Kristina D. Rothley

iCity: A GIS-CA modelling tool for urban planning and decision making

The objective of this study is to present a novel tool for predictive modelling of urban growth. The proposed tool, named iCity - Irregular City, extends the traditional formalization of cellular automata (CA) to include an irregular spatial structure, asynchronous urban growth, and a high spatio-temporal resolution to aid in spatial decision making for urban planning. The iCity software tool was developed as an embedded model within a common desktop geographic information system (GIS) with a user-friendly interface to control modelling operations for urban land-use change. This approach allows the model developer to focus on implementing model logic rather than developing an entire stand-alone modelling application. It also provides the model user with a familiar environment in which to run the model to simulate urban growth.

Ecological and economic analysis of poaching of the greater one-horned rhinoceros (Rhinoceros unicornis) in Nepal.

Nepals greater one-horned rhinoceros (Rhinoceros unicornis) faces serious threats from poaching. Poaching of these rhinos is a complex problem, influenced by such diverse factors as the price of rhino horn on the international market, local socioeconomic factors, and the population dynamics of the species. Few studies have attempted to address this complexity. In this study, we model the poaching and population dynamics of the one-horned rhinoceros within an integrated framework of ecological, socioeconomic, political, and legal dimensions. The poaching model for rhinos in Royal Chitwan National Park (RCNP) in Nepal is combined with the population model for the species within a simulation framework and explored under various alternative policy scenarios with differing external socioeconomic and political conditions as well as internal policy response. We predict that, under the current (2003-2005) rhino conservation strategy, poaching would continue to be a major threat to the rhino population in RCNP. Furthermore, the internal policy response must begin to consider external factors such as socioeconomic conditions within the park buffer zone to be more effective in the long run. Finally, we find that, for long-run control, antipoaching policies should be directed at increasing the opportunity costs of poaching by creating better alternative economic opportunities, and at antipoaching enforcement.

BearCam: automated wildlife monitoring at the arctic circle

In this paper we describe the development of the BearCam, a camera system which was deployed in Fall 2005 to monitor the behaviour of grizzly bears at a remote location near the arctic circle. The system aided biologists in collecting the data for their study on bears’ behavioural responses to ecotourists. We developed a camera system for operating in the challenging arctic conditions. We describe a novel “motion shapelet” algorithm for automatically detecting bears in the video captured by this camera system. This algorithm is an extension of the shapelet features (Sabzmeydani and Mori in CVPR 2007), which are mid-level features capturing pieces of shape. Our extension of this technique incorporates motion information and proves effective at automatically detecting the occurrence of bears. We present quantitative results demonstrating that our algorithm can reliably detect bears in the vast amounts of video footage collected by our system.