Lorna Guinness
University of London
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Publication
Featured researches published by Lorna Guinness.
The Lancet | 2002
Andrew Creese; Katherine Floyd; Anita Alban; Lorna Guinness
BACKGROUND Evidence for cost-effectiveness of interventions for HIV/AIDS in Africa is fragmentary. Cost-effectiveness is, however, highly relevant. African governments face difficult choices in striking the right balance between prevention, treatment, and care, all of which are necessary to deal comprehensively with the epidemic. Reductions in drug prices have raised the priority of treatment, though treatment access is restricted. We assessed the existing cost-effectiveness data and its implications for value-for-money strategies to combat HIV/AIDS in Africa. METHODS We undertook a systematic review using databases and consultations with experts. We identified over 60 reports that measured both the cost and effectiveness of HIV/AIDS interventions in Africa. 24 studies met our inclusion criteria and were used to calculate standardised estimates of the cost (US
The Lancet | 2015
Sayoki Mfinanga; Duncan Chanda; Sokoine L. Kivuyo; Lorna Guinness; Christian Bottomley; Victoria Simms; Carol Chijoka; Ayubu Masasi; Godfather Kimaro; Bernard Ngowi; Amos Kahwa; Peter Mwaba; Thomas S. Harrison; Saidi Egwaga; Shabbar Jaffar
for year 2000) per HIV infection prevented and per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) gained for 31 interventions. FINDINGS Cost-effectiveness varied greatly between interventions. A case of HIV/AIDS can be prevented for
Tropical Medicine & International Health | 2002
Josephine Borghi; Lorna Guinness; J Ouedraogo; Curtis
11, and a DALY gained for
BMC Public Health | 2007
Isaac Chun-Hai Fung; Lorna Guinness; Peter Vickerman; Charlotte Watts; Gangadhar Vannela; Jagdish Vadhvana; A Foss; Laxman Malodia; Meena Gandhi; Gaurang Jani
1, by selective blood safety measures, and by targeted condom distribution with treatment of sexually transmitted diseases. Single-dose nevirapine and short-course zidovudine for prevention of mother-to-child transmission, voluntary counselling and testing, and tuberculosis treatment, cost under
Sexually Transmitted Diseases | 2006
Peter Vickerman; Lilani Kumaranayake; Olga Balakireva; Lorna Guinness; Oksana Artyukh; Tatiana Semikop; Olexander Yaremenko; Charlotte Watts
75 per DALY gained. Other interventions, such as formula feeding for infants, home care programmes, and antiretroviral therapy for adults, cost several thousand dollars per infection prevented, or several hundreds of dollars per DALY gained. INTERPRETATION A strong economic case exists for prioritisation of preventive interventions and tuberculosis treatment. Where potentially exclusive alternatives exist, cost-effectiveness analysis points to an intervention that offers the best value for money. Cost-effectiveness analysis is an essential component of informed debate about priority setting for HIV/AIDS.
Bulletin of The World Health Organization | 2005
Lorna Guinness; Lilani Kumaranayake; Bhuvaneswari Rajaraman; Girija Sankaranarayanan; Gangadhar Vannela; P. Raghupathi; Alex George
BACKGROUND Mortality in people in Africa with HIV infection starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) is high, particularly in those with advanced disease. We assessed the effect of a short period of community support to supplement clinic-based services combined with serum cryptococcal antigen screening. METHODS We did an open-label, randomised controlled trial in six urban clinics in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and Lusaka, Zambia. From February, 2012, we enrolled eligible individuals with HIV infection (age ≥18 years, CD4 count of <200 cells per μL, ART naive) and randomly assigned them to either the standard clinic-based care supplemented with community support or standard clinic-based care alone, stratified by country and clinic, in permuted block sizes of ten. Clinic plus community support consisted of screening for serum cryptococcal antigen combined with antifungal therapy for patients testing antigen positive, weekly home visits for the first 4 weeks on ART by lay workers to provide support, and in Tanzania alone, re-screening for tuberculosis at 6-8 weeks after ART initiation. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 12 months, analysed by intention to treat. This trial is registered with the International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number registry, number ISCRTN 20410413. FINDINGS Between Feb 9, 2012, and Sept 30, 2013, 1001 patients were randomly assigned to clinic plus community support and 998 to standard care. 89 (9%) of 1001 participants in the clinic plus community support group did not receive their assigned intervention, and 11 (1%) of 998 participants in the standard care group received a home visit or a cryptococcal antigen screen rather than only standard care. At 12 months, 25 (2%) of 1001 participants in the clinic plus community support group and 24 (2%) of 998 participants in the standard care group had been lost to follow-up, and were censored at their last visit for the primary analysis. At 12 months, 134 (13%) of 1001 participants in the clinic plus community support group had died compared with 180 (18%) of 998 in the standard care group. Mortality was 28% (95% CI 10-43) lower in the clinic plus community support group than in standard care group (p=0·004). INTERPRETATION Screening and pre-emptive treatment for cryptococcal infection combined with a short initial period of adherence support after initiation of ART could substantially reduce mortality in HIV programmes in Africa. FUNDING European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership.
AIDS | 2002
Lorna Guinness; Gilly Arthur; Samir M. Bhatt; Grace Achiya; Sam Kariuki; Charles F. Gilks
objectives To estimate the incremental cost‐effectiveness of a large‐scale urban hygiene promotion programme in terms of reducing the incidence of childhood diarrhoeal disease in Bobo‐Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.
Addiction | 2010
Lorna Guinness; Peter Vickerman; Zahidul Quayyum; A Foss; Charlotte Watts; Andrea Rodericks; Tasnim Azim; S Jana; Lilani Kumaranayake
BackgroundAhmedabad is an industrial city in Gujarat, India. In 2003, the HIV prevalence among commercial sex workers (CSWs) in Ahmedabad reached 13.0%. In response, the Jyoti Sangh HIV prevention programme for CSWs was initiated, which involves outreach, peer education, condom distribution, and free STD clinics. Two surveys were performed among CSWs in 1999 and 2003. This study estimates the cost-effectiveness of the Jyoti Sangh HIV prevention programme.MethodsA dynamic mathematical model was used with survey and intervention-specific data from Ahmedabad to estimate the HIV impact of the Jyoti Sangh project for the 51 months between the two CSW surveys. Uncertainty analysis was used to obtain different model fits to the HIV/STI epidemiological data, producing a range for the HIV impact of the project. Financial and economic costs of the intervention were estimated from the providers perspective for the same time period. The cost per HIV-infection averted was estimated.ResultsOver 51 months, projections suggest that the intervention averted 624 and 5,131 HIV cases among the CSWs and their clients, respectively. This equates to a 54% and 51% decrease in the HIV infections that would have occurred among the CSWs and clients without the intervention. In the absence of intervention, the model predicts that the HIV prevalence amongst the CSWs in 2003 would have been 26%, almost twice that with the intervention. Cost per HIV infection averted, excluding and including peer educator economic costs, was USD 59 and USD 98 respectively.ConclusionThis study demonstrated that targeted CSW interventions in India can be cost-effective, and highlights the importance of replicating this effort in other similar settings.
The Lancet Global Health | 2014
Anna Vassall; Michael Pickles; Sudhashree Chandrashekar; Marie-Claude Boily; Govindraj Shetty; Lorna Guinness; Catherine M. Lowndes; Janet Bradley; Stephen Moses; Michel Alary; Peter Vickerman
Objectives: The objectives of this study were to estimate the cost-effectiveness of a harm reduction intervention among injecting drug users (IDUs) in Odessa, Ukraine; and to explore how the cost-effectiveness changes if the intervention were scaled up to 60% as recommended by WHO/UNAIDS. Study Design: Economic providers’ costs were estimated. A dynamic mathematical model, fitted to epidemiologic data, projected the intervention’s impact. The cost per HIV infection averted for different intervention coverages was estimated. Results: From September 1999 to August 2000, at the current coverage of between 20% to 38% and an injection drug user (IDU) HIV prevalence of 54%, projections suggest 792 HIV infections were averted, a 22% decrease in IDU HIV incidence, but a 1% increase in IDU HIV prevalence. Cost per HIV infection averted was
Sexually Transmitted Infections | 2010
Sudhashree Chandrashekar; Lorna Guinness; Lilani Kumaranayake; Bhaskar Reddy; Y Govindraj; Peter Vickerman; Michel Alary
97. Scaling up the intervention to reach 60% of IDUs remains cost-effective and reduces HIV prevalence by 4% over 5 years. Conclusion: At the current coverage, the harm reduction intervention in Odessa is cost-effective but is unlikely to reduce IDU HIV prevalence in the short-term. To reduce HIV prevalence, more resources are needed to increase coverage.