Luna Bharati

The Indus and the Ganges: river basins under extreme pressure

The basins of the Indus and Ganges rivers cover 2.20 million km2 and are inhabited by more than a billion people. The region is under extreme pressures of population and poverty, unregulated utilization of the resources and low levels of productivity. The needs are: (1) development policies that are regionally differentiated to ensure resource sustainability and high productivity; (2) immediate development and implementation of policies for sound groundwater management and energy use; (3) improvement of the fragile food security and to broaden its base; and (4) policy changes to address land fragmentation and improved infrastructure. Meeting these needs will help to improve productivity, reduce rural poverty and improve overall human development.

The Projected Impact of Climate Change on Water Availability and Development in the Koshi Basin, Nepal

Abstract Water has been identified as a key resource for Nepals economic growth. Although the country has 225 billion cubic meters of water available annually, less than 7% has been utilized. Climate change is a frequent topic in national development discussions in part because of its possible impact on future water availability. This study assessed the likely impact of climate change on water resources development in the Koshi River basin, Nepal, using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool to generate projections for the 2030s and 2050s. Results suggested that the impacts are likely to be scale dependent. Little impact is projected at annual, full-basin scales; but at sub-basin scale, under both the IPCCs A2 and B1 scenarios, precipitation is projected to increase in the upper transmountain subwatersheds in the 2030s and in most of the basin in the 2050s and to decrease in the lower sub-basins in the 2030s. Water yield is projected to increase in most of the basin except for the A2 scenario for the 2030s. Flow volumes are projected to increase during the monsoon and postmonsoon but decrease during the winter and premonsoon seasons. The impacts of climate change are likely to be higher during certain seasons and in some sub-basins. Thus, if infrastructure is in place that makes it possible to store and transfer water as needed, the water deficit due to any changes in rainfall or flow patterns could be managed and would not be a constraint on water resources development. The risks associated with extreme events such as floods and droughts should, however, also be considered during planning.

Including cultural water requirements in environmental flow assessment: an example from the upper Ganga River, India

The rituals of riparian communities are frequently linked to the flow regimes of their river. These dependencies need to be identified, quantified and communicated to policy makers who manage river flows. This paper describes the first attempt to explicitly evaluate the flows required to maintain the cultural and spiritual activities in the upper Ganga River basin. Riparian dwellers and visitors were interviewed and the responses analyzed to obtain an overview of the needs and motivations for cultural flows. The approach enhances the overall concept of environmental flow assessment, especially in river basins where spiritual values ascribed to rivers are high.

Integrated water resources management in Nepal: key stakeholders' perceptions and lessons learned

Integrated water resources management (IWRM) has been prescribed in the global water policy literature for decades. This article looks at how the concept has been applied in Nepal. It highlights the normative approach in IWRM policy formulation, the existing institutional barriers to apply it and how these resulted in the framing of IWRM ‘implementation’ as merely a compilation of donor-funded projects. Current discourse on IWRM highlights the need to shift the emphasis from national policy formulation to local adaptive, pragmatic approaches to IWRM. This article brings to light the need to identify potential entry points to scale up locally rooted water management approaches towards the development of nested institutional set-ups in water resources management.

Impact of planned water resource development on current and future water demand in the Koshi River basin, Nepal

The water resources of the Koshi Basin (87,311 km2) are largely untapped, and while proposals for their development exist, their impacts on current and future water demand are not quantified. The current study is the first to evaluate the impacts of 11 proposed development projects for hydropower generation and water storage. We find that 29,733 GWh of hydropower could be generated annually and 8382 million m3 of water could be stored. This could satisfy unmet demand in the current (660 million m3) basin situation and in future scenarios – i.e. population, agricultural and industrial growth – that are projected to have 920, 970 and 1003 million m3 of unmet demand, respectively, by 2050.

Hydrological impacts of inflow and land-use changes in the Gorai River catchment, Bangladesh

This study looks at the changes in water balance in the Gorai River Catchment in the Bangladesh delta before and after operationalization of Farakka Barrage. Results show that inflow into the catchment has decreased, but major changes in land use within the catchment have also impacted runoff. Model scenarios demonstrate that although increasing inflow from upstream is the most effective method to increase dry season flows into the delta, reduction in cultivation of water-intensive crops would provide an alternative solution.

Farmers’ Adaptation and Regional Land-Use Changes in Irrigation Systems under Fluctuating Water Supply, South India

In closing river basins where nearly all available water is committed to existing uses, downstream irrigation projects are expected to experience water shortages more frequently. Understanding the scope for resilience and adaptation of large surface irrigation systems is vital to the development of management strategies designed to mitigate the impact of river basin closure on food production and the livelihoods of farmers. A multilevel analysis (farm-level surveys and regional assessment through remote-sensing techniques and statistics) of the dynamics of irrigation and land use in the Nagarjuna Sagar project (South India) in times of changing water availability (2000–2006) highlights that during low-flow years, there is large-scale adoption of rainfed or supplementary irrigated crops that have lower land productivity but higher water productivity, and that a large fraction of land is fallowed. Cropping pattern changes during the drought reveal short-term coping strategies rather than long-term evolution...

Past and future variability in the hydrological regime of the Koshi basin, Nepal

Abstract Planning adaptation strategies in response to climate change (CC) can be a daunting task, especially in regions such as the Koshi Basin in the Himalayas, where CC impacts are still uncertain. This paper recommends targeting adaptation strategies by focusing on changes in variability between the past and future climates at smaller scales. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration (IHA) are used for analysis. The results show: (a) higher maximum precipitation during monsoon and post-monsoon, and lower maximum precipitation during winter; (b) increase in precipitation and flows in the Trans-mountain region during all seasons, except for flows during monsoon; (c) increase in post-monsoon precipitation and routed flow volumes; (d) decrease in precipitation during winter and routed flow volumes in all the regions, except the Trans-mountain region; and (e) increase in frequency of high peak flows and decrease in baseflows. Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz Associate editor S. Kanae;

Climate change, out-migration and agrarian stress: the potential for upscaling small-scale water storage in Nepal

The publications in this series cover a wide range of subjects—from computer modeling to experience with water user associations—and vary in content from directly applicable research to more basic studies, on which applied work ultimately depends. Some research reports are narrowly focused, analytical and detailed empirical studies; others are wide-ranging and synthetic overviews of generic problems. Although most of the reports are published by IWMI staff and their collaborators, we welcome contributions from others. Each report is reviewed internally by IWMI staff, and by external reviewers. The reports are published and distributed both in hard copy and electronically (www.iwmi.org) and where possible all data and analyses will be available as separate downloadable files. Reports may be copied freely and cited with due acknowledgment. About IWMI IWMIs mission is to improve the management of land and water resources for food, livelihoods and the environment. In serving this mission, IWMI concentrates on the integration of policies, technologies and management systems to achieve workable solutions to real problems—practical, relevant results in the field of irrigation and water and land resources. Climate change, out-migration and agrarian stress: the potential for upscaling small-scale water storage in Nepal. IWMI encourages the use of its material provided that the organization is acknowledged and kept informed in all such instances. Front cover photograph shows a plastic storage pond and irrigated vegetable cultivation in Moli, Okhaldhunga District, Nepal (photo: Fraser Sugden). Acknowledgements The core part of this study was funded by the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development (Canadian International Development Agency). Invaluable support in data collection was provided by Prabin Ghimire (former consultant with IWMI-Nepal), Pratibha Sapkota (former consultant with IWMI-Nepal) and Ramesh Tamang (IWMI-Nepal). The authors are grateful for the field support provided by local contacts in the study districts including Amrit Magar, Tika Rai and Saroj Bomjan, and would like to thank Rajendra Shrestha, Rajendra Uprety, the field office staff at the Water and Energy Commission Secretariat (WECS) in Chautara, and the Department of Irrigation in Kathmandu, all of whom provided logistical advice and local expertise. The valuable feedback and comments provided by Brady MacCarl (former intern with IWMI-Nepal) and Vladimir Smakhtin (Theme Leader – Water Availability and Access, IWMI) are greatly appreciated. The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) provided future climate projections, which were used in the analysis of climate change. CCAFS also supported the latter part of …

Tackling change: future-proofing water, agriculture, and food security in an era of climate uncertainty

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