Liisa Jaakkimainen

Risk for serious gastrointestinal complications related to use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. A meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE To describe the relative risk for serious gastrointestinal complications due to non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) exposure among NSAID users as well as in selected subgroups. DESIGN Overview and meta-analysis. DATA IDENTIFICATION A literature search of English-language studies examining the association between NSAIDs and adverse gastrointestinal events for the period 1975 to 1990 identified using MEDLINE and communicating with three internationally recognized experts. DATA ANALYSIS A qualitative summary of study characteristics and a critical appraisal of study quality were done. The results of 16 primary studies were selected and combined statistically. Summary estimates were weighted by sample size and quality score. MAIN RESULTS The overall odds ratio of the risk for adverse gastrointestinal events related to NSAID use, summarized from 16 studies (9 case-control and 7 cohort) was 2.74 (95% Cl, 2.54 to 2.97). The summary odds ratios were as follows: elderly patients, (aged greater than or equal to 60 years), 5.52 (Cl, 4.63 to 6.60); patients under 65 years of age, 1.65 (Cl, 1.08 to 2.53); women, 2.32 (Cl, 1.91 to 2.82); and men, 2.40 (Cl, 1.85 to 3.11). The summary odds ratio for NSAID users receiving concomitant corticosteroids compared with NSAID users not receiving corticosteroids was 1.83 (Cl, 1.20 to 2.78). The summary odds ratio for the first gastrointestinal event was 2.39 (Cl, 2.16 to 2.65). The relative risk for a subsequent or unspecified gastrointestinal event was 4.76 (Cl, 4.05 to 5.59). The summary odds ratio for less than 1 month of NSAID exposure was 8.00 (Cl, 6.37 to 10.06); for more than 1 month but less than 3 months of exposure, the summary odds ratio was 3.31 (Cl, 2.27 to 4.82); and for more than 3 months of exposure, the summary odds ratio was 1.92 (Cl, 1.19 to 3.13). CONCLUSIONS Users of NSAIDs are at approximately three times greater relative risk for developing serious adverse gastrointestinal events than are nonusers. Additional risk factors include age greater than 60 years, previous history of gastrointestinal events, and concomitant corticosteroid use. Another possible risk factor is the first 3 months of NSAID therapy. The risk for serious gastrointestinal events appears to be equal among men and women. These data represent summary statistics from 16 studies and cannot be considered generalizable to all NSAID users.

Population trends in BMD testing, treatment, and hip and wrist fracture rates: are the hip fracture projections wrong?

A worldwide epidemic of hip fractures has been predicted. Time trends in BMD testing, bone‐sparing medications and hip and wrist fractures in the province of Ontario, Canada, were examined. From 1996 to 2001, BMD testing and use of bone‐sparing medications increased each year, whereas despite the aging of the population, wrist and hip fracture rates decreased.

The validity of decision rules for selecting women with primary osteoporosis for bone mineral density testing

The purpose of this study was to determine the validity of the Osteoporosis Risk Assessment Instrument (ORAI), Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool (OST) chart and equation, and a criterion based on body weight for identifying women with asymptomatic primary osteoporosis. Prospective recruitment and chart abstractions from family practices of three University affiliated hospitals were completed for women aged 45 years or more with baseline bone mineral density (BMD) testing results by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Those taking bone active medication other than hormone therapy, with prior fragility fracture or with risk factors for secondary osteoporosis were excluded. Women were categorized as being normal, osteopenic or osteoporotic by lowest BMD T-score at either the femoral neck or lumbar spine (L1–L4). Sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to identify those with osteoporosis were determined for each decision rule. The positive predictive value (PPV) for detecting osteoporosis after using a second cut point to convert each decision rule into a risk index (low, moderate or high risk) was also determined. The sensitivity of the decision rules to identify women with osteoporosis ranged from 92% to 95% and specificity from 35% to 46%. The area under the ROC curves were significantly better for the ORAI (0.80), OST chart (0.82) and OST equation (0.82) compared with the body weight criterion (0.73). PPV for detecting osteoporosis ranged from 30% to 58% among women deemed at high risk. These data confirm the validity of the ORAI, the OST chart and the OST equation as screening tools for BMD testing. Further evidence is required to confirm the validity of the body weight criterion.

Spinal cord ependymomas: a retrospective analysis of 59 cases

PURPOSE To determine the outcome of patients with primary spinal ependymoma treated with postoperative radiotherapy and to identify clinical and treatment variables predictive of outcome. METHODS AND MATERIALS A retrospective chart review was undertaken of 59 spinal ependymoma patients referred to the Princess Margaret Hospital between 1958 and 1987. All patients were treated with radiation therapy to either the site of the primary tumor or the craniospinal axis. There were 23 female and 36 male patients with a median age of 37 years (range: 8-66 years). Median follow-up was 130 months (range: 1-371 months). Clinical variables including age, sex, length of symptoms, functional status, tumor location, and grade as well as treatment variables including extent of surgery, radiation dose and treatment volume were analyzed for influence on outcome. RESULTS Treatment was well-tolerated with no cases of radiation myelopathy identified. Overall actuarial survival at 5 and 10 years was 83% and 75%, respectively. Eleven patients had recurrent tumor with the 9/11 having a component of their recurrence within the treatment field. Median time to recurrence was 2 years with 9 of the 11 recurrences within the first 3 years. Tumor grade was the only independent variable identified as predictive of outcome. Patients with well differentiated tumors had a 5-year cause-specific survival of 97% compared to 71% for those with intermediate or poorly differentiated tumors (p = 0.005). CONCLUSION We conclude that postoperative irradiation for patients with spinal ependymomas is associated with a favorable outcome and that tumor grade is a major prognostic factor. Based on results of this series and a review of the literature, specific management recommendations are made for this rare tumor.

Validity of Administrative Data for Identifying Patients Who Have Had a Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack Using EMRALD as a Reference Standard

BACKGROUND Surveillance for stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) using administrative data has traditionally been limited to reporting patients who had an acute event and were hospitalized. This underestimates the true prevalence because many events do not result in hospitalization. We examined whether the accuracy of administrative data for identifying prevalent stroke/TIA could be improved by using data from both inpatient and outpatient visits. METHODS An administrative data validation reference standard was developed through chart abstraction of 5000 adult patients randomly sampled from 73,014 patients of 83 family physicians who participate in the Electronic Medical Record Administrative Data Linked Database (EMRALD), in Ontario, Canada. RESULTS The prevalence of stroke/TIA in our adult population was 3.0%. An algorithm of 1 hospital record had a sensitivity of 35.3% (27.7%-43.0%) and specificity of 99.8% (99.7%-99.9%), whereas an algorithm of 2 physician billings within 1 year or 1 hospitalization had a sensitivity of 68.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 60.5%-75.5%) and specificity of 98.9% (95% CI, 98.6%-99.2%) for the identification of patients who had ever had a stroke/TIA. We found that hospitalization data underestimated the prevalence of stroke by > 50% and TIA by > 66% compared with using both hospitalization and physician claims data. CONCLUSIONS The use of outpatient physician claims data in addition to hospitalization data improves the sensitivity of administrative data for the identification of prevalent stroke/TIA and may be used to estimate the prevalence of cerebrovascular events in large populations and over time.

Quality of Communication Between Primary Health Care and Mental Health Care: An Examination of Referral and Discharge Letters

In managing treatment for persons with mental illness, the primary care physician (PCP) needs to communicate with mental health (MH) professionals in various settings over time to provide appropriate management and continuity of care. However, effective communication between PCPs and MH specialists is often poor. The present study reviewed evidence on the quality of information transfer between PCPs and specialist MH providers for referral requests and after inpatient discharge. Twenty-three audit studies were identified that assessed the quality of content and nine that assessed strategies to improve quality. Results indicated that rates of item reporting were variable. Within the limited evidence on interventions to improve quality, use of structured forms showed positive results. Follow-up work can identify a minimum set of items to include in information transfers, along with item definitions and structures for holding this information. Then, methodologies for measuring data quality, including electronically generated performance metrics, can be developed.

Waiting to see the specialist: patient and provider characteristics of wait times from primary to specialty care

BackgroundWait times are an important measure of access to various health care sectors and from a patient’s perspective include several stages in their care. While mechanisms to improve wait times from specialty care have been developed across Canada, little is known about wait times from primary to specialty care. Our objectives were to calculate the wait times from when a referral is made by a family physician (FP) to when a patient sees a specialist physician and examine patient and provider factors related to these wait times.MethodsOur study used the Electronic Medical Record Administrative data Linked Database (EMRALD) which is a linkage of FP electronic medical record (EMR) data to the Ontario, Canada administrative data. The EMR referral date was linked to the administrative physician claims date to calculate the wait times. Patient age, sex, socioeconomic status, comorbidity and FP continuity of care and physician age, sex, practice location, practice size and participation in a primary care delivery model were examined with respect to wait times.ResultsThe median waits from medical specialists ranged from 39 to 76 days and for surgical specialists from 33 days to 66 days. With a few exceptions, patient factors were not associated with wait times from primary care to specialty care. Similarly physician factors were not consistently associated with wait times, except for FP practice location and size.ConclusionsActual wait times for a referral from a FP to seeing a specialist physician are longer than those reported by physician surveys. Wait times from primary to specialty care need to be included in the calculation of surgical and diagnostic wait time benchmarks in Canada.

Development and validation of an administrative data algorithm to estimate the disease burden and epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Ontario, Canada

Background: Few studies have assessed the accuracy of administrative data for identifying multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. Objectives: To validate administrative data algorithms for MS, and describe the burden and epidemiology over time in Ontario, Canada. Methods: We employed a validated search strategy to identify all MS patients within electronic medical records, to identify patients with and without MS (reference standard). We then developed and validated different combinations of administrative data for algorithms. The most accurate algorithm was used to estimate the burden and epidemiology of MS over time. Results: The accuracy of the algorithm of one hospitalisation or five physician billings over 2 years provided both high sensitivity (84%) and positive predictive value (86%). Application of this algorithm to provincial data demonstrated an increasing cumulative burden of MS, from 13,326 patients (0.14%) in 2000 to 24,647 patients in 2010 (0.22%). Age-and-sex standardised prevalence increased from 133.9 to 207.3 MS patients per 100,000 persons in the population, from 2000 – 2010. During this same period, age-and-sex-standardised incidence varied from 17.9 to 19.4 patients per 100,000 persons. Conclusions: MS patients can be accurately identified from administrative data. Our findings illustrated a rising prevalence of MS over time. MS incidence rates also appear to be rising since 2009.

Factors associated with primary care physicians' recognition of cognitive impairment in their older patients.

Although there are accurate screens for cognitive impairment, there is as yet no evidence that screening improves outcomes including primary care physicians’ (PCP) medical decision making. PCPs’ recognition of cognitive impairment being suboptimal, we investigated factors associated with improved recognition. Eligible patients were aged 65 years and above, without documented dementia or previous work-up for dementia, seen consecutively over 2 months by one of 13 PCPs. PCPs indicated whether they, the patient, or the family had concerns about each patient’s cognition. We enrolled 130 patients with any cognitive concerns and a matched sample of 133 without cognitive concerns, and administered standardized neuropsychological tests. PCP’s judgments of cognitive concern showed 61% sensitivity and 86% specificity against the neuropsychological standard. When combined with a Mini-Mental State Examination score ⩽26, PCP recognition improved in sensitivity (82%) with some loss in specificity (74%). True positives increased when PCPs’ practices included more cognitively impaired patients and when patients reported poor memory. False positives increased when patients had diabetes, reported poor memory, or no or light alcohol consumption. Medical decision making can be improved by the Mini-Mental State Examination and greater exposure to cognitively impaired patients, but knowledge of certain risk factors for cognitive impairment negatively affected these decisions.

Perceived value of support for older adults coping with multi-morbidity: patient, informal care-giver and family physician perspectives

ABSTRACT This study investigated the perceived value of informal and formal supports for older adults with multi-morbidity from the perspectives of patients, care-givers and family physicians. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 27 patients, their informal care-givers and their family physicians in an urban academic family health team in Ontario. Analysis was conducted using a General Inductive Approach to facilitate identification of main themes and build a framework of perceived value of supports. Participant views converged on supports that facilitate patient independence and ease care-giver burden. However, important differences in participant perceptions arose regarding these priorities. Physicians and care-givers valued supports that facilitate health and safety while patients prioritised supports that enable self-efficacy and independence. While formal supports which eased care-giver burden were viewed positively by all members of the triad, many patients also rejected formal supports, citing that informal support from their care-giver was available. Such conflicts between patient, care-giver and physician-perceived value of supports may have important implications for consumer and care-giver willingness to accept formal supports when supports are available. These findings contribute to the broader literature on community-based care by incorporating the perspectives of patients, informal care-givers and family physicians to understand better the barriers and facilitators of uptake of supportive services that contribute to successful ageing at home.