Mathew G. Allan

Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe

In this first worldwide synthesis of in situ and satellite-derived lake data, we find that lake summer surface water temperatures rose rapidly (global mean = 0.34°C decade−1) between 1985 and 2009. Our analyses show that surface water warming rates are dependent on combinations of climate and local characteristics, rather than just lake location, leading to the counterintuitive result that regional consistency in lake warming is the exception, rather than the rule. The most rapidly warming lakes are widely geographically distributed, and their warming is associated with interactions among different climatic factors—from seasonally ice-covered lakes in areas where temperature and solar radiation are increasing while cloud cover is diminishing (0.72°C decade−1) to ice-free lakes experiencing increases in air temperature and solar radiation (0.53°C decade−1). The pervasive and rapid warming observed here signals the urgent need to incorporate climate impacts into vulnerability assessments and adaptation efforts for lakes.

A global database of lake surface temperatures collected by in situ and satellite methods from 1985–2009

Global environmental change has influenced lake surface temperatures, a key driver of ecosystem structure and function. Recent studies have suggested significant warming of water temperatures in individual lakes across many different regions around the world. However, the spatial and temporal coherence associated with the magnitude of these trends remains unclear. Thus, a global data set of water temperature is required to understand and synthesize global, long-term trends in surface water temperatures of inland bodies of water. We assembled a database of summer lake surface temperatures for 291 lakes collected in situ and/or by satellites for the period 1985–2009. In addition, corresponding climatic drivers (air temperatures, solar radiation, and cloud cover) and geomorphometric characteristics (latitude, longitude, elevation, lake surface area, maximum depth, mean depth, and volume) that influence lake surface temperatures were compiled for each lake. This unique dataset offers an invaluable baseline perspective on global-scale lake thermal conditions as environmental change continues.

Landsat remote sensing of chlorophyll a concentrations in central North Island lakes of New Zealand

We investigated the use of Landsat Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM) imagery to synoptically quantify chlorophyll a (chl a) concentrations. Two adjoining pairs of images of the central North Island were acquired on two different days in summer and spring 2002. 6sv atmospheric correction was compared to the cosine of the solar zenith angle correction (COST) dark object subtraction (DOS) atmospheric correction. The highest correlation between 6sv ln(Band 3) water surface reflectance and ln(chl a) was found in the 24 January 2002 image (r 2 = 0.954). 6sv atmospheric correction was preferable to COST-DOS as it gave more realistic reflectance values at a clear-water reference site and produced the highest correlation coefficient. The results from this investigation suggest that remote sensing provides a valuable tool to assess temporal and spatial distributions of chl a in unmonitored areas within lakes and that predictions may also be extended to unmonitored lakes within the domain of satellite image capture.

Light attenuation characteristics of glacially-fed lakes

Transparency is a fundamental characteristic of aquatic ecosystems and is highly responsive to changes in climate and land use. The transparency of glacially-fed lakes may be a particularly sensitive sentinel characteristic of these changes. However, little is known about the relative contributions of glacial flour versus other factors affecting light attenuation in these lakes. We sampled 18 glacially-fed lakes in Chile, New Zealand, and the U.S. and Canadian Rocky Mountains to characterize how dissolved absorption, algal biomass (approximated by chlorophyll a), water, and glacial flour contributed to attenuation of ultraviolet radiation (UVR) and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR, 400–700 nm). Variation in attenuation across lakes was related to turbidity, which we used as a proxy for the concentration of glacial flour. Turbidity-specific diffuse attenuation coefficients increased with decreasing wavelength and distance from glaciers. Regional differences in turbidity-specific diffuse attenuation coefficients were observed in short UVR wavelengths (305 and 320 nm) but not at longer UVR wavelengths (380 nm) or PAR. Dissolved absorption coefficients, which are closely correlated with diffuse attenuation coefficients in most non-glacially-fed lakes, represented only about one quarter of diffuse attenuation coefficients in study lakes here, whereas glacial flour contributed about two thirds across UVR and PAR. Understanding the optical characteristics of substances that regulate light attenuation in glacially-fed lakes will help elucidate the signals that these systems provide of broader environmental changes and forecast the effects of climate change on these aquatic ecosystems.

Patterns and drivers of spatio-temporal variability of suspended sediment in the Waikato lakes, New Zealand

ABSTRACT Quantifying and interpreting variability in ecological systems allows us to better understand the driving forces that determine ecosystems functioning. We utilised earth observation-based remote sensing to determine total suspended sediment (TSS) concentrations for 109 lakes over 16 years. The coefficient of variation (CV) was used to quantify variability of TSS at three temporal scales (monthly, annual and long-term) and at the horizontal spatial scale. CV values varied between 0.14 and 1.09. Drivers of observed variability patterns were explored using five lake morphological and catchment characteristics. Lake area was the most important variable to predict variability of TSS. De-vegetated lakes displayed significantly higher TSS concentrations than vegetated lakes; however, aquatic vegetation was found to moderate only spatial variability of TSS. As spatio-temporal variability can be assumed to drive key ecosystem functions, determining characteristic variability patterns for various attributes should be a prerequisite when setting management goals and developing monitoring regimes.