M.T. Echeverría

Integrating geospatial information into fire risk assessment

Fire risk assessment should take into account the most relevant components associated to fire occurrence. To estimate when and where the fire will produce undesired effects, we need to model both (a) fire ignition and propagation potential and (b) fire vulnerability. Following these ideas, a comprehensive fire risk assessment system is proposed in this paper,whichmakesextensiveuseofgeographicinformationtechnologiestoofferaspatiallyexplicitevaluationoffirerisk conditions. The paper first describes the conceptual model, then the methods to generate the different input variables, the approachestomergethosevariablesintosyntheticriskindicesandfinallythevalidationoftheoutputs.Themodelhasbeen applied at a national level for the whole Spanish Iberian territory at 1-km 2 spatial resolution. Fire danger included human factors, lightning probability, fuel moisture content of both dead and live fuels and propagation potential. Fire vulnerability was assessed by analysing values-at-risk and landscape resilience. Each input variable included a particular accuracy assessment, whereas the synthetic indices were validated using the most recent fire statistics available. Significant relations (P,0.001) with fire occurrence were found for the main synthetic danger indices, particularly for those associated to fuel moisture content conditions.

Comparative measurements with seven rainfall simulators on uniform bare fallow land

To assess the inflfl uence of rainfall simulator type and plot dimensions on runoff and erosion, seven small portable rainfall simulators from Freiberg, Tubingen, Trier (all Germany), Valencia, Zaragoza (both Spain), Basel (Switzerland) and Wageningen (the Netherlands) were compared on a prepared bare fallow fifi eld. The experiments were carried out during an international rainfall simulator workshop, organized at Trier University (Germany) from 30th of June to 1st of July 2011.The tested rainfall simulators differ in design, rainfall intensities, rain spectra, etc. and represent most of the devices which have been used over the last decade in Europe. The plots for the different rainfall simulators were selected as similar as possible concerning soil physical and chemical properties, aspect and inclination and were chosen to be placed side by side in horizontal direction. Test procedure was standardized in order to examine the inflfl uence of the rainfall simulator andplot dimension only. The results show a clear and consistent relationship in runoff, erosion and infifi ltration behaviour of the different used rainfall simulators. With all the devices total soil loss is measurable, but different plot sizes, intensities and kinetic energies of the simulated rainfall caused differences in soil loss and runoff quantities per unit of area. Regarding course characteristics over runs, similarities could be observed especially in runoff behaviour. The rainfall simulators (> 1 m² plot size) are able to reproduce infifi ltration and interrillerosion processes. With an increase of plot size (≥ 1 m²), rill-erosion will be also reflfl ected. Therefore it can be concluded that up to a certain plot size, the results of the different simulators are comparable and depend in their magnitude on the properties of the applied rainfall. The increase in process complexity with increasing plot size shows, that the scale of the simulation is one of the most important parameters to be taken intoaccount when comparing values of erosion and runoff.

Modelling the Ecological Vulnerability to Forest Fires in Mediterranean Ecosystems Using Geographic Information Technologies

Forest fires represent a major driver of change at the ecosystem and landscape levels in the Mediterranean region. Environmental features and vegetation are key factors to estimate the ecological vulnerability to fire; defined as the degree to which an ecosystem is susceptible to, and unable to cope with, adverse effects of fire (provided a fire occurs). Given the predicted climatic changes for the region, it is urgent to validate spatially explicit tools for assessing this vulnerability in order to support the design of new fire prevention and restoration strategies. This work presents an innovative GIS-based modelling approach to evaluate the ecological vulnerability to fire of an ecosystem, considering its main components (soil and vegetation) and different time scales. The evaluation was structured in three stages: short-term (focussed on soil degradation risk), medium-term (focussed on changes in vegetation), and coupling of the short- and medium-term vulnerabilities. The model was implemented in two regions: Aragón (inland North-eastern Spain) and Valencia (eastern Spain). Maps of the ecological vulnerability to fire were produced at a regional scale. We partially validated the model in a study site combining two complementary approaches that focused on testing the adequacy of model’s predictions in three ecosystems, all very common in fire-prone landscapes of eastern Spain: two shrublands and a pine forest. Both approaches were based on the comparison of model’s predictions with values of NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), which is considered a good proxy for green biomass. Both methods showed that the model’s performance is satisfactory when applied to the three selected vegetation types.

A method for regional-scale assessment of vegetation recovery time after high-severity wildfires Case study of Spain

This study aims to develop a method to estimate the recovery time of plant communities after high-severity wildfires. The designed methodology is based on map algebra and a geographical information system, which enabled calculation of the approximate time required to restore vegetation to conditions similar to pre-fire regarding plant height and canopy cover. The methodology considered, first, the vegetation in the territory, characterized by the structure of the dominant plant community (tree, shrub, or grassland) and its regeneration strategy (resprouter or seeder); and, second, two of the main factors determining recovery time – water availability and soil loss. We also considered the influence of observed rainfall trends over the past 50 years on these latter two factors. The methodology was applied to Spain to test its performance. The results suggest a period of 2 and approximately 100 years for grassland communities and tree communities with low germination, respectively. There are significant differences in plant communities between the two biogeographic regions (Euro-Siberian and Mediterranean) as well as within each community, directly linked to variability in terrain and climatic conditions.

Impact of forest fires in Sub-Mediterranean plant communities : multi-temporary evaluation of the landscape diversity using Landsat TM images

Se analiza el impacto y la evolucion de la estructura del paisaje en un incendio del Prepirineo aragones utilizando 6 imagenes Landsat 5 TM, identificando relaciones entre valores de heterogeneidad espacial y comunidades vegetales. Se extraen los NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), se calcula el indice de Shannon y se cartografia para cada ano. Se definen tres componentes representativos de los valores de diversidad (preincendio, a corto plazo y a medio plazo). Se concluye que a nivel de comunidad vegetal el incendio ha supuesto un incremento de la diversidad interna en algunas comunidades. No obstante, a medio plazo y a escala global el fuego provoca la homogeneizacion del paisaje, tal y como describen otros autores utilizando fuentes de informacion similar.