Masanobu Shishikura

Marine incursions of the past 1500 years and evidence of tsunamis at Suijin-numa, a coastal lake facing the Japan Trench

Sandy deposits of marine origin underlie the floor of Suijin-numa, a coastal lake midway along the subduction zone marked by the Japan Trench. The deposits form three units that are interbedded with lacustrine peat and mud above a foundation of marine, probably littoral sand. Unlike the lacustrine deposits, all three sandy units contain marine and brackish diatoms. The middle unit (B) contains, in addition, graded beds suggestive of multiple waves of long wavelength and period. The uppermost unit (C) probably dates to a time in the areas written history when the lake was separated from the sea by a beach-ridge plain at least 0.5 km wide and several metres high. Units A and B postdate AD 540—870, and unit C postdates AD 1030—1640 as judged from radiocarbon dating of leaves and seeds. Unit B pre-dates AD 915 and unit C postdates that year as judged from a tephra within the peat that separates units B and C. The age constraints permit correlation of unit B with a tsunami in AD 869 that reportedly devastated at least 100 km of coast approximately centred on Sendai. Unit C may represent a later catastrophic tsunami in 1611, or perhaps a storm surge that inundated much of Sendai. The lake lacks obvious signs of tsunamis from the regions largest twentieth-century earthquakes, which were centred to the north in 1933 (M 8.1) and directly offshore in 1936 (M 7.5), and 1978 (Mw 7.6).

Geologic evidence for two pre-2004 earthquakes during recent centuries near Port Blair, South Andaman Island, India

Coastal stratigraphy near Port Blair, Andaman Islands, where the A.D. 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake was accompanied by ∼1 m of subsidence, provides evidence for two prior earthquakes, perhaps both from the past 400 yr. The first of these (event I) is marked by an abrupt mud-over-peat contact best explained by subsidence similar to that in 2004. Event II is evidenced by an overlying chaotic layer composed of mud clasts in a sandy matrix that is connected with feeder dikes. These mud clasts, probably produced by liquefaction, are capped by laminated sand and mud that we ascribe to an event II tsunami. Radiocarbon ages of plant remains in the peat give discordant ages in the range 100 B.C. to A.D. 1950. Event I probably resembled the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake in that it was accompanied by subsidence (as much as 1 m) but not by strong shaking near Port Blair. If event II was the A.D. 1762 Arakan earthquake, the laminated sand and mud provide the first evidence that this earthquake was associated with a tsunami.

GEOLOGIC EVIDENCE FOR THREE GREAT EARTHQUAKES IN THE PAST 3400 YEARS OFF MYANMAR

Tectonic environments, recent stress and crustal strain observations, and historical descriptions of geomorphological changes and eyewitness accounts of the 1762 Bengal earthquake suggest that great earthquakes (M 8.0 or larger) can occur along the northward continuation of the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake. We describe marine terraces along the Rakhine coast of Myanmar as evidence for three great earthquakes in the past 3400 years. Radiocarbon dating of coral remains suggests that the oldest terrace emerged three times, during 1395–740 BC, AD 805–1220 and AD 1585–1810. We assign the youngest age to the 1762 earthquake, which reportedly raised parts of the Burmese coast by 3–7 m. These indicate that the great subduction-zone earthquakes have repeatedly occurred west off Myanmar with an average recurrence interval of about 1000–2000 years. The time since the last earthquake, ~ 250 years, is much shorter than the average interval, hence the chance of next earthquakes in the near future may be considered as low. However, the variability in both uplift amounts and recurrence intervals suggests the next great earthquake could happen sooner or later than would be expected from the average interval.

Coastal deformation associated with the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake, central Japan, estimated from uplifted and subsided intertidal organisms

The March 25, 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake (Mj = 6.9, Mw = 6.7) generated vertical crustal movement along the northwestern coast of the Noto Peninsula, central Japan. Soon after the event, we estimated the pattern and amount of coseismic coastal movement based on uplifted and subsided intertidal sessile organisms. Our observations reveal a broad 20-km-wide asymmetric zone of surficial deformation above and across the south-dipping source fault, with a steep north-facing frontal limb and a gentle south-facing back limb. The maximum coseismic uplift was approximately 40 cm at the crest of the zone of deformation. The result of forward modeling suggests that the top of the south-dipping source fault is buried at a depth of approximately 2 km, and that 1.2 m of slip on the fault provides the best fit to our surface observations. Our results demonstrate that traditional field investigations should be combined with modern instrumental observations such as GPS and InSAR to obtain the most effective and reliable spatio-temporal estimates of crustal movement associated with large earthquakes.

Evidence for coseismic and aseismic uplift in the last 1000 years in the focal area of a shallow thrust earthquake on the Noto Peninsula, west‐central Japan

[1] Raised shorelines on the Noto Peninsula on the western coast of central Japan suggest a millennial history of recurrent uplift. Emergence of the coastline by up to 50 cm was recently recorded in association with a moderate earthquake (M w 6.7) on 25 March 2007. The shoreline uplift is indicated by the displacement of sessile organisms such as calcareous tubeworms, which can also be examined as indicators of past shifts in shoreline level. Three levels of pre-2007 paleoshorelines are thus identified on this stretch of the Japan Sea coast. The lowest of these, dated at AD 1720-1950, tilts northward away from the likely source of a pair of ca. M 6.4 earthquakes in 1892, which occurred in a different area to the 2007 earthquake. The middle paleo-shoreline, dated at AD 1430-1655, records a 30-40 cm emergence that may be aseismic. The high paleo-shoreline, dated at AD 1025 1235, records a coseismic uplift of 50 cm and is limited to the area raised coseismically in 2007. The most recent event preceding the 2007 earthquake thus appears to have occurred approximately 1000 years ago.

Diatom (Bacillariophyceae) assemblages in salt marshes of south‐central Chile: Relations with tidal inundation time and salinity

To reconstruct sea‐level history from changes in tidal environments using diatom assemblages, we need to better understand the relations among brackish diatom assemblages and changing environments along elevational gradients from diverse coastal sites. Our statistical analysis reveals relations between environmental variables and brackish benthic diatom assemblages in the little studied region of south‐central Chile. Along four transects across salt marshes at two sites, we identified 224 diatom taxa in 112 samples. Detrended canonical correspondence analysis showed that tidal exposure time index and salinity were appropriately regressed against the abundance of diatom species using unimodal‐based methods. Our tests of classical and inverse regressions of weighted average and weighted averaging partial least squares (WA‐PLS) showed that WA‐PLS resulted in the highest coefficient of determination and the lowest root‐mean square of the error of prediction. Our regression will be useful in reconstructing environmental variables from fossil diatom assemblages in Chile.

Mid- to late-Holocene marine inundations inferred from coastal deposits facing the Nankai Trough in Nankoku, Kochi Prefecture, southern Japan

This study investigates the Holocene sedimentary history of a small coastal lowland in Nankoku, Kochi Prefecture, on the coast of southern Japan facing the Nankai Trough. The sedimentary fill of the lowland area consists mainly of marine-brackish clay overlain by beds of freshwater clay and peat. We found four laterally extensive sand sheets, one directly underlying the freshwater deposits and the other three interbedded with them. Radiocarbon dates show that these sand sheets were deposited between 5970 and 2440 cal. BP. Although the sand sheets contained few marine-brackish diatoms, they were concentrated in the seaward part of the study site, suggesting that they were deposited by marine inundations. These sand sheets were formed as a result of tsunamis or unusually large storm surges. The apparent frequency of marine inundations during 5970–2440 cal. BP was much lower than that of megathrust earthquakes along the Nankai Trough recorded during the last 1300 years. Event deposits were absent between 2440 and 960 cal. BP, a gap that we attribute to the development of beach ridges. The new marine inundation records reported here will aid efforts to reconstruct the timing and recurrence intervals of megathrust earthquakes in the western Nankai Trough.