Matthew Bidwell Goetz

HIV Infection and the Risk of Acute Myocardial Infarction

IMPORTANCE Whether people infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are at an increased risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) compared with uninfected people is not clear. Without demographically and behaviorally similar uninfected comparators and without uniformly measured clinical data on risk factors and fatal and nonfatal AMI events, any potential association between HIV status and AMI may be confounded. OBJECTIVE To investigate whether HIV is associated with an increased risk of AMI after adjustment for all standard Framingham risk factors among a large cohort of HIV-positive and demographically and behaviorally similar (ie, similar prevalence of smoking, alcohol, and cocaine use) uninfected veterans in care. DESIGN AND SETTING Participants in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort from April 1, 2003, through December 31, 2009. PARTICIPANTS After eliminating those with baseline cardiovascular disease, we analyzed data on HIV status, age, sex, race/ethnicity, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, smoking, hepatitis C infection, body mass index, renal disease, anemia, substance use, CD4 cell count, HIV-1 RNA, antiretroviral therapy, and incidence of AMI. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE Acute myocardial infarction. RESULTS We analyzed data on 82 459 participants. During a median follow-up of 5.9 years, there were 871 AMI events. Across 3 decades of age, the mean (95% CI) AMI events per 1000 person-years was consistently and significantly higher for HIV-positive compared with uninfected veterans: for those aged 40 to 49 years, 2.0 (1.6-2.4) vs 1.5 (1.3-1.7); for those aged 50 to 59 years, 3.9 (3.3-4.5) vs 2.2 (1.9-2.5); and for those aged 60 to 69 years, 5.0 (3.8-6.7) vs 3.3 (2.6-4.2) (P < .05 for all). After adjusting for Framingham risk factors, comorbidities, and substance use, HIV-positive veterans had an increased risk of incident AMI compared with uninfected veterans (hazard ratio, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.27-1.72). An excess risk remained among those achieving an HIV-1 RNA level less than 500 copies/mL compared with uninfected veterans in time-updated analyses (hazard ratio, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.17-1.66). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Infection with HIV is associated with a 50% increased risk of AMI beyond that explained by recognized risk factors.

Increasing Prevalence of HCC and Cirrhosis in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection

BACKGROUND & AIMS Patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are at risk for developing costly and morbid complications, although the actual prevalence of these complications is unknown. We examined time trends in the prevalence of cirrhosis and its related complications, such as hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS We calculated the annual prevalence of cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and HCC in a national sample of veterans diagnosed with HCV between 1996 and 2006. Patients with HCV who had at least one physician visit in a given calendar year were included in the analysis of prevalence for that year. We used direct standardization to adjust the prevalence of cirrhosis and related complications for increasing age of the cohort as well as sex and changes in clinical characteristics. RESULTS In this cohort, the number of individuals with HCV increased from 17,261 in 1996 to 106,242 in 2006. The prevalence of cirrhosis increased from 9% in 1996 to 18.5% in 2006. The prevalence of patients with decompensated cirrhosis doubled, from 5% in 1996 to 11% in 2006, whereas the prevalence of HCC increased approximately 20-fold (0.07% in 1996 to 1.3% in 2006). After adjustment, the time trend in the prevalence of cirrhosis (and its complications) was lower than the crude trend, although it still increased significantly. CONCLUSIONS The prevalence of cirrhosis and HCC in HCV-infected patients has increased significantly over the past 10 years. An aging cohort of patients with HCV could partly explain our findings. Clinicians and health care systems should develop strategies to provide timely and effective care to this high-risk population of patients.

HIV Infection and Risk for Incident Pulmonary Diseases in the Combination Antiretroviral Therapy Era

RATIONALE In aging HIV-infected populations comorbid diseases are important determinants of morbidity and mortality. Pulmonary diseases have not been systematically assessed in the combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) era. OBJECTIVES To determine the incidence of pulmonary diseases in HIV-infected persons compared with HIV-uninfected persons. METHODS We analyzed data from the Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort, consisting of 33,420 HIV-infected veterans and 66,840 age, sex, race and ethnicity, and site-matched HIV-uninfected veterans. Using Poisson regression, incidence rates and adjusted incidence rate ratios were calculated to determine the association of HIV with pulmonary disease. The Virtual Cohort was merged with the 1999 Veterans Large Health Survey to adjust for self-reported smoking in a nested sample (14%). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS Incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer, pulmonary hypertension, and pulmonary fibrosis, as well as pulmonary infections, were significantly more likely among HIV-infected patients compared with uninfected patients in adjusted analyses, although rates of asthma did not differ by HIV status. Bacterial pneumonia and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were the two most common incident pulmonary diseases, whereas opportunistic pneumonias were less common. Absolute rates of most pulmonary diseases increased with age, although the relative differences between those with and without HIV infection were greatest in younger persons. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma, as well as pulmonary infections, were less likely in those with lower HIV RNA levels and use of ART at baseline. CONCLUSIONS Pulmonary diseases among HIV-infected patients receiving care within the Veterans Affairs Healthcare System in the combination ART era reflect a substantial burden of non-AIDS-defining and chronic conditions, many of which are associated with aging.

HIV infection and the risk of diabetes mellitus.

Background:The influence of HIV infection on the risk of diabetes is unclear. We determined the association and predictors of prevalent diabetes mellitus in HIV infected and uninfected veterans. Methods:We determined baseline prevalence and risk factors for diabetes between HIV infected and uninfected veterans in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study. Logistic regression was used to determine the odds of diabetes in HIV infected and uninfected persons. Results:We studied 3227 HIV-infected and 3240 HIV-uninfected individuals. HIV-infected individuals were younger, more likely to be black males, have HCV coinfection and a lower BMI. HIV-infected individuals had a lower prevalence of diabetes at baseline (14.9 vs. 21.4%, P < 0.0001). After adjustment for known risk factors, HIV-infected individuals had a lower risk of diabetes (odds ratio = 0.84, 95% confidence interval = 0.72–0.97). Increasing age, male sex, minority race, and BMI were associated with an increased risk. The odds ratio for diabetes associated with increasing age, minority race and BMI were greater among HIV-infected veterans. HCV coinfection and nucleoside and nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor therapy were associated with a higher risk of diabetes in HIV-infected veterans. Conclusion:Although HIV infection itself is not associated with increased risk of diabetes, increasing age; HCV coinfection and BMI have a more profound effect upon the risk of diabetes among HIV-infected persons. Further, long-term ARV treatment also increases risk. Future studies will need to determine whether incidence of diabetes mellitus differs by HIV status.

Veterans aging cohort study (VACS) : Overview and description

Background:The Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) is a study of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected and uninfected patients seen in infectious disease and general medical clinics. VACS includes the earlier 3 and 5 site studies (VACS 3 and VACS 5) as well as the ongoing 8 site study. Objectives:We sought to provide background and context for analyses based upon VACS data, including study design and rationale as well as its basic protocol and the baseline characteristics of the enrolled sample. Research Design:We undertook a prospectively consented multisite observational study of veterans in care with and without HIV infection. Measures:Data were derived from patient and provider self report, telephone interviews, blood and DNA samples, focus groups, and full access to the national VA “paperless” electronic medical record system. Results:More than 7200 veterans have been enrolled in at least one of the studies. The 8 site study (VACS) has enrolled 2979 HIV-infected and 3019 HIV-uninfected age–race–site matched comparators and has achieved stratified enrollment targets for race/ethnicity and age and 99% of its total target enrollment as of October 30, 2005. Participants in VACS are similar to other veterans receiving care within the VA. VACS participants are older and more predominantly black than those reported by the Centers for Disease Control. Conclusions:VACS has assembled a rich, in-depth, and representative sample of veterans in care with and without HIV infection to conduct longitudinal analyses of questions concerning the association between alcohol use and related comorbid and AIDS-defining conditions.

HIV status, burden of comorbid disease, and biomarkers of inflammation, altered coagulation, and monocyte activation

BACKGROUND Biomarkers of inflammation, altered coagulation, and monocyte activation are associated with mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population and among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected people. We compared biomarkers for inflammation, altered coagulation, and monocyte activation between HIV-infected and uninfected people in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS). METHODS Biomarkers of inflammation (interleukin-6 [IL-6]), altered coagulation (d-dimer), and monocyte activation (soluble CD14 [sCD14]) were measured in blood samples from 1525 HIV-infected and 843 uninfected VACS participants. Logistic regression was used to determine the association between HIV infection and prevalence of elevated (>75th percentile) biomarkers, adjusting for confounding comorbidities. RESULTS HIV-infected veterans had less prevalent CVD, hypertension, diabetes, obesity, hazardous drinking, and renal disease, but more dyslipidemia, hepatitis C, and current smoking than uninfected veterans. Compared to uninfected veterans, HIV-infected veterans with HIV-1 RNA ≥500 copies/mL or CD4 count <200 cells/µL had a significantly higher prevalence of elevated IL-6 (odds ratio [OR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.14-2.09; OR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.60-3.16, respectively) and d-dimer (OR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.44-2.71, OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.22-2.32, respectively) after adjusting for comorbidities. HIV-infected veterans with a CD4 cell count <200 cells/µL had significantly higher prevalence of elevated sCD14 compared to uninfected veterans (OR, 2.60; 95% CI, 1.64-4.14). These associations still persisted after restricting the analysis to veterans without known confounding comorbid conditions. CONCLUSIONS These data suggest that ongoing HIV replication and immune depletion significantly contribute to increased prevalence of elevated biomarkers of inflammation, altered coagulation, and monocyte activation. This contribution is independent of and in addition to the substantial contribution from comorbid conditions.

Human Immunodeficiency Virus in an Aging Population, a Complication of Success

The proportion of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)‐infected patients aged 50 and older has greatly increased since the beginning of the epidemic, particularly since 1996, when combination antiretroviral therapy became available. By 2015, 50% of HIV‐infected individuals in the United States are likely to be aged 50 and older. The rate of progression of untreated HIV disease, response to therapy, and complicating effects of comorbidities differ in older and younger patients. Older untreated patients with HIV demonstrate faster rates of CD4+ cell loss and more rapid progression to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and death than younger individuals. Synergistic deleterious effects of chronic immune activation on the course of HIV infection with the immune senescence of aging may promote this accelerated course. Despite the increasing prevalence in older patients and cost‐effectiveness analyses that favor HIV testing, older patients are less likely to be routinely evaluated for HIV infection. Consequently, when diagnosed, older patients have more‐advanced disease than do younger patients and, upon presentation with AIDS‐defining conditions, are less likely to receive timely appropriate therapy. The treatment of older HIV‐infected patients is complicated by preexisting comorbid conditions, including cardiovascular, hepatic, and metabolic complications, which in turn may be exacerbated by the effects of HIV infection per se, modest immunodeficiency (i.e., at CD4+ counts >350 cells/μL), and the metabolic and other adverse effects of combination antiretroviral therapy. Nevertheless, older patients derive substantial benefit from combination antiretroviral therapy despite having less of an immunological response than expected given their adherence to therapy and excellent virological responses.

Hepatic Decompensation in Antiretroviral-Treated Patients Co-Infected With HIV and Hepatitis C Virus Compared With Hepatitis C Virus–Monoinfected Patients: A Cohort Study

Context Patients with HIV are often co-infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Whether treatment of HIV with antiretroviral therapy (ART) can improve HCV outcomes is a topic of interest. Contribution In a Veterans Affairs study, patients co-infected with HIV and HCV who had HIV RNA levels less than 1000 copies/mL had a lower rate of hepatic decompensation than those with less HIV suppression. However, the rate was still higher than that in HCV-monoinfected patients. Caution Few women were studied. Implication Patients co-infected with HIV and HCV remain at greater risk for poor outcomes from HCV infection than HCV-monoinfected patients despite viral suppression by ART. The Editors Co-infection with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) occurs in 10% to 30% of HIV-infected patients (14). The course of chronic HCV is accelerated in patients co-infected with HIV, with more rapid progression of liver fibrosis than in HCV-monoinfected patients (57). Consequently, HCV-related liver complications, particularly hepatic decompensation (defined by the presence of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, variceal hemorrhage, or hepatic encephalopathy [8]), have emerged as important causes of illness in co-infected patients (9, 10). Despite the importance of HCV-related end-stage liver disease, few longitudinal studies have evaluated the incidence and determinants of hepatic decompensation among patients co-infected with HIV and HCV during the antiretroviral therapy (ART) era. Previous studies suggest that ART slows progression of HCV-associated liver fibrosis, possibly by reducing HIV-related inflammation and immune dysfunction and inhibiting the ability of HIV to directly infect hepatocytes (1013). However, whether rates of hepatic decompensation and other severe liver events (for example, hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC] or liver-related death) in co-infected patients receiving ART are similar to those in HCV-monoinfected patients remains unclear. Furthermore, the determinants of hepatic decompensation among co-infected patients receiving ART are unknown. Determination of these factors could help define the mechanisms of decompensation in co-infected patients and could suggest interventions to reduce the risk for end-stage liver disease in this population. We first compared the incidence of hepatic decompensation between antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and HCV-monoinfected patients. We hypothesized that rates of decompensation would remain higher in co-infected patients despite ART. We then evaluated host and viral factors associated with decompensation among co-infected patients. Methods Study Design and Data Source We conducted a retrospective cohort study among antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and HCV-monoinfected patients in the VACS-VC (Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort) between 1 January 1997 and 30 September 2010 (14). The VACS-VC consists of electronic medical record data from HIV-infected patients receiving care at Veterans Affairs (VA) medical facilities across the United States. Each HIV-infected patient is matched on age, sex, race/ethnicity, and site to 2 HIV-uninfected persons. Data include hospital and outpatient diagnoses (recorded using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision [ICD-9], codes), procedures (recorded using CPT [Current Procedural Terminology] codes), laboratory results, and pharmacy data. Clinically confirmed cancer diagnoses are available from the VA Central Cancer Registry. Deaths are identified from the VA Vital Status file, which uses data from the Social Security Death Master File, Medicare Vital Status Files, and VA Beneficiary Identification and Records Locator Subsystem. For patients who died, principal cause of death can be determined by linkage with the National Death Index (15). In addition, U.S. Medicare and Medicaid claims data are available for veterans also enrolled in these programs and have been merged with VACS-VC data. Study Patients Co-infected patients were included if they had detectable HCV RNA, had recently initiated ART (defined as use of 3 antiretrovirals from 2 classes [16] or 3 nucleoside analogues [a previously accepted ART regimen] [17]) within the VA system, had an HIV RNA level greater than 500 copies/mL within 180 days before starting ART (to identify those who newly initiated ART [18]), and had been observed for at least 12 months in the VACS-VC after starting ART. Monoinfected patients had detectable HCV RNA, no recorded HIV ICD-9 diagnosis or antiretroviral prescriptions, and at least 12 months of observation in the VACS-VC. Patients were excluded if, during the baseline period (defined in the Statistical Analysis section), they had hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver transplantation or received interferon-based HCV therapy (because treatment reduces the risk for hepatic decompensation [19, 20]). Study Outcomes The primary outcome was incident hepatic decompensation, which was defined by 1 ICD-9 diagnosis of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or esophageal variceal hemorrhage at hospital discharge or 2 such outpatient diagnoses in the VACS-VC (Supplement 1). A prior study validated this determination, with 91% of events confirmed by medical records (21). The requirement of 2 outpatient diagnoses aimed to exclude events that were suspected but not subsequently confirmed at follow-up visits. On the basis of the results of the prior validation study (21), we did not include ICD-9 diagnoses for hepatic encephalopathy and jaundice, which could indicate decompensation, because these diagnoses frequently were linked to unrelated conditions (for example, narcotic overuse, stroke recorded as encephalopathy, or biliary obstruction or atazanavir-associated hyperbilirubinemia recorded as jaundice). Date of decompensation was defined as the hospital discharge date (if identified by hospital diagnosis) or initial outpatient diagnosis date (if identified by outpatient diagnosis). Supplement 1. ICD-9, ICD-10, and CPT Codes Secondary outcomes included incident hepatic decompensation (determined by the aforementioned ICD-9based definition) within the VACS-VC, Medicare, or Medicaid data (to capture outcomes occurring at non-VA hospitals that did not result in transfer to a VA facility; this outcome was secondary because non-VA events have not been validated); HCC; and severe liver events, a composite outcome of hepatic decompensation within the VACS-VC, HCC, or liver-related death. Hepatocellular carcinoma was determined using the VA Central Cancer Registry, which confirmed diagnoses by histologic or cytologic evaluation or consistent radiography. We classified deaths as liver-related if the underlying cause from the National Death Index was recorded as hepatic decompensation, liver cancer, alcoholic liver disease, viral hepatitis, or nonalcoholic liver disease (Supplement 1) (15). Data Collection Baseline data (Table 1) included age, sex, race/ethnicity, VA center patient volume, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus, alcohol dependence or abuse, injection or noninjection drug use, hepatitis B surface antigen status, HCV genotype, HCV RNA level, pre-ART CD4 cell count, pre-ART plasma HIV RNA level, and baseline antiretroviral regimen. Diabetes was defined as a random glucose level of at least 200 mg/dL or antidiabetic medication use (22, 23). Alcohol dependence or abuse (24) and injection or noninjection drug use (24, 25) were defined by previously validated ICD-9 diagnoses (Supplement 1). Baseline serum creatinine, hemoglobin, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels and platelet count were collected from dates closest to but before the start of follow-up. Baseline FIB-4 score, a noninvasive measure of advanced hepatic fibrosis, was determined as follows: [age in yearsAST level in U/L] / [(platelet count in109/L)(ALT level in U/L)1/2] (26). Because liver fibrosis can progress by 1 stage as early as within 4 years for antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV (7) and within 5 years for HCV-monoinfected persons (27), we determined baseline FIB-4 scores by using ALT levels, AST levels, and platelet counts within a 2-year period around the start of follow-up. Scores less than 1.45 indicate no or minimal fibrosis, and scores greater than 3.25 indicate advanced hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis in co-infected (26) and HCV-monoinfected patients (28). Table 1. Characteristics of the Study Cohorts Longitudinal data included hepatitis B surface antigen status, plasma HIV RNA level, diabetes, and liver transplantation (determined by diagnosis and procedural codes) (Supplement 1). Statistical Analysis The 12 months before the start of follow-up represented the baseline period for both cohorts. Follow-up began 12 months after ART initiation for co-infected patients and after 12 months in the VACS-VC for monoinfected patients. The rationale for defining the baseline period as the first year of receipt of ART for co-infected patients was that many of these patients initially entered care at the time of ART initiation, which was shortly after their HIV diagnosis. Follow-up continued until a study end point, death, initiation of HCV therapy, or the last visit before 30 September 2010, whichever came first. For descriptive purposes, we estimated incidence rates (events per 1000 person-years) of end points with 95% CIs, standardized by the age and race/ethnicity distribution of co-infected patients (29). We then used Cox models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for outcomes in co-infected compared with monoinfected patients (30). We controlled for all available clinically relevant variables in Table 1. The proportionality of hazards was evaluated by plots of Schoenfeld residuals (31). In a sensitivity analysis, we addressed the potential for informative censoring by using inverse probability of censoring weights and Cox regression (Supplement

Randomized trial of the quantitative and functional antibody responses to a 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine and/or 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine among HIV-infected adults.

In a double-blinded, randomized trial, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults with > or = 200 CD4 cells/microl received placebo (PL), 7-valent conjugate, or 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide (PS) vaccine in one of the following two-dose combinations given 8 weeks apart: conjugate-conjugate, conjugate-polysaccharide, placebo-polysaccharide, placebo-placebo. A total of 67 persons completed the study. Neither significant increases in HIV viral load nor severe adverse reactions occurred in any group. After controlling for confounders, when compared with persons receiving placebo-polysaccharide, persons receiving conjugate-conjugate and conjugate-polysaccharide had higher antibody concentrations (serotypes 4, 6B, 9V and serotype 23F, respectively) and opsonophagocytic titers (functional antibody assay, serotypes 9V, 23F and serotypes 4, 6B, 9V, respectively) after the second dose (P<0.05). The second dose with either conjugate or polysaccharide following the first conjugate dose, however, produced no further increase in immune responses.

Towards a combined prognostic index for survival in HIV infection: the role of 'non-HIV' biomarkers

As those with HIV infection live longer, ‘non‐AIDS’ condition associated with immunodeficiency and chronic inflammation are more common. We ask whether ‘non‐HIV’ biomarkers improve differentiation of mortality risk among individuals initiating combination antiretroviral therapy (cART).