Malka Avitzour

Mortality in Terrorist Attacks: A Unique Modal of Temporal Death Distribution

BackgroundTerror-related multiple casualty incidents (MCI) in Israel since September 2000 have resulted in a new pattern of injury as a result of the mechanisms of trauma. The objective of this study was to asses the temporal death distribution among the civilian casualties in the Jerusalem vicinity during a 3-year period.MethodsAll terrorist attacks in the Jerusalem district from September 2000 to September 2003 were included in this study. The data of all deaths were processed including the time of the attack, the evacuation time to the hospitals, and the time of death.ResultsDuring the study period 28 terror-related MCI occurred. A total of 2328 victims were injured and 273 died, for an overall fatality rate of 11.7%. A unique temporal death distribution was identified; 82.8% of the deaths occurred immediately, at the scene of the attack (scene death); of the remaining 17.2% of patients who died in the hospital, half died within 4 hours of arrival (immediate death), one quarter within 5–24 hours (early death), and one quarter later than that (late death). The temporal death distribution was significantly different when classifying the mechanism of trauma to suicide bombings versus shooting. The scene mortality was higher in the suicide bombings than in shooting attacks (86.7% versus 77%, P = 0.039 ). In contrast, the mortality within 1–24 hours was higher in the shooting attacks (17% versus 6.3%, P = 0.05).ConclusionsTerror-related MCI occurring in civilian settings have a unique temporal death distribution. A very high scene mortality is seen compared to the classical description of Donald Trunkey1 in 1983. The late deaths, which composed 30% of the mortality in civilian settings, comprise only 4.4% of the total mortality in MCIs. A rough estimate of the in-hospital mortality could be achieved after the first 4 hours, allowing the assessment and distribution of hospital resources. Futile care should be identified early and availability of ICU beds can be calculated according to the immediate mortality.

Intentional injuries among the young: presentation to emergency rooms, hospitalization, and death in Israel

PURPOSE To study the incidence and outcome of intentional injuries requiring emergency room (ER) care among children and adolescents in a national sample. METHOD The population included 0- to 17-year-olds who presented to the ER for injuries in 23 hospitals over a 1-year period. A 6% to 9% random sample of days was selected in each hospital, and for each selected day the relevant ER record was reviewed for cause, nature, and outcome of injuries and sociodemographic information. RESULTS The annual incidence for intentional injuries resulting in ER visits was 19.6 in 10,000 children and adolescents aged 0 to 17 [95% confidence interval (CI) 17.4-21.8 in 10,000]. Fights/assaults constituted 54.1% of the presentations, abuse and rape, 10.3%, and self-inflicted injuries, 10.8%. Overall rates were higher among 10- to 17 year olds than at younger ages. The rates were higher among boys than girls for fights/assaults and abuse, whereas attempted suicide and rape were three times higher among girls than boys. Nearly twice as many Jewish children and adolescents presented to the ER for intentional injuries than Arab children and adolescents, with the ratio becoming even greater for attempted suicide. Of all the intentionally injured, 21.7% were hospitalized. The mortality rate was 1.1 in 100,000 (95% CI =.7-1.7/100,00) with no significant gender difference observed. No cases of suicide were reported for the Arab population. CONCLUSIONS Adolescents aged 10 years and older are at higher risk for intentional injuries than younger children. The ethnic differences evident in this study, especially for attempted and completed suicide, may be real or the result of differential disclosure of information owing to sociocultural norms or differential recording by health professionals.