Michael E. Ming

Mitotic rate as a predictor of sentinel lymph nodepositivity in patients with thin melanomas

BackgroundLymphatic mapping and sentinel lymphadenectomy (LM/SL) provide important prognostic information for patients with early-stage melanoma. Although the use of this technique in patients with thin melanomas (≤1.00 mm) is not routine, risk factors that may predict sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity in this patient population are under investigation. We sought to determine whether mitotic rate (MR) is associated with SLN positivity in thin-melanoma patients and, therefore, whether it may be used to risk-stratify and select patients for LM/SL.MethodsClinical and histopathologic variables were reviewed for 181 patients with thin melanomas who underwent LM/SL from January 1996 through January 2004. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with SLN positivity. Risk groups were defined on the basis of the development of a classification tree.ResultsThe overall SLN positivity rate was 5%. All patients with positive SLNs had an MR of >0. By univariate analysis, MR and thickness were significant predictors of SLN positivity. The association between MR and SLN positivity remained significant controlling for each of the other variables evaluated. On the basis of a classification tree, patients with an MR >0 and tumor thickness ≥.76 mm were identified as a higher-risk group, with an SLN positivity rate of 12.3%.ConclusionsIn patients with thin melanomas, MR >0 seems to be a significant predictor of SLN positivity that may be used to risk-stratify and select patients for LM/SL. To confirm these results, the predictive value of MR for SLN positivity needs to be validated in other populations of thin-melanoma patients.

Thin Primary Cutaneous Malignant Melanoma: A Prognostic Tree for 10-Year Metastasis Is More Accurate Than American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging

PURPOSE The majority of invasive primary melanomas are thin (< or = 1.00 mm). Since the current staging system imperfectly predicts outcome in patients with such lesions, we sought to develop a more effective classification scheme to better identify both patients at high risk of metastasis who are candidates for further staging and therapy and those with little risk. PATIENTS AND METHODS This prospective cohort study included 884 patients who had thin invasive melanomas. A tree-structured analysis of 10-year metastasis was used to develop a new classification scheme. RESULTS The overall 10-year metastasis rate was 6.5% (95% CI, 4.8% to 8.1%). The prognostic tree defined four risk groups: high-risk: men with vertical growth phase (VGP) lesions that had mitotic rates (MRs) greater than 0, and for whom the 10-year metastasis rate was 31% (22% to 42%; n = 90); moderate-risk: women with VGP lesions that had MRs greater than 0 and for whom the rate was 13% (9% to 18%; n = 136); low-risk: patients with VGP lesions that had MR of 0 for whom the rate was 4% (2% to 7%; n = 247); and minimal-risk: patients with invasive lesions without VGP for whom the rate was 0.5% (0% to 1.2%; n = 411). Survival curves differed significantly among the four groups (P <.001). CONCLUSION Growth phase, mitotic rate, and sex are important prognostic factors for patients with thin melanomas, and they identify subgroups at substantial risk for metastasis. After validation in other populations, the proposed prognostic tree will be useful in the design of clinical trials and clinical management.

Identification of High-Risk Patients Among Those Diagnosed With Thin Cutaneous Melanomas

PURPOSE Most patients with melanoma have microscopically thin (< or = 1 mm) primary lesions and are cured with excision. However, some develop metastatic disease that is often fatal. We evaluated established prognostic factors to develop classification schemes with better discrimination than current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging. PATIENTS AND METHODS We studied patients with thin melanomas from the US population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry (1988 to 2001; n = 26,291) and those seen by the University of Pennsylvanias Pigmented Lesion Group (PLG; 1972 to 2001; n = 2,389; Philadelphia, PA). AJCC prognostic factors were thickness, anatomic level, ulceration, site, sex, and age; PLG prognostic factors also included a set of biologically based candidate prognostic factors. Recursive partitioning was used to develop a SEER-based classification tree that was validated using PLG data. Next, a new PLG-based classification tree was developed using the expanded set of prognostic factors. RESULTS The SEER-based classification tree identified additional criteria to explain survival heterogeneity among patients with thin, nonulcerated lesions; 10-year survival rates ranged from 89.1% to 99%. The new PLG-based tree identified groups using level, tumor cell mitotic rate, and sex. With survival rates from 83.4% to 100%, it had better discrimination. CONCLUSION Prognostication and related clinical decision making in the majority of patients with melanoma can be improved now using the validated, SEER-based classification. Tumor cell mitotic rate should be incorporated into the next iteration of AJCC staging.

Biologic and Prognostic Significance of Dermal Ki67 Expression, Mitoses, and Tumorigenicity in Thin Invasive Cutaneous Melanoma

PURPOSE Tumor cell proliferation is a central feature of melanoma progression. In this study, we characterized three biomarkers of proliferation (Ki67 expression, dermal mitotic rate [MR], and tumorigenicity) in thin (< or = 1.00 mm) primary cutaneous melanomas and examined their association with prognosis. PATIENTS AND METHODS We used immunohistochemistry to determine Ki67 expression using the monoclonal antibody MIB-1 in lesions from a prospective cohort that included 396 patients with thin invasive primary melanomas seen between 1972 and 1991. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to define independent prognostic factors, and recursive partitioning was used to develop a prognostic tree identifying risk groups. RESULTS Dermal Ki67 expression was lower than epidermal Ki67 expression in radial growth phase (RGP) melanomas (n = 171), and dermal Ki67 expression and MR were higher in tumorigenic vertical growth phase (VGP) melanomas (n = 193) compared with RGP and nontumorigenic VGP melanomas (n = 42). Dermal Ki67 expression, MR greater than 0, growth phase, thickness, ulceration, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, and sex were associated with metastasis at 10 years, however, only dermal Ki67 expression, MR greater than 0, and sex were independent prognostic factors. Two high-risk groups were identified: men and women with dermal MR greater than 0 and dermal Ki67 expression > or = 20% in tumor cells and men with MR greater than 0 and Ki67 expression less than 20%, with 10-year metastasis rates of 39% and 20%, respectively. CONCLUSION Proliferation slows as melanoma cells enter the dermis and then increases with the onset of tumorigenic VGP. Ki67 expression and dermal MR provide independent prognostic information that can potentially be used in risk-based management of patients.

Predicting sentinel node status in AJCC stage I/II primary cutaneous melanoma

Sentinel lymph node (SLN) status is an important prognostic factor for survival for patients with primary cutaneous melanoma. To address the issue of selecting patients at high and low risk for a positive SLN, prognostic factors were sought that predict SLN involvement by examining characteristics of both the primary tumor and the patient within the context of a biological model of melanoma progression.

Predictors of Regional Nodal Disease in Patients With Thin Melanomas

BackgroundMost melanoma patients present with thin (≤1.0 mm) lesions. Indications for sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy are not well defined for this group. Previously, we reported an association between mitotic rate (MR) and SLN positivity in these patients. The study was limited by a relatively small sample size and low statistical power. In this study, we evaluated a large population of patients with thin melanoma from the pre-SLN era to identify predictors of regional nodal disease (RND) that may serve as a surrogate for SLN positivity.MethodsEight hundred eighty-two patients evaluated between 1972 and 1991 were included in the study. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed by using clinical and histological data to identify factors associated with RND. A multivariate logistic regression model was developed and applied to the previously reported group of patients with thin melanomas who underwent SLN biopsy between 1996 and 2004 for validation.ResultsThirty-eight patients (4.3%) had evidence of RND. In the multivariate analysis, a MR >0, vertical growth phase (VGP), male sex, and ulceration were statistically significant predictors of RND. Patients at the highest risk according to a classification tree analysis (VGP and MR >0) had an RND rate of 11.9%. The regression model developed predicted well the SLN status in the validation sample.ConclusionsInvestigation of a large pre-SLN population identified MR >0, ulceration, VGP, and male sex as independently predictive of RND in patients with thin melanomas. These factors may help to identify subgroups of these patients that have clinically significant risks of SLN positivity.

Does MC1R genotype convey information about melanoma risk beyond risk phenotypes

A study was carried out to describe associations of MC1R variants and melanoma in a US population and to investigate whether genetic risk is modified by pigmentation characteristics and sun exposure measures.

Expression of Melan-A and Ki-67 in desmoplastic melanoma and desmoplastic nevi

Background: Desmoplastic melanoma (DMM) is an uncommon melanoma variant with a distinct morphology, including a prominent spindle cell component with fibrosis, as well as a distinct immunohistochemical profile. Histologically, the spindle cell component of DMM can be confused with sclerotic/desmoplastic nevi, nonpigmented blue nevi, scar, and neural tumors. The histological distinction between sclerotic/desmoplastic/blue nevi and DMM using standard light microscopic techniques can be exceedingly subtle. Therefore, we investigated whether immunohistochemical staining for Melan-A and Ki-67 expression can be used to discriminate these lesions, distinguishing between epithelioid and spindle cell compartments of the lesions. Design: Fifty cases of DMM and 13 cases of sclerotic/desmoplastic/blue nevi were identified. Standard immunohistochemical techniques were used with antibodies towards HMB-45, Melan-A (A103), and Ki-67; 43 of 50 DMM cases were available for staining with Melan-A, 42 of 50 for HMB-45, and 31 of 50 cases were stained with Ki-67. All 13 nevi were stained for Melan-A and 8 for Ki-67. Immunoreactivity to Ki-67 antibody was scored as 0 to 5%, 6 to 10%, 11 to 30%, or greater than 30% positive tumor cells. Results: Only 3 of 43 and 3 of 42 of spindle cell compartments of DMMs were positive for Melan-A and HMB-45, respectively. Focal staining of epithelioid cells in the junctional component or superficial dermis was observed in 33% (14/43). In contrast, 100% of the 13 nevi were strongly positive for Melan-A (P < 0.001). Seventeen melanomas (55%) were 0 to 5% positive for Ki-67, five (16%) fell into the 6 to 10% category, three (10%) were between 11 and 30%, and six (19%) were at least focally greater than 30% positive. All 8 nevi (100%) had less than 5% positive cells for Ki-67 (P = 0.02), with only 2 cases having more than 2% positive cells. Conclusion: The sclerotic/desmoplastic and hypopigmented blue nevi were uniformly positive for Melan-A, while the vast majority of DMM were negative in their spindle cell compartments. Melan-A is very useful in distinguishing between DMM and sclerotic nevi. Ki-67 appears to be an inconsistent marker for DMM. However, a high labeling index (over 5%) may be used as a clue in diagnosing DMM.

Lymphatic Invasion Is Independently Prognostic of Metastasis in Primary Cutaneous Melanoma

Purpose: Lymphatic invasion (LI) in primary cutaneous melanomas was recently found to be common. In this study, we evaluated LI as an independent prognostic factor. Experimental Design: This study included 251 patients with vertical growth phase (VGP) primary cutaneous melanomas who had paraffin-fixed lesional tissue and were in a prospective cohort seen between 1972 and 1991, had no clinical evidence of regional nodal disease at diagnosis, and had at least ten years of follow-up. Dual immunohistochemical staining was used to detect lymphatic endothelium (podoplanin) and melanoma cells (S-100). Multivariate logistic regression for ten-year metastasis was used to define independent prognostic factors, and a prognostic tree was developed to characterize and discriminate risk groups. Kaplan–Meier disease-free survival curves for those with and without LI within current American Joint Committee on Cancer stages were compared using the log-rank statistic. Results: LI was observed in 43% (108 of 251) of the study melanomas. The multivariate model for ten-year metastasis identified four independent prognostic factors: tumor thickness, mitotic rate, LI, and anatomic site. The prognostic tree identified a group of patients with thin (≤1 mm thick) melanomas and poor prognosis: stage IB melanomas with LI. Survival curves for time to first metastasis showed significantly poorer prognosis for patients with LI compared with those without it for both stages IB and IIA. Conclusions: LI is common across the range of tumor thicknesses in primary VGP melanomas. It is an independent prognostic factor and significantly increases the risk of metastasis in patients in clinical stages IB and IIA. Clin Cancer Res; 18(1); 229–37. ©2011 AACR.

Variability in nomenclature used for nevi with architectural disorder and cytologic atypia (microscopically dysplastic nevi) by dermatologists and dermatopathologists.

Background:  Although a nevus with the microscopic features of a ‘dysplastic nevus’ is commonly seen, the nomenclature used to describe such a lesion has been thought to be inconsistent. A 1992 National Institutes of Health (NIH) Consensus Conference sought to unify nomenclature and suggested that the term ‘nevus with architectural disorder’ be used along with a comment on melanocytic atypia.