Marc J.N.C. Keirse
Flinders University
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Featured researches published by Marc J.N.C. Keirse.
BMJ | 2004
Frans M. Helmerhorst; Denise Am Perquin; Diane Donker; Marc J.N.C. Keirse
Abstract Objective To compare the perinatal outcome of singleton and twin pregnancies between natural and assisted conceptions. Design Systematic review of controlled studies published 1985-2002. Studies reviewed 25 studies were included of which 17 had matched and 8 had non-matched controls. Main outcome measures Very preterm birth, preterm birth, very low birth weight, low birth weight, small for gestational age, caesarean section, admission to neonatal intensive care unit, and perinatal mortality. Results For singletons, studies with matched controls indicated a relative risk of 3.27 (95% confidence interval 2.03 to 5.28) for very preterm (< 32 weeks) and 2.04 (1.80 to 2.32) for preterm (< 37 weeks) birth in pregnancies after assisted conception. Relative risks were 3.00 (2.07 to 4.36) for very low birth weight (< 1500 g), 1.70 (1.50 to 1.92) for low birth weight (< 2500 g), 1.40 (1.15 to 1.71) for small for gestational age, 1.54 (1.44 to 1.66) for caesarean section, 1.27 (1.16 to 1.40) for admission to a neonatal intensive care unit, and 1.68 (1.11 to 2.55) for perinatal mortality. Results of the non-matched studies were similar. In matched studies of twin gestations, relative risks were 0.95 (0.78 to 1.15) for very preterm birth, 1.07 (1.02 to 1.13) for preterm birth, 0.89 (0.74 to 1.07) for very low birth weight, 1.03 (0.99 to 1.08) for low birth weight, 1.27 (0.97 to 1.65) for small for gestational age, 1.21 (1.11 to 1.32) for caesarean section, 1.05 (1.01 to 1.09) for admission to a neonatal intensive care unit, and 0.58 (0.44 to 0.77) for perinatal mortality. The non-matched studies mostly showed similar trends. Conclusions Singleton pregnancies from assisted reproduction have a significantly worse perinatal outcome than non-assisted singleton pregnancies, but this is less so for twin pregnancies. In twin pregnancies, perinatal mortality is about 40% lower after assisted compared with natural conception.
BMJ | 1996
T A Wiegers; Marc J.N.C. Keirse; J van der Zee; G A H Berghs
Abstract Objective: To investigate the relation between the intended place of birth (home or hospital) and perinatal outcome in women with low risk pregnancies after controlling for parity and social, medical, and obstetric background. Design: Analysis of prospective data from midwives and their clients. Setting: 54 midwifery practices in the province of Gelderland, Netherlands. Subjects: 97 midwives and 1836 women with low risk pregnancies who had planned to give birth at home or in hospital. Main outcome measure: Perinatal outcome index based on “maximal result with minimal intervention” and incorporating 22 items on childbirth, 9 on the condition of the newborn, and 5 on the mother after the birth. Results: There was no relation between the planned place of birth and perinatal outcome in primiparous women when controlling for a favourable or less favourable background. In multiparous women, perinatal outcome was significantly better for planned home births than for planned hospital births, with or without control for background variables. Conclusions: The outcome of planned home births is at least as good as that of planned hospital births in women at low risk receiving midwifery care in the Netherlands.
BMJ | 1998
Hilda Bastian; Marc J.N.C. Keirse; Paul A. L. Lancaster
abstract Objective : To assess the risk of perinatal death in planned home births in Australia. Design : Comparison of data on planned home births during 1985-90, notified to Homebirth Australia, with national data on perinatal deaths and outcomes of home births internationally. Results : 50 perinatal deaths occurred in 7002 planned home births in Australia during 1985-90: 7.1 per 1000 (95% confidence interval 5.2 to 9.1) according to Australian definitions and 6.4 per 1000 (4.6 to 8.3) according to World Health Organisation definitions. The perinatal death rate in infants weighing more than 2500 g was higher than the national average (5.7 versus 3.6 per 1000: relative risk 1.6; 1.1 to 2.4) as were intrapartum deaths not due to malformations or immaturity (2.7 versus 0.9 per 1000: 3.0; 1.9 to 4.8). More than half (52%) of the deaths were associated with intrapartum asphyxia. Conclusions : Australian home births carried a high death rate compared with both all Australian births and home births elsewhere. The two largest contributors to the excess mortality were underestimation of the risks associated with post-term birth, twin pregnancy and breech presentation, and a lack of response to fetal distress.
American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology | 1999
Jeroen E. van de Riet; Frank P.H.A. Vandenbussche; Saskia Le Cessie; Marc J.N.C. Keirse
The medical literature was searched for publications between 1966 and September 1997 for data on the association of Apgar score, umbilical blood pH, or Sarnat grading of encephalopathy with long-term adverse outcome. Odds ratios for these associations were combined to calculate common odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. Our search identified abstracts of 1312 studies and 81 articles with sufficient numeric data to formulate contingency tables. Forty-two of these qualified for inclusion in our meta-analysis. The strongest associations in the prediction of neonatal death were found by comparing umbilical artery pH <7 with pH >/=7 (common odds ratio 43; 95% confidence interval 15-124) and by comparing Sarnat grade III with grade II (common odds ratio 24; 95% confidence interval 13-45). In the prediction of cerebral palsy, the strongest associations were found for Sarnat grade III versus grade II (common odds ratio 20; 95% confidence interval 6-70) and for 20-minute Apgar score 0 to 3 versus 4 to 6 (common odds ratio 15; 95% confidence interval 5-50).
Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology | 2009
Marc J.N.C. Keirse; Myriam Hanssens; Hugo Devlieger
Changes in the preterm birth rate have been attributed predominantly to increases in multiple pregnancies, associated with advanced maternal age and assisted reproduction, and to obstetric intervention. We examined their contribution to the frequencies of preterm (<37 weeks), very preterm (<32 weeks) and severely preterm (<28 weeks) birth among 700 383 singleton and twin births in Flanders from 1991 to 2002. We examined changes across four 3-year periods (triennia) with confidence interval [CI] analysis and yearly incremental rates using linear and logistic regression analyses. Over the 12 years, twin pregnancies increased from 1.5% to 2.0%, averaging 1.6% [95% CI 1.54, 1.66] in 1991-93 and 1.9% [95% CI 1.81, 1.94] in 2000-02 (P < 0.001). The proportion of women aged 35 years or more increased from 6.8% [95% CI 6.69, 6.92] in 1991-93 to 11.3% [95% CI 11.2, 11.5] in 2000-02 (P < 0.001) and those aged under 20 from 1.9% [95% CI 1.81, 1.93] to 2.3% [95% CI 2.26, 2.41] (P < 0.001). Assisted reproduction increased from 2.6% [95% CI 2.48, 2.62] to 4.2% [95% CI 4.11, 4.30] (P < 0.001) and obstetric intervention to end pregnancy from 36.2% [95% CI 36.0, 36.4] to 40.3% [95% CI 40.1, 40.6] (P < 0.001). These increases related to an annual increase of 0.23% in the preterm birth rate from 5.5% [95% CI 5.4, 5.6] in 1991-93 to 7.2% [95% CI 7.1, 7.3] in 2000-02 (P < 0.001). The proportions of very and severely preterm births also increased by nearly a third, but their contribution to the total preterm birth rate remained stable at 15% and 5%, respectively. Odds ratios for the increases per year were 1.035 [95% CI 1.032, 1.038] for preterm birth, 1.024 [95% CI 1.018, 1.031] for very preterm and 1.028 [95% CI 1.017, 1.040] for severely preterm births after adjusting for other changes in the population. Overall, the data show, first, marked increases in the frequency of known contributors to the preterm birth rate, including twin pregnancies, advanced maternal age, assisted reproduction and obstetric intervention. Second, the preterm birth rate further increased significantly within subgroups of women with one or more of these characteristics. Third, the preterm birth rate also rose, from 4.4% [95% CI 4.2, 4.5] in 1991-93 to 5.6% [95% CI 5.5, 5.8] in 2000-02 (P < 0.001), in women with none of these contributing factors. This indicates that changes in the frequency of these known predictors are insufficient to explain the steady increase in preterm, very preterm and severely preterm births over more than a decade.
British Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology | 2003
Marc J.N.C. Keirse
In 1950, the World Health Organisation (WHO) defined prematurity as a birthweight of 2500 g or less and in 1961 as a gestational age of less than 37 weeks. The time in between marks an era in which there was growing recognition of the importance of gestational age at birth and how to influence it. The latter was facilitated too by the development of tocography, which permitted some semi‐objective measurement of uterine contractility. Along with it, came a growing interest in agents that could control uterine contractility beyond the earlier classical approaches of hormones and gastrointestinal spasmolytics. Hence, the early 1960s saw much research interest in agents, such as nylidrine, isoxsuprine, and orciprenaline that could suppress uterine contractility as one of their many beta‐agonist properties. Subsequently, two approaches would be used to shift the balance towards uterine function over and above the influence on other bodily functions. One consisted of supplementing these drugs with agents, such as calcium antagonists and beta‐receptor blockers that were hoped to suppress non‐uterine actions. The other was a search for drugs in the same class with greater uterospecificity and more selective binding to uterine as opposed to other receptors. Neither of these approaches has ever fully fulfilled the hopes that were pinned on them, but they resulted in the availability of a large number of agents to suppress uterine contractility. The advent of prostaglandins as regulators of uterine contractility and the ability to suppress their biosynthesis saw another range of attempts to suppress uterine activity. They included aspirin, sodium salicylate, flufenamic acid, sulindac and indomethacin, but some were clearly based on a defective understanding of how uterine prostaglandin synthesis can be influenced. In the meantime, a flurry of other agents came and went, often more than once, testifying to the ingenuity of clinicians in trying to solve a problem that is poorly understood. Some, such as relaxin and ethanol, came and disappeared. Others, such as calcium antagonists, entered the scene as protectors against the non‐uterine effects of other agents, went, and re‐entered the scene in their own right. Still others, such as magnesium sulphate, came, lingered around, and became credited with effects in preterm labour that do not depend on affecting uterine contractility. Amidst this all arose the term tocolysis, coined in 1964 by Mosler from the Greek stems ‘τκζ’ and ‘λυɛιν’, to epitomise all of this ingenuity.
Clinical Obstetrics and Gynecology | 2006
Marc J.N.C. Keirse
Prostaglandin (PG) E2 has superseded all other natural prostaglandins for induction of labor and pre-induction cervical ripening. This evolution and its rationale are briefly described. PGE2 has been administered intravenously, orally, vaginally, endocervically, and extra-amniotically for induction of labor. All of these, except the intravenous route, have also been explored for pre-induction cervical ripening. The distinction between formal induction and pre-induction is not always clearly made with many studies pursuing both goals at once. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of PGE2 to achieve ripening and induction is currently beyond doubt. In women with unfavorable induction prospects PGE2 results in lower rates of failed induction and higher rates of delivery within a reasonable interval than amniotomy and/or oxytocin. This also applies to women with prelabor rupture of the membranes, but the relative advantages of PGE2 over traditional methods are less clear for women with a favorable cervix. Vaginal administration of PGE2 has superseded virtually all other routes of PGE2 administration except the endocervical route, which tends to give variable results depending on spillage from the endocervical canal. Doses and formulations of vaginal PGE2 with various gels, tablets, pessaries and slow release inserts have varied widely and continue to do so. There is currently no evidence for the superiority of one PGE2 preparation over another.
Birth-issues in Perinatal Care | 1995
Murray Enkin; Marc J.N.C. Keirse; Mary J. Renfrew; James Neilson
Evidence about the effects of care practices is not a sufficient guide to the most appropriate care. Those who provide care, who receive care, who advocate care, or who pay for care must choose on the basis of many factors: personal experience, personal preference, personal values, availability of resources and facilities, and a myriad of other considerations, among which knowledge of the effects of care is certainly important. This knowledge is essential for choices to be properly informed. The most reliable evidence about the effects of care is provided by randomized controlled trials. Unfortunately, this evidence is not readily accessible. It is scattered through a large number of journals throughout the world, and is hidden among a mass of weak, inadequate, and sometimes frankly misleading studies. Those who wish to use all the valid evidence must rely on properly prepared, up-to-date, systematic reviews. The Cochrane Collaboration has taken on the task of preparing, maintaining, and disseminating reviews of randomized trials of health care, published electronically as the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. The reviews are provided by a number of Collaborative Review Groups, and the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Database is the first specialty database to appear. It is regularly updated to incorporate data that have become available since the previous issue.
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology | 2009
Paulette Maroun; Michael Cooper; Geoffrey D. Reid; Marc J.N.C. Keirse
Background: Endometriosis commonly presents with a range of symptoms none of which are particularly specific for the condition, often resulting in misdiagnosis or delay in diagnosis.
Journal of Minimally Invasive Gynecology | 2013
Nicholas D. Bedford; Elvis I. Seman; Robert T. O’Shea; Marc J.N.C. Keirse
STUDY OBJECTIVEnTo compare the objective outcome of laparoscopic uterosacral hysteropexy with that of hysterectomy combined with laparoscopic uterosacral colpopexy.nnnDESIGNnRetrospective cohort study, 1999-2010 (Canadian Task Force classification II-2).nnnSETTINGnUniversity hospital in South Australia.nnnPATIENTSnWomen with uterovaginal prolapse who had undergone laparoscopic uterosacral hysteropexy (nxa0=xa0104) or laparovaginal hysterectomy with uterosacral colpopexy (nxa0=xa0160). Apical suspension procedures were subdivided into prophylactic (Pelvic Organ Prolapse Quantification System [POP-Q] stage 1 apical descent, with stage ≥2 prolapse in anxa0adjacent compartment) and therapeutic (POP-Q stage ≥2 apical descent, with or without adjacent compartment prolapse).nnnINTERVENTIONSnAll patients were assessed via POP-Q scoring preoperatively and postoperatively at 6 weeks, 6 months, annually, and then biannually. Recurrence of bulge symptoms and need for repeat treatment were recorded.nnnMEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTSnDemographic data, preoperative degree of prolapse, and percentages of prophylactic and therapeutic procedures were similar in both groups. With a median follow-up of 2.5 years, objective success rates (POP-Q stage <2 in all compartments) for uterosacral hysteropexy were 53% for prophylactic procedures and 41% for therapeutic procedures, and for hysterectomy with uterosacral colpopexy were 66% for prophylactic procedures and 59% for therapeutic procedures. Repeat operation rates overall were 28% for hysteropexy and 21% for hysterectomy with colpopexy. Failures at the apex specifically were 27% for hysteropexy and 11% for hysterectomy with colpopexy (pxa0<xa0.02).nnnCONCLUSIONnHysterectomy with laparoscopic uterosacral colpopexy produced better objective success rates than did laparoscopic uterosacral hysteropexy; however, repeat operation rates were not significantly different.