Marco Senzolo

A systematic review of the performance of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in the setting of liver transplantation.

The Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is now used for allocation in liver transplantation (LT) waiting lists, replacing the Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh (CTP) score. However, there is debate as whether it is superior to CTP score to predict mortality in patients with cirrhosis on the LT waiting list and after LT. We reviewed studies comparing the accuracy of MELD vs. CTP score in transplantation settings. We found that in studies of the LT waiting list (12,532 patients with cirrhosis), only 4 of 11 showed MELD to be superior to CTP in predicting short‐term (3‐month) mortality. In addition, 2 of 3 studies (n = 1,679) evaluating the changes in MELD score (ΔMELD) showed that ΔMELD had better prediction for mortality than the baseline MELD score. The impact of MELD on post‐LT mortality was assessed in 15 studies (20,456 patients); only 6 (9,522 patients) evaluated the discriminative ability of MELD score using the concordance (c) statistic (the MELD score had always a c‐statistic < 0.70). In 11 studies (19,311 patients), high MELD score indicated poor post‐LT mortality for cutoff values of 24‐40 points. In re‐LT patients, 2 of 4 studies evaluated the discriminative ability of MELD score on post‐LT mortality. Finally, several studies have shown that the predictive ability of MELD score increases by adding clinical variables (hepatic encephalopathy, ascites) or laboratory (sodium) parameters. On the basis of the current literature, MELD score does not perform better than the CTP score for patients with cirrhosis on the waiting list and cannot predict post‐LT mortality. Liver Transpl 12:1049–1061, 2006.

Hemostasis and thrombosis in patients with liver disease: The ups and downs

Patients with chronic or acute liver failure frequently show profound abnormalities in their hemostatic system. Whereas routine laboratory tests of hemostasis suggest these hemostatic alterations result in a bleeding diathesis, accumulating evidence from both clinical and laboratory studies suggest that the situation is more complex. The average patient with liver failure may be in hemostatic balance despite prolonged routine coagulation tests, since both pro- and antihemostatic factors are affected, the latter of which are not well reflected in routine coagulation testing. However, this balance may easily tip towards a hypo- or hypercoagulable situation. Indeed, patients with liver disease may encounter both hemostasis-related bleeding episodes as well as thrombotic events. During the 3rd International Symposium on Coagulopathy and Liver disease, held in Groningen, The Netherlands (18-19 September 2009), a multidisciplinary panel of experts critically reviewed the current data concerning pathophysiology and clinical consequences of hemostatic disorders in patients with liver disease. Highlights of this symposium are summarized in this review.

Risk factors, sequential organ failure assessment and model for end-stage liver disease scores for predicting short term mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted to intensive care unit.

Background  Prognostic scores in an intensive care unit (ICU) evaluate outcomes, but derive from cohorts containing few cirrhotic patients.

A Systematic Review of the Quality of Liver Biopsy Specimens

Characteristics for an optimal liver biopsy specimen were recently defined as 20 to 25 mm long and/or containing more than 11 complete portal tracts (CPTs). A systematic review of percutaneous liver biopsy (PLB) and transjugular liver biopsy (TJLB) series yielded only 32 PLB studies in which these characteristics were evaluated: mean +/- SD length, 17.7 +/- 5.8 mm and number of CPTs, 7.5 +/- 3.4; and 15 TJLB studies: mean +/- SD length, 13.5 +/- 4.5 mm and number of CPTs, 6.8 +/- 2.3. Studies of sampling heterogeneity and intraobserver and interobserver variability also used inadequate specimens by present standards. Only 11 (5.3%) of 207 therapeutic studies for chronic hepatitis B and C documented length and/or number of CPTs. Of the current 12 studies evaluating noninvasive fibrosis tests, only 8 documented length or number of CPTs, and only 1 documented length and number of CPTs. New studies are needed based on adequate liver biopsy samples to provide reliable estimation of grading and staging in chronic liver disease.

Prospective evaluation of anticoagulation and transjugular intrahepatic portosistemic shunt for the management of portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis

There is no established management algorithm for portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in cirrhotic patients. The aim of our study was to prospectively evaluate anticoagulation and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) to treat PVT.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt for portal vein thrombosis with and without cavernous transformation

Treatment options for patients with portal vein thrombosis are limited.

Systematic review: portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis

Aliment Pharmacol Ther 31, 366‐374

β‐Blockers protect against spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients: a meta‐analysis

Introduction: Bacterial infections have been hypothetized to be a trigger of variceal bleeding in cirrhotic patients and β‐blockers may have a protective effect by decreasing bacterial translocation, reducing portal pressure. The aim of our study was to evaluate the possible role of β‐blockers in preventing spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in patients with liver cirrhosis and ascites.

Review article: scoring systems for assessing prognosis in critically ill adult cirrhotics

Cirrhotic patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) still have poor outcomes. Some current ICU prognostic models [Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE), Organ System Failure (OSF) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA)] were used to stratify cirrhotics into risk categories, but few cirrhotics were included in the original model development. Liver‐specific scores [Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh (CTP) and model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD)] could be useful in this setting.

Liver transplantation for acute liver failure in Europe: Outcomes over 20 years from the ELTR database

BACKGROUND & AIMS Liver transplantation for acute liver failure (ALF) still has a high early mortality. We evaluated changes during 20 years, and identified risk factors for poor outcome. METHODS Donor, graft, and recipient variables from the European Liver Transplant Registry database (January 1988-June 2009), were analysed. Aetiologies and time periods were compared. Three and 12-month survival models were generated from separate training data sets, which were validated. A sub-analysis was performed for recipient older than 50 years. RESULTS Four thousand nine hundred and three patients were evaluated. One, 5- and 10-year patient, and graft survival rates were 74%, 68%, 63%, and 63%, 57%, 50%, respectively. Survival was better in 2004-2009 compared to previous quinquennia (p<0.001), despite donors >60 years increased from 1.8% to 21%. A higher incidence of suicide or non-adherence occurred in paracetamol-related ALF (p<0.001). Death or graft loss were independently associated with male recipients (adjusted OR 1.25), recipient >50 years (1.26), incompatible ABO matching (1.93), donors >60 years (1.21), and reduced size graft (1.54). For both 3- and 12-month models, incompatible ABO matching, non-viral aetiology, reduced size graft, and non-UW preservation fluid were associated with increased mortality/graft loss, whereas male recipients and age >50 years were associated only at 12 months. Both models had reasonable discriminative ability with good calibration at 3 months. Recipients >50 years, combined with donors >60 years resulted in 57% mortality/graft loss within the first year. CONCLUSIONS Survival after liver transplantation has improved despite increases in donor/recipient age. Recipients >50 years paired with donors >60 years had a very high mortality/graft loss within the first year.