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Dive into the research topics where Michael L. Pace is active.

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Featured researches published by Michael L. Pace.


Trends in Ecology and Evolution | 1999

Trophic cascades revealed in diverse ecosystems

Michael L. Pace; Jonathan J. Cole; Stephen R. Carpenter; James F. Kitchell

New studies are documenting trophic cascades in theoretically unlikely systems such as tropical forests and the open ocean. Together with increasing evidence of cascades, there is a deepening understanding of the conditions that promote and inhibit the transmission of predatory effects. These conditions include the relative productivity of ecosystems, presence of refuges and the potential for compensation. However, trophic cascades are also altered by humans. Analyses of the extirpation of large animals reveal loss of cascades, and the potential of conservation to restore not only predator populations but also the ecosystem-level effects that ramify from their presence.


Ecosystems | 2006

Reconciling carbon-cycle concepts, terminology, and methods

F. S. Chapin; George M. Woodwell; James T. Randerson; Edward B. Rastetter; Gary M. Lovett; Dennis D. Baldocchi; Deborah A. Clark; Mark E. Harmon; David S. Schimel; Riccardo Valentini; Christian Wirth; John D. Aber; Jonathan J. Cole; Michael L. Goulden; Jennifer W. Harden; Martin Heimann; Robert W. Howarth; Pamela A. Matson; A. D. McGuire; Jerry M. Melillo; Harold A. Mooney; Jason C. Neff; R. A. Houghton; Michael L. Pace; Michael G. Ryan; Steven W. Running; Osvaldo E. Sala; William H. Schlesinger; Ernst-Detlef Schulze

Recent projections of climatic change have focused a great deal of scientific and public attention on patterns of carbon (C) cycling as well as its controls, particularly the factors that determine whether an ecosystem is a net source or sink of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2). Net ecosystem production (NEP), a central concept in C-cycling research, has been used by scientists to represent two different concepts. We propose that NEP be restricted to just one of its two original definitions—the imbalance between gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (ER). We further propose that a new term—net ecosystem carbon balance (NECB)—be applied to the net rate of C accumulation in (or loss from [negative sign]) ecosystems. Net ecosystem carbon balance differs from NEP when C fluxes other than C fixation and respiration occur, or when inorganic C enters or leaves in dissolved form. These fluxes include the leaching loss or lateral transfer of C from the ecosystem; the emission of volatile organic C, methane, and carbon monoxide; and the release of soot and CO2 from fire. Carbon fluxes in addition to NEP are particularly important determinants of NECB over long time scales. However, even over short time scales, they are important in ecosystems such as streams, estuaries, wetlands, and cities. Recent technological advances have led to a diversity of approaches to the measurement of C fluxes at different temporal and spatial scales. These approaches frequently capture different components of NEP or NECB and can therefore be compared across scales only by carefully specifying the fluxes included in the measurements. By explicitly identifying the fluxes that comprise NECB and other components of the C cycle, such as net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and net biome production (NBP), we can provide a less ambiguous framework for understanding and communicating recent changes in the global C cycle.


Nature | 2004

Whole-lake carbon-13 additions reveal terrestrial support of aquatic food webs

Michael L. Pace; Jonathan J. Cole; Steve Carpenter; James F. Kitchell; James R. Hodgson; M. C. Van de Bogert; Darren L. Bade; Emma S. Kritzberg; David Bastviken

Ecosystems are supported by organic carbon from two distinct sources. Endogenous carbon is produced by photosynthesis within an ecosystem by autotrophic organisms. Exogenous carbon is produced elsewhere and transported into ecosystems. Consumers may use exogenous carbon with consequent influences on population dynamics, predator–prey relationships and ecosystem processes. For example, exogenous inputs provide resources that may enhance consumer abundance beyond levels supported by within-system primary production. Exogenous fluxes of organic carbon to ecosystems are often large, but this material is recalcitrant and difficult to assimilate, in contrast to endogenously produced organic matter, which is used more easily. Here we show, by the experimental manipulation of dissolved inorganic 13C in two lakes, that internal primary production is insufficient to support the food webs of these ecosystems. Additions of NaH13CO3 enriched the 13C content of dissolved inorganic carbon, particulate organic carbon, zooplankton and fish. Dynamics of 13C indicate that 40–55% of particulate organic carbon and 22–50% of zooplankton carbon are derived from terrestrial sources, showing that there is significant subsidy of these ecosystems by organic carbon produced outside their boundaries.


Science | 2011

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

Stephen R. Carpenter; Jonathan J. Cole; Michael L. Pace; Ryan D. Batt; William A. Brock; Timothy J. Cline; J. Coloso; James R. Hodgson; James F. Kitchell; David A. Seekell; Lloyd M. Smith; Brian C. Weidel

High-frequency monitoring of manipulated and reference lakes enabled early detection of subsequent catastrophic regime shift. Catastrophic ecological regime shifts may be announced in advance by statistical early warning signals such as slowing return rates from perturbation and rising variance. The theoretical background for these indicators is rich, but real-world tests are rare, especially for whole ecosystems. We tested the hypothesis that these statistics would be early warning signals for an experimentally induced regime shift in an aquatic food web. We gradually added top predators to a lake over 3 years to destabilize its food web. An adjacent lake was monitored simultaneously as a reference ecosystem. Warning signals of a regime shift were evident in the manipulated lake during reorganization of the food web more than a year before the food web transition was complete, corroborating theory for leading indicators of ecological regime shifts.


BioScience | 1999

Transformation of Freshwater Ecosystems by Bivalves

David L. Strayer; Nina F. Caraco; Jonathan J. Cole; Stuart E. G. Findlay; Michael L. Pace

B ivalves (clams and mussels) are among the most familiar of aquatic organisms. Many have been used by humans for centuries as important sources of food and ornament, and some species are economically important pests, fouling water intakes and other structures. It is only recently, however, that ecologists have begun to understand that bivalves also play many important roles in ecosystems (e.g., Dame 1996). The functional importance of bivalves, especially in fresh water, is still not fully appreciated. For example, recent fresh water ecology I textbooks (Wetzel 1983, Horne and Goldman 1994, Allan 1995, Petts and Calow 1996) scarcely mention the ecological roles of bivalves (the words “bivalve, ” “clam,” and “mussel” do not even appear in the index of any of these books). By contrast,


Ecological Monographs | 2001

TROPHIC CASCADES, NUTRIENTS, AND LAKE PRODUCTIVITY: WHOLE‐LAKE EXPERIMENTS

Stephen R. Carpenter; Jonathan J. Cole; James R. Hodgson; James F. Kitchell; Michael L. Pace; Darren L. Bade; Kathryn L. Cottingham; Timothy E. Essington; Jeffrey N. Houser; Daniel E. Schindler

Responses of zooplankton, pelagic primary producers, planktonic bacteria, and CO2 exchange with the atmosphere were measured in four lakes with contrasting food webs under a range of nutrient enrichments during a seven-year period. Prior to enrichment, food webs were manipulated to create contrasts between piscivore dominance and planktivore dominance. Nutrient enrichments of inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus exhibited ratios of N:P > 17:1, by atoms, to maintain P limitation. An unmanipulated reference lake, Paul Lake, revealed baseline variability but showed no trends that could confound the interpretation of changes in the nearby manipulated lakes. Herbivorous zooplankton of West Long Lake (piscivorous fishes) were large-bodied Daphnia spp., in contrast to the small-bodied grazers that predominated in Peter Lake (planktivorous fishes). At comparable levels of nutrient enrichment, Peter Lakes areal chlorophyll and areal primary production rates exceeded those of West Long Lake by factors of approximatel...


Ecology | 1997

ZEBRA MUSSEL INVASION IN A LARGE, TURBID RIVER: PHYTOPLANKTON RESPONSE TO INCREASED GRAZING

Nina F. Caraco; Jonathan J. Cole; Peter A. Raymond; David L. Strayer; Michael L. Pace; Stuart E. G. Findlay; David T. Fischer

Changes in the biomass of benthic bivalves can cause dramatic changes in total grazing pressure in aquatic systems, but few studies document ecosystem-level impacts of these changes. This study documents a massive decline in phytoplankton biomass con- current with the invasion of an exotic benthic bivalve, the zebra mussel ( Dreissena poly- morpha), and demonstrates that the zebra mussel actually caused this decline. In the fall of 1992 the zebra mussel became established at high biomass in the Hudson River Estuary, and biomass of mussels remained high during 1993 and 1994. During these 2 yr, grazing pressure on phytoplankton was over 10-fold greater than it had been prior to the zebra mussel invasion. This increased grazing was associated with an 85% decline in phyto- plankton biomass. Between 1987 and 1991 (pre-invasion), summertime chlorophyll aver- aged 30 mg/m 3 ; during 1993 and 1994 summertime concentrations were ,5 mg/m 3 . Over this same period, light availability increased, phosphate concentrations doubled, some planktonic grazers declined, and average flow was not different from the pre-invasion period. Thus, changes in these other factors were not responsible for phytoplankton declines. We developed a mechanistic model that reproduces the spatial and temporal dynamics of phytoplankton prior to the invasion of the zebra mussel (1987-1991). The model ac- curately predicts extreme declines in phytoplankton biomass after the invasion (1993-1994). The model demonstrates that zebra mussel grazing was sufficient to cause the observed phytoplankton decline. The model also allows us to test which features make the Hudson River sensitive to the impact of benthic grazers. The model suggests that the fate of light- scattering inorganic particles (turbidity) is a key feature determining the impact of benthic grazers in aquatic systems.


Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment | 2010

Rising stream and river temperatures in the United States

Sujay S. Kaushal; Gene E. Likens; Norbert A. Jaworski; Michael L. Pace; Ashley Sides; David Seekell; Kenneth T. Belt; David H. Secor; Rebecca L. Wingate

Water temperatures are increasing in many streams and rivers throughout the US. We analyzed historical records from 40 sites and found that 20 major streams and rivers have shown statistically significant, long-term warming. Annual mean water temperatures increased by 0.009–0.077°C yr−1, and rates of warming were most rapid in, but not confined to, urbanizing areas. Long-term increases in stream water temperatures were typically correlated with increases in air temperatures. If stream temperatures were to continue to increase at current rates, due to global warming and urbanization, this could have important effects on eutrophication, ecosystem processes such as biological productivity and stream metabolism, contaminant toxicity, and loss of aquatic biodiversity.


Ecology | 2005

ECOSYSTEM SUBSIDIES: TERRESTRIAL SUPPORT OF AQUATIC FOOD WEBS FROM 13C ADDITION TO CONTRASTING LAKES

Stephen R. Carpenter; Jonathan J. Cole; Michael L. Pace; Matthew C. Van de Bogert; Darren L. Bade; David Bastviken; Caitlin M. Gille; James R. Hodgson; James F. Kitchell; Emma S. Kritzberg

Whole-lake additions of dissolved inorganic C-13 were used to measure allochthony (the terrestrial contribution of organic carbon to aquatic consumers) in two unproductive lakes (Paul and Peter Lakes in 2001), a nutrient-enriched lake (Peter Lake in 2002), and a dystrophic lake (Tuesday Lake in 2002). Three kinds of dynamic models were used to estimate allochthony: a process-rich, dual-isotope flow model based on mass balances of two carbon isotopes in 12 carbon pools; simple univariate time-series models driven by observed time courses of delta(13)CO(2); and multivariate autoregression models that combined information from time series of delta(13)C in several interacting carbon pools. All three models gave similar estimates of allochthony. In the three experiments without nutrient enrichment, flows of terrestrial carbon to dissolved and particulate organic carbon, zooplankton, Chaoborus, and fishes were substantial. For example, terrestrial sources accounted for more than half the carbon flow to juvenile and adult largemouth bass, pumpkinseed sunfish, golden shiners, brook sticklebacks, and fathead minnows in the unenriched experiments. Allochthony was highest in the dystrophic lake and lowest in the nutrient-enriched lake. Nutrient enrichment of Peter Lake decreased allochthony of zooplankton from 0.34-0.48 to 0-0.12, and of fishes from 0.51-0.80 to 0.25-0.55. These experiments show that lake ecosystem carbon cycles, including carbon flows to consumers, are heavily subsidized by organic carbon from the surrounding landscape.


Ecology | 1998

Successes, limitations, and frontiers in ecosystem science

Michael L. Pace; Peter M. Groffmann

Introduction: Needs and Concerns in Ecosystem Science Cultural Eutrophication of Inland, Estuarine, and Coastal Waters Managing Forests as Ecosystems: A Success Story or a Challenge Ahead? Wastelands to Wetlands: Links Between Habitat Protection and Ecosystem Science Riparian Forest Ecosystems as Filters for Nonpoint Source Pollution Ecological Research in Agricultural Ecosystems: Contributions to Ecosystem Science and to the Management of Agronomic Resources Progress in Understanding Biogeochemical Cycles at Regional to Global Scales Acid Deposition Research and Ecosystem Science: Synergistic Successes Empirical and Theorectical Ecology as a Basis for Restoration: An Ecological Success Story Limitations to Intellectual Progress in Ecosystem Science Improving Links Between Ecosystem Scientists and Managers The Need for Large-Scale Experiments to Assess and Predict the Response of Ecosystems to Perturbation Ecosytem Approaches to the Management and Allocation of Critical Resources Ecosystems and Problems of Measurement at Large Spatial Scales Integration of Ecophysiological and Biogeochemical Approaches to Ecosystem Dynamics Simulation Modeling in Ecosystem

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Stephen R. Carpenter

University of Wisconsin-Madison

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James F. Kitchell

University of Wisconsin-Madison

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Nina F. Caraco

Marine Biological Laboratory

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