Martin Lagging

A systematic review of hepatitis C virus epidemiology in Europe, Canada and Israel

Background and Aim: Decisions on public health issues are dependent on reliable epidemiological data. A comprehensive review of the literature was used to gather country‐specific data on risk factors, prevalence, number of diagnosed individuals and genotype distribution of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in selected European countries, Canada and Israel.

Steatosis accelerates fibrosis development over time in hepatitis C virus genotype 3 infected patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS Steatosis is common in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Its influence on disease progression is only partially understood. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of steatosis on fibrosis progression over time in relation to HCV genotype. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 98 patients who underwent dual liver biopsies prior to antiviral treatment. The median follow-up time was 5.8 years. Biopsy specimens were assessed for necroinflammatory activity, fibrosis and steatosis. RESULTS The prevalence and grade of steatosis were strongly associated with HCV genotype 3, independent of sex, age, body mass index and alcohol consumption. Progressive fibrosis was more prevalent in patients whose initial biopsy showed steatosis, an effect seen mainly in genotype 3 infected patients. Low-grade steatosis was observed in overweight patients, but high-grade steatosis was associated with genotype 3, independent of body mass index. CONCLUSIONS Our data confirm the association between HCV genotype 3 and steatosis. Furthermore, we showed that steatosis in genotype 3 infected patients is a risk factor for progression of fibrosis. Therefore, patients with genotype 3 and steatosis ought to be recommended for early therapeutic intervention.

Interferon (IFN)–γ–Inducible Protein–10: Association with Histological Results, Viral Kinetics, and Outcome during Treatment with Pegylated IFN-α2a and Ribavirin for Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection

BACKGROUND We investigated associations between interferon (IFN)-gamma-inducible protein (IP)-10 and liver histological results, viral kinetic response, and treatment outcome in patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes 1-4. METHODS Plasma IP-10 was monitored before, during, and after treatment with pegylated IFN- alpha 2a and ribavirin in 265 HCV-infected patients. RESULTS In univariate analyses, a low baseline IP-10 level was significantly associated with low baseline viral load, rapid viral response (RVR), a sustained viral response (SVR), body mass index <25 kg/m2, and less-pronounced fibrosis, inflammation, and steatosis (for HCV genotypes other than 3). When the results of the univariate analyses were included in multivariate analyses, a low plasma IP-10 level, low baseline viral load, and genotype 2 or 3 infection were independent predictors of an RVR and SVR. IP-10 levels decreased 6 weeks into treatment and remained low in patients with an SVR. By contrast, plasma levels of IP-10 rebounded in patients who had detectable HCV RNA after the completion of treatment. Using cutoff IP-10 levels of 150 and 600 pg/mL for predicting an SVR in patients infected with HCV genotype 1 yielded a specificity and sensitivity of 81% and 95%, respectively. CONCLUSION Baseline IP-10 levels are predictive of the response to HCV treatment.

IP-10 predicts viral response and therapeutic outcome in difficult-to-treat patients with HCV genotype 1 infection

Plasma from 173 patients with HCV genotype 1 infection was analyzed for IP‐10 levels prior to treatment with pegylated interferon‐α‐2a and ribavirin. Significantly lower IP‐10 levels were observed in patients achieving a rapid viral response (RVR) (P < .0001), even in those with body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m2 (P = .004) and with baseline viral load ≥ 2 million IU/mL (P = .001). Similarly, significantly lower IP‐10 levels were observed in patients obtaining a sustained viral response (SVR) (P = .0002), including those having higher BMI (P < .05), higher viral load (P = .0005), and both higher BMI and viral load (P < .03). In multivariate logistic regression analyses, a low IP‐10 value was independently predictive of both RVR and SVR. A baseline cutoff IP‐10 value of 600 pg/mL yielded a negative predictive value (NPV) of 79% (19/24) for all genotype 1–infected patients, which was comparable with that observed using a reduction in HCV‐RNA by at least 2 logs after 12 weeks of therapy (NPV 86%; 19/22); by combining the two, 30 of 38 patients (NPV 79%) potentially could have been spared unnecessary therapy. In patients having both higher BMI and viral load, cut‐off levels of 150 and 600 pg/mL yielded a positive predictive value (PPV) of 71% and NPV of 100%, respectively. In conclusion, pretreatment IP‐10 levels predict RVR and SVR in patients infected with HCV genotype 1, even in those with higher BMI and viral load. A substantial proportion of the latter patients may achieve SVR in spite of unfavorable baseline characteristics if their pretreatment IP‐10 level is low. Thus, pretreatment IP‐10 analysis may prove helpful in decision‐making regarding pharmaceutical intervention. (HEPATOLOGY 2006;44:1617–1625.)

Randomized comparison of 12 or 24 weeks of peginterferon α‐2a and ribavirin in chronic hepatitis C virus genotype 2/3 infection

Previous trials investigating the efficacy of treatment durations shorter than the standard of 24 weeks for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2/3 infections have yielded discordant results. The aims of this investigator‐initiated phase III study were to compare the efficacy of 12 or 24 weeks of treatment and to identify patients suitable for short‐term therapy. Three hundred eighty‐two genotype 2/3–infected patients [intention‐to‐treat (ITT) population] at 31 centers in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden were randomized to 12 or 24 weeks of peginterferon α‐2a (180 μg/week) plus ribavirin (800 mg/day). Twelve weeks of therapy was inferior to 24 weeks in the ITT population (sustained viral response [SVR] rates: 59% versus 78%, P < 0.0001) and in the subgroups of patients infected with genotype 2 (56% versus 82%, P = 0.006) or 3 (58% versus 78%, P = 0.0015). These differences were observed regardless of the fibrosis stage. Age and HCV‐RNA levels on days 7 and 29 were independent predictors of SVR. Short‐term treatment was useful in patients < 40 years old, especially if HCV‐RNA was undetectable on day 29, and also in patients ≥ 40 years old, provided that HCV‐RNA was below 1000 IU/mL on day 7 in addition to being undetectable on day 29. If neither of these two criteria were met for patients ≥ 40 years old, 24 weeks of therapy was superior (P < 0.0001). Conclusion: Peginterferon/ribavirin treatment for 12 weeks in HCV genotype 2/3 infection is overall inferior to 24 weeks of treatment but may be useful in some patients with a rapid initial clearance of virus. (HEPATOLOGY 2008.)

Response prediction in chronic hepatitis c by assessment of IP-10 and IL28B-related single nucleotide polymorphisms

Background High baseline levels of IP-10 predict a slower first phase decline in HCV RNA and a poor outcome following interferon/ribavirin therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Several recent studies report that single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) adjacent to IL28B predict spontaneous resolution of HCV infection and outcome of treatment among HCV genotype 1 infected patients. Methods and Findings In the present study, we correlated the occurrence of variants at three such SNPs (rs12979860, rs12980275, and rs8099917) with pretreatment plasma IP-10 and HCV RNA throughout therapy within a phase III treatment trial (HCV-DITTO) involving 253 Caucasian patients. The favorable SNP variants (CC, AA, and TT, respectively) were associated with lower baseline IP-10 (P = 0.02, P = 0.01, P = 0.04) and were less common among HCV genotype 1 infected patients than genotype 2/3 (P<0.0001, P<0.0001, and P = 0.01). Patients carrying favorable SNP genotypes had higher baseline viral load than those carrying unfavorable variants (P = 0.0013, P = 0.029, P = 0.0004 respectively). Among HCV genotype 1 infected carriers of the favorable C, A, or T alleles, IP-10 below 150 pg/mL significantly predicted a more pronounced reduction of HCV RNA from day 0 to 4 (first phase decline), which translated into increased rates of RVR (62%, 53%, and 39%) and SVR (85%, 76%, and 75% respectively) among homozygous carriers with baseline IP-10 below 150 pg/mL. In multivariate analyses of genotype 1-infected patients, baseline IP-10 and C genotype at rs12979860 independently predicted the first phase viral decline and RVR, which in turn independently predicted SVR. Conclusions Concomitant assessment of pretreatment IP-10 and IL28B-related SNPs augments the prediction of the first phase decline in HCV RNA, RVR, and final therapeutic outcome.

Cirrhosis in hepatitis C virus-infected patients can be excluded using an index of standard biochemical serum markers.

Objective Assessment of liver histology is pivotal in prognostication and decision-making regarding therapeutic intervention in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). Being an invasive procedure, the liver biopsy is associated with complications, and a non-invasive alternative would be preferable. Material and methods Sera samples from 179 patients with chronic HCV infection collected at the time of liver biopsy were analyzed using routinely available biochemical markers of liver disease, and liver histology was evaluated using the Ishak protocol. The relationship between the serum biochemical markers and cirrhosis (Ishak stage ≥ 5) as well as bridging fibrosis (Ishak stage ≥ 3) was examined. Results Conclusions A strong association was found in the multivariate logistic regression analysis between fibrosis stage and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), platelet count and prothrombin-INR (international normalized ratio). An index (the Göteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI)) was calculated using these variables: normalized AST×prothrombin-INR×100/platelet count (×109/l). Using a cut-off value of 1.0, the sensitivity was 80% and the specificity 78% for diagnosis of cirrhosis, and the negative predictive values (NPV) and positive predictive values (PPV) were 97% and 31%, respectively. The GUCI score proved slightly superior for sensitivity, specificity, NPV, PPV, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for prediction of cirrhosis and bridging fibrosis compared with the AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), which has been reported as a predictor of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis. An index using routinely available biochemical markers can with a high degree of accuracy discriminate patients with from those without hepatitis C-related cirrhosis.

Systemic and intrahepatic interferon-gamma-inducible protein 10 kDa predicts the first-phase decline in hepatitis C virus RNA and overall viral response to therapy in chronic hepatitis C†

High systemic levels of interferon‐gamma‐inducible protein 10 kDa (IP‐10) at onset of combination therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection predict poor outcome, but details regarding the impact of IP‐10 on the reduction of HCV RNA during therapy remain unclear. In the present study, we correlated pretreatment levels of IP‐10 in liver biopsies (n = 73) and plasma (n = 265) with HCV RNA throughout therapy within a phase III treatment trial (DITTO‐HCV). Low levels of plasma or intrahepatic IP‐10 were strongly associated with a pronounced reduction of HCV RNA during the first 24 hours of treatment in all patients (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.002, respectively) as well as when patients were grouped as genotype 1 or 4 (P = 0.0008 and P = 0.01) and 2 or 3 (P = 0.002, and P = 0.02). Low plasma levels of IP‐10 also were predictive of the absolute reduction of HCV RNA (P < 0.0001) and the maximum reduction of HCV RNA in the first 4 days of treatment (P < 0.0001) as well as sustained virological response (genotype 1/4; P < 0.0001). To corroborate the relationship between early viral decline and IP‐10, pretreatment plasma samples from an independent phase IV trial for HCV genotypes 2/3 (NORDynamIC trial; n = 382) were analyzed. The results confirmed an association between IP‐10 and the immediate reduction of HCV RNA in response to therapy (P = 0.006). In contrast, pretreatment levels of IP‐10 in liver or in plasma did not affect the decline of HCV RNA between days 8 and 29, i.e., the second‐phase decline, or later time points in any of these cohorts. Conclusion: In patients with chronic hepatitis C, low levels of intrahepatic and systemic IP‐10 predict a favorable first‐phase decline of HCV RNA during therapy with pegylated interferon and ribavirin for genotypes of HCV. (HEPATOLOGY 2010.)

IL28B polymorphisms predict reduction of HCV RNA from the first day of therapy in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with IL28B influence the outcome of peginterferon-α/ribavirin therapy of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We analyzed the kinetics of HCV RNA during therapy as a function of IL28B SNPs. METHODS IL28B SNPs rs8099917, rs12979860, and rs12980275 were genotyped in 242 HCV treatment-naïve Caucasian patients (67% genotype 1, 28% genotype 2 or 3) receiving peginterferon-α2a (180 μg weekly) and ribavirin (1000-1200 mg daily) with serial HCV-RNA quantifications. Associations between IL28B polymorphisms and early viral kinetics were assessed, accounting for relevant covariates. RESULTS In the multivariate analyses for genotype 1 patients, the T allele of rs12979860 (T(rs12979860)) was an independent risk factor for a less pronounced first phase HCV RNA decline (log(10) 0.89IU/ml among T carriers vs. 2.06 among others, adjusted p < 0.001) and lower rapid (15% vs. 38%, adjusted p = 0.007) and sustained viral response rates (48% vs. 66%, adjusted p < 0.001). In univariate analyses, T(rs12979860) was also associated with a reduced second phase decline (p = 0.002), but this association was no longer significant after adjustment for the first phase decline (adjusted p = 0.8). In genotype 2/3 patients, T(rs12979860) was associated with a reduced first phase decline (adjusted p = 0.04), but not with a second phase decline. CONCLUSIONS Polymorphisms in IL28B are strongly associated with the first phase viral decline during peginterferon-α/ribavirin therapy of chronic HCV infection, irrespective of HCV genotype.

Evaluation of Depression as a Risk Factor for Treatment Failure in Chronic Hepatitis C

The Major Depression Inventory (MDI) was used to estimate the value of routine medical interviews in diagnosing major depression among patients receiving peginterferon alfa‐2a and ribavirin therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection (n = 325). According to criteria from the MDI and Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM‐IV), 19 patients (6%) had major depression at baseline. An additional 114 (37%) developed depression while on HCV combination therapy, with baseline MDI score and female sex independently predicting the emergence of major depression during treatment in a multivariate analysis. Only 36 (32%) of the 114 patients developing major depression according to MDI/DSM‐IV criteria were correctly diagnosed during routine medical interviews. The emergence of major depression frequently led to premature discontinuation of peginterferon/ribavirin therapy, and an on‐treatment MDI score increment exceeding 30 points (i.e., a validated marker of idiopathic DSM‐IV major depression) was correlated with impaired outcome of HCV therapy (P = 0.02). This difference was even more pronounced among patients with an on‐treatment increase in MDI score greater than 35 points (P = 0.003). Conclusion: We conclude that (1) depressive symptoms among patients undergoing HCV therapy are commonly overlooked by routine clinical interviews, (2) the emergence of depression compromises the outcome of HCV therapy, and (3) the MDI scale may be useful in identifying patients at risk for treatment‐induced depression. (HEPATOLOGY 2010;)