Michel P. Kossovsky

Autonomic Nervous System Activity and Decline as Prognostic Indicators of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events: The ‘PROOF’ Study

Background: Transversal studies have underlined the association between the decline in autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity and all-cause mortality. However, the predictive value of ANS has never been prospectively assessed in a general population-based cohort. Method: The PROOF (PROgnostic indicator OF cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events) cohort study was designed to prospectively assess the predictive value of ANS activity level in the general population, with regard to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, and death. This predictive power will be compared with the usual and newly discovered risk factors for the purposes of developing a risk model. Results: A prospective cohort of elderly subjects aged 65 years upon study entry were recruited from the electoral list of the city of Saint-Etienne, France. Three initial 2-year examination programs were scheduled for 7 years (2001–2007), followed by late events monitoring. At each examination, ANS activity was assessed along with clinical and biological cardiovascular risk factors, brain MRI, neuropsychological evaluation, physical activity profile, and sleep-related breathing disorders. The main study outcomes are stroke, myocardial infarction and death from any cause. A cohort consisting of 1,011 subjects aged 65.6 (0.8) years was constituted. Conclusion: Despite other selective characteristics, the associations between ANS activity and events will be applicable to other populations.Background: Transversal studies have underlined the association between the decline in autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity and all-cause mortality. However, the predictive value of ANS has never been prospectively assessed in a general population-based cohort. Method: The PROOF (PROgnostic indicator OF cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events) cohort study was designed to prospectively assess the predictive value of ANS activity level in the general population, with regard to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, and death. This predictive power will be compared with the usual and newly discovered risk factors for the purposes of developing a risk model. Results: A prospective cohort of elderly subjects aged 65 years upon study entry were recruited from the electoral list of the city of Saint-Etienne, France. Three initial 2-year examination programs were scheduled for 7 years (2001–2007), followed by late events monitoring. At each examination, ANS activity was assessed along with clinical and biological cardiovascular risk factors, brain MRI, neuropsychological evaluation, physical activity profile, and sleep-related breathing disorders. The main study outcomes are stroke, myocardial infarction and death from any cause. A cohort consisting of 1,011 subjects aged 65.6 (0.8) years was constituted. Conclusion: Despite other selective characteristics, the associations between ANS activity and events will be applicable to other populations.

Reduction of missed appointments at an urban primary care clinic: a randomised controlled study

BackgroundMissed appointments are known to interfere with appropriate care and to misspend medical and administrative resources. The aim of this study was to test the effectiveness of a sequential intervention reminding patients of their upcoming appointment and to identify the profile of patients missing their appointments.MethodsWe conducted a randomised controlled study in an urban primary care clinic at the Geneva University Hospitals serving a majority of vulnerable patients. All patients booked in a primary care or HIV clinic at the Geneva University Hospitals were sent a reminder 48 hrs prior to their appointment according to the following sequential intervention: 1. Phone call (fixed or mobile) reminder; 2. If no phone response: a Short Message Service (SMS) reminder; 3. If no available mobile phone number: a postal reminder. The rate of missed appointment, the cost of the intervention, and the profile of patients missing their appointment were recorded.Results2123 patients were included: 1052 in the intervention group, 1071 in the control group. Only 61.7% patients had a mobile phone recorded at the clinic. The sequential intervention significantly reduced the rate of missed appointments: 11.4% (n = 122) in the control group and 7.8% (n = 82) in the intervention group (p < 0.005), and allowed to reallocate 28% of cancelled appointments. It also proved to be cost effective in providing a total net benefit of 1846. - EUR/3 months. A satisfaction survey conducted with 241 patients showed that 93% of them were not bothered by the reminders and 78% considered them to be useful. By multivariate analysis, the following characteristics were significant predictors of missed appointments: younger age (OR per additional decade 0.82; CI 0.71-0.94), male gender (OR 1.72; CI 1.18-2.50), follow-up appointment >1year (OR 2.2; CI: 1.15-4.2), substance abuse (2.09, CI 1.21-3.61), and being an asylum seeker (OR 2.73: CI 1.22-6.09).ConclusionA practical reminder system can significantly increase patient attendance at medical outpatient clinics. An intervention focused on specific patient characteristics could further increase the effectiveness of appointment reminders.

Methods in Neuroepidemiology Autonomic Nervous System Activity and Decline as Prognostic Indicators of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events: The 'PROOF' Study Study Design and Population Sample. Associations with Sleep-Related Breathing Disorders: The 'SYNAPSE' Study

Background: Transversal studies have underlined the association between the decline in autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity and all-cause mortality. However, the predictive value of ANS has never been prospectively assessed in a general population-based cohort. Method: The PROOF (PROgnostic indicator OF cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events) cohort study was designed to prospectively assess the predictive value of ANS activity level in the general population, with regard to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, and death. This predictive power will be compared with the usual and newly discovered risk factors for the purposes of developing a risk model. Results: A prospective cohort of elderly subjects aged 65 years upon study entry were recruited from the electoral list of the city of Saint-Etienne, France. Three initial 2-year examination programs were scheduled for 7 years (2001–2007), followed by late events monitoring. At each examination, ANS activity was assessed along with clinical and biological cardiovascular risk factors, brain MRI, neuropsychological evaluation, physical activity profile, and sleep-related breathing disorders. The main study outcomes are stroke, myocardial infarction and death from any cause. A cohort consisting of 1,011 subjects aged 65.6 (0.8) years was constituted. Conclusion: Despite other selective characteristics, the associations between ANS activity and events will be applicable to other populations.Background: Transversal studies have underlined the association between the decline in autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity and all-cause mortality. However, the predictive value of ANS has never been prospectively assessed in a general population-based cohort. Method: The PROOF (PROgnostic indicator OF cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events) cohort study was designed to prospectively assess the predictive value of ANS activity level in the general population, with regard to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, and death. This predictive power will be compared with the usual and newly discovered risk factors for the purposes of developing a risk model. Results: A prospective cohort of elderly subjects aged 65 years upon study entry were recruited from the electoral list of the city of Saint-Etienne, France. Three initial 2-year examination programs were scheduled for 7 years (2001–2007), followed by late events monitoring. At each examination, ANS activity was assessed along with clinical and biological cardiovascular risk factors, brain MRI, neuropsychological evaluation, physical activity profile, and sleep-related breathing disorders. The main study outcomes are stroke, myocardial infarction and death from any cause. A cohort consisting of 1,011 subjects aged 65.6 (0.8) years was constituted. Conclusion: Despite other selective characteristics, the associations between ANS activity and events will be applicable to other populations.

New obesity body mass index threshold for self-reported data

Background: Since subjects included in population studies tend to underreport their weight and overestimate their height, obesity prevalence based on these data is often inaccurate. A reduced obesity threshold for self-reported height and weight was proposed and evaluated for its accuracy. Methods: Self-reported heights and weights were compared with measured heights and weights in a Swiss city adult population representative sample. Participants were asked their height and weight and were invited to undergo a health examination, during which these data were measured. An optimal body mass index (BMI) value was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and its ability to correctly estimate obesity prevalence was tested on an external French population sample. Results: The Swiss population sample consisted of 13 162 subjects (mean age 51.4). The comparison between self-reported and measured data showed that obesity prevalence calculated from declarations was underestimated: among obese subjects (according to measured BMI), 33.6% of men and 27.5% of women were considered to be non-obese according to their self-report. Considering measures as a reference, a lower BMI cut-off of 29.2 kg/m2 was identified for both genders for the definition of obesity based on self-report. Respective misclassification was reduced to 17.9% in men and 16.9% in women. The validation procedure on a French population sample (n = 1858) yielded similar results. Conclusions: The reduced threshold based on self-report allowed a better estimation of obesity prevalence. Its use should be limited to population studies only.

Complete venous ultrasound in outpatients with suspected pulmonary embolism

Summary.  Background: Compression ultrasonography (US) confined to the proximal veins is usually performed to detect deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). Recent studies suggested a limited yield of proximal US when multislice computed tomography (MSCT) was used. Objectives: To assess whether performing an additional distal vein US would increase the diagnostic yield of the test. Patients and methods: Data of 855 consecutive outpatients included in a multicenter randomized controlled trial were analyzed. Patients were investigated by a sequential diagnostic strategy including clinical probability assessment, D‐dimer measurement, proximal US and MSCT. Proximal US was completed by an examination of the distal veins, the result of which was not disclosed to the physician in charge of the patient. Results: US was positive in 21% of patients, of whom 10% (53/541) had proximal DVT and 11% (59/541) isolated distal DVT. Of the 59 patients with distal DVT, 21 (36%) had no PE on MSCT. Twenty of those 21 patients were not given anticoagulant therapy and had an uneventful follow‐up. The diagnostic performance of distal US for the diagnosis of PE was as follows: sensitivity 22% [95% confidence interval (CI) 17–29]; specificity 94% (95% CI 91–96); positive likelihood ratio 3.9 (95% CI 2.4–6.4). Conclusions: In patients with suspected PE, distal US has limited diagnostic performance, and its additional use only modestly increases the yield of US. Moreover, it carries a high false‐positive rate, impeding the use of distal US as a confirmatory test for PE.

Metabolic Syndrome and Short-Term and Long-Term Heart Rate Variability in Elderly Free of Clinical Cardiovascular Disease: The PROOF Study

OBJECTIVE Autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity decrease has been associated with a higher risk of sudden cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease. Thus, we explored the relationship between ANS control of the cardiovascular system and metabolic syndrome. METHODS We analyzed the relationship with both short-term and long-term heart rate variability (HRV) and metabolic syndrome in the cross-sectional PROgnostic indicator OF cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (PROOF) cohort study of 1,011 elderly subjects recruited amongst the inhabitants of the city of Saint Etienne, France, aged 65.6 ± 0.8 years at the inclusion date. Physical examination included measurements of height, weight, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, waist circumference, and biological parameters. HRV variables were measured over 5-min, nighttime, and 24-h periods using Holter monitoring. RESULTS After adjustment for current type 2 diabetes, depression, and smoking, we found that metabolic syndrome status, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and waist circumference were significantly (p < 0.05) associated with total power, very-low frequency, low-frequency/high-frequency (LF/HF) ratio, and normalized LF. HDL-C and metabolic syndrome status were significantly associated with decreased long-term HRV variables. Both nighttime and 24-h HRV showed closer associations with metabolic syndrome than did short-term HRV (5-min). Metabolic syndrome severity was associated with a decrease in both the long-term and short-term HRV variables. CONCLUSIONS ANS control alteration of the cardiovascular system was more pronounced when evaluated by long-term than short-term HRV recordings, particularly in women.

Comparison between planned and unplanned readmissions to a department of internal medicine

The objective of this study was to assess the respective frequency of planned and unplanned early readmissions after discharge from an internal medicine department, and to identify and compare risk factors for these two types of readmissions. Readmissions within 31 days of discharge were identified as planned or unplanned based on analysis of discharge summaries. Time-failure methods were used to describe the risk of readmissions over time and to assess relationships between patient and index stay characteristics and risk of readmission. Of 5828 patients discharged alive, 730 (12.5%) were readmitted within 31 days. There were slightly more planned than unplanned readmissions (393 vs. 337). The difference in time-to-event functions was significant (P=0.04). The risk of planned readmission was increased for men, younger patients, and for patients discharged with a diagnosis of coronary heart disease, cardiac arrhythmia, and neoplastic disease. Increased risk of unplanned readmission was associated with index length of stay longer than 3 days, an increased number of comorbidities, and with a diagnosis of neoplastic disease. Planned readmissions constitute more than half of early readmissions to our internal medicine department. Therefore, a crude readmission rate is unlikely to be a useful indicator of quality of care. Several patient characteristics influence the risk of unplanned readmission, suggesting that case-mix adjustments are necessary when readmission rates are compared between institutions or tracked over time.

A Randomized Trial of Four Patient Satisfaction Questionnaires

Background.Patient satisfaction surveys are increasingly used by hospitals. Many questionnaires are available, but little evidence exists to guide the choice of the most suitable instrument. Objective.To compare the acceptability and patient perceptions of 4 patient satisfaction questionnaires. Research Design.Randomized trial of 4 satisfaction questionnaires: Picker, Patient Judgment System (PJS), Sequs, and a locally developed Lausanne questionnaire. Subjects.Patients discharged from 2 Swiss teaching hospitals (n = 2850). Measures.Response rates, missing data, completion time, and patient ratings of the questionnaire (5-point agree–disagree scale). Results.Response rates were similar across instruments (Picker: 70%, PJS: 71%, Sequs: 68%, Lausanne: 73%; P = 0.27). The Picker questionnaire had the most missing responses (mean per item: Picker: 3.1%, PJS: 1.9%, Sequs: 1.6%, Lausanne: 1.1%; P <0.001) and took the longest to complete (minutes: Picker: 19.3, PJS: 12.5, Sequs: 13.4, Lausanne: 13.1; P <0.001), but the fewest patients indicated that the questionnaire failed to address at least 1 important aspect of the hospital stay (Picker: 28.2%, PJS: 38.8%, Sequs: 39.1%, Lausanne: 28.9%; P <0.001). Patient evaluations of the questionnaires were generally similar; the most favorable assessment was chosen by approximately half of the respondents (average of 10 items: Picker: 46.5%, PJS: 46.2%, Sequs: 47.4%, Lausanne: 48.2%; P = 0.60). Key survey results differed considerably by questionnaire. Conclusions. No questionnaire emerged as uniformly better than the others in terms of acceptability and patient evaluations. All 4 could be used for patient satisfaction surveys.

A predictive score to identify hospitalized patients' risk of discharge to a post-acute care facility

BackgroundEarly identification of patients who need post-acute care (PAC) may improve discharge planning. The purposes of the study were to develop and validate a score predicting discharge to a post-acute care (PAC) facility and to determine its best assessment time.MethodsWe conducted a prospective study including 349 (derivation cohort) and 161 (validation cohort) consecutive patients in a general internal medicine service of a teaching hospital. We developed logistic regression models predicting discharge to a PAC facility, based on patient variables measured on admission (day 1) and on day 3. The value of each model was assessed by its area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). A simple numerical score was derived from the best model, and was validated in a separate cohort.ResultsPrediction of discharge to a PAC facility was as accurate on day 1 (AUC: 0.81) as on day 3 (AUC: 0.82). The day-3 model was more parsimonious, with 5 variables: patients partner inability to provide home help (4 pts); inability to self-manage drug regimen (4 pts); number of active medical problems on admission (1 pt per problem); dependency in bathing (4 pts) and in transfers from bed to chair (4 pts) on day 3. A score ≥ 8 points predicted discharge to a PAC facility with a sensitivity of 87% and a specificity of 63%, and was significantly associated with inappropriate hospital days due to discharge delays. Internal and external validations confirmed these results.ConclusionA simple score computed on the 3rd hospital day predicted discharge to a PAC facility with good accuracy. A score > 8 points should prompt early discharge planning.

Clinical relevance of parenteral nutrition prescription and administration in 200 hospitalized patients: A quality control study *

BACKGROUND & AIMS Optimal implementation of parenteral nutrition (PN) is required to promote clinical outcome and costs control. This prospective quality control study examined if PN prescription was justified and PN administration was adequate to cover the nutritional needs of patients hospitalized in the Geneva University Hospital. METHODS Two-hundred consecutive patients receiving PN were included from Medicine, Intensive Care or Surgery Units. PN prescription was considered justified if oral feeding or enteral nutrition were contraindicated or provided less than 40% of the energy target after 5 days. PN was considered adequate if it covered 90%-110% of the recommended need for energy (i.e., 110% of the Harris-Benedict formula) and proteins (i.e., 1.2 or 1.0 g protein/kg body weight/day for patients < or = or >65 years, respectively), and was supplemented with vitamins and trace elements. RESULTS PN prescription was justified in all but 14 patients (7%). However, PN administration was frequently inadequate: overfeeding (62%) was more often observed than underfeeding (14%), particularly among thin, elderly and female patients (P<0.01). Moreover, PN was not supplemented with vitamins and/or trace elements in 47 patients (24%). CONCLUSION PN prescription is generally justified but PN administration is often inadequate. Further teaching of medical teams and quality control surveys are warranted to optimize PN practices.