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Dive into the research topics where Maria de Lourdes Centeno is active.

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Featured researches published by Maria de Lourdes Centeno.


Insurance Mathematics & Economics | 2002

Measuring the effects of reinsurance by the adjustment coefficient in the Sparre Anderson model

Maria de Lourdes Centeno

We study the insurer’s adjustment coefficient as a function of retention levels for combinations of quota-share with excess of loss reinsurance in the Sparre Anderson (1957) model. We show that the insurer’s adjustment coefficient is a unimodal function of the retention levels when the quota-share reinsurance premium is calculated on original terms and when the excess of loss premium is calculated according to the expected value principle.


Astin Bulletin | 2010

Optimal Reinsurance for Variance Related Premium Calculation Principles

Manuel Guerra; Maria de Lourdes Centeno

This paper deals with numerical computation of the optimal form of reinsurance from the ceding company point of view, when the cedent seeks to maximize the adjustment coefficient of the retained risk and the reinsurance loading is an increasing function of the variance. We compare the optimal treaty with the best stop loss policy. The optimal arrangement can provide a significant improvement in the adjustment coefficient when compared to the best stop loss treaty. Further, it is substantially more robust with respect to choice of the retention level than stop-loss treaties.


Insurance Mathematics & Economics | 2002

Excess of loss reinsurance and Gerber’s inequality in the Sparre Anderson model

Maria de Lourdes Centeno

Abstract Assuming that the reinsurance premium is calculated according to the expected value principle we study an upper bound for the probability of ruin in finite horizon, as function of the excess of loss retention limit. The upper bound used is an extension proved by Grandell [Aspects of Risk Theory, Springer, New York, 1991] of Gerber’s bound, see Gerber [Martingales in risk theory, Mitteilungen der Vereinigung Schweizerischer Versicherungsmathematiker, 1973, pp. 205–216], for the Sparre Anderson model [On the collective theory of risk in the case of contagious between the claims, in: Proceedings of the Transactions on XV International Congress of Actuaries, New York, 1957].


Insurance Mathematics & Economics | 2001

Bonus systems in an open portfolio

Maria de Lourdes Centeno; João Manuel Andrade e Silva

Abstract In this paper, we study bonus systems in an open portfolio, i.e. we consider that a policyholder can transfer his policy to a different insurance company at any time. We make use of inhomogeneous Markov chains to model the system and show, under reasonable assumptions, that the stationary distribution is independent of the market shares, and is easily calculated.


Astin Bulletin | 1997

Excess of Loss Reinsurance and the Probability of Ruin in Finite Horizon

Maria de Lourdes Centeno

The upper bound provided by Lundbergs inequahty can be improved for the probablhty of rum in fimte horizon, as Gerber (1979) has shown This paper studies this upper bound as a functmon of the retention hmH, for an excess of loss arrangement, and compares it with the probability of ruin


Astin Bulletin | 1998

Comparing Risk Adjusted Premiums from the Reinsurance Point of View

João Manuel Andrade e Silva; Maria de Lourdes Centeno

In this paper we compare, from the point of view of reinsurance, the several risk adjusted premium calculation principles considered in Wang (1996b). We conclude that, with the exception of the proportional hazard (PH) premium calculation principle, all the others behave in a way similar to the expected value principle. We prove that the stop loss reinsurance premium when calculated using the PH premium principle gives a higher premium than any of the other transforms, provided that the priority is big enough. We observe a similar behaviour with respect to excess of loss reinsurance in all the examples given. We also study the behaviour of the adjustment coefficient, both from the insurers and the reinsurers point of view as functions of the priority, when the PH principle is used as opposed to the expected value principle.


Scandinavian Actuarial Journal | 2002

Optimal Bonus Scales Under Path-Dependent Bonus Rules

Maria de Lourdes Centeno; Silva João Manuel Andrade E

Bonus malus systems have been studied by several authors under the framework of Markov chains. Optimal scales have been deduced by Norberg (1976), Borgan, Hoem & Norberg (1981) and Gilde & Sundt (1989). In these articles the authors assumed that the bonus system forms a first order Markov chain. In the present paper we deduce the optimal scales, using the same criteria as in the cited papers, for bonus systems that are not first order Markovian processes, but that can be regarded as Markovian by increasing the number of states of the system.Bonus malus systems have been studied by several authors under the framework of Markov chains. Optimal scales have been deduced by Norberg (1976), Borgan, Hoem & Norberg (1981) and Gilde & Sundt (1989). In these articles the authors assumed that the bonus system forms a first order Markov chain. In the present paper we deduce the optimal scales, using the same criteria as in the cited papers, for bonus systems that are not first order Markovian processes, but that can be regarded as Markovian by increasing the number of states of the system.


Journal of Risk and Insurance | 2003

Bootstrap Methodology in Claim Reserving

Paulo J. R. Pinheiro; João Manuel Andrade e Silva; Maria de Lourdes Centeno


Insurance Mathematics & Economics | 2008

Optimal reinsurance policy: The adjustment coefficient and the expected utility criteria

Manuel Guerra; Maria de Lourdes Centeno


Insurance Mathematics & Economics | 2005

Dependent risks and excess of loss reinsurance

Maria de Lourdes Centeno

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Paulo J. R. Pinheiro

Technical University of Lisbon

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