Michael Vassallo

A Comparative Study of the Use of Four Fall Risk Assessment Tools on Acute Medical Wards

Objectives: To compare the effectiveness of four falls risk assessment tools (STRATIFY, Downton, Tullamore, and Tinetti) by using them simultaneously in the same environment. Design: Prospective, open, observational study. Setting: Two acute medical wards admitting predominantly older patients. Participants: One hundred thirty-five patients, 86 female, mean age±standard deviation 83.8±8.01 (range 56–100). Measurements: A single clinician prospectively completed the four falls risk assessment tools. The extent of completion and time to complete each tool was recorded. Patients were followed until discharge, noting the occurrence of falls. The sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive accuracy, positive predictive accuracy, and total predictive accuracy were calculated. Results: The number of patients that the STRATIFY correctly identified (n=90) was significantly higher than the Downton (n=46; P<.001), Tullamore (n=66; P=.005), or Tinetti (n=52; P<.001) tools, but the STRATIFY had the poorest sensitivity (68.2%). The STRATIFY was also the only tool that could be fully completed in all patients (n=135), compared with the Downton (n=130; P=.06), Tullamore (n=130; P=.06), and Tinetti (n=17; P<.001). The time required to complete the STRATIFY tool (average 3.85 minutes) was significantly less than for the Downton (6.34 minutes; P<.001), Tinetti (7.4 minutes; P<.001), and Tullamore (6.25 minutes; P<.001). The Kaplan-Meier test showed that the STRATIFY (log rank P=.001) and Tullamore tools (log rank P<.001) were effective at predicting falls over the first week of admission. The Downton (log rank P=.46) and Tinetti tools (log rank P=.41) did not demonstrate this characteristic. Conclusion: Significant differences were identified in the performance and complexity between the four risk assessment tools studied. The STRATIFY tool was the shortest and easiest to complete and had the highest predictive value but the lowest sensitivity.Objectives: To compare the effectiveness of four falls risk assessment tools (STRATIFY, Downton, Tullamore, and Tinetti) by using them simultaneously in the same environment.

Fall risk-assessment tools compared with clinical judgment: an evaluation in a rehabilitation ward

OBJECTIVES to compare the use of two falls risk-identification tools (Downton and STRATIFY) with clinical judgment (based upon the observation of wandering behaviour) in predicting falls of medically stable patients in a rehabilitation ward for older people. METHODS in a prospective observational study, with blinded end-point evaluation, 200 patients admitted to a geriatric rehabilitation hospital had a STRATIFY and Downton Fall Risk assessment and were observed for wandering behaviour. RESULTS wandering had a predictive accuracy of 78%. A total of 157/200 were identified correctly compared to 100/200 using the Downton score (P < 0.0001 95%, CI 0.18-0.42), or 93/200 using STRATIFY (P < 0.0001; 95% CI 0.15-0.37). The Downton and STRATIFY tools demonstrated predictive accuracies of 50% and 46.5%, respectively, with no statistical significance between the two (P = 0.55; 95% CI 0.77-1.71). Sensitivity for predicting falls using wandering was 43.1% (22/51). This was significantly worse than Downton 92.2% (47/51: P < 0.001) and STRATIFY 82.3% (42/51: P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS this study showed that clinical observation had a higher accuracy than two used falls risk-assessment tools. However it was significantly less sensitive implying that fewer patients who fell were correctly identified as being at risk.

Strokes in the Elderly – Higher Acute and 3-Month Mortality – An Explanation

Aim: Stroke is common in older people. The objective of the study was to determine if older stroke patients have a higher mortality and disability compared with younger patients for comparable stroke severity and pathology and whether there is an explanation for the difference. Methods: A prospective study was undertaken in 296 consecutive patients admitted with acute stroke. Patients were studied for neurological features, pre-stroke functional disability, severity of stroke defined by stroke syndromes and pathology of stroke on CT scans (202 patients). Post-stroke disability was defined according to the functional status within 72 h of admission. A record was made of the intercurrent illness while the patients were in acute wards and of the risk factors. Patients were dichotomised into two age groups: younger group – up to 75 years (163 patients) and older group – over 75 years (133 patients). Outcome was measured according to (1) discharge status from acute wards, i.e., dead or alive, and (2) mortality at 3 months. Results: Although there was no significant difference in severe clinical stroke syndromes (p = 0.72), CT scan features (p = 0.68) and pyrexia (0.38) between the two age groups, the older patients had significantly more disabling strokes as defined on Barthel Index (p = 0.015) and a higher mortality in the acute phase (p < 0.01) and at 3 months (p = 0.001). The older stroke patients had more severe pre-stroke disability (p < 0.001) and more severe neurological impairment for similar stroke severity and pathology. Early mortality was more influenced by pre-stroke global health than age whereas 3-month mortality was influenced by age to the exclusion of all other known prognostic factors. Conclusion: The older stroke patients have more disabling stroke and an increased mortality for a similar spectrum of stroke severity and pathology. The explanation for higher mortality of the older patients is the poor pre-stroke health and higher immediate post-stroke disability.

Low dose diamorphine reduces breathlessness without causing a fall in oxygen saturation in elderly patients with end-stage idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

There is very little evidence regarding the safety and efficacy of opioids for the control of dyspnoea in the terminal stages of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We conducted an open case series study of 11 elderly opioid-naive patients referred for management of severe breathlessness before and after their first injection of 2.5 mg diamorphine subcutaneously. Subjective breathlessness, measured by a 100 mm visual analogue scale, fell by a mean of 47 mm in the first 15 min (PB 0.0001) and the mean heart rate fell by 12/min (P-0.007). There were small non-significant falls in the mean respiratory rate (2/min), systolic blood pressure (6 mmHg) and oxygen saturation (1%). These changes were maintained at 30 min. Follow up treatment with oral morphine remained effective in reducing the symptom of breathlessness and no patient showed signs of respiratory depression. Low dose opioids are effective and safe in the palliative management of IPF in frail elderly patients.

The effect of changing practice on fall prevention in a rehabilitative hospital: the Hospital Injury Prevention Study.

Objectives: To determine whether a change in practice to introduce a multidisciplinary fall‐prevention program can reduce falls and injury in nonacute patients in a rehabilitation hospital.

Characteristics of Single Fallers and Recurrent Fallers among Hospital In-Patients

Background: Recurrent fallers constitute a minority of patients who fall but contribute considerably to the total number of falls recorded. Objective: To study the characteristics of recurrent fallers in a hospital setting. Methods: In a prospective observational study we investigated the characteristics of 1,025 patients admitted to a geriatric non-acute hospital. Patients were followed until discharge and were classified as non-fallers, single fallers or recurrent fallers. Results: We identified 824 non-fallers, 136 single fallers and 65 recurrent fallers contributing 175 falls. Compared to non-fallers, recurrent fallers were more likely to have pre-admission falls (p = 0.004), confusion (p < 0.0001), an unsafe gait (p = 0.0001) and be on tranquillisers (p = 0.018) and antidepressants (p = 0.006). They had longer stays in hospital (p < 0.0001) and more nursing home discharges (p = 0.0001). There was considerable overlap with risk factors for single fallers but compared to this group they were more likely to be confused (p = 0.027), and on antidepressant medication (p = 0.009). They also had a longer length of stay (p < 0.001) and more nursing home discharges (p = 0.03). Confusion (p = 0.0001), unsafe gait (p = 0.0006) and antidepressants (p = 0.018) were independently associated with recurrent falls. Conclusions: It is important to recognise the risk factors that prospectively identify a recurrent faller because of the significant contribution to total falls by a relatively small number of patients. This may be useful not only in trying to reduce total falls but also in trying to reduce injury.

Predictors of a nursing home placement from a non-acute geriatric hospital

Background: Identifying patients who need Nursing Home (NH) care following a hospital admission is important. Objective: To identify the factors that predispose to an NH discharge. Design: Prospective observational study with blinded end-point evaluation. Setting: A non-acute geriatric hospital. Subjects: Two hundred consecutive elderly patients who were admitted for rehabilitation following treatment for an acute illness. Main outcome measures: Discharge to an NH or home. Results: Thirty-five out of the 150 live discharges (23.3%) were to an NH. NH discharges had a longer length of stay (38.5 versus 19.8 days; p < 0001). They were more likely to have visual impairment (p = 0.0009), confusion (p < 0.0001), wandering behaviour (p = 0.003), incontinence (p < 0.0001 or unsafe gait (p = 0.0005), to be on tranquillizers (p = 0.003), to be at risk of falls (p = 0.02) and to have sustained a fall while in hospital (p = 0.001). Multiple logistic regression identified confusion (p = 0.001), incontinence (p = 0.02), falls in hospital (p = 0.01), gait abnormalities (p < 0.001), tranquillizers (p < 0.001), impaired distant vision (p = 0.01) and living alone (p < 0.001) as independently associated with the risk of an NH discharge. This risk proportionately increased with the number of risk factors present: 4.28% for 0–2 factors, 25.8% for 3–4 factors and 81.8% for 5–6 factors (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: These factors should be the target of specific rehabilitation in an attempt to reduce the risk of discharge to a nursing home and improve patient outcome.

Fall risk factors in elderly patients with cognitive impairment on rehabilitation wards.

Background:  Confusion and cognitive impairment, are risk factors for falls in hospital. Evidence for reducing falls in cognitively‐impaired patients is limited and to date no intervention has consistently been shown to reduce falls in this group of patients. We explored characteristics associated with falls in cognitively‐impaired patients in a rehabilitation setting.

Cardiovascular disease and outcome of acute stroke: influence of pre-existing cardiac failure.

Whilst a number of variables, mostly a consequence of a stroke, are known to predict mortality of acute stroke there is limited information on the significance of pre‐existing cardiovascular variables on stroke mortality. We have investigated the influence of pre‐existing cardiovascular factors in one cohort of stroke patients.

The relationship of falls to injury among hospital in-patients.

The need to reduce falls is driven by the need to reduce injury. If patients at risk of injury can be distinguished from the patients at risk of falls, there is the potential for a more effective fall risk management policy by targeting injury prevention measures. We conducted a prospective observational study, with blinded endpoint evaluation of 825 consecutive patients admitted to geriatric rehabilitation wards. We identified 150 fallers (18.2%) contributing 243 falls. Fifty‐six patients sustained an injury contributing 73 (30.0%) injurious falls. Only five (6.8%) falls resulted in injury of major severity. We identified no significant differences in demographics between injurious and non‐injurious falls. A logistic regression analyses of the independent risk factors of suffering an injurious fall were a history of falls (p = 0.036), confusion (p = 0.001) and an unsafe gait (p = 0.03). However, we identified no significant differences in clinical characteristics between patients suffering injurious and non‐injurious falls. None of the characteristics studied can identify patients prone to injury after a fall. Injury is largely unpredictable, and more research is needed to determine how injury can be prevented in patients at risk of falls.