Matthew A. Uhlman

Tumor Volume, Tumor Percentage Involvement, or Prostate Volume: Which Is Predictive of Prostate-specific Antigen Recurrence?

OBJECTIVES To compare the effects of tumor volume (TV), tumor percentage involvement (TPI), and prostate volume (PV) on prostate-specific antigen (PSA) recurrence (PSAR) after radical prostatectomy (RP). METHODS A cohort of 3528 patients receiving RP between 1988 and 2008 was retrieved from the Duke Prostate Center. Patients were stratified by TV (< 3, 3-6, > 6 cm(3)), TPI (< 10%, 10%-20%, > 20%), and PV (< 35, 35-45, > 45 cm(3)) and their effects on PSAR evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Clinicopathologic variables included in univariate analysis were age at surgery, race, year of surgery, PSA, pathologic Gleason score, pathologic tumor stage, margin status, extracapsular extension, and seminal vesicle invasion. The effects of TV, TPI, and PV (as continuous and categorical variables) on PSAR were compared using Cox analysis. RESULTS TPI, TV, and PV were predictive of PSAR (P <.05) in Kaplan-Meier analysis. In multivariate analysis as continuous variables, TPI and PV were predictive of PSAR (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.16 and HR = 0.65, P <.05). As categorical variables, TPI > 20% and PV 10-35 cm(3) were predictive of PSAR (HR = 1.45 and OR = 1.25, P <.05). TV was not predictive of PSAR in either analysis. Pathologic Gleason score > or = 7, PSA, positive margins, seminal vesicle invasion, and tumor stage T3/T4 were found to be predictors of PSAR (P <.05). CONCLUSIONS TV, TPI, and PV were predictive of PSAR in univariate analysis, but in multivariate analysis, only TPI and PV were predictive of PSAR. TPI and PV should be considered when evaluating, assessing, and counseling patients regarding PSAR risk.

Baseline PSA as a Predictor of Prostate Cancer-Specific Mortality Over the Past 2 Decades: Duke University Experience

A diagnosis of prostate cancer is not often predictive of death from prostate cancer because of competing causes of mortality. Identification of the risk of death from prostate cancer and death from all causes using information available at the time of baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) measurement appears to be particularly pertinent.

Tumor Percent Involvement Predicts Prostate Specific Antigen Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy Only in Men With Smaller Prostate

PURPOSE We determined the predictive power of tumor percent involvement on prostate specific antigen recurrence in patients when stratified by prostate weight. MATERIALS AND METHODS Data on 3,057 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy between 1988 and 2008 was retrieved from our institutional prostate cancer database. Patients with data on tumor percent involvement, prostate volume and prostate specific antigen recurrence were included in analysis. Patients were divided into 3 groups based on prostate volume less than 35, 35 to 45 and greater than 45 cc. The variables tumor percent involvement, age at surgery, race, prostate specific antigen, pathological Gleason score, positive surgical margins, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle invasion and surgery year were analyzed using the chi-square and Mann-Whitney tests to determine individual effects on prostate specific antigen recurrence. Tumor percent involvement and prostate specific antigen were evaluated as continuous variables. Significant variables on univariate analysis were included in multivariate Cox regression analysis to compare their effects on prostate specific antigen recurrence. RESULTS Tumor percent involvement significantly predicted prostate specific antigen recurrence in men with a small prostate (p = 0.006) but not in those with a prostate of greater than 35 cc. Black race was a marginally significant predictor of prostate specific antigen recurrence in men with a medium prostate (p = 0.055). Age at surgery was a predictor of prostate specific antigen recurrence in men with a larger prostate (p = 0.003). Prostate specific antigen, positive surgical margins, seminal vesicle invasion and pathological Gleason score 7 or greater predicted prostate specific antigen recurrence in men with all prostate sizes. CONCLUSIONS In men with a prostate of less than 35 cc tumor percent involvement is an important variable when assessing the risk of prostate specific antigen recurrence. Tumor percent involvement and prostate volume should be considered when counseling patients and determining who may benefit from heightened surveillance after radical prostatectomy.

Initial Prostate Specific Antigen 1.5 ng/ml or Greater in Men 50 Years Old or Younger Predicts Higher Prostate Cancer Risk

PURPOSE Studies show that initial prostate specific antigen higher than the median in young men predicts a subsequent higher risk of prostate cancer. To our knowledge this relationship has not been studied in patients stratified by race. MATERIALS AND METHODS A cohort of 3,530 black and 6,118 white men 50 years or younger with prostate specific antigen 4 ng/ml or less at the first prostate specific antigen screening was retrieved from the prostate center database at our institution. Patients were divided into groups based on initial prostate specific antigen 0.1 to 0.6, 0.7 to 1.4, 1.5 to 2.4 and 2.5 to 4.0 ng/ml. Univariate and age adjusted multivariate logistic regression was done to estimate the cancer RR in these prostate specific antigen groups. We calculated the prostate cancer rate at subsequent followups. RESULTS Median prostate specific antigen in black and white men was 0.7 ng/ml at age 50 years or less. The prostate cancer rate was not significantly different in the groups with prostate specific antigen less than 0.6 and 0.7 to 1.4 ng/ml in black or white men. Black and white men with initial prostate specific antigen in the 1.5 to 2.4 ng/ml range had a 9.3 and 6.7-fold increase in the age adjusted prostate cancer RR, respectively. At up to 9 years of followup initial prostate specific antigen 1.5 ng/ml or greater was associated with gradually increased detection at followup in black and white men. CONCLUSIONS An initial prostate specific antigen cutoff of 1.5 ng/ml may be better than median prostate specific antigen 0.7 ng/ml to determine the risk of prostate cancer in black and white men 50 years old or younger.

Prostate-specific antigen-based risk-adapted discontinuation of prostate cancer screening in elderly African American and Caucasian American men.

OBJECTIVES To evaluate the relationship between initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and prostate cancer (PCa) risk in elderly African American (AA) and Caucasian American (CA) men. METHODS A total of 408 AA and 1720 CA men whose initial PSA measurement was performed between 75 and 80 years of age were retrieved from Duke Prostate Center database. Patients were stratified by race and initial PSA value. The relative risk (RR) of PCa detection was estimated. The rates of high risk PCa, and death from PCa stratified by initial PSA groups were compared using the chi-square test. RESULTS The age-adjusted RR of PCa detection in CA men with PSA 3.0-5.9 ng/mL was 1.9-fold higher when compared with that of men with PSA 0.0-2.9 ng/mL (P < .001), but it did not change significantly in AA men (P = .270). PSA 6.0-9.9 ng/mL was associated with age-adjusted RR of PCa 9.3-fold in AA men and 4.1-fold in CA men (both P values < .001). A low rate of high-risk PCa and death from PCa was indicated with PSA < 6.0 ng/mL and < 3.0 ng/mL and follow-up of a maximum of 19.2 years and 17.6 years, respectively, in AA and CA men. CONCLUSIONS AA men with initial PSA < 6.0 ng/mL and CA men with initial PSA < 3.0 ng/mL between 75 and 80 years of age are unlikely to be diagnosed with high risk PCa or death from PCa. It may be safe to discontinue PSA screening in these men.

Prostate-specific antigen velocity based risk-adapted discontinuation of prostate cancer screening in elderly men

Study Type – Prognostic (cohort) 
Level of Evidence 2b

Risk stratification in the hormonal treatment of patients with prostate cancer

Prostate cancer (PCa) is the most common type of cancer found in American men, other than skin cancer. The American Cancer Society estimates that there will be 186,320 new cases of prostate cancer in the United States in 2008. About 28,660 men will die of this disease this year and PCa remains the second-leading cause of cancer death in men. One in six men will get PCa during his lifetime and one in 35 will die of the disease. Today, more than 2 million men in the United States who have had PCa are still alive. The death rate for PCa continues to decline, chiefly due to early detection and treatment, and improved salvage therapy such as hormone therapy (HT). HT continues to be a mainstay for primary-recurrent PCa and locally-advanced PCa. However, HT is associated with many undesirable side effects including sexual dysfunction, osteoporosis and hot flashes, all of which can lead to decreased quality of life (QOL). These risks are seen in both long- and short-term HT regimens. Additionally, research in recent years has revealed trends related to clinico pathological variables and their predictive ability in HT outcomes. Awareness of the potential adverse effects, the risks associated with HT and the prognostic ability of clinical and pathological variables is important in determining optimal therapy for individual patients. A rigorous evaluation of the current scientific literature associated with HT was conducted with the goal of identifying the most favorable balance of benefits and risks associated with HT.

TUMOR VOLUME, TUMOR PERCENTAGE INVOLVEMENT OR PROSTATE VOLUME: WHICH IS PREDICTIVE OF PSA RECURRENCE?

Objective To compare the effects of tumor volume (TV), tumor percentage involvement (TPI) and prostate volume (PV) on PSA recurrence (PSAR) following radical prostatectomy (RP).