Lucy Ellis
University of Bristol
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Featured researches published by Lucy Ellis.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America | 2010
Simon Farrell; Casimir J. H. Ludwig; Lucy Ellis; Iain D. Gilchrist
Initiating an eye movement is slowed if the saccade is directed to a location that has been fixated in the recent past. We show that this inhibitory effect is modulated by the temporal statistics of the environment: If a return location is likely to become behaviorally relevant, inhibition of return is absent. By fitting an accumulator model of saccadic decision-making, we show that the inhibitory effect and the sensitivity to local statistics can be dissociated in their effects on the rate of accumulation of evidence, and the threshold controlling the amount of evidence needed to generate a saccade.
Cognitive Psychology | 2009
Casimir J. H. Ludwig; Simon Farrell; Lucy Ellis; Iain D. Gilchrist
Human observers take longer to re-direct gaze to a previously fixated location. Although there has been some exploration of the characteristics of inhibition of saccadic return (ISR), the exact mechanisms by which ISR operates are currently unknown. In the framework of accumulation models of response times, in which evidence is integrated over time to a response threshold, ISR could reflect a reduction in the rate of accumulation for saccades to return locations or an increase in the effective criterion for response. In two experiments, participants generated sequences of three saccades, in response to a peripheral or a central cue. ISR occurred across these manipulations: saccade latency was consistently increased for movements to the immediately previously fixated location. Latency distributions from individual observers were fit with a Linear Ballistic Accumulator model. ISR was best accounted for as a change in the accumulation rate. We suggest this parameter represents the overall desirability of a particular course of action, the evidence for which may be derived from a variety of sensory and non-sensory sources.
JMIR Research Protocols | 2015
Lucy Ellis; Gavin J. Murphy; Lucy Culliford; Lucy Dreyer; Gemma Clayton; Richard Downes; Eamonn Nicholson; Serban C. Stoica; Barnaby C Reeves; Chris A. Rogers
Background Indices of global tissue oxygen delivery and utilization such as mixed venous oxygen saturation, serum lactate concentration, and arterial hematocrit are commonly used to determine the adequacy of tissue oxygenation during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). However, these global measures may not accurately reflect regional tissue oxygenation and ischemic organ injury remains a common and serious complication of CPB. Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) is a noninvasive technology that measures regional tissue oxygenation. NIRS may be used alongside global measures to optimize regional perfusion and reduce organ injury. It may also be used as an indicator of the need for red blood cell transfusion in the presence of anemia and tissue hypoxia. However, the clinical benefits of using NIRS remain unclear and there is a lack of high-quality evidence demonstrating its efficacy and cost effectiveness. Objective The aim of the patient-specific cerebral oxygenation monitoring as part of an algorithm to reduce transfusion during heart valve surgery (PASPORT) trial is to determine whether the addition of NIRS to CPB management algorithms can prevent cognitive decline, postoperative organ injury, unnecessary transfusion, and reduce health care costs. Methods Adults aged 16 years or older undergoing valve or combined coronary artery bypass graft and valve surgery at one of three UK cardiac centers (Bristol, Hull, or Leicester) are randomly allocated in a 1:1 ratio to either a standard algorithm for optimizing tissue oxygenation during CPB that includes a fixed transfusion threshold, or a patient-specific algorithm that incorporates cerebral NIRS monitoring and a restrictive red blood cell transfusion threshold. Allocation concealment, Internet-based randomization stratified by operation type and recruiting center, and blinding of patients, ICU and ward care staff, and outcome assessors reduce the risk of bias. The primary outcomes are cognitive function 3 months after surgery and infectious complications during the first 3 months after surgery. Secondary outcomes include measures of inflammation, organ injury, and volumes of blood transfused. The cost effectiveness of the NIRS-based algorithm is described in terms of a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. The trial tests the superiority of the patient-specific algorithm versus standard care. A sample size of 200 patients was chosen to detect a small to moderate target difference with 80% power and 5% significance (two tailed). Results Over 4 years, 208 patients have been successfully randomized and have been followed up for a 3-month period. Results are to be reported in 2015. Conclusions This study provides high-quality evidence, both valid and widely applicable, to determine whether the use of NIRS monitoring as part of a patient-specific management algorithm improves clinical outcomes and is cost effective. Trial Registration International Standard Randomized Controlled Trial Number (ISRCTN): 23557269; http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN23557269 (Archived by Webcite at http://www.webcitation.org/6buyrbj64)
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General | 2012
Casimir J. H. Ludwig; Simon Farrell; Lucy Ellis; Tom E Hardwicke; Iain D. Gilchrist
Adaptive behavior in a nonstationary world requires humans to learn and track the statistics of the environment. We examined the mechanisms of adaptation in a nonstationary environment in the context of visual-saccadic inhibition of return (IOR). IOR is adapted to the likelihood that return locations will be refixated in the near future. We examined 2 potential learning mechanisms underlying adaptation: (a) a local tracking or priming mechanism that facilitates behavior that is consistent with recent experience and (b) a mechanism that supports retrieval of knowledge of the environmental statistics based on the contextual features of the environment. Participants generated sequences of 2 saccadic eye movements in conditions where the probability that the 2nd saccade was directed back to the previously fixated location varied from low (.17) to high (.50). In some conditions, the contingency was signaled by a contextual cue (the shape of the movement cue). Adaptation occurred in the absence of contextual signals but was more pronounced in the presence of contextual cues. Adaptation even occurred when different contingencies were randomly intermixed, showing the parallel formation of multiple associations between context and statistics. These findings are accounted for by an evidence accumulation framework in which the resting baseline of decision alternatives is adjusted on a trial-by-trial basis. This baseline tracks the subjective prior beliefs about the behavioral relevance of the different alternatives and is updated on the basis of the history of recent events and the contextual features of the current environment.
JMIR Research Protocols | 2015
Sarah Baos; Karen Sheehan; Lucy Culliford; Katie Pike; Lucy Ellis; A O Parry; Serban Stoica; Mohamed T. Ghorbel; Massimo Caputo; Chris A. Rogers
Background During open heart surgery, patients are connected to a heart-lung bypass machine that pumps blood around the body (“perfusion”) while the heart is stopped. Typically the blood is cooled during this procedure (“hypothermia”) and warmed to normal body temperature once the operation has been completed. The main rationale for “whole body cooling” is to protect organs such as the brain, kidneys, lungs, and heart from injury during bypass by reducing the body’s metabolic rate and decreasing oxygen consumption. However, hypothermic perfusion also has disadvantages that can contribute toward an extended postoperative hospital stay. Research in adults and small randomized controlled trials in children suggest some benefits to keeping the blood at normal body temperature throughout surgery (“normothermia”). However, the two techniques have not been extensively compared in children. Objective The Thermic-2 study will test the hypothesis that the whole body inflammatory response to the nonphysiological bypass and its detrimental effects on different organ functions may be attenuated by maintaining the body at 35°C-37°C (normothermic) rather than 28°C (hypothermic) during pediatric complex open heart surgery. Methods This is a single-center, randomized controlled trial comparing the effectiveness and acceptability of normothermic versus hypothermic bypass in 141 children with congenital heart disease undergoing open heart surgery. Children having scheduled surgery to repair a heart defect not requiring deep hypothermic circulatory arrest represent the target study population. The co-primary clinical outcomes are duration of inotropic support, intubation time, and postoperative hospital stay. Secondary outcomes are in-hospital mortality and morbidity, blood loss and transfusion requirements, pre- and post-operative echocardiographic findings, routine blood gas and blood test results, renal function, cerebral function, regional oxygen saturation of blood in the cerebral cortex, assessment of genomic expression changes in cardiac tissue biopsies, and neuropsychological development. Results A total of 141 patients have been successfully randomized over 2 years and 10 months and are now being followed-up for 1 year. Results will be published in 2015. Conclusions We believe this to be the first large pragmatic study comparing clinical outcomes during normothermic versus hypothermic bypass in complex open heart surgery in children. It is expected that this work will provide important information to improve strategies of cardiopulmonary bypass perfusion and therefore decrease the inevitable organ damage that occurs during nonphysiological body perfusion. Trial Registration ISRCTN Registry: ISRCTN93129502, http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN93129502 (Archived by WebCitation at http://www.webcitation.org/6Yf5VSyyG).
Heart | 2018
Massimo Caputo; Katie Pike; Sarah Baos; Karen Sheehan; Kathleen Selway; Lucy Ellis; Serban C. Stoica; A O Parry; Gemma Clayton; Lucy Culliford; Gianni D. Angelini; Ragini Pandey; Chris A. Rogers
Objective To compare normothermic (35°C–36°C) versus hypothermic (28°C) cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) in paediatric patients undergoing open heart surgery to test the hypothesis that normothermic CPB perfusion maintains the functional integrity of major organ systems leading to faster recovery. Methods Two single-centre, randomised controlled trials (known as Thermic-1 and Thermic-2, respectively) were carried out to compare the effectiveness and acceptability of normothermic versus hypothermic CPB in children with congenital heart disease undergoing open heart surgery. In both studies, the co-primary clinical outcomes were duration of inotropic support, intubation time and postoperative hospital stay. Results In total, 200 participants were recruited; 59 to the Thermic-1 study and 141 to the Thermic-2 study. 98 patients received normothermic CPB and 102 patients received hypothermic CPB. There were no significant differences between the treatment groups for any of the co-primary outcomes: inotrope duration HR=1.01, 95% CI (0.72 to 1.41); intubation time HR=1.14, 95% CI (0.86 to 1.51); postoperative hospital stay HR=1.06, 95% CI (0.80 to 1.40). Differences favouring normothermia were found in urea nitrogen at 2 days geometric mean ratio (GMR)=0.86 95% CI (0.77 to 0.97); serum creatinine at 3 days GMR=0.89, 95% CI (0.81 to 0.98); urinary albumin at 48 hours GMR=0.32, 95% CI (0.14 to 0.74) and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin at 4 hours GMR=0.47, 95% CI (0.22 to 1.02), but not at other postoperative time points. Conclusions Normothermic CPB is as safe and effective as hypothermic CPB and can be routinely adopted as a perfusion strategy in low-risk infants and children undergoing open heart surgery. Trial registration number ISRCTN93129502.
Eye | 2018
Abby Willcox; Lucy Culliford; Lucy Ellis; Chris A. Rogers; Angela J. Cree; Usha Chakravarthy; Sarah Ennis; Francine Behar-Cohen; Barnaby C Reeves; Sobha Sivaprasad; Andrew J. Lotery
AimsChronic central serous chorioretinopathy (CSCR) is poorly understood. Fluid accumulates in the subretinal space and retinal pigment epitheliopathy and neurosensory atrophy may develop. Permanent vision loss occurs in approximately one third of cases. There are no effective treatments for CSCR. Recent studies have shown the mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, eplerenone, to be effective in resolving subretinal fluid and improving visual acuity. This trial aims to compare the safety and efficacy of eplerenone in patients with CSCR in a double-masked randomised placebo-controlled trial.MethodsPatients are randomised 1:1 to receive eplerenone with usual care or placebo with usual care for 12 months; 25 mg per day for 1 week, then 50 mg per day up to 12 months (unless discontinued for safety or resolution of CSCR). Key eligibility criteria are: age 18–60 years, one eye with CSCR for ≥4 months duration, best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) >53 and <86 letters and no previous treatment. The primary outcome is BCVA at 12 months. Secondary outcomes include resolution of subretinal fluid, development of macular atrophy, subfoveal choroidal thickness, changes in low luminance visual acuity, health-related quality of life and safety.ConclusionsRecruitment is complete but was slower than expected. We maintained the eligibility criteria to ensure participants had ‘true’ CSCR and recruited additional centres. Effective distribution of the investigational medicinal product (IMP) was achieved by implementing a database to manage ordering and accountability of IMP packs. The results will provide adequately powered evidence to inform clinical decisions about using eplerenone to treat patients with CSCR.
Trials | 2017
Barnaby C Reeves; Lazaros Andronis; Jane M Blazeby; Natalie S Blencowe; Melanie Calvert; Joanna Coast; Tim Draycott; Jenny Donovan; Rachael Gooberman-Hill; Robert Longman; Laura Magill; Jonathan Mathers; Thomas Pinkney; Chris A. Rogers; Leila Rooshenas; Andrew Torrance; Nicky J Welton; Mark Woodward; Kate Ashton; Katarzyna D. Bera; Gemma Clayton; Lucy Culliford; Jo C Dumville; Daisy Elliott; Lucy Ellis; Hannah Gould-Brown; Rhiannon Macefield; Christel McMullan; Caroline Pope; Dimitrios Siassakos
BackgroundSurgical site infections (SSIs) are common, occurring in up to 25% of > 4 million operations performed in England each year. Previous trials of the effect of wound dressings on the risk of developing a SSI are of poor quality and underpowered.Methods/DesignThis study is a feasibility and pilot trial to examine the feasibility of a full trial that will compare simple dressings, no dressing and tissue-glue as a dressing. It is examining the overall acceptability of trial participation, identifying opportunities for refinement, testing the feasibility of and validating new outcome tools to assess SSI, wound management issues and patients’ wound symptom experiences. It is also exploring methods for avoiding performance bias and blinding outcome assessors by testing the feasibility of collecting wound photographs taken in theatre immediately after wound closure and, at 4–8 weeks after surgery, taken by participants themselves or their carers. Finally, it is identifying the main cost drivers for an economic evaluation of dressing types. Integrated qualitative research is exploring acceptability and reasons for non-adherence to allocation. Adults undergoing primary elective or unplanned abdominal general surgery or Caesarean section are eligible. The main exclusion criteria are abdominal or other major surgery less than three months before the index operation or contraindication to dressing allocation. The trial is scheduled to recruit for nine months. The findings will be used to inform the design of a main trial.DiscussionThis pilot trial is the first pragmatic study to randomise participants to no dressing or tissue-glue as a dressing versus a simple dressing. Early evidence from the ongoing pilot shows that recruitment is proceeding well and that the interventions are acceptable to participants. Combined with the qualitative findings, the findings will inform whether a main, large trial is feasible and, if so, how it should be designed.Trial registrationISRCTN49328913. Registered on 20 October 2015.
British Journal of Surgery | 2016
Severn; Peninsula Audit; Natalie S Blencowe; Jane M Blazeby; Jenny Donovan; Leila Rooshenas; Daisy Elliott; Rhiannon Macefield; Chris A. Rogers; Helen A Van Der Nelson; Mark Woodward; Gemma Clayton; Lucy Ellis; Robert Longman; Joanna Coast; Sean Strong; Dimitrios Siassakos; Cathy Winter; Tim Draycott; Rachael Gooberman-Hill; Barnaby C Reeves; Helen Talbot
Health Services and Delivery Research | 2017
Gavin J. Murphy; Andrew D Mumford; Chris A. Rogers; Sarah Wordsworth; Elizabeth A. Stokes; Veerle Verheyden; Tracy Kumar; Jessica M Harris; Gemma Clayton; Lucy Ellis; Zoe Plummer; William Dott; Filiberto Serraino; Marcin Wozniak; Tom Morris; Mintu Nath; Jonathan A C Sterne; Gianni D Angelini; Barnaby C Reeves