Maria Baturova

Predictors of new onset atrial fibrillation during 10-year follow-up after first-ever ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) may be underdiagnosed in ischemic stroke patients but may be pivotal for initiation of oral anticoagulation therapy. We assessed clinical and ECG predictors of new-onset AF during 10-year follow-up (FU) in ischemic stroke patients. METHODS The study sample comprised of 227 first-ever ischemic stroke patients without AF (median age 73, interquartile range 25%-75% 63-80years, 92 female) and 1:1 age- and gender-matched controls without stroke and AF enrolled in the Lund Stroke Register from March 2001 to February 2002. New-onset AF during FU was assessed by screening through regional ECG database and by record linkage with Swedish National Patient Register. The standard 12-lead sinus rhythm ECGs at stroke admission were retrieved from electronic database and digitally processed. Clinical baseline characteristics were studied using medical records. RESULTS During FU, AF was found in 39 stroke patients and 30 controls, p=0.296. In stroke patients in multivariate Cox regression analysis AF was associated with hypertension (HR 3.45 CI 95% 1.40-3.49, p=0.007) and QRS duration (HR 1.02 CI 95% 1.00-1.03, p=0.049). High cardiovascular risk was predictive for AF development: for CHADS2≥4 HR 2.46 CI 95% 1.45-4.18, p=0.001 and for CHA2DS2-VASc≥5 HR 2.29 CI 95% 1.43-3.68, p=0.001. New onset AF was not associated with baseline ischemic stroke: HR 1.46 95% CI 0.90-2.35, p=0.121. CONCLUSION High CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, but not baseline ischemic stroke, predict new onset AF in FU. QRS duration might be considered a potential risk marker for prediction of AF after ischemic stroke.

Atrial fibrillation in patients with ischaemic stroke in the Swedish national patient registers: how much do we miss?

AIMS Data from national discharge registers are commonly used to estimate prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in epidemiology studies. However, sensitivity and specificity of register-based AF diagnosis have not been evaluated. We sought to assess the validity of AF diagnosis in the Swedish Patient Register against electrocardiography (ECG) documentation of AF. METHODS AND RESULTS The study sample comprised of 336 patients [median age 76 (interquartile range (IQR) 67-82 years, 136 female] with first-ever ischaemic stroke, enroled in the Lund Stroke Register from March 2001 to February 2002 and 1 : 1 age- and gender-matched control subjects without stroke from the population register. Data was exported from the patient register in October 2011 (the end of follow-up). Atrial fibrillation documentation by ECG was assessed using an electronic archive containing all ECGs taken in the hospital catchment area starting in 1988. A total of 7247 ECGs were reviewed, with the median number of ECGs per person being 7.5 (IQR 3-15). Atrial fibrillation was detected by ECG in 190 patients; and in 188 patients by linkage with patient register. In most patients, AF was documented first by ECG data, with median time to register diagnosis being 16 days (IQR 3-859). Specificity of AF diagnosis in the Swedish Patient Register was 93%, sensitivity was 80%. CONCLUSION Despite the high specificity, AF diagnosis in the Swedish Patient Register assessed in the population of ischaemic stroke patients and age- and gender-matched control subjects has modest sensitivity, which may result in underestimating prevalent and incident AF cases if only register data are used for identification of subjects with AF in epidemiology studies.

Documentation of atrial fibrillation prior to first-ever ischemic stroke.

We assessed the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) prior to first‐ever ischemic stroke by examining a comprehensive electronic ECG archive.

Secondary prevention and lifestyle indices after stroke in a long‐term perspective

To describe the long‐term perspective regarding prevalence of risk factors, secondary stroke prevention, and lifestyle indices after stroke.

Usefulness of Electrocardiographic Left Atrial Abnormality to Predict Response to Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy in Patients With Mild Heart Failure and Left Bundle Branch Block (a Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial with Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Substudy)

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has proven prognostic benefits in patients with heart failure (HF) with left bundle branch block (LBBB) QRS morphology. Electrocardiographic left atrial (LA) abnormality has been proposed as a noninvasive marker of atrial remodeling. We aimed to assess the impact of electrocardiographic LA abnormality for prognosis in patients with HF treated with CRT. Baseline resting 12-lead electrocardiograms recorded from 941 patients enrolled in the CRT arm of the Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial with Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy was processed automatically using Glasgow algorithm, which included automated assessment of P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTF-V1) as a marker of LA abnormality. A PTF-V1 of ≥0.04 mm⋅s was considered abnormal. The primary end point was HF event and/or death. Total mortality and appropriate defibrillator therapies were the secondary end points. At baseline 550, patients treated with CRT with a defibrillator had LBBB QRS morphology and normal PTF-V1. Normal PTF-V1 was associated with significant risk reduction for all assessed end points and for the primary end point comprised a hazard ratio of 0.55 (95% confidence interval 0.36 to 0.84) compared with patients with LBBB with abnormal PTF-V1 (n = 120), and a hazard ratio of 0.42 (95% confidence interval 0.32 to 0.55) compared with patients with implanted defibrillator (n = 729). In CRT-treated patients with HF, electrocardiographic LA abnormality appears to be an electrocardiographic indicator of poor long-term outcome in patients with LBBB. In conclusion, our data suggest that PTF-V1 bears additive prognostic information in the context of CRT, thus further strengthening the role of electrocardiographic diagnostics in risk stratification of patients with HF.

Non-permanent atrial fibrillation and oral anticoagulant therapy are related to survival during 10years after first-ever ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) detection in ischemic stroke patients triggers initiation of oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC). However, little is known regarding whether the persistency of AF affects long-term prognosis after ischemic stroke. We aimed to assess the impact of AF types and OAC on the outcome during a 10-year follow-up (FU) after first-ever ischemic stroke. MATERIAL AND METHODS The study sample comprised 336 first-ever ischemic stroke patients (median age 76, interquartile range 25-75% (IQR) 67-82years, 136 female) included in the Lund Stroke Register (LSR) in 2001-2002. At baseline, 109 patients had either permanent (n=44) or recurrent (n=65) AF. OAC was assessed using the Lund University Hospital anticoagulation database. All-cause mortality was assessed via linkage with the Swedish Causes of Death Register. RESULTS During FU, 200 patients died. AF independently predicted all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.52 95% CI 1.14-2.04, p=0.005); the worst prognosis was observed for permanent AF (HR 1.86 95% CI 1.29-2.69, p=0.001). Patients with recurrent AF receiving OAC had similar survival rates to patients without AF (HR 0.73 95% CI 0.38-1.39, p=0.333), while prognosis was worst for patients with permanent AF without OAC (HR 2.28 95% CI 1.38-3.77, p=0.001) and intermediate for patients with permanent AF on OAC (HR 1.57 95% CI 0.92-2.67, p=0.099). CONCLUSION All-cause mortality was independently associated with AF and was the greatest in stroke patients with permanent AF. Patients with recurrent AF receiving OAC have the most favorable outcome, similar to those without AF and significantly better than OAC-treated patients with permanent AF.