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Featured researches published by Melissa R. Spears.


The Lancet | 2016

Addition of docetaxel, zoledronic acid, or both to first-line long-term hormone therapy in prostate cancer (STAMPEDE): Survival results from an adaptive, multiarm, multistage, platform randomised controlled trial

Nicholas D. James; Matthew R. Sydes; Noel W. Clarke; Malcolm David Mason; David P. Dearnaley; Melissa R. Spears; Alastair W. S. Ritchie; Chris Parker; J. Martin Russell; Gerhardt Attard; Johann S. de Bono; William Cross; Robert Jones; George N. Thalmann; Claire Amos; David Matheson; Robin Millman; Mymoona Alzouebi; Sharon Beesley; Alison J. Birtle; Susannah Brock; Richard Cathomas; Prabir Chakraborti; Simon Chowdhury; Audrey Cook; Tony Elliott; Joanna Gale; Stephanie Gibbs; John Graham; John Hetherington

Summary Background Long-term hormone therapy has been the standard of care for advanced prostate cancer since the 1940s. STAMPEDE is a randomised controlled trial using a multiarm, multistage platform design. It recruits men with high-risk, locally advanced, metastatic or recurrent prostate cancer who are starting first-line long-term hormone therapy. We report primary survival results for three research comparisons testing the addition of zoledronic acid, docetaxel, or their combination to standard of care versus standard of care alone. Methods Standard of care was hormone therapy for at least 2 years; radiotherapy was encouraged for men with N0M0 disease to November, 2011, then mandated; radiotherapy was optional for men with node-positive non-metastatic (N+M0) disease. Stratified randomisation (via minimisation) allocated men 2:1:1:1 to standard of care only (SOC-only; control), standard of care plus zoledronic acid (SOC + ZA), standard of care plus docetaxel (SOC + Doc), or standard of care with both zoledronic acid and docetaxel (SOC + ZA + Doc). Zoledronic acid (4 mg) was given for six 3-weekly cycles, then 4-weekly until 2 years, and docetaxel (75 mg/m2) for six 3-weekly cycles with prednisolone 10 mg daily. There was no blinding to treatment allocation. The primary outcome measure was overall survival. Pairwise comparisons of research versus control had 90% power at 2·5% one-sided α for hazard ratio (HR) 0·75, requiring roughly 400 control arm deaths. Statistical analyses were undertaken with standard log-rank-type methods for time-to-event data, with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs derived from adjusted Cox models. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00268476) and ControlledTrials.com (ISRCTN78818544). Findings 2962 men were randomly assigned to four groups between Oct 5, 2005, and March 31, 2013. Median age was 65 years (IQR 60–71). 1817 (61%) men had M+ disease, 448 (15%) had N+/X M0, and 697 (24%) had N0M0. 165 (6%) men were previously treated with local therapy, and median prostate-specific antigen was 65 ng/mL (IQR 23–184). Median follow-up was 43 months (IQR 30–60). There were 415 deaths in the control group (347 [84%] prostate cancer). Median overall survival was 71 months (IQR 32 to not reached) for SOC-only, not reached (32 to not reached) for SOC + ZA (HR 0·94, 95% CI 0·79–1·11; p=0·450), 81 months (41 to not reached) for SOC + Doc (0·78, 0·66–0·93; p=0·006), and 76 months (39 to not reached) for SOC + ZA + Doc (0·82, 0·69–0·97; p=0·022). There was no evidence of heterogeneity in treatment effect (for any of the treatments) across prespecified subsets. Grade 3–5 adverse events were reported for 399 (32%) patients receiving SOC, 197 (32%) receiving SOC + ZA, 288 (52%) receiving SOC + Doc, and 269 (52%) receiving SOC + ZA + Doc. Interpretation Zoledronic acid showed no evidence of survival improvement and should not be part of standard of care for this population. Docetaxel chemotherapy, given at the time of long-term hormone therapy initiation, showed evidence of improved survival accompanied by an increase in adverse events. Docetaxel treatment should become part of standard of care for adequately fit men commencing long-term hormone therapy. Funding Cancer Research UK, Medical Research Council, Novartis, Sanofi-Aventis, Pfizer, Janssen, Astellas, NIHR Clinical Research Network, Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research.


The New England Journal of Medicine | 2017

Abiraterone for prostate cancer not previously treated with hormone therapy

Nicholas D. James; Johann S. de Bono; Melissa R. Spears; Noel W. Clarke; Malcolm David Mason; David P. Dearnaley; Alastair W. S. Ritchie; Claire Amos; Clare Gilson; Robert Jones; David Matheson; Robin Millman; Gerhardt Attard; Simon Chowdhury; William Cross; Silke Gillessen; Chris Parker; J. Martin Russell; Dominik R. Berthold; Chris Brawley; Fawzi Adab; San Aung; Alison J. Birtle; Jo Bowen; Susannah Brock; Prabir Chakraborti; Catherine Ferguson; Joanna Gale; Emma Gray; Mohan Hingorani

Background Abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone improves survival in men with relapsed prostate cancer. We assessed the effect of this combination in men starting long‐term androgen‐deprivation therapy (ADT), using a multigroup, multistage trial design. Methods We randomly assigned patients in a 1:1 ratio to receive ADT alone or ADT plus abiraterone acetate (1000 mg daily) and prednisolone (5 mg daily) (combination therapy). Local radiotherapy was mandated for patients with node‐negative, nonmetastatic disease and encouraged for those with positive nodes. For patients with nonmetastatic disease with no radiotherapy planned and for patients with metastatic disease, treatment continued until radiologic, clinical, or prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) progression; otherwise, treatment was to continue for 2 years or until any type of progression, whichever came first. The primary outcome measure was overall survival. The intermediate primary outcome was failure‐free survival (treatment failure was defined as radiologic, clinical, or PSA progression or death from prostate cancer). Results A total of 1917 patients underwent randomization from November 2011 through January 2014. The median age was 67 years, and the median PSA level was 53 ng per milliliter. A total of 52% of the patients had metastatic disease, 20% had node‐positive or node‐indeterminate nonmetastatic disease, and 28% had node‐negative, nonmetastatic disease; 95% had newly diagnosed disease. The median follow‐up was 40 months. There were 184 deaths in the combination group as compared with 262 in the ADT‐alone group (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52 to 0.76; P<0.001); the hazard ratio was 0.75 in patients with nonmetastatic disease and 0.61 in those with metastatic disease. There were 248 treatment‐failure events in the combination group as compared with 535 in the ADT‐alone group (hazard ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.25 to 0.34; P<0.001); the hazard ratio was 0.21 in patients with nonmetastatic disease and 0.31 in those with metastatic disease. Grade 3 to 5 adverse events occurred in 47% of the patients in the combination group (with nine grade 5 events) and in 33% of the patients in the ADT‐alone group (with three grade 5 events). Conclusions Among men with locally advanced or metastatic prostate cancer, ADT plus abiraterone and prednisolone was associated with significantly higher rates of overall and failure‐free survival than ADT alone. (Funded by Cancer Research U.K. and others; STAMPEDE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00268476, and Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN78818544.)


European Urology | 2015

Survival with Newly Diagnosed Metastatic Prostate Cancer in the “Docetaxel Era”: Data from 917 Patients in the Control Arm of the STAMPEDE Trial (MRC PR08, CRUK/06/019)

Nicholas D. James; Melissa R. Spears; Noel W. Clarke; David P. Dearnaley; Johann S. de Bono; Joanna Gale; John Hetherington; Peter Hoskin; Robert Jones; Robert Laing; J.F. Lester; Duncan B. McLaren; Chris Parker; Mahesh K. B. Parmar; A.W.S. Ritchie; J. Martin Russell; Räto T. Strebel; George N. Thalmann; Malcolm David Mason; Matthew R. Sydes

BACKGROUND Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second most common disease among men worldwide. It is important to know survival outcomes and prognostic factors for this disease. Recruitment for the largest therapeutic randomised controlled trial in PCa--the Systemic Therapy in Advancing or Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Evaluation of Drug Efficacy: A Multi-Stage Multi-Arm Randomised Controlled Trial (STAMPEDE)--includes men with newly diagnosed metastatic PCa who are commencing long-term androgen deprivation therapy (ADT); the control arm provides valuable data for a prospective cohort. OBJECTIVE Describe survival outcomes, along with current treatment standards and factors associated with prognosis, to inform future trial design in this patient group. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS STAMPEDE trial control arm comprising men newly diagnosed with M1 disease who were recruited between October 2005 and January 2014. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Overall survival (OS) and failure-free survival (FFS) were reported by primary disease characteristics using Kaplan-Meier methods. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were derived from multivariate Cox models. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS A cohort of 917 men with newly diagnosed M1 disease was recruited to the control arm in the specified interval. Median follow-up was 20 mo. Median age at randomisation was 66 yr (interquartile range [IQR]: 61-71), and median prostate-specific antigen level was 112 ng/ml (IQR: 34-373). Most men (n=574; 62%) had bone-only metastases, whereas 237 (26%) had both bone and soft tissue metastases; soft tissue metastasis was found mainly in distant lymph nodes. There were 238 deaths, 202 (85%) from PCa. Median FFS was 11 mo; 2-yr FFS was 29% (95% CI, 25-33). Median OS was 42 mo; 2-yr OS was 72% (95% CI, 68-76). Survival time was influenced by performance status, age, Gleason score, and metastases distribution. Median survival after FFS event was 22 mo. Trial eligibility criteria meant men were younger and fitter than general PCa population. CONCLUSIONS Survival remains disappointing in men presenting with M1 disease who are started on only long-term ADT, despite active treatments being available at first failure of ADT. Importantly, men with M1 disease now spend the majority of their remaining life in a state of castration-resistant relapse. PATIENT SUMMARY Results from this control arm cohort found survival is relatively short and highly influenced by patient age, fitness, and where prostate cancer has spread in the body.


European Urology | 2014

Combining Enzalutamide with Abiraterone, Prednisone, and Androgen Deprivation Therapy in the STAMPEDE Trial

Gerhardt Attard; Matthew R. Sydes; Malcolm David Mason; Noel W. Clarke; Daniel M. Aebersold; Johann S. de Bono; David P. Dearnaley; Chris Parker; A.W.S. Ritchie; J. Martin Russell; George N. Thalmann; Estelle Cassoly; Robin Millman; David Matheson; Francesca Schiavone; Melissa R. Spears; Mahesh K. B. Parmar; Nicholas D. James

There are compelling reasons to study the addition of both enzalutamide and abiraterone, in combination, to standard-of-care for hormone-naïve prostate cancer. Through a protocol amendment, this will be assessed in the STAMPEDE trial, with overall survival as primary outcome measure.


European Journal of Cancer | 2017

Adding abiraterone to androgen deprivation therapy in men with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Larysa Rydzewska; Sarah Burdett; Claire Vale; Nw Clarke; Karim Fizazi; Thian Kheoh; Malcolm David Mason; Branko Miladinovic; Nicholas D. James; Mahesh K.B. Parmar; Melissa R. Spears; Christopher Sweeney; Matthew R. Sydes; Namphuong Tran; Jayne Tierney

Background There is a need to synthesise the results of numerous randomised controlled trials evaluating the addition of therapies to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for men with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). This systematic review aims to assess the effects of adding abiraterone acetate plus prednisone/prednisolone (AAP) to ADT. Methods Using our framework for adaptive meta-analysis (FAME), we started the review process before trials had been reported and worked collaboratively with trial investigators to anticipate when eligible trial results would emerge. Thus, we could determine the earliest opportunity for reliable meta-analysis and take account of unavailable trials in interpreting results. We searched multiple sources for trials comparing AAP plus ADT versus ADT in men with mHSPC. We obtained results for the primary outcome of overall survival (OS), secondary outcomes of clinical/radiological progression-free survival (PFS) and grade III–IV and grade V toxicity direct from trial teams. Hazard ratios (HRs) for the effects of AAP plus ADT on OS and PFS, Peto Odds Ratios (Peto ORs) for the effects on acute toxicity and interaction HRs for the effects on OS by patient subgroups were combined across trials using fixed-effect meta-analysis. Findings We identified three eligible trials, one of which was still recruiting (PEACE-1 (NCT01957436)). Results from the two remaining trials (LATITUDE (NCT01715285) and STAMPEDE (NCT00268476)), representing 82% of all men randomised to AAP plus ADT versus ADT (without docetaxel in either arm), showed a highly significant 38% reduction in the risk of death with AAP plus ADT (HR = 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.53–0.71, p = 0.55 × 10−10), that translates into a 14% absolute improvement in 3-year OS. Despite differences in PFS definitions across trials, we also observed a consistent and highly significant 55% reduction in the risk of clinical/radiological PFS (HR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.40–0.51, p = 0.66 × 10−36) with the addition of AAP, that translates to a 28% absolute improvement at 3 years. There was no evidence of a difference in the OS benefit by Gleason sum score, performance status or nodal status, but the size of the benefit may vary by age. There were more grade III–IV acute cardiac, vascular and hepatic toxicities with AAP plus ADT but no excess of other toxicities or death. Interpretation Adding AAP to ADT is a clinically effective treatment option for men with mHSPC, offering an alternative to docetaxel for men who are starting treatment for the first time. Future research will need to address which of these two agents or whether their combination is most effective, and for whom.


Journal of Clinical Oncology | 2017

Adding Celecoxib With or Without Zoledronic Acid for Hormone-Naïve Prostate Cancer: Long-Term Survival Results From an Adaptive, Multiarm, Multistage, Platform, Randomized Controlled Trial

Malcolm David Mason; Noel W. Clarke; Nicholas D. James; David P. Dearnaley; Melissa R. Spears; Alastair W. S. Ritchie; Gerhardt Attard; William Cross; Robert Jones; Chris Parker; J. Martin Russell; George N. Thalmann; Francesca Schiavone; Estelle Cassoly; David Matheson; Robin Millman; Cyrill A. Rentsch; Jim Barber; Clare Gilson; Azman Ibrahim; John P Logue; Anna Lydon; Ashok Nikapota; Joe M. O'Sullivan; Emilio Porfiri; Andrew Protheroe; Narayanan Srihari; David Tsang; John Wagstaff; Jan Wallace

Purpose Systemic Therapy for Advanced or Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Evaluation of Drug Efficacy is a randomized controlled trial using a multiarm, multistage, platform design. It recruits men with high-risk, locally advanced or metastatic prostate cancer who were initiating long-term hormone therapy. We report survival data for two celecoxib (Cel)-containing comparisons, which stopped accrual early at interim analysis on the basis of failure-free survival. Patients and Methods Standard of care (SOC) was hormone therapy continuously (metastatic) or for ≥ 2 years (nonmetastatic); prostate (± pelvic node) radiotherapy was encouraged for men without metastases. Cel 400 mg was administered twice a day for 1 year. Zoledronic acid (ZA) 4 mg was administered for six 3-weekly cycles, then 4-weekly for 2 years. Stratified random assignment allocated patients 2:1:1 to SOC (control), SOC + Cel, or SOC + ZA + Cel. The primary outcome measure was all-cause mortality. Results were analyzed with Cox proportional hazards and flexible parametric models adjusted for stratification factors. Results A total of 1,245 men were randomly assigned (Oct 2005 to April 2011). Groups were balanced: median age, 65 years; 61% metastatic, 14% N+/X M0, 25% N0M0; 94% newly diagnosed; median prostate-specific antigen, 66 ng/mL. Median follow-up was 69 months. Grade 3 to 5 adverse events were seen in 36% SOC-only, 33% SOC + Cel, and 32% SOC + ZA + Cel patients. There were 303 control arm deaths (83% prostate cancer), and median survival was 66 months. Compared with SOC, the adjusted hazard ratio was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.80 to 1.20; P = .847; median survival, 70 months) for SOC + Cel and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.70 to 1.05; P =.130; median survival, 76 months) for SOC + ZA + Cel. Preplanned subgroup analyses in men with metastatic disease showed a hazard ratio of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.98; P = .033) for SOC + ZA + Cel. Conclusion These data show no overall evidence of improved survival with Cel. Preplanned subgroup analyses provide hypotheses for future studies.


Annals of Oncology | 2018

Adding abiraterone or docetaxel to long-term hormone therapy for prostate cancer: directly randomised data from the STAMPEDE multi-arm, multi-stage platform protocol

Matthew R. Sydes; Melissa R. Spears; M.D. Mason; Nw Clarke; David P. Dearnaley; Johann S. de Bono; G. Attard; Simon Chowdhury; Bill Cross; Silke Gillessen; Zaf Malik; Robert Jones; Chris Parker; A.W.S. Ritchie; J. Martin Russell; Robin Millman; David Matheson; Claire Amos; Clare Gilson; Alison J. Birtle; Susannah Brock; Lisa Capaldi; Prabir Chakraborti; Ananya Choudhury; Linda Evans; Daniel Ford; Joanna Gale; Stephanie Gibbs; Duncan C. Gilbert; Robert Hughes

Abstract Background Adding abiraterone acetate with prednisolone (AAP) or docetaxel with prednisolone (DocP) to standard-of-care (SOC) each improved survival in systemic therapy for advanced or metastatic prostate cancer: evaluation of drug efficacy: a multi-arm multi-stage platform randomised controlled protocol recruiting patients with high-risk locally advanced or metastatic PCa starting long-term androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). The protocol provides the only direct, randomised comparative data of SOC + AAP versus SOC + DocP. Method Recruitment to SOC + DocP and SOC + AAP overlapped November 2011 to March 2013. SOC was long-term ADT or, for most non-metastatic cases, ADT for ≥2 years and RT to the primary tumour. Stratified randomisation allocated pts 2 : 1 : 2 to SOC; SOC + docetaxel 75 mg/m2 3-weekly×6 + prednisolone 10 mg daily; or SOC + abiraterone acetate 1000 mg + prednisolone 5 mg daily. AAP duration depended on stage and intent to give radical RT. The primary outcome measure was death from any cause. Analyses used Cox proportional hazards and flexible parametric models, adjusted for stratification factors. This was not a formally powered comparison. A hazard ratio (HR) <1 favours SOC + AAP, and HR > 1 favours SOC + DocP. Results A total of 566 consenting patients were contemporaneously randomised: 189 SOC + DocP and 377 SOC + AAP. The patients, balanced by allocated treatment were: 342 (60%) M1; 429 (76%) Gleason 8–10; 449 (79%) WHO performance status 0; median age 66 years and median PSA 56 ng/ml. With median follow-up 4 years, 149 deaths were reported. For overall survival, HR = 1.16 (95% CI 0.82–1.65); failure-free survival HR = 0.51 (95% CI 0.39–0.67); progression-free survival HR = 0.65 (95% CI 0.48–0.88); metastasis-free survival HR = 0.77 (95% CI 0.57–1.03); prostate cancer-specific survival HR = 1.02 (0.70–1.49); and symptomatic skeletal events HR = 0.83 (95% CI 0.55–1.25). In the safety population, the proportion reporting ≥1 grade 3, 4 or 5 adverse events ever was 36%, 13% and 1% SOC + DocP, and 40%, 7% and 1% SOC + AAP; prevalence 11% at 1 and 2 years on both arms. Relapse treatment patterns varied by arm. Conclusions This direct, randomised comparative analysis of two new treatment standards for hormone-naïve prostate cancer showed no evidence of a difference in overall or prostate cancer-specific survival, nor in other important outcomes such as symptomatic skeletal events. Worst toxicity grade over entire time on trial was similar but comprised different toxicities in line with the known properties of the drugs. Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT00268476.


European Journal of Cancer | 2015

19LBA Docetaxel (Doc) +/− zoledronic acid (ZA) for hormone-naive prostate cancer: First overall survival results from STAMPEDE & treatment effects within subgroups (NCT00268476)

N.D. James; Matthew R. Sydes; M.D. Mason; Noel W. Clarke; David P. Dearnaley; Melissa R. Spears; R. Millman; Chris Parker; A.W.S. Ritchie; J.M. Russell; John Nicholas Staffurth; Robert Jones; Richard Cathomas; A. Robinson; Simon Chowdhury; D. Tsang; S. Brock; O. Parikh; John Graham; Mona Parmar

N.D. James, M.R. Sydes, M.D. Mason, N.W. Clarke, D.P. Dearnaley, M.R. Spears, R. Millman, C.C. Parker, A.W.S. Ritchie, J.M. Russell, J. Staffurth, R.J. Jones, R. Cathomas, A. Robinson, S. Chowdhury, D. Tsang, S. Brock, O. Parikh, J.D. Graham, M.K.B. Parmar. Warwick University, Clinical Trials Unit, Coventry, United Kingdom; Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute for Clinical Trials and Methodology, London, United Kingdom; Cardiff University, School of Medicine, Cardiff, United Kingdom; The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Department of Urology, Manchester, United Kingdom; The Institute of Cancer Research and Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Trust, Academic Unit of Radiotherapy, London, United Kingdom; Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Patient Representative, NA, United Kingdom; The Royal Marsden Hospital, Department of Radiotherapy, London, United Kingdom; Beatson West of Scotland Cancer Centre, Institute of Cancer Sciences, Glasgow, United Kingdom; Cardiff University and Velindre NHS Trust, School of Medicine, Cardiff, United Kingdom; Kantonsspital Graubunden, Department of Oncology, Chur, Switzerland; Sussex Cancer Centre, Royal Sussex County Hospital, Brighton, United Kingdom; Guy’s Hospital, Department of Medical Oncology, London, United Kingdom; Southend & Basildon Hospitals, Department of Oncology, Southend, United Kingdom; Poole Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and Royal Bournemouth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Department of Oncology, Poole, United Kingdom; East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust, Department of Oncology, Blackburn, United Kingdom; Musgrove Park Hospital, Oncology and Haematology Clinical Trials Unit, Taunton, United Kingdom


Annals of Oncology | 2018

What is the optimal systemic treatment of men with metastatic, hormone-naive prostate cancer? A STOPCAP systematic review and network meta-analysis

Claire Vale; Dj Fisher; Ir White; J. Carpenter; Sarah Burdett; Nw Clarke; Karim Fizazi; Gwenaelle Gravis; Nicholas D. James; Malcolm David Mason; Mahesh K.B. Parmar; Larysa Rydzewska; Christopher Sweeney; Melissa R. Spears; Matthew R. Sydes; Jayne Tierney

Abstract Background Our prior Systemic Treatment Options for Cancer of the Prostate systematic reviews showed improved survival for men with metastatic hormone-naive prostate cancer when abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone/prednisone (AAP) or docetaxel (Doc), but not zoledronic acid (ZA), were added to androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT). Trial evidence also suggests a benefit of combining celecoxib (Cel) with ZA and ADT. To establish the optimal treatments, a network meta-analysis (NMA) was carried out based on aggregate data (AD) from all available studies. Methods Overall survival (OS) and failure-free survival data from completed Systemic Treatment Options for Cancer of the Prostate reviews of Doc, ZA and AAP and from recent trials of ZA and Cel contributed to this comprehensive AD-NMA. The primary outcome was OS. Correlations between treatment comparisons within one multi-arm, multi-stage trial were estimated from control-arm event counts. Network consistency and a common heterogeneity variance were assumed. Results We identified 10 completed trials which had closed to recruitment, and one trial in which recruitment was ongoing, as eligible for inclusion. Results are based on six trials including 6204 men (97% of men randomised in all completed trials). Network estimates of effects on OS were consistent with reported comparisons with ADT alone for AAP [hazard ration (HR) = 0.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.53–0.71], Doc (HR = 0.77, 95% CI 0.68–0.87), ZA + Cel (HR = 0.78, 95% CI 0.62–0.97), ZA + Doc (HR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.66–0.94), Cel (HR = 0.94 95% CI 0.75–1.17) and ZA (HR = 0.90 95% CI 0.79–1.03). The effect of ZA + Cel is consistent with the additive effects of the individual treatments. Results suggest that AAP has the highest probability of being the most effective treatment both for OS (94% probability) and failure-free survival (100% probability). Doc was the second-best treatment of OS (35% probability). Conclusions Uniquely, we have included all available results and appropriately accounted for inclusion of multi-arm, multi-stage trials in this AD-NMA. Our results support the use of AAP or Doc with ADT in men with metastatic hormone-naive prostate cancer. AAP appears to be the most effective treatment, but it is not clear to what extent and whether this is due to a true increased benefit with AAP or the variable features of the individual trials. To fully account for patient variability across trials, changes in prognosis or treatment effects over time and the potential impact of treatment on progression, a network meta-analysis based on individual participant data is in development.


Annals of Oncology | 2014

754OIMPACT OF NODE STATUS AND RADIOTHERAPY ON FAILURE-FREE SURVIVAL IN PATIENTS WITH NEWLY DIAGNOSED NON-METASTATIC PROSTATE CANCER: DATA FROM >690 PATIENTS IN THE CONTROL ARM OF THE STAMPEDE TRIAL

Nicholas D. James; Melissa R. Spears; Noel W. Clarke; Matthew R. Sydes; Chris Parker; D. Dearnaley; J.M. Russell; A.W.S. Ritchie; George N. Thalmann; J. S. De Bono; Gerhardt Attard; Claire Amos; Mona Parmar; Malcolm David Mason

Aim The natural history of patients (pts) with newly diagnosed high-risk non-metastatic (M0) prostate cancer receiving androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) either alone or with standard of care radiotherapy (RT) at 6 to 9 months is not well documented. Further, no RCT has tested RT in N + M0 patients; none are planned. The STAMPEDE RCT (NCT00268476; MRC PR08; CRUK/06/019) includes such pts & allows exploratory multivariate analysis of radical RTs impact. We report data from trial pts. We hypothesised that planning RT in N + M0 pts improves survival outcomes. Methods Newly diagnosed pts with confirmed M0 disease in the control arm (standard of care = ADT planned for >2yr), diagnosed <6 months pre-randomisation & on ADT for 0-12 weeks already, were identified from trial records in Jan-2014. RT is encouraged in this group, but only mandated for N0M0 pts since Nov-2011. We report failure-free survival (FFS), driven by PSA failure, & overall survival (OS); split by nodal involvement & reported RT status. Standard survival analysis methods were used, adjusting for age & PSA. Results 5272 men were recruited Oct-2005 to Jan-2014, including a cohort of 694 M0 pts with newly diagnosed disease allocated to the control arm: median age 66yr (IQR 61-71), median time from diagnosis to randomisation 2.6m (IQR 2.0-3.3) & median PSA 42ng/ml (IQR 17-88) at diagnosis. By Jan-2014, there were 34 deaths; 25 from prostate cancer. Median follow-up is short, but 2yr OS is 95% (95%CI 92, 97) & 2yr FFS is 79% (95%CI 75, 83). Median FFS is 63 months; 79% (94/119) report PSA failure-only as first FFS event. Time to FFS is worse in N+ pts (HR 1.87, 95%CI 1.29-2.72). Baseline characteristics were comparable by planned RT status, but N0M0 pts planned for RT had lower PSA at diagnosis & more WHO PS = 0. The Table shows that FFS outcomes clearly favour the planned use of RT.

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David P. Dearnaley

Institute of Cancer Research

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Chris Parker

The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust

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A.W.S. Ritchie

University College London

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Robert Jones

Beatson West of Scotland Cancer Centre

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David Matheson

University of Wolverhampton

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Robin Millman

University College London

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