Marits Pieters

COMPARISON OF CAR OWNERSHIP MODELS

Car ownership models found in the academic literature (with a focus on the recent literature and on models developed for transport planning) are classified into a number of model types. The different model types are compared on a number of criteria: inclusion of demand and supply side of the car market, level of aggregation, dynamic or static model, long‐ or short‐run forecasts, theoretical background, inclusion of car use, data requirements, treatment of business cars, car‐type segmentation, inclusion of income, of fixed and/or variable car cost, of car quality aspects, of licence holding, of sociodemographic variables and of attitudinal variables, and treatment of scrappage.

Influence of Accessibility on Residential Location Choice

There has been substantial discussion among planners about the influence of transport in residential location choices. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the importance of accessibility in explaining residential location choices. The paper addresses this issue by presenting and analyzing findings from the literature and results of a housing market estimation study in the Netherlands. The research findings for the Netherlands illustrate that the transport system influences residential moves at three stages: in move-stay choice, estimation results show that households are less likely to move away from a more accessible location; travel time variables are significant for all household types, and therefore changes in the transport system will affect the size of the housing market and search area of the households; the model estimation results suggest that accessibility of a specific location for many household types is not a significant variable in their location choice. Overall, the empirical results suggest that the role of accessibility is significant but small compared with the effect of demographic factors, neighborhood amenities, and dwelling attributes in explaining residential location choices. The empirical findings are confirmed by findings in the literature; the present results are located at the lower end of findings reported in the literature. An important factor contributing to this result is that accessibility changes among regions in the Netherlands are rather small.