Kyle B. Enfield

Humidity: A review and primer on atmospheric moisture and human health

Research examining associations between weather and human health frequently includes the effects of atmospheric humidity. A large number of humidity variables have been developed for numerous purposes, but little guidance is available to health researchers regarding appropriate variable selection. We examine a suite of commonly used humidity variables and summarize both the medical and biometeorological literature on associations between humidity and human health. As an example of the importance of humidity variable selection, we correlate numerous hourly humidity variables to daily respiratory syncytial virus isolates in Singapore from 1992 to 1994. Most water-vapor mass based variables (specific humidity, absolute humidity, mixing ratio, dewpoint temperature, vapor pressure) exhibit comparable correlations. Variables that include a thermal component (relative humidity, dewpoint depression, saturation vapor pressure) exhibit strong diurnality and seasonality. Humidity variable selection must be dictated by the underlying research question. Despite being the most commonly used humidity variable, relative humidity should be used sparingly and avoided in cases when the proximity to saturation is not medically relevant. Care must be taken in averaging certain humidity variables daily or seasonally to avoid statistical biasing associated with variables that are inherently diurnal through their relationship to temperature.

The impact of weather on influenza and pneumonia mortality in New York City, 1975-2002: a retrospective study.

The substantial winter influenza peak in temperate climates has lead to the hypothesis that cold and/or dry air is a causal factor in influenza variability. We examined the relationship between cold and/or dry air and daily influenza and pneumonia mortality in the cold season in the New York metropolitan area from 1975–2002. We conducted a retrospective study relating daily pneumonia and influenza mortality for New York City and surroundings from 1975–2002 to daily air temperature, dew point temperature (a measure of atmospheric humidity), and daily air mass type. We identified high mortality days and periods and employed temporal smoothers and lags to account for the latency period and the time between infection and death. Unpaired t-tests were used to compare high mortality events to non-events and nonparametric bootstrapped regression analysis was used to examine the characteristics of longer mortality episodes. We found a statistically significant (p = 0.003) association between periods of low dew point temperature and above normal pneumonia and influenza mortality 17 days later. The duration (r = −0.61) and severity (r = −0.56) of high mortality episodes was inversely correlated with morning dew point temperature prior to and during the episodes. Weeks in which moist polar air masses were common (air masses characterized by low dew point temperatures) were likewise followed by above normal mortality 17 days later (p = 0.019). This research supports the contention that cold, dry air may be related to influenza mortality and suggests that warning systems could provide enough lead time to be effective in mitigating the effects.

Six-minute walk distance in patients with severe end-stage COPD: association with survival after inpatient pulmonary rehabilitation.

PURPOSE To evaluate the relationship between the 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) and survival in a cohort of patients with severe end-stage chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who received inpatient pulmonary rehabilitation (IPR) from 1995 to 2007. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 815 patients with severe end-stage COPD who received IPR. 6MWDs before and after IPR (pre-6MWD, post-6MWD) were compared to assess whether 6MWD was significantly changed after IPR. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed to show the relationship between survival and 6MWD. The age- and or comorbidities-adjusted Cox proportional hazard model was applied to assess association between the survival and the pre-6MWD, post-6MWD, or difference in 6MWD from the pre-6MWD to post-6MWD (Δ6MWD). RESULTS Baseline demographics demonstrated a median age 74.0 years, mostly women (60.1%), and white (89.9%) patients with significant comorbid diseases who were most recently hospitalized in acute care facilities (95.1%). IPR significantly increased the 6MWD (mean distance change: 86.4 m; 95% confidence interval [CI], 81.5–91.3 m). Pre-6MWD was not significantly associated with survival. However, post-6MWD was significantly associated with age- and comorbidity-adjusted survival (post-6MWD hazard ratio = 1.336; 95% CI, 1.232–1.449 [post-6MWD x m relative to post-6MWD 2x m]), and Δ6MWD was also significantly associated with age-, comorbidities-, and pre–6MWD-adjusted survival (Δ6MWD hazard ratio = 1.337; 95% CI, 1.227–1.457 [Δ6MWD x m relative to Δ6MWD 2x m]). CONCLUSIONS In patients with severe end-stage COPD, IPR significantly improved 6MWD, and the post-6MWD and Δ6MWD were positively associated with the length of survival.

Control of Simultaneous Outbreaks of Carbapenemase-Producing Enterobacteriaceae and Extensively Drug-Resistant Acinetobacter baumannii Infection in an Intensive Care Unit Using Interventions Promoted in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2012 Carbapenemase-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae Toolkit

OBJECTIVE We describe the efficacy of enhanced infection control measures, including those recommended in the Centers for Disease Control and Preventions 2012 carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) toolkit, to control concurrent outbreaks of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) and extensively drug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (XDR-AB). DESIGN Before-after intervention study. SETTING Fifteen-bed surgical trauma intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS We investigated the impact of enhanced infection control measures in response to clusters of CPE and XDR-AB infections in an ICU from April 2009 to March 2010. Polymerase chain reaction was used to detect the presence of blaKPC and resistance plasmids in CRE. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis was performed to assess XDR-AB clonality. Enhanced infection-control measures were implemented in response to ongoing transmission of CPE and a new outbreak of XDR-AB. Efficacy was evaluated by comparing the incidence rate (IR) of CPE and XDR-AB before and after the implementation of these measures. RESULTS The IR of CPE for the 12 months before the implementation of enhanced measures was 7.77 cases per 1,000 patient-days, whereas the IR of XDR-AB for the 3 months before implementation was 6.79 cases per 1,000 patient-days. All examined CPE shared endemic blaKPC resistance plasmids, and 6 of the 7 XDR-AB isolates were clonal. Following institution of enhanced infection control measures, the CPE IR decreased to 1.22 cases per 1,000 patient-days (P = .001), and no more cases of XDR-AB were identified. CONCLUSIONS Use of infection control measures described in the Centers for Disease Control and Preventions 2012 CRE toolkit was associated with a reduction in the IR of CPE and an interruption in XDR-AB transmission.

New-onset Atrial Fibrillation in the Critically Ill*

Objective: To determine the association of new-onset atrial fibrillation with outcomes, including ICU length of stay and survival. Design: Retrospective cohort of ICU admissions. We found atrial fibrillation using automated detection (≥ 90 s in 30 min) and classed as new-onset if there was no prior diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. We identified determinants of new-onset atrial fibrillation and, using propensity matching, characterized its impact on outcomes. Setting: Tertiary care academic center. Patients: A total of 8,356 consecutive adult admissions to either the medical or surgical/trauma/burn ICU with available continuous electrocardiogram data. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: From 74 patient-years of every 15-minute observations, we detected atrial fibrillation in 1,610 admissions (19%), with median burden less than 2%. Most atrial fibrillation was paroxysmal; less than 2% of admissions were always in atrial fibrillation. New-onset atrial fibrillation was subclinical or went undocumented in 626, or 8% of all ICU admissions. Advanced age, acute respiratory failure, and sepsis were the strongest predictors of new-onset atrial fibrillation. In propensity-adjusted regression analyses, clinical new-onset atrial fibrillation was associated with increased hospital mortality (odds ratio, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.01–2.63) and longer length of stay (2.25 d; CI, 0.58–3.92). New-onset atrial fibrillation was not associated with survival after hospital discharge (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.76–1.28 and hazard ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.67–1.83, respectively, for subclinical and clinical new-onset atrial fibrillation). Conclusions: Automated analysis of continuous electrocardiogram heart rate dynamics detects new-onset atrial fibrillation in many ICU patients. Though often transient and frequently unrecognized, new-onset atrial fibrillation is associated with poor hospital outcomes.

Signatures of Subacute Potentially Catastrophic Illness in the ICU: Model Development and Validation.

Objectives: Patients in ICUs are susceptible to subacute potentially catastrophic illnesses such as respiratory failure, sepsis, and hemorrhage that present as severe derangements of vital signs. More subtle physiologic signatures may be present before clinical deterioration, when treatment might be more effective. We performed multivariate statistical analyses of bedside physiologic monitoring data to identify such early subclinical signatures of incipient life-threatening illness. Design: We report a study of model development and validation of a retrospective observational cohort using resampling (Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis type 1b internal validation) and a study of model validation using separate data (type 2b internal/external validation). Setting: University of Virginia Health System (Charlottesville), a tertiary-care, academic medical center. Patients: Critically ill patients consecutively admitted between January 2009 and June 2015 to either the neonatal, surgical/trauma/burn, or medical ICUs with available physiologic monitoring data. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: We analyzed 146 patient-years of vital sign and electrocardiography waveform time series from the bedside monitors of 9,232 ICU admissions. Calculations from 30-minute windows of the physiologic monitoring data were made every 15 minutes. Clinicians identified 1,206 episodes of respiratory failure leading to urgent unplanned intubation, sepsis, or hemorrhage leading to multi-unit transfusions from systematic individual chart reviews. Multivariate models to predict events up to 24 hours prior had internally validated C-statistics of 0.61–0.88. In adults, physiologic signatures of respiratory failure and hemorrhage were distinct from each other but externally consistent across ICUs. Sepsis, on the other hand, demonstrated less distinct and inconsistent signatures. Physiologic signatures of all neonatal illnesses were similar. Conclusions: Subacute potentially catastrophic illnesses in three diverse ICU populations have physiologic signatures that are detectable in the hours preceding clinical detection and intervention. Detection of such signatures can draw attention to patients at highest risk, potentially enabling earlier intervention and better outcomes.

Hepatitis B in healthcare workers: Transmission events and guidance for management

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is the most efficiently transmissible of the bloodborne viruses that are important in healthcare settings. Healthcare workers (HCWs) are at risk for exposure to HBV from infected patients and, if infected, are similarly at risk of transmitting HBV to patients. Published cases of HBV transmission from HCW to patient are relatively rare, having decreased in frequency following the introduction of standard (universal) precautions, adoption of enhanced percutaneous injury precautions such as double-gloving in surgery, and routine HBV vaccination of HCWs. Here we review published cases of HCW-to-patient transmission of HBV, details of which have helped to guide the creation of formal guidelines for the management of HBV-infected HCWs. We also compare the published guidelines for the management of HBV-infected HCWs from various governing bodies, focusing on their differences with regard to vaccination requirements, viral load limits, frequency of monitoring, and restrictions on practice. Importantly, while there are differences among the recommendations from governing bodies, no guidelines uniformly restrict HBV-infected HCWs from performing invasive or exposure-prone procedures.

A respiratory alert model for the Shenandoah Valley, Virginia, USA

Respiratory morbidity (particularly COPD and asthma) can be influenced by short-term weather fluctuations that affect air quality and lung function. We developed a model to evaluate meteorological conditions associated with respiratory hospital admissions in the Shenandoah Valley of Virginia, USA. We generated ensembles of classification trees based on six years of respiratory-related hospital admissions (64,620 cases) and a suite of 83 potential environmental predictor variables. As our goal was to identify short-term weather linkages to high admission periods, the dependent variable was formulated as a binary classification of five-day moving average respiratory admission departures from the seasonal mean value. Accounting for seasonality removed the long-term apparent inverse relationship between temperature and admissions. We generated eight total models specific to the northern and southern portions of the valley for each season. All eight models demonstrate predictive skill (mean odds ratio = 3.635) when evaluated using a randomization procedure. The predictor variables selected by the ensembling algorithm vary across models, and both meteorological and air quality variables are included. In general, the models indicate complex linkages between respiratory health and environmental conditions that may be difficult to identify using more traditional approaches.

Admission Surveillance for Carbapenamase-Producing Enterobacteriaceae at a Long-Term Acute Care Hospital

Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) are of increasing prevalence worldwide, and long-term acute care hospitals (LTACHs) have been implicated in several outbreaks in the United States. This prospective study of routine screening for CPE on admission to a LTACH demonstrates a high prevalence of CPE colonization in central Virginia.

A case of vanishing bile duct syndrome and IBD secondary to Hodgkin's lymphoma.

Background A 39-year-old man presented with a 2-month history of abdominal pain, jaundice, non-bloody diarrhea, weakness, and weight loss. Initial evaluation revealed intrahepatic ductopenia consistent with vanishing bile duct syndrome and IBD, type unclassified. Although treatment with budesonide improved his symptoms, they worsened several months later. On repeat evaluation, he was found to have extensive lymphadenopathy and an elevated white blood cell count.Investigations Physical examination, laboratory investigations, abdominal ultrasound, CT scans, magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, colonoscopies with biopsies, hepatic biopsy, axillary lymph node biopsy.Diagnosis Hodgkins lymphoma with secondary vanishing bile duct syndrome and IBD, type unclassified.Management The initial symptoms were managed with budesonide, but following recurrence, the patients underlying lymphoma was treated with nitrogen mustard and dexamethasone.