib meningitis and serious non-pneumonia, non-meningitis disease. If available, high-quality data were used for national estimates of Hib meningitis and non-pneumonia, non-meningitis disease burden. Otherwise, estimates were based on data from other countries matched as closely as possible for geographic region and child mortality. Estimates were adjusted for HIV prevalence and access to care. Disease burden was estimated for the year 2000 in children younger than 5 years. FINDINGS We calculated that Hib caused about 8.13 million serious illnesses worldwide in 2000 (uncertainty range 7.33-13.2 million). We estimated that Hib caused 371,000 deaths (247,000-527,000) in children aged 1-59 months, of which 8100 (5600-10,000) were in HIV-positive and 363,000 (242,000-517,000) in HIV-negative children. INTERPRETATION Global burden of Hib disease is substantial and almost entirely vaccine preventable. Expanded use of Hib vaccine could reduce childhood pneumonia and meningitis, and decrease child mortality. FUNDING GAVI Alliance and the Vaccine Fund.

Elimination of Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) disease from The Gambia after the introduction of routine immunisation with a Hib conjugate vaccine: a prospective study

BACKGROUND Routine immunisation of infants in The Gambia with a Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) polysaccharide-tetanus toxoid conjugate vaccine began in May, 1997. We investigated the effectiveness of the vaccine when delivered through the expanded programme on immunisation and the effect of national immunisation on incidence of Hib disease. METHODS Surveillance for Hib disease was maintained in the western half of The Gambia using standard methods with an emphasis on meningitis. We estimated vaccine efficacy using the case control method, and vaccine coverage and population denominators for incidence rates using a cluster sample survey. Prevalence of Hib carriage in a sample of 1-2-year old children attending health centres for vaccination was ascertained with oropharyngeal swabs plated onto antiserum agar. FINDINGS Between May, 1997, and April, 2002, a total of 5984 children were examined for possible Hib infections. 49 children had Hib disease, 36 of whom had meningitis. The annual incidence rates of Hib meningitis before any use of the vaccine (1990-93) dropped from over 200 per 100,000 children aged younger than 1 year to none per 100,000 in 2002, and from 60 to no cases per 100,000 in children younger than 5 years. The prevalence of Hib carriage decreased from 12% to 0.25% (p<0.0001). Two doses of vaccine were needed for direct protection from Hib disease (vaccine efficacy 94%, 95% CI 62-99). Since most children received a protective dose after the age of greatest disease risk, indirect effects were important in reducing disease incidence. INTERPRETATION The Gambian Hib immunisation programme reduced the occurrence of Hib disease despite irregular vaccine supply. The effect of the programme in The Gambia has important implications for the introduction of the vaccine into routine immunisation programmes of other developing countries.

The Millennium Development Goals: a cross-sectoral analysis and principles for goal setting after 2015

Bringing together analysis across different sectors, we review the implementation and achievements of the MDGs to date to identify cross cutting strengths and weaknesses as a basis for considering how they might be developed or replaced after 2015. Working from this and a definition of development as a dynamic process involving sustainable and equitable access to improved wellbeing, five interwoven guiding principles are proposed for a post 2015 development project: holism, equity, sustainability, ownership, and global obligation. These principles and their possible implications in application are expanded and explored. The paper concludes with an illustrative discussion of how these principles might be applied in the health sector.

Incidences of vaccine-preventable Haemophilus influenzae type b pneumonia and meningitis in Indonesian children: hamlet-randomised vaccine-probe trial.

BACKGROUND Most studies of Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) disease in Asia have found low rates, and few Asian countries use Hib vaccine in routine immunisation programmes. Whether Hib disease truly is rare or whether many cases remain undetected is unclear. METHODS To estimate incidences of vaccine-preventable Hib pneumonia and meningitis among children younger than 2 years in Lombok, Indonesia, during 1998-2002, we undertook a hamlet-randomised, controlled, double-blind vaccine-probe study (818 hamlets). Children were immunised (WHO schedule) with diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis (DTP) or DTP-PRP-T (Hib conjugate) vaccine. Vaccine-preventable disease incidences were calculated as the difference in rates of clinical outcomes between DTP and DTP-PRP-T groups. Analyses included all children who received at least one vaccine dose. FINDINGS We enrolled 55073 children: 28147 were assigned DTP-PRP-T and 26926 DTP. The proportion of pneumonia outcomes prevented by vaccine ranged from less than 0 to 4.8%. Calculated incidences of vaccine-preventable Hib disease (per 10(5) child-years of observation) for outcome categories were: substantial alveolar consolidation or effusion, less than zero (-43 [95% CI -185 to 98]); all severe pneumonia, 264 (95% CI less than zero to 629); all clinical pneumonia, 1561 (270 to 2853); confirmed Hib meningitis, 16 (1.4 to 31); meningitis with cerebrospinal-fluid findings consistent with a bacterial aetiology, 67 (22 to 112); and admission for suspected meningitis or presenting to a clinic with convulsions, 158 (42 to 273). INTERPRETATION Hib vaccine did not prevent the great majority of pneumonia cases, including those with alveolar consolidation. These results do not support a major role for Hib vaccine in overall pneumonia-prevention programmes. Nevertheless, the study identified high incidences of Hib meningitis and pneumonia; inclusion of Hib vaccine in routine infant immunisation programmes in Asia deserves consideration.

Pneumococcal vaccination in developing countries

WHO estimates that about 1·6 million people, including up to 1 million children under 5 years old, die every year of pneumococcal pneumonia, meningitis, and sepsis.1 In populations with high child-mortality rates, pneumonia is the leading infectious cause of mortality and accounts for about 20–25% of all child deaths.2 In these populations, Streptococcus pneumoniae is identified consistently as the leading cause of bacterial pneumonia, and pneumococcal bacteraemia is an important cause of child mortality. 3, 4 and 5 HIV infection increases risk for pneumococcal disease 20–40-fold, and antibiotic resistance makes treatment difficult and expensive. 6 Thus pneumococcal disease is a major global-health issue.

How access to health care relates to under-five mortality in sub-Saharan Africa: systematic review.

An estimated 9.7 million children under the age of five die every year worldwide, approximately 41% of them in sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA). Access to adequate health care is among the factors suggested to be associated with child mortality; improved access holds great potential for a significant reduction in under‐five death in developing countries. Theory and corresponding frameworks indicate a wide range of factors affecting access to health care, such as traditionally measured variables (distance to a health provider and cost of obtaining health care) and additional variables (social support, time availability and caregiver autonomy). Few analytical studies of traditional variables have been conducted in SSA, and they have significant limitations and inconclusive results. The importance of additional factors has been suggested by qualitative and recent quantitative studies. We propose that access to health care is multidimensional; factors other than distance and cost need to be considered by those planning health care provision if child mortality rates are to be reduced through improved access. Analytical studies that comprehensively evaluate both traditional and additional variables in developing countries are required.

Childhood pneumonia mortality—a permanent global emergency

As global efforts to achieve the fourth Millenium Development Goal of a two-thirds reduction in child mortality between 1990 and 2015 gather pace renewed attention is now falling on the problem of childhood pneumonia. This attention has been met with a fragmented response from the international health community as advocates for particular strategies compete for the attention of international donor agencies and political leaders. In this Viewpoint I summarise the options available and propose a four-point approach for the control of childhood pneumonia which brings together each of the effective strategies for dealing with this problem. (excerpt)

Group A streptococcal vaccines: facts versus fantasy

Purpose of review This review provides an overview of progress of the development of group A streptococcal (GAS) vaccines with a focus on recent advances. Recent findings Historically, GAS vaccine development has focused on the N-terminus of the M protein, which ultimately led to successful phase I/II clinical trials of a 26-valent recombinant M protein vaccine in 2004–2005. More recently, interest in antigens conserved among most, if not all, group A streptococci has increased. However, no vaccines containing these antigens have reached clinical trials. Three strategies have been used to develop conserved antigen vaccine candidates: use of the conserved region of the M protein; use of well described virulence factors as antigens, including streptococcal C5a peptidase, streptococcal carbohydrate, fibronectin-binding proteins, cysteine protease and streptococcal pili; and use of reverse vaccinology to identify novel antigens. Summary Several vaccine candidates against GAS infection are in varying stages of preclinical and clinical development. Although there is great hope that one of these vaccine candidates will reach licensure in the next decade, only one, the multivalent N-terminal vaccine, has entered clinical trials in the last 30 years. Although strong advocacy for GAS vaccine development is important, there remains an urgent need to institute available public health control measures against GAS diseases globally, particularly in developing countries.