Molla Huq

Definition and initial validation of a Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS)

Aims Treating to low disease activity is routine in rheumatoid arthritis, but no comparable goal has been defined for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We sought to define and validate a Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS). Methods A consensus definition of LLDAS was generated using Delphi and nominal group techniques. Criterion validity was determined by measuring the ability of LLDAS attainment, in a single-centre SLE cohort, to predict non-accrual of irreversible organ damage, measured using the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics Damage Index (SDI). Results Consensus methodology led to the following definition of LLDAS: (1) SLE Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI)-2K ≤4, with no activity in major organ systems (renal, central nervous system (CNS), cardiopulmonary, vasculitis, fever) and no haemolytic anaemia or gastrointestinal activity; (2) no new lupus disease activity compared with the previous assessment; (3) a Safety of Estrogens in Lupus Erythematosus National Assessment (SELENA)-SLEDAI physician global assessment (scale 0–3) ≤1; (4) a current prednisolone (or equivalent) dose ≤7.5 mg daily; and (5) well tolerated standard maintenance doses of immunosuppressive drugs and approved biological agents. Achievement of LLDAS was determined in 191 patients followed for a mean of 3.9 years. Patients who spent greater than 50% of their observed time in LLDAS had significantly reduced organ damage accrual compared with patients who spent less than 50% of their time in LLDAS (p=0.0007) and were significantly less likely to have an increase in SDI of ≥1 (relative risk 0.47, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.79, p=0.005). Conclusions A definition of LLDAS has been generated, and preliminary validation demonstrates its attainment to be associated with improved outcomes in SLE.

Early Mortality in a Multinational Systemic Sclerosis Inception Cohort

To determine mortality and causes of death in a multinational inception cohort of subjects with systemic sclerosis (SSc).

Hospital volume and perioperative outcomes for radical cystectomy: a population study

To evaluate the association between hospital volume and perioperative outcomes of radical cystectomy (RC) using state population data for a contemporary Australian cohort.

Does expert opinion match the operational definition of the Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS)? A case-based construct validity study

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the construct validity of the Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS), a treatment target in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS Fifty SLE case summaries based on real patients were prepared and assessed independently for meeting the operational definition of LLDAS. Fifty international rheumatologists with expertise in SLE, but with no prior involvement in the LLDAS project, responded to a survey in which they were asked to categorize the disease activity state of each case as remission, low, moderate, or high. Agreement between expert opinion and LLDAS was assessed using Cohens kappa. RESULTS Overall agreement between expert opinion and the operational definition of LLDAS was 77.96% (95% CI: 76.34-79.58%), with a Cohens kappa of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.55-0.61). Of the cases (22 of 50) that fulfilled the operational definition of LLDAS, only 5.34% (59 of 22 × 50) of responses classified the cases as moderate/high activity. Of the cases that did not fulfill the operational definition of LLDAS (28 of 50), 35.14% (492 of 28 × 50) of responses classified the cases as remission/low activity. Common reasons for discordance were assignment to remission/low activity of cases with higher corticosteroid doses than defined in LLDAS (prednisolone ≤ 7.5mg) or with SLEDAI-2K >4 due to serological activity (high anti-dsDNA antibody and/or low complement). CONCLUSIONS LLDAS has good construct validity with high overall agreement between the operational definition of LLDAS and expert opinion. Discordance of results suggests that the operational definition of LLDAS is more stringent than expert opinion at defining a low disease activity state.

Systematic review, and meta-analysis of steroid-sparing effect, of biologic agents in randomized, placebo-controlled phase 3 trials for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

OBJECTIVES To systematically review, and conduct a meta-analysis of steroid-sparing effect in, phase 3 randomized, placebo-controlled trials of biologic therapies for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS Studies were identified by searching Medline (via Pubmed), EMBASE, CINAHL and SCOPUS databases, the Cochrane library, and clinicaltrials.gov. Adult human studies published in English in the last ten years (until 18/04/2017) were included. A random-effects meta-analysis comparing a common corticosteroid-reduction endpoint in the trials of rituximab, belimumab, tabalumab and epratuzumab in SLE, was conducted. RESULTS Twenty-eight studies were identified; nine were conducted in SLE, five in lupus nephritis and the remaining 14 were post hoc analyses of phase 3 trials in SLE. All therapies trialed targeted B-cells (rituximab (anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody (mAb)), belimumab (anti-BAFF mAb), tabalumab (anti-BAFF mAb), epratuzumab (anti-CD22 mAb), atacicept (TACI-Ig), ocrelizumab (anti-CD20 mAb)), except for abetimus sodium and abatacept (CTLA4-Ig). Only the three trials of belimumab met their primary endpoints, although benefit in secondary endpoints and reduction in serological activity was often seen in the other studies. Meta-analysis showed that most therapies (belimumab, tabalumab, and epratuzumab) had a steroid-sparing effect, compared to placebo (pooled RR 1.36 (1.19, 1.56), I2 = 0, p < 0.67). Therapies were generally well tolerated; however, three studies were terminated prematurely due to serious side effects. CONCLUSIONS With the exception of belimumab, none of the phase 3 trials of biologic therapy in SLE have met their primary endpoint. However, the significant steroid-sparing effect of these agents suggests that future trials may need to include steroid dose in a composite primary endpoint.

Early Accrual of Organ Damage in Systemic Sclerosis: Rationale for Development of a Disease Damage Index

Introduction Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is characterized by irreversible organ damage rather than fluctuating disease activity. However, there is no validated measure of damage in SSc. We aimed to quantify the accrual of organ damage in patients with early SSc. Methods Patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study with less than 2 years of SSc since the onset of the first non-Raynauds symptom were included. Organ damage was defined by a group of six experts as substantial and permanent loss of organ function due to SSc. Results We identified 278 patients with early SSc. Among these, 38% had diffuse SSc. Damage was more common in the diffuse than in the limited disease subtype in the skin/musculoskeletal (75% vs. 25.2%, p<0.001) and lung (31.4% vs. 19.9%, p = 0.035) domains at year seven. The rates of damage accrual were highest in the skin/musculoskeletal, gastrointestinal and respiratory systems at year two (29.1%, 18.7%, 14.4%), increasing at year five (41.4%, 30.6%, 21.2%) and declining thereafter to year seven (43.9%, 32.7%, 23.0%). In particular, there was early accrual of damage due to joint contracture (22.3%), gastrointestinal dysmotility (11.5%) and pulmonary fibrosis with forced vital capacity <70% predicted (9.7%) at year two. The highest accrual rate of organ-specific damage from years two to seven was seen in fecal incontinence followed by proximal muscle weakness and pulmonary fibrosis. Conclusions Substantial accrual of organ damage occurs early in the course of disease, particularly in diffuse SSc. This provides the rationale for the development of a SSc damage index.

Longitudinal association of type 1 interferon-induced chemokines with disease activity in systemic lupus erythematosus

Type I interferon (IFN) pathways are significant in SLE pathogenesis. Less is known about the utility of measuring markers of IFN activity in patients, or whether patient subsets with different profiles exist. We explored the longitudinal associations of IFN-induced chemokines with disease activity in a cohort of SLE patients. We calculated a validated composite score (IFN-CK) of three type I IFN-inducible chemokines (CCL2/CXCL10/CCL19) measured in 109 SLE patients (median 7 occasions over 3.2 years). Longitudinal associations of IFN-CK score with disease activity (SLEDAI-2K) and other variables were assessed using general estimating equation (GEE) methods. IFN-CK was detectable in all patients. SLEDAI-2K was significantly associated with IFN-CK, damage score and prednisolone dose. SLEDAI-2K remained significantly associated with IFN-CK over time after adjustment of covariates. Patients with high time-adjusted mean IFN-CK had lower complement and higher time-adjusted disease activity. Concordance between IFN-CK and SLEDAI-2K varied widely among patients, with some individuals having none, others weak, and a subset very high concordance. In summary in our cohort of SLE patients, serum IFN-CK varied over time with disease activity, but with wide variation in concordance. Differing relationships between IFN pathway activation and disease activity may be valuable in assigning patients to emerging IFN-pathway targeting treatments.

437 Construct validity assessment of the lupus low disease activity state (lldas) – a case based validity study

Background and aims To evaluate the construct validity of the Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS), a treatment target in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Methods Fifty SLE case summaries based on real patients were prepared and assessed independently for meeting the operational definition of LLDAS. Fifty international rheumatologists with expertise in SLE, but with no prior involvement in the LLDAS project, responded to a survey in which they were asked to categorise the disease activity state of each case as remission, low, moderate or high. Agreement between expert opinion and LLDAS was assessed using Cohen’s Kappa. Results Overall agreement between expert opinion and the operational definition of LLDAS was 77.96% (95% CI 76.34%–79.58%), with a Cohen’s Kappa of 0.57 (95% CI 0.55–0.61). Of the cases (22 of 50) that fulfilled the operational definition of LLDAS, only 5.34% (59 of 22 × 50) of responses classified the cases as moderate/high activity. Of the cases that did not fulfil the operational definition of LLDAS (28 of 50), 35.14% (492 of 28 × 50) of responses classified the cases as remission/low activity. Common reasons for discordance were assignment to remission/low activity of cases with higher corticosteroid doses than defined in LLDAS (prednisolone ≤7.5 mg) or with SLEDAI-2K>4 due to serological activity (high anti-dsDNA antibody and/or low complement). Conclusions LLDAS has good construct validity with high overall agreement between the operational definition of LLDAS and expert opinion. Discordance of results suggests that the operational definition of LLDAS is more stringent than expert opinion at defining a low disease activity state.

33 Association of the lupus low disease activity state (lldas) with health related quality of life

Background and Aims Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with significant impairment of health-related quality of life (HR-QoL). The Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) definition has not been previously evaluated for association with patient reported outcomes. The objective of this study was to determine whether LLDAS was associated with better HR-QoL, and examine predictors of HR-QoL, in a large multiethnic, multinational cohort of SLE patients. Methods HR-QoL was measured using the Medical Outcomes Study 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36v2) in a prospective study of 1422 patients. Disease status was measured using SLE disease activity index (SLEDAI-2K), physician global assessment (PGA) and LLDAS. Results Significant differences in SF-36 domain scores were found between patients stratified by ethnic group, education level, damage score, and with the presence of active musculoskeletal or cutaneous manifestations. In multiple linear regression analysis, Asian ethnicity (p<0.001), a higher level of education (p<0.001), younger age (p<0.001) and shorter disease duration (p<0.01) remained significantly associated with better physical component scores (PCS). Musculoskeletal disease activity (p<0.001) was negatively associated with PCS, and cutaneous activity (p=0.04) was negatively associated with mental component scores (MCS). Patients in LLDAS had better PCS (p<0.001) and MCS (p<0.001) scores and significantly better scores in multiple individual SF-36 domain scores. Disease damage was associated with worse PCS (p<0.001), but not MCS scores. Conclusions Ethnicity, education, disease damage, and specific organ involvement impacts on HR-QoL in SLE. Attainment of LLDAS is associated with better HR-QoL.

Validity of the PROMIS-29 in a large Australian cohort of patients with systemic sclerosis

Background We aimed to evaluate the construct validity of the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System 29 (PROMIS-29) in Australian systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients. Methods SSc patients, identified through the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study database, completed two quality-of-life instruments concurrently, the PROMIS-29 and the Medical Outcomes Study 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36). The construct validity of the PROMIS-29 was assessed by the correlations between the PROMIS-29 and the SF-36 and Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI). Cronbachs alpha was used to test the internal reliability of all instruments in Australian SSc patients and non-parametric correlation, including Spearmans correlation, was used to test the construct validity of PROMIS-29 against the SF-36 and HAQ-DI. Results A total of 477 completed questionnaires were returned, equating to a response rate of 59.6%. The mean (±SD) age of respondents at the time of the survey was 64.1 (±11.1) years. They were predominantly female (87.4%), with limited disease subtype (lcSSc) (77.8%) and long disease duration from onset of first non-Raynauds phenomenon symptom at the time of survey (10.9 ± 11.1 years). For the correlation analysis between the PROMIS-29 and the legacy instruments, all Spearman correlation coefficients were in the logical direction and highly significant suggesting that the PROMIS-29 is a good alternative to other validated measures of disease burden. Conclusions Our study indicates that the PROMIS-29 questionnaire is a valid instrument for measuring health-related quality of life in Australian females with lcSSc of long duration.