Matthew E. Dupre

Educational differences in age-related patterns of disease: reconsidering the cumulative disadvantage and age-as-leveler hypotheses.

Some studies suggest that the relationship between education and health strengthens with age (cumulative disadvantage hypothesis), while other studies find that it weakens (age-as-leveler hypothesis). This research addresses this inconsistency by differentiating individual-level changes in health from those occurring at the aggregate level due to selective mortality. Using retrospective and prospective data from a nationally representative sample of U.S. adults, I examine educational differences in age-specific rates of disease prevalence, incidence, and survival. At the aggregate level, I find that educational differences in disease prevalence are largest at mid-life and then decline. At the individual level, however, disease incidence and mortality increase with age at a greater rate for less-educated persons compared to the well educated. These findings suggest that the cumulative disadvantage hypothesis explains how education affects the health of individuals with increasing age, whereas the leveling hypothesis describes the aggregated by-product of these educational disparities in health decline.

Association of Bystander and First-Responder Intervention With Survival After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in North Carolina, 2010-2013

IMPORTANCE Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest is associated with low survival, but early cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and defibrillation can improve outcomes if more widely adopted. OBJECTIVE To examine temporal changes in bystander and first-responder resuscitation efforts before arrival of the emergency medical services (EMS) following statewide initiatives to improve bystander and first-responder efforts in North Carolina from 2010-2013 and to examine the association between bystander and first-responder resuscitation efforts and survival and neurological outcome. DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS We studied 4961 patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest for whom resuscitation was attempted and who were identified through the Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival (2010-2013). First responders were dispatched police officers, firefighters, rescue squad, or life-saving crew trained to perform basic life support until arrival of the EMS. EXPOSURES Statewide initiatives to improve bystander and first-responder interventions included training members of the general population in CPR and in use of automated external defibrillators (AEDs), training first responders in team-based CPR including AED use and high-performance CPR, and training dispatch centers in recognition of cardiac arrest. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The proportion of bystander and first-responder resuscitation efforts, including the combination of efforts between bystanders and first responders, from 2010 through 2013 and the association between these resuscitation efforts and survival and neurological outcome. RESULTS The combination of bystander CPR and first-responder defibrillation increased from 14.1% (51 of 362; 95% CI, 10.9%-18.1%) in 2010 to 23.1% (104 of 451; 95% CI, 19.4%-27.2%) in 2013 (P < .01). Survival with favorable neurological outcome increased from 7.1% (82 of 1149; 95% CI, 5.8%-8.8%) in 2010 to 9.7% (129 of 1334; 95% CI, 8.2%-11.4%) in 2013 (P = .02) and was associated with bystander-initiated CPR. Adjusting for age and sex, bystander and first-responder interventions were associated with higher survival to hospital discharge. Survival following EMS-initiated CPR and defibrillation was 15.2% (30 of 198; 95% CI, 10.8%-20.9%) compared with 33.6% (38 of 113; 95% CI, 25.5%-42.9%) following bystander-initiated CPR and defibrillation (odds ratio [OR], 3.12; 95% CI, 1.78-5.46); 24.2% (83 of 343; 95% CI, 20.0%-29.0%) following bystander CPR and first-responder defibrillation (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.06-2.71); and 25.2% (109 of 432; 95% CI, 21.4%-29.6%) following first-responder CPR and defibrillation (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.13-2.77). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Following a statewide educational intervention on rescusitation training, the proportion of patients receiving bystander-initiated CPR and defibrillation by first responders increased and was associated with greater likelihood of survival. Bystander-initiated CPR was associated with greater likelihood of survival with favorable neurological outcome.

Marital Trajectories and Mortality Among US Adults

More than a century of empirical evidence links marital status to mortality. However, the hazards of dying associated with long-term marital trajectories and contributing risk factors are largely unknown. The authors used 1992-2006 prospective data from a cohort of US adults to investigate the impact of current marital status, marriage timing, divorce and widow transitions, and marital durations on mortality. Multivariate hazard ratios were significantly higher for adults currently divorced and widowed, married at young ages (< or =18 years), who accumulated divorce and widow transitions (among women), and who were divorced for 1-4 years. Results also showed significantly lower risks of mortality for men married after age 25 years compared with on time (ages 19-25 years) and among women experiencing > or =10 years of divorce and > or =5 years of widowhood relative to those without exposure to these statuses. For both sexes, accumulation of marriage duration was the most robust predictor of survival. Results from risk-adjusted models indicated that socioeconomic resources, health behaviors, and health status attenuated the associations in different ways for men and women. The study demonstrates that traditional measures oversimplify the relation between marital status and mortality and that sex differences are related to a nexus of marital experiences and associated health risks.

Frailty and Mortality Among Chinese at Advanced Ages

OBJECTIVES This study investigates the factors associated with frailty and the association of frailty with mortality in a national sample of adults aged 65-109 in China. METHODS Using the 2002 wave of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, we construct a frailty index (FI) based on 39 measures available in the data set. We use ordinal logistic regressions to examine the factors associated with the FI and use Weibull hazard regression to examine the association between frailty and 3-year mortality from 2002 to 2005. RESULTS Age, sex, ethnicity, urban-rural residence, economic condition, religious involvement, and daily exercise are significantly associated with levels of frailty. Hazard analyses further reveal that the FI is a robust predictor of mortality at advanced ages and that the relationship between frailty and mortality is independent of various covariates. Discussion The measurement and analysis of frailty have broad implications for public health initiatives designed to target individuals with the diminished capacity to effectively compensate for external stressors and to prevent further declines associated with aging and mortality. A key to healthy longevity is the prevention, postponement, and potential recovery from physical and cognitive deficits at advanced ages through enhanced medical interventions and treatments.

Structure and Stress: Trajectories of Depressive Symptoms across Adolescence and Young Adulthood

Previous research into the social distribution of early life depression has yielded inconsistent results regarding the causes and course of subgroup depression disparities. This study examines the topic by analyzing National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health data, modeling gender and racial/ethnic differences in early life depression trajectories and investigating the influences of stress and socioeconomic status. Results indicate females and minorities experience elevated depressive symptoms across early life compared to males and whites. SES and stressful life events explain much of the racial/ethnic disparities. Blacks, Hispanics and females show greater sensitivity to the effects of low SES, and in the case of females, SLEs. Overall, this study develops a nuanced, dynamic model of the multiplicative effects of social disadvantage on early life depression disparities.

Disaggregating the Effects of Marital Trajectories on Health

Recent studies linking marital status and health increasingly focus on marital trajectories to examine the relationship from a life course perspective. However, research has been slow to bridge the theoretical concept of a marital trajectory with its measurement. This study uses retrospective and prospective data to model the age-dependent effects of marital sequences, timing, transitions, and durations on physical health. Results indicate that marriage duration is associated with lower rates of disease for men and women; however, the effect is time dependent and contingent on other trajectory components. For females, marriage timing and the cumulative number of divorce transitions are also important for health. For males, divorce duration and widowhood transitions play an integral role in this process. The authors also find that marital typologies have no effect when the number of transitions is taken into account.

Rate- and Rhythm-Control Therapies in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major public health problem in the United States. More than 2.3 million Americans are estimated to have AF (1). The known association between AF and substantial mortality, morbidity, and health care costs compounds the effect of this condition. Not only is the risk for death in patients with AF twice that of patients without it, but AF can result in myocardial ischemia and infarction, exacerbate heart failure (HF), and cause tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy if the ventricular rate is not well-controlled (25). The most dreaded complication of AF is thromboembolism, especially stroke (6). In some patients, AF or therapies to manage this condition can severely depreciate quality of life (710). Furthermore, the management of AF and its complications is responsible for nearly

Changing health status and health expectancies among older adults in China: gender differences from 1992 to 2002.

16 billion in additional costs to the U.S. health care system per year (11). Despite the substantial public health effect of AF, uncertainties around its management remain. In particular, the comparative safety and effectiveness of different rate- and rhythm-control therapies for patients with AF are unclear. We conducted this systematic review to evaluate the comparative safety and effectiveness of rate- versus rhythm-control strategies; medications used for ventricular rate control; strict versus more lenient rate-control strategies; nonpharmacologic rate-control therapies versus medications; electrical cardioversion and antiarrhythmic medications for restoration of sinus rhythm; and catheter ablation, surgical ablation, and antiarrhythmic medications for maintenance of sinus rhythm. Methods We developed and followed a standard protocol for our review. Full details of our methods, search strategies, results, and conclusions are presented in a comparative effectiveness review commissioned by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) and are available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov (12). Data Sources and Searches We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews for studies published between 1 January 2000 and 12 November 2013. Data before 2000 have been summarized in an AHRQ report on the management of new-onset AF published in 2001 (1315). Study Selection We identified randomized, controlled trials (RCTs) published in English that were comparative assessments of pharmacologic or nonpharmacologic rate- or rhythm-control therapies aimed at treating adults with AF. Observational studies were also allowed for comparisons of strict versus lenient rate control or cardiac resynchronization therapy versus other rhythm-control therapies. The following outcomes were considered: restoration of sinus rhythm (conversion), maintenance of sinus rhythm, recurrence of AF at 12 months, development of cardiomyopathy, death (all-cause and cardiac), myocardial infarction, cardiovascular hospitalizations, HF symptoms, control of AF symptoms, quality of life, functional status, stroke and other embolic events, bleeding events, and adverse effects of therapy. Data Extraction and Quality Assessment One investigator abstracted and another confirmed data related to study setting and design, patient characteristics, details of treatment, comparators, and relevant outcomes. The quality of individual studies was evaluated using the approach described in AHRQs Methods Guide for Effectiveness and Comparative Effectiveness Reviews (16). Investigators also assessed factors that limited applicability of the evidence. Data Synthesis and Analysis For each treatment comparison and outcome of interest, we determined the feasibility of completing a quantitative synthesis (meta-analysis) based on the volume of relevant literature, conceptual homogeneity of the studies (both in terms of study population and outcomes), and completeness of the reporting of results. We considered meta-analysis for outcomes that at least 3 studies reported. For our evaluation of rate- versus rhythm-control strategies, we grouped all rate-control strategies together and all rhythm-control strategies together, regardless of the specific medication or procedure. We grouped pharmacologic interventions by class, considering rate-controlling calcium-channel blockers and all -blockers each to be similar enough to be grouped together. We categorized procedures into electrical cardioversion, atrioventricular node (AVN) ablation, AF ablation by pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) (by open surgical, minimally invasive, or transcatheter procedures), and different types of surgical maze procedures and explored comparisons among these categories. In addition, for the comparisons focusing on medications versus procedures, we also explored grouping all medications together and comparing them with all procedures. When a meta-analysis was appropriate, we used a random-effects model to synthesize the available evidence quantitatively using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis, version 2 (Biostat, Englewood, New Jersey). We used a standardized approach to rank the overall strength of evidence (SOE) for each outcome (16). Role of the Funding Source Primary funding was provided by AHRQ. Neither the technical experts nor AHRQ representatives had a role in the literature search, data analysis, interpretation of the data, or decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Results We screened 10495 abstracts, evaluated 570 full-text articles, and included 200 articles representing 162 studies involving 28836 patients (Figure 1). Tables 1 to 6 of the Supplement provide details about these studies and their populations for each topic described here. Table 7 of the Supplement lists identified and potential limitations of the studies. The full AHRQ report highlights additional findings (12). Figure 1. Summary of evidence search and selection. AAD = antiarrhythmic drug; CRT = cardiac resynchronization therapy; RCT = randomized, controlled trial. * Some studies were relevant to more than 1 topic. Supplement. Tables Rate- Versus Rhythm-Control Strategies We included 16 RCTs in this analysis: 13 compared pharmacologic rhythm-control versus rate-control strategies (1729) and 3 compared a rhythm-control strategy with PVI versus a rate-control strategy that involved AVN ablation and implantation of a pacemaker in 1 study (30) and rate-controlling medications in the other 2 (31, 32). Ten RCTs (17, 18, 2022, 2428) provided information on outcomes of interest and were combined quantitatively (Figure 2). Of these, 5 included only patients with persistent AF (2022, 25, 28), 1 included only patients with paroxysmal AF (17), and 4 included patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF (18, 24, 26, 27). Two studies (17, 22) compared a single-chamber pacemaker plus AVN ablation versus a dual-chamber pacemaker plus AVN ablation plus an antiarrhythmic medication; all others compared largely unspecified rate-control with rhythm-control strategies. Figure 2. Meta-analysis forest plots. AAD = antiarrhythmic drug; PVI = pulmonary vein isolation. A. All-cause mortality for rate- vs. rhythm-control strategies. B. Cardiovascular mortality for rate- vs. rhythm-control strategies. C. Stroke for rate- vs. rhythm-control strategies. D. Restoration of sinus rhythm for monophasic vs. biphasic waveforms. E. Maintenance of sinus rhythm for PVI vs. AAD therapy. Figure 2. Continued. Data from the included studies showed moderate SOE that pharmacologic rate- and rhythm-control strategies are of comparable efficacy with regard to their effect on all-cause mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.34 [95% CI, 0.89 to 2.02]; Q= 21.71; P= 0.003) (Figure 2, A) (18, 2022, 24, 2628), cardiac mortality (OR, 0.96 [CI, 0.77 to 1.20]; Q= 3.55; P= 0.47) (Figure 2, B) (18, 21, 22, 24, 25), and stroke (OR, 0.99 [CI, 0.76 to 1.30]; Q= 7.02; P= 0.43) (Figure 2, C) (17, 18, 2022, 24, 27, 28). Although the meta-analysis for all-cause mortality showed a potential benefit, it did not reach statistical significance and 6 of the 8 studies (6069 patients [95%]) had ORs that crossed 1, resulting in a final moderate SOE. For cardiac mortality (Figure 2, B), point estimates were inconsistent and CIs were wide for 2 of the 5 studies (18, 21), but there was no evidence of heterogeneity; therefore, our SOE rating was not affected. For the outcome of stroke, there was no evidence of heterogeneity, but the findings were mostly driven by 1 large, good-quality RCT (4060 patients), which was inconsistent with several of the smaller studies, reducing our confidence in the finding and in the SOE. These studies largely included older patients with mild AF symptoms. Three RCTs compared pharmacologic rate-control strategies with rhythm-control strategies using antiarrhythmic medications (17, 18, 22). These RCTs showed fewer cardiovascular hospitalizations with the rhythm-control strategies (17, 18, 22). Although data from 5 RCTs suggest that there is no difference between pharmacologic rate- and rhythm-control strategies in their effect on HF symptoms (17, 22, 24, 26, 46) (Table 1), a prespecified substudy of the Atrial Fibrillation and Congestive Heart Failure study showed that a higher proportion of time spent in sinus rhythm was associated with a greater improvement in New York Heart Association class (29). Table 1. Summary of SOE and Effect Estimates for Rate- Versus Rhythm-Control Strategies Three studies compared a rhythm-control strategy involving catheter ablation with a rate-control strategy involving rate-controlling medications (32) or AVN ablation combined with implantation of a pacemaker (30) or rate-controlling medications (31). One study showed that catheter ablation was better than pharmacologic rate control at improving symptoms, neurohormonal status, and objective physiologic exercise capacity (32). Another study showed that PVI isolation was superior to AVN ablation and pacemaker implantation in improving quality of life, 6-minute walk distance, and ejection fraction (30). Another study showed that PVI resulted in long-term restoration o

Frailty and type of death among older adults in China: prospective cohort study

Numerous studies document improvements in health status and health expectancies among older adults over time. However, most evidence is from developed nations and gender differences in health trends are often inconsistent. It remains unknown whether changes in health in developing countries resemble Western trends or whether patterns of health improvement are unique to the countrys epidemiologic transition and gender norms. Using two nationally representative samples of non-institutionalized adults in China aged 65 years and older, this study investigates gender differences in the improvements in disability, chronic disease prevalence, and self-rated health from 1992 to 2002. Results from multivariate logistic regression models show that all three indicators of health improved over the 10-year period, with the largest improvement in self-rated health. With the exception of disability, the health of women improved more than men. Using Sullivans decomposition methods, we also show that active life expectancy, disease-free life expectancy, and healthy life expectancy increased over this decade and were patterned differently according to gender. Overall, the findings demonstrate that China experienced broad health improvements during its early stages of the epidemiologic transition and that these changes were not uniform by gender. We discuss the public health implications of the findings in the context of Chinas rapidly aging population.

Religious attendance and mortality: Implications for the black-white mortality crossover

Objective To examine the association between frailty and type of death among the world’s largest oldest-old population in China. Design Prospective cohort study. Setting 2002 and 2005 waves of the Chinese longitudinal healthy longevity survey carried out in 22 provinces throughout China. Participants 13 717 older adults (aged ≥65). Main outcome measures Type of death, categorised as being bedridden for fewer than 30 days with or without suffering and being bedridden for 30 or more days with or without suffering. Results Multinomial analyses showed that higher levels of frailty significantly increased the relative risk ratios of mortality for all types of death. Of those with the highest levels of frailty, men were most likely to experience 30 or more bedridden days with suffering before death (relative risk ratio 8.70, 95% confidence interval 6.31 to 12.00) and women 30 or more bedridden days with no suffering (11.53, 17.84 to 16.96). Regardless of frailty, centenarians and nonagenarians were most likely to experience fewer than 30 bedridden days with no suffering, whereas those aged 65-79 and 80-89 were more likely to experience fewer than 30 bedridden days with suffering. Adjusting for compositional differences had little impact on the link between frailty and type of death for both sexes and age groups. Conclusions The association between frailty and type of death differs by sex and age. Health scholars and clinical practitioners should consider age and sex differences in frailty to develop more effective measures to reduce preventable suffering before death.