Michelle M. Haby

Asthma in preschool children: prevalence and risk factors

BACKGROUND The prevalence of asthma in children has increased in many countries over recent years. To plan effective interventions to reverse this trend we need a better understanding of the risk factors for asthma in early life. This study was undertaken to measure the prevalence of, and risk factors for, asthma in preschool children. METHODS Parents of children aged 3–5 years living in two cities (Lismore, n=383; Wagga Wagga, n=591) in New South Wales, Australia were surveyed by questionnaire to ascertain the presence of asthma and various proposed risk factors for asthma in their children. Recent asthma was defined as ever having been diagnosed with asthma andhaving cough or wheeze in the last 12 monthsand having used an asthma medication in the last 12 months. Atopy was measured by skin prick tests to six common allergens. RESULTS The prevalence of recent asthma was 22% in Lismore and 18% in Wagga Wagga. Factors which increased the risk of recent asthma were: atopy (odds ratio (OR) 2.35, 95% CI 1.49 to 3.72), having a parent with a history of asthma (OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.34 to 3.16), having had a serious respiratory infection in the first 2 years of life (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.99), and a high dietary intake of polyunsaturated fats (OR 2.03, 95% CI 1.15 to 3.60). Breast feeding (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.22 to 0.74) and having three or more older siblings (OR 0.16, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.71) decreased the risk of recent asthma. CONCLUSIONS Of the factors tested, those that have the greatest potential to be modified to reduce the risk of asthma are breast feeding and consumption of polyunsaturated fats.

A new approach to assessing the health benefit from obesity interventions in children and adolescents: The assessing cost-effectiveness in obesity project

Objective:To report on a new modelling approach developed for the assessing cost-effectiveness in obesity (ACE-Obesity) project and the likely population health benefit and strength of evidence for 13 potential obesity prevention interventions in children and adolescents in Australia.Methods:We used the best available evidence, including evidence from non-traditional epidemiological study designs, to determine the health benefits as body mass index (BMI) units saved and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) saved. We developed new methods to model the impact of behaviours on BMI post-intervention where this was not measured and the impacts on DALYs over the childs lifetime (on the assumption that changes in BMI were maintained into adulthood). A working group of stakeholders provided input into decisions on the selection of interventions, the assumptions for modelling and the strength of the evidence.Results:The likely health benefit varied considerably, as did the strength of the evidence from which that health benefit was calculated. The greatest health benefit is likely to be achieved by the ‘Reduction of TV advertising of high fat and/or high sugar foods and drinks to children’, ‘Laparoscopic adjustable gastric banding’ and the ‘multi-faceted school-based programme with an active physical education component’ interventions.Conclusions:The use of consistent methods and common health outcome measures enables valid comparison of the potential impact of interventions, but comparisons must take into account the strength of the evidence used. Other considerations, including cost-effectiveness and acceptability to stakeholders, will be presented in future ACE-Obesity papers. Information gaps identified include the need for new and more effective initiatives for the prevention of overweight and obesity and for better evaluations of public health interventions.

Prevalence of asthma in adults in Busselton, Western Australia.

OBJECTIVE--To estimate whether the prevalence of asthma in adults increased over a nine year interval. DESIGN--Serial cross sectional studies of the population with a protocol that included both subjective and objective measurements. SETTING--Busselton, Western Australia. SUBJECTS--A random sample of 553 subjects aged 18-55 years in 1981, and of 1028 subjects aged 18-55 years in 1990. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Respiratory symptoms measured by self administered questionnaire, bronchial responsiveness measured by bronchial challenge with histamine, and allergy measured by skin prick tests. RESULTS--Symptoms with increased prevalence were those with significant association with allergy in this population. Recent wheeze increased from 17.5% to 28.8% (p < 0.001) and diagnosed asthma increased from 9.0% to 16.3% (p < 0.001). The increase was greatest in subjects less than 30 years old. The prevalence of shortness of breath coming on at rest and of hay fever also increased significantly, but the prevalence of shortness of breath on exertion, chronic cough, bronchial hyperresponsiveness, current asthma (defined as recent wheeze plus bronchial hyperresponsiveness), and allergy did not increase. The severity of bronchial responsiveness did not change significantly in any symptom group. CONCLUSIONS--Young adults showed a significant increase in reporting of symptoms related to allergy but not in the prevalence of current asthma. The increase in symptoms may be due to increased awareness of asthma in this community, to changed treatment patterns, or to increased exposures to allergens.

An exercise challenge protocol for epidemiological studies of asthma in children: comparison with histamine challenge

We investigated whether an exercise challenge protocol is suitable for measuring bronchial responsiveness in epidemiological studies of asthma in children, and determined its comparability with histamine challenge. The exercise challenge was 6 minutes of outdoor, free-range running at 85-90% of maximum heart rate, measured by heart rate monitor. Nose clips were worn. Distance run was measured to estimate oxygen consumption. Water content of the inspired air was < 10 mg H2O.l-1. Histamine challenge was by the rapid method. We used questionnaires to measure respiratory symptoms and skin prick tests to measure atopy. A total of 96 children aged 8-11 years were studied. Bronchial hyperresponsiveness (BHR) to exercise challenge was defined as a fall in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) of 13% of greater. Eleven children had a positive response to exercise challenge and 11 to histamine challenge but 12 responded to one challenge and not to the other. The correlation coefficient between the two tests was 0.65 (p = 0.0001). Exercise challenge thus proved to be a practical epidemiological tool for objective measurements of bronchial responsiveness in children. In this sample, some children responded to one challenge and not to the other which suggests that the two challenges identify different abnormalities of the airways.

Priority setting in health: Origins, description and application of the Australian Assessing Cost–Effectiveness initiative

This article reports on the ‘Assessing Cost–Effectiveness’ (ACE) initiative in priority setting from Australia. It commences with why priority setting is topical and notes that a wide variety of approaches are available. In assessing these various approaches, it is argued that a useful first step is to consider what constitutes an ‘ideal’ approach to priority setting. A checklist to guide priority setting is presented based on guidance from economic theory, ethics and social justice, lessons from empirical experience and the needs of decision-makers. The checklist is seen as an important contribution because it is the first time that criteria from such a broad range of considerations have been brought together to develop a framework for priority setting that endeavors to be both realistic and theoretically sound. The checklist will then be applied to a selection of existing approaches in order to illustrate their deficiencies and to provide the platform for explaining the unique features of the ACE approach. A case study (ACE-Cancer) will then be presented and assessed against the checklist, including reaction from stakeholders in the cancer field. The article concludes with an overview of the full body of ACE research completed to date, together with some reflections on the ACE experience.

The cost-effectiveness of removing television advertising of high-fat and/or high-sugar food and beverages to Australian children

Objective:To model the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of banning television (TV) advertisements in Australia for energy-dense, nutrient-poor food and beverages during childrens peak viewing times.Methods:Benefits were modelled as changes in body mass index (BMI) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) saved. Intervention costs (AUD

Trends in BMI of urban Australian adults, 1980-2000

) were compared with future health-care cost offsets from reduced prevalence of obesity-related health conditions. Changes in BMI were assumed to be maintained through to adulthood. The comparator was current practice, the reference year was 2001, and the discount rate for costs and benefits was 3%. The impact of the withdrawal of non-core food and beverage advertisements on childrens actual food consumption was drawn from the best available evidence (a randomized controlled trial of advertisement exposure and food consumption). Supporting evidence was found in ecological relationships between TV advertising and childhood obesity, and from the effects of marketing bans on other products. A Working Group of stakeholders provided input into decisions surrounding the modelling assumptions and second-stage filters of ‘strength of evidence’, ‘equity’, ‘acceptability to stakeholders’, ‘feasibility of implementation’, ‘sustainability’ and ‘side-effects’.Results:The intervention had a gross incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of AUD

Daycare attendance before the age of two protects against atopy in preschool age children

3.70 (95% uncertainty interval (UI)

Future predictions of body mass index and overweight prevalence in Australia, 2005–2025

2.40,

Asthma in children: Gaps between current management and best practice

7.70) per DALY. Total DALYs saved were 37 000 (95% UI 16 000, 59 000). When the present value of potential savings in future health-care costs was considered (AUD