Micha Barchana

Light at Night Co‐distributes with Incident Breast but not Lung Cancer in the Female Population of Israel

Recent studies of shift‐working women have reported that excessive exposure to light at night (LAN) may be a risk factor for breast cancer. However, no studies have yet attempted to examine the co‐distribution of LAN and breast cancer incidence on a population level with the goal to assess the coherence of these earlier findings with population trends. Coherence is one of Hills “criteria” (actually, viewpoints) for an inference of causality. Nighttime satellite images were used to estimate LAN levels in 147 communities in Israel. Multiple regression analysis was performed to investigate the association between LAN and breast cancer incidence rates and, as a test of the specificity of our method, lung cancer incidence rates in women across localities under the prediction of a link with breast cancer but not lung cancer. After adjusting for several variables available on a population level, such as ethnic makeup, birth rate, population density, and local income level, a strong positive association between LAN intensity and breast cancer rate was revealed (p<0.05), and this association strengthened (p<0.01) when only statistically significant factors were filtered out by stepwise regression analysis. Concurrently, no association was found between LAN intensity and lung cancer rate. These results provide coherence of the previously reported case‐control and cohort studies with the co‐distribution of LAN and breast cancer on a population basis. The analysis yielded an estimated 73% higher breast cancer incidence in the highest LAN exposed communities compared to the lowest LAN exposed communities.

Cancer in schizophrenia: is the risk higher or lower?

Studies exploring the relationship between schizophrenia and cancer have shown conflicting results. Our study explores this association in three Jewish-Israeli population groups defined by their continent/place of birth (Israel, Europe-America, and Africa-Asia). The identification of the patients was made through the linkage of the nationwide psychiatric and cancer registries. The incidence of cancer in patients diagnosed with schizophrenia was compared with the incidence in the general population. The results showed that the cancer standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for all sites were significantly lower among men and women with schizophrenia, 0.86 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80-0.93] and 0.91 (95% CI 0.85-0.97), respectively. This reduced overall risk was clearest for those born in Europe-America, both men (SIR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74-0.97) and women (SIR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.94). Among women diagnosed with schizophrenia, the SIR was statistically higher for cancer in the breast among those born in Asia-Africa (1.37, 95% CI 1.12-1.63) and in the corpus uteri among the Israel-born (2.75, 95% CI 1.69-3.81) than among their counterparts in the general population. Lung cancer was significantly higher in men born in Asia-Africa diagnosed with schizophrenia than in the respective comparison population group (1.58, 95% CI 1.13-2.2). Our findings, and those of the literature, justify conducting a multinational study that includes identification of cancer-related risk factors among patients with schizophrenia and their families, and information on the use of psychotropic medications. This effort may clarify an epidemiological puzzle that remains outstanding.

A higher detection rate for colorectal cancer and advanced adenomatous polyp for screening with immunochemical fecal occult blood test than guaiac fecal occult blood test, despite lower compliance rate. A prospective, controlled, feasibility study

Immunochemical fecal occult blood test (FIT) is a new colorectal cancer (CRC) screening method already recommended by the American screening guidelines. We aimed to test the feasibility of FIT as compared to guaiac fecal occult blood test (G‐FOBT) in a large urban population of Tel Aviv. Average‐risk persons, aged 50–75 years, were offered FIT or G‐FOBT after randomization according to the socioeconomic status of their clinics. Participants with positive tests underwent colonoscopy. Participants were followed through the Cancer Registry 2 years after the study. Hemoccult SENSA™ and OC‐MICRO™ (three samples, 70 ng/ml threshold) were used. FIT was offered to 4,657 persons (Group A) and G‐FOBT to 7,880 persons (Group B). Participation rate was 25.9% and 28.8% in Group A and B, respectively (p < 0.001). Positivity rate in Group A and B was 12.7% and 3.9%, respectively (p < 0.001). Cancer found in six (0.49%) and eight (0.35%) patients of Group A and B, respectively (NS). Cancer registry follow‐up found missed cancer in five (0.22%) cases of Group B and none in Group A (NS). The sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive value for cancer in Group A and B were 100%, 85.9%, 100%, 3.9% and 61.5%, 96.4%, 99.8%, 9.1%, respectively. There was increased detection of advanced adenomatous polyp (AAP) by FIT, irrespective of age, gender, and socioeconomic status (Per Protocol: odds ratio 2.69, 95% confidence interval 1.6–4.5; Intention to Screen: odds ratio 3.16, 95% confidence interval 1.8–5.4). FIT is feasible in urban, average‐risk population, which significantly improved performance for detection of AAP and CRC, despite reduced participation.

Trends in colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in the Israeli Jewish ethnic populations.

Background: Ashkenazi Jews, as compared to non-European Jews and non-Jews, are at increased risk for colorectal cancer (CRC), this is attributed to genetic susceptibility and/or lifestyle. Aims: To follow Israeli long-term trends in CRC incidence and mortality and their associations with ethnicity. Methods: All Israeli CRC data accumulated 1970–2001 was used, age standardized rates (adjusted to world standard population) was computed by cancer site, US Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program (SEER) Stage and ethnic group (continent of birth: Europe–America, Asia, Africa, Israel). Results: From 1970, CRC incidence increased 190% in males and 140% in females; mainly colon cancer (270% and 185% respectively) (P < 0.01), while rectal cancer incidence decreased and is now stable. Stage 3 CRC increased while stage 4 decreased significantly (P < 0.01 for both). In 2001, CRC incidence per 100,000 in European–American-born males was 48.3, Asian and African born 35.5 and Israeli born 32.7 (relative risk (RR) 1.36, P=0.03), while European–American female rates were 35 and all the others 26 (RR 1.35, P < 0.01). Overall survival increased 9% over 30 years (P 0.01), 5 years survival since 1988–1996 for European–American born was 43.1%, Asian 46.7%, African 47.5% and Israeli 55.8%. Stage-2 CRC 5 years survivals for 1970–1996 (most had no post surgical treatment) for European–American born were 41.7%, Asian and African 44.8% and Israeli 53.4% (P < 0.05). Stage-3 CRC survivals (most received adjuvant therapy in addition to surgery) for European–American born was 38.8%, Asian and African 43.3% and Israeli 45.1% (P < 0.01). Conclusions: Colon cancer has increased in Israel, mainly in males and European–American born. Israeli-born Jews (of 20 to 60% mixed ethnicity and lifestyle habits) have the lowest incidence and best survival data for stages-2 and -3 CRC. There is evidence of ethnic survival advantage and possibly in response to adjuvant oncological therapy.

Ovulation induction and risk of endometrial cancer: a pilot study

OBJECTIVE To determine whether women with endometrial carcinoma are more likely to have been exposed to fertility drugs, in particular clomiphene, than healthy population controls. STUDY DESIGN A nationwide case-control, pilot study. About 128 living women 35-64 years old, with a histologically confirmed diagnosis of endometrial carcinoma that was first diagnosed and reported to The Israel Cancer Registry between 1 January 1989 and 31 December 1992 were enrolled. The controls were 255 women from the same dialing areas selected by random digit dialing. A variety of demographic and clinical parameters were compared between cases and controls. A multivariate logistic model, controlling for age, was used to assess the independent effects of factors found to be significantly associated with endometrial cancer on univariate analysis. RESULTS About 7 women with endometrial carcinoma (5.5%) and 10 healthy controls (3.9%) reported that they had used any fertility drug (crude odds ratio (OR) 1.4; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.47-4.2). Use of fertility drugs did not meet the criteria for entry into the logistic model. The following parameters were found to be independently associated with endometrial cancer controlling for age, European-American background OR=2.2, (95% CI 1.3-3.7, P=0.004); nulliparity OR=2.7 (95% CI 1.1-6.5, P=0.03); history of infertility OR=1.8 (95% CI 1.0-3.3, P=0.05); BMI> or =27 OR=2.3 (95% CI 1.4-3.9, P=0.001). The use of oral contraceptives and IUD were found to be protective, OR=0.29 and 0.37, respectively, (95% CI 0.14-0.61, P=0.001 and 0.19-0.70, P=0.003, respectively). CONCLUSIONS We found no evidence that the use of ovulation induction agents, including clomiphene citrate, are associated with a higher risk of endometrial carcinoma. The association between infertility drugs and endometrial carcinoma should be examined in other, larger studies.

Measured Body Mass Index in Adolescence and the Incidence of Colorectal Cancer in a Cohort of 1.1 Million Males

Background and Aims: The increasing prevalence of adolescent obesity affects adult health. We investigated the association of adolescent overweight with colorectal cancer incidence in a large cohort of males. Methods: Body mass index (BMI) was measured in 1.1 million Jewish Israeli males who underwent a general health examination at ages 16 to 19 between 1967 and 2005. Overweight was defined as BMI ≥ 85th percentile of the standard U.S. distribution in adolescence. Colorectal cancer was identified by linkage with the Israel National Cancer Registry up to 2006. The mean follow-up period was 17.6 ± 10.9 years, reflecting 19.5 million person-years. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used. Results: The prevalence of adolescent overweight increased from 9.9% to 16.8% in the first 10 and last 10 annual examination cohorts. Colon (n = 445) and rectal cancer (n = 193) cases were detected. Overweight predicted an increased risk of colon cancer [HR = 1.53; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.17–2.02, P = 0.002] but not of rectal cancer (HR = 1.09; 95% CI, 0.38–1.73, P = 0.72). The risk was greatest for nonmucinous adenocarcinoma of the colon (HR = 1.68, 95% CI, 1.26–2.23, P = 0.001). The association of BMI ≥ 85th percentile with colon cancer was even more pronounced in analyses that were restricted to men followed until at least 40 years of age [N = 367,478; HR = 1.75 (95% CI, 1.33–2.3, P < 0.001)]. Conclusions: Adolescent overweight is substantially associated with colon cancer incidence in young to middle-aged adults. Impact: These long-term sequelae add to the urgency to seriously address increasing childhood and adolescent obesity with its attendant increasing population impact. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 20(12); 2524–31. ©2011 AACR.

On ecological fallacy, assessment errors stemming from misguided variable selection, and the effect of aggregation on the outcome of epidemiological study.

In social and environmental sciences, ecological fallacy is an incorrect assumption about an individual based on aggregate data for a group. In the present study, the validity of this assumption was tested using both individual estimates of exposure to air pollution and aggregate data for 1,492 schoolchildren living in the in vicinity of a major coal-fired power station in the Hadera region of Israel. In 1996 and 1999, the children underwent subsequent pulmonary function tests (PFT), and their parents completed a detailed questionnaire on their health status and housing conditions. The association between childrens PFT results and their exposure to air pollution was investigated in two phases. During the first phase, PFT averages were compared with average levels of air pollution detected in townships, and small census areas in which the children reside. During the second phase, individual pollution estimates were compared with individual PFT results, and pattern detection techniques (Getis-Ord statistic) were used to investigate the spatial data structure. While different levels of areal data aggregation changed the results only marginally, the choice of indices measuring the childrens PFT performance had a significant influence on the outcome of the analysis. As argued, differences between individual-level and group-level effects of exposure (i.e., ecological or cross-level bias) are not necessary outcomes of data aggregation, and that seemingly unexpected results may often stem from a misguided selection of variables chosen to measure health effects. The implications of the results of the analysis for epidemiological studies are discussed, and recommendations for public health policy are formulated.

Adolescent obesity and paternal country of origin predict renal cell carcinoma: a cohort study of 1.1 million 16 to 19-year-old males.

PURPOSE The incidence of renal cell carcinoma has increased in recent decades, particularly among middle-aged adults. Early precursors of renal cancer remain unclear. We evaluated the association of body mass index and height determined in late adolescence, and paternal or grandpaternal country of origin with the risk of renal cell carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS Health related data on 1,110,835 males at ages 16 to 19 years who were examined for fitness for military service between 1967 and 2005 were linked to the Israel National Cancer Registry in this nationwide, population based cohort study. We used Cox proportional hazards modeling to estimate the HR of renal cell carcinoma associated with birth year, body mass index, height, father country of origin and socioeconomic indicators. RESULTS During 19,576,635 person-years of followup renal cancer developed in 274 examinees. Substantial excess risk was conferred by a body mass index of greater than 27.5 kg/m(2) compared to less than 22.5 kg/m(2) (HR 2.43, 95% CI 1.54-3.83, p <0.0001). Asian or African origin was protective compared to European origin (African origin HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.49-0.92). CONCLUSIONS Overweight in late adolescence is a substantial risk factor for renal cell carcinoma. European origin is independently associated with excess risk and it persists among Israeli born males. Preventing childhood obesity may be a promising target for decreasing the burden of renal cancer.

Cancer after pre-eclampsia: follow up of the Jerusalem perinatal study cohort

>Objective To compare the incidence of cancer among women with and without a history of pre-eclampsia. Design Cohort study. Setting Jerusalem perinatal study of women who delivered in three large hospitals in West Jerusalem during 1964-76. Participants 37 033 women. Main outcome measures Age adjusted and multivariable adjusted hazard ratios for cancer incidence for the entire cohort and for women who were primiparous at study entry. Results Cancer developed in 91 women who had pre-eclampsia and 2204 who did not (hazard ratio 1.27, 95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.57). The risk of site specific cancers was increased, particularly of the stomach, ovary epithelium, breast, and lung or larynx. The incidence of cancer of the stomach, breast, ovary, kidney, and lung or larynx was increased in primiparous women at study entry who had a history pre-eclampsia. Conclusions A history of pre-eclampsia is associated with increases in overall risk of cancer and incidence at several sites. This may be explained by environmental and genetic factors common to the development of pre-eclampsia and cancer in this population.

Mortality risk factors associated with familial Mediterranean fever among a cohort of 1.25 million adolescents

Objective There are limited data on long-term comorbidities and mortality among patients with familial Mediterranean fever (FMF). Our objective was to evaluate comorbidities and death rates among individuals with FMF. Methods We studied a nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort of 1225 individuals with FMF (59% men) in a database of 1 244 350 adolescents (16–20 years of age) medically evaluated for military service between 1973 and 1997. This cohort was linked with the national mortality, cancer and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) registries in Israel. Study outcomes were all-cause mortality, occurrence of ESRD and malignancy by the age of 50 years. Results During 30 years of follow-up, death rates were 8.73/104 versus 4.32/104 person-years in the FMF and control groups, respectively (p=0.002). In a multivariable analysis adjusted for age, birth year, socio-economic status, education, ethnicity and body mass index, FMF was associated with increased mortality in men (HR=1.705 (95% CI 1.059 to 2.745), p=0.028) and women (HR=2.48 (1.032 to 5.992), p=0.042). Renal amyloidosis accounted for 35% and 60% of deaths in men and women, respectively. FMF was not associated with an increased incidence of cancer. Conclusions FMF is associated with increased all-cause mortality that is likely attributed to reduced colchicine compliance or responsiveness. Individuals with FMF do not have an increased incidence of cancer. These results support the awareness among medical community to decrease the higher than average mortality rate among participants with FMF.