Mary Corey

Prediction of Mortality in Patients with Cystic Fibrosis

BACKGROUND The majority of patients with cystic fibrosis die in early adulthood of lung disease. Lung transplantation is a treatment option for patients with advanced pulmonary disease, although the waiting period for organs may be as long as two years. Our purpose was to determine whether the risk of death due to respiratory failure could be predicted one or two years in advance on the basis of pulmonary function, blood gas levels, and nutritional status. METHODS The study cohort consisted of 673 patients followed between 1977 and 1989. In each patient, pulmonary function, blood gas levels, nutritional status, and vital status were assessed between 1977 and 1987. Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis was used to compute the relative risk of death within one or two years after particular measurements. The effects of age and sex on mortality were also included in the analysis. RESULTS One hundred ninety patients (28 percent) died during the study period. Overall, patients with a forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) less than 30 percent of the predicted value, a partial pressure of arterial oxygen below 55 mm Hg, or a partial pressure of arterial carbon dioxide above 50 mm Hg had two-year mortality rates above 50 percent. Among the laboratory measurements, the FEV1 was the most significant predictor of mortality, but age and sex were also significant in predicting risk. After adjustment for age and sex, the relative risk of death within two years was 2.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.9 to 2.2) for each decrement in the FEV1 of 10 percent below the predicted value. Among patients with the same FEV1, the relative risk of death was 2.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 2.6) in patients 10 years younger than other patients, and 2.2 (1.6 to 3.1) in female patients as compared with male patients. CONCLUSIONS Patients with cystic fibrosis should be considered candidates for lung transplantation when the FEV1 falls below 30 percent of the predicted value. Female patients and younger patients may need to be considered for transplantation at an earlier stage.

Pseudomonas cepacia infection in cystic fibrosis: An emerging problem

The prevalence of Pseudomonas cepacia infection increased from 10% in 1971 to 18% by 1981 in a population of approximately 500 patients with cystic fibrosis. Carriage of P. aeruginosa has remained unchanged at 70% to 80% over the same period. Patients infected with P. cepacia have greater impairment of pulmonary function than those with P. aeruginosa. A syndrome characterized by high fever, severe progressive respiratory failure, leukocytosis, and elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate has occurred in eight patients over the past 3 years, with a 62% fatality rate. Because P. cepacia strains are uniformly resistant to ticarcillin, piperacillin, and aminoglycosides, and because ceftazidime is ineffective despite in vitro activity, treatment of these infections is very difficult. Prevention of acquisition and effective treatment of P. cepacia in patients with cystic fibrosis are now major clinical problems in our clinic.

The Relation between Genotype and Phenotype in Cystic Fibrosis — Analysis of the Most Common Mutation (ΔF508)

BACKGROUND AND METHODS Both the clinical manifestations of cystic fibrosis and the genotypes of patients are heterogeneous, but the associations between the two are not known. We therefore studied blood samples from 293 patients with cystic fibrosis for the presence of the most common disease-causing mutation (delta F508) on chromosome 7 and compared the results with the clinical manifestations of the disease. RESULTS The prevalence of the delta F508 allele in the cohort was 71 percent; 52 percent of the patients were homozygous for the mutation, 40 percent were heterozygous, and 8 percent had other, undefined mutations. The patients who were homozygous for the mutation had received a diagnosis of cystic fibrosis at an earlier age and had a greater frequency of pancreatic insufficiency; pancreatic insufficiency was present in 99 percent of the homozygous patients, but in 72 percent of the heterozygous patients and only 36 percent of the patients with other genotypes. The patients with pancreatic insufficiency in all three genotype groups had similar clinical characteristics, reflected by an early age at diagnosis, similar sweat chloride values at diagnosis, similar severity of pulmonary disease, and similar percentiles for weight. In contrast, the patients in the heterozygous-genotype and other-genotype groups who did not have pancreatic insufficiency were older and had milder disease. They had lower sweat chloride values at diagnosis, normal nutritional status, and better pulmonary function after adjustment for age. CONCLUSIONS The variable clinical course in patients with cystic fibrosis can be attributed at least in part to specific genotypes at the locus of the cystic fibrosis gene.

Longitudinal analysis of pulmonary function decline in patients with cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND Chronic progressive lung disease is the most prominent cause of morbidity and death in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF), but severity of lung disease and rate of lung function decline are widely variable. Accurate estimates of decline have been difficult to define and compare because the timing of measurements and duration of follow-up differ in various patient groups. PATIENTS Three hundred sixty-six patients with CF, born from 1960 to 1974, were selected from a CF database birth cohort if they had two or more measurements of pulmonary function, at least one of which was performed before the age of 10 years. METHODS Mixed model regression analysis provided estimates of the average rate of decline of spirometry measurements in subgroups on the basis of survival age, sex, pancreatic status, and genotype. RESULTS Patients who died before the age of 15 years had significantly poorer pulmonary function when first tested and a more rapid decline in pulmonary function thereafter than patients who survived beyond the age of 15 years. In the latter, functional levels at the age of 5 years were normal, but average rates of decline were significantly related to survival age. Female patients had significantly steeper decline than male patients, and those with pancreatic insufficiency had much steeper decline than those with pancreatic sufficiency. In the subset of 197 who survived to 1990 and were subsequently genotyped, rate of decline was greater in those homozygous for the delta F508 mutation, compared with those who were heterozygous for delta F508 or those, who had two other mutations. DISCUSSION All but the most severely affected patients, who died before age 15, appear to have had normal pulmonary function when first tested in early childhood. Pancreatic sufficiency, male gender, and some non-delta F508 mutations are associated with a slower rate of pulmonary function decline. Mixed model analysis is a valuable tool for describing and comparing pulmonary function decline in groups of patients with CF.

The Risk of Cancer among Patients with Cystic Fibrosis

BACKGROUND Anecdotal reports suggest an increased frequency of certain cancers in patients with cystic fibrosis, the commonest genetic disorder of whites. One third of patients with cystic fibrosis now reach adulthood, when cancer is more frequent, implying that cancer rates in these patients will increase over time. We investigated the relation between cystic fibrosis and cancer in North American and European patients with cystic fibrosis. Methods. We performed a retrospective cohort study of the occurrence of cancer in 28,511 patients with cystic fibrosis from 1985 through 1992 in the United States and Canada. The number of cases observed was compared with the number expected, calculated from population-based data on the incidence of cancer. We also analyzed proportional incidence ratios to assess the association between specific cancers and cystic fibrosis in Europe. RESULTS Thirty-seven cancers were observed in the North American cohort during 164,764 person-years of follow-up, as compared with an expected number of 45.6, yielding a ratio of observed to expected cancers of 0.8 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.6 to 1.1). Thirteen digestive tract tumors were observed, as compared with an expected number of two, for a ratio of observed to expected cancers of 6.5 (95 percent confidence interval, 3.5 to 11.1). In Europe, 11 of 39 cancers originated in the digestive tract, yielding a positive association between digestive tract tumors and cystic fibrosis (odds ratio, 6.4; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.9 to 14.0). CONCLUSIONS Although the overall risk of cancer in patients with cystic fibrosis is similar to that of the general population, there is an increased risk of digestive tract cancers. Persistent or unexplained gastrointestinal symptoms in these patients should be carefully investigated.

Defining the disease liability of variants in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator gene

Allelic heterogeneity in disease-causing genes presents a substantial challenge to the translation of genomic variation into clinical practice. Few of the almost 2,000 variants in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator gene CFTR have empirical evidence that they cause cystic fibrosis. To address this gap, we collected both genotype and phenotype data for 39,696 individuals with cystic fibrosis in registries and clinics in North America and Europe. In these individuals, 159 CFTR variants had an allele frequency of ł0.01%. These variants were evaluated for both clinical severity and functional consequence, with 127 (80%) meeting both clinical and functional criteria consistent with disease. Assessment of disease penetrance in 2,188 fathers of individuals with cystic fibrosis enabled assignment of 12 of the remaining 32 variants as neutral, whereas the other 20 variants remained of indeterminate effect. This study illustrates that sourcing data directly from well-phenotyped subjects can address the gap in our ability to interpret clinically relevant genomic variation.

Pulmonary function and clinical course in patients with cystic fibrosis after pulmonary colonization with Pseudomonas aeruginosa.

To evaluate the relationship between Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization and the development of lung disease, we studied 895 patients who attended our cystic fibrosis clinic between 1975 and 1988. The prevalence of P. aeruginosa colonization was 82%. Patients who acquired P. aeruginosa in the first year of life had a similar 10-year survival rate (85%) to that in patients who were colonized between the ages of 1 and 7 years (87%), and to that in patients colonized after the age of 7 years (78%). One year before colonization, mean age, forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), forced vital capacity, and forced expiratory flow in the mid-expiratory phase were similar to those in a group of patients who remained free of P. aeruginosa. No significant change in pulmonary function variables could be demonstrated 1 year and 2 years after the colonization. The rate and duration of hospitalization did not increase in the years after P. aeruginosa colonization compared with the years before colonization. By the age of 7 years, the mean percentage of predicted FEV1 was lower by 10% in patients who were already colonized by P. aeruginosa compared with those who were not colonized (p less than 0.01). A similar reduction in FEV1 was observed at all ages from 7 to 35 years, but no precipitate rate of decline in FEV1 could be associated with P. aeruginosa colonization. We conclude that although P. aeruginosa colonization is associated with 10% lower lung function, it does not cause an immediate and rapid reduction, as has been previously reported. The clinical course and the pulmonary deterioration in cystic fibrosis after P. aeruginosa colonization is a gradual and variable process.

Improved respiratory prognosis in patients with cystic fibrosis with normal fat absorption

The clinical presentation, courses, and sweat chloride values of 72 CF patients with normal fat absorption are described. In general, these patients had milder clinical symptoms and a lower mean sweat chloride value than their counterparts with steatorrhoea. Pulmonary function tests, including FEV1, FVC, FEF25%-75%, PaO2, and RV/TLC%, were significantly better in patients with normal fat absorption compared with both male and female patients who had steatorrhoea. The maintenance of better pulmonary function, coupled with the low mortality, suggests that patients without steatorrhoea have a better prognosis. This difference remains unexplained, but may be contributed to by nutritional, genetic, or pancreatic factors.

Impaired chloride secretion, as well as bicarbonate secretion, underlies the fluid secretory defect in the cystic fibrosis pancreas

Pancreatic fluid and electrolyte secretion was assessed in 56 patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) and 56 non-CF control subjects undergoing pancreatic function testing while stimulated with cholecystokinin and secretin. Both CF patients and control subjects exhibited a wide range of pancreatic function. Fluid and trypsin outputs were positively correlated in both groups. Fluid output in CF subjects was significantly lower, however, than that of control subjects at any given level of trypsin output. Sodium, bicarbonate, and chloride secretions were all significantly decreased in CF subjects. Bicarbonate and chloride were important determinants of fluid secretion, but at any given bicarbonate or chloride output CF subjects secreted significantly less fluid than control subjects. When bicarbonate and chloride were analyzed as simultaneous predictor variables, adjusted fluid secretion was not significantly different in CF and control subjects. Diminished fluid secretion in CF subjects is therefore caused by impaired chloride, as well as bicarbonate, secretion.

Detection of a cystic fibrosis modifier locus for meconium ileus on human chromosome 19q13

Detection of a cystic fibrosis modifier locus for meconium ileus on human chromosome 19q13