Marit M. Suttorp

Association between Busulfan Exposure and Outcome in Children Receiving Intravenous Busulfan before Hematologic Stem Cell Transplantation

Busulfan, combined with therapeutic drug monitoring-guided dosing, is associated with higher event-free survival (EFS) rates due to fewer graft failures/relapses and lower toxicity. The optimal target area under the curve (AUC) and dosing schedule of intravenous busulfan in children undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) remain unclear, however. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the association between busulfan exposure and clinical outcome in 102 children age 0.2 to 21 years who received busulfan 1 or 4 times daily before undergoing HSCT (46 malignant and 56 nonmalignant indications). EFS and overall survival after a median of 2 years of follow-up were 68% and 72%, respectively. EFS was optimal when the exposure of busulfan (AUC) was 78 mg x h/L (95% confidence interval=74 to 82 mg x h/L). Acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) grade II-IV occurred more frequently with greater busulfan exposure. The addition of melphalan was an independent risk factor; melphalan use combined with high busulfan exposure (AUC >74 mg x h/L) was associated with high incidences of aGVHD (58%), veno-occlusive disease (66%), and mucositis grade III-IV (26%). Dosing frequency (1 or 4 times daily) was not related to any outcome. In conclusion, dose targeting of busulfan to a narrow therapeutic range was found to increase EFS in children. Adding melphalan to optimal busulfan exposure is associated with a high incidence of toxicity.

Graphical presentation of confounding in directed acyclic graphs

Since confounding obscures the real effect of the exposure, it is important to adequately address confounding for making valid causal inferences from observational data. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are visual representations of causal assumptions that are increasingly used in modern epidemiology. They can help to identify the presence of confounding for the causal question at hand. This structured approach serves as a visual aid in the scientific discussion by making underlying relations explicit. This article explains the basic concepts of DAGs and provides examples in the field of nephrology with and without presence of confounding. Ultimately, these examples will show that DAGs can be preferable to the traditional methods to identify sources of confounding, especially in complex research questions.

Treatment with high dose of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents and mortality: analysis with a sequential Cox approach and a marginal structural model

Anemia‐correction trials indicated higher mortality rates in chronic kidney disease patients assigned to higher hemoglobin targets. The safety of the high erythropoiesis‐stimulating agent (ESA) doses that these patients received has therefore been questioned. However, no trial that directly compares treatment with different ESA doses has been published. We thus aimed to estimate the effect of high ESA dose on mortality in an observational cohort of dialysis patients.

The association between dialysis modality and the risk for dialysis technique and non-dialysis technique-related infections

BACKGROUND Infections are a major cause of morbidity and mortality among dialysis patients. Dialysis modality has been hypothesized to be a potential immunomodulatory factor. The objective of this study was to determine the influence of the first dialysis modality on the risk for infections on dialysis. METHODS Our study was conducted utilizing the Netherlands Cooperative Study on the Adequacy of Dialysis (NECOSAD) cohort of incident dialysis patients. Medical records of all patients from two tertiary care university hospitals and three regional hospitals were reviewed using pre-specified criteria. Information about infections was collected from the start of dialysis until death, modality switch, study withdrawal, kidney transplantation or at the end of the study. Age-standardized incidence rates for infections were calculated. Poisson regression analysis was used to calculate adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs). RESULTS In total, 452 patients, of whom 285 started with haemodialysis (HD) and 167 with peritoneal dialysis (PD), were included. The median follow-up time on the first dialysis modality was similar for HD and PD, 1.8 and 2.0 dialysis years, respectively. During the first 6 months, the age-standardized infection incidence rate was higher on HD compared with PD patients (P = 0.02). Overall, PD patients had a higher infection risk [adjusted IRR: 1.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.34-2.03], which could be attributed to a 4-fold increased risk for dialysis technique-related infections. The risk for non-dialysis technique-related infections was lower in PD patients (adjusted IRR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.40-0.79). CONCLUSIONS Overall, PD patients carry a higher risk for infections. Interestingly, the risk for non-dialysis technique-related infections was higher in HD patients. The links between dialysis modality and the immune system are expected to explain this difference, but future studies are needed to test these assumptions.

Effect of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents on blood pressure in pre-dialysis patients.

Introduction Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents (ESA) are hypothesized to increase cardiovascular mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease. One of the proposed mechanisms is the elevation of blood pressure (BP) by ESA. Therefore, we aimed to determine whether the use of ESA was associated with antihypertensive treatment and higher BP. Materials and Methods In this cohort 502 incident pre-dialysis patients were included who started specialized pre-dialysis care in 25 clinics in the Netherlands. Data on medication including ESA use and dose, co-morbidities and BP were routinely collected every 6 months. Antihypertensive treatment and BP were compared for patients with and without ESA at baseline. Differences in antihypertensive medication and BP during pre-dialysis care were estimated with linear mixed models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Results At baseline, 95.6% of patients with ESA were treated with antihypertensive medication and 73.1% of patients without ESA. No relevant difference in BP was found. During pre-dialysis care patients with ESA used 0.77 (95% CI 0.63;0.91) more classes of antihypertensive drugs. The adjusted difference in systolic blood pressure (SBP) was −0.3 (95% CI −2.7;2.0) mmHg and in diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was −1.0 (95% CI −2.1;0.3) mmHg for patients with ESA compared to patients without ESA. Adjusted SBP was 3.7 (95% CI −1.6;9.0) mmHg higher in patients with a high ESA dose compared to patients with a low ESA dose. Conclusions Our study confirms the hypertensive effect of ESA, since ESA treated patients received more antihypertensive agents. However, no relevant difference in BP was found between patients with and without ESA, thus the increase in BP seems to be controlled for by antihypertensive medication.

Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents and thrombotic events in dialysis patients

BACKGROUND Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESA) have been associated with a higher cardiovascular event and mortality rate in dialysis patients. The ESA-associated risk of arterial thrombotic events is mainly based on composite endpoints of anemia-correction trials targeting high hemoglobin levels. The ESA-associated risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been studied in dialysis patients yet. We therefore aimed to determine the association between ESA use and dose with ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction (MI) and VTE. MATERIALS AND METHODS In NECOSAD, a Dutch cohort study of incident dialysis patients, data on ESA use and dose, comorbidities and laboratory parameters were routinely collected every 6 months. Thrombotic events were collected by chart review of all dialysis patients from 6 participating centers. Time-dependent Cox regression analysis was performed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for ischemic stroke, MI and VTE with updated information on ESA use and dose. RESULTS Patients with ESA had a 2 times lower ischemic stroke rate than patients without ESA: adjusted HR 0.45 (95% CI 0.23-0.90), and an adjusted HR of 1.12 (95% CI 0.58-2.14) for MI. No evident ESA dose response effect was present. Unadjusted HR for VTE was 0.41 (95% CI 0.11-1.50) for patients with ESA compared to patients without, but the low event rate made further adjustments impossible. CONCLUSIONS In our observational cohort of dialysis patients, reflecting everyday clinical practice, ESA was not associated with an excess of thrombotic events. Further investigation is needed to enlighten the true cause of ESA-associated cardiovascular events and mortality.