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Dive into the research topics where N. S. Crowcroft is active.

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Featured researches published by N. S. Crowcroft.


Lancet Infectious Diseases | 2010

Causes of encephalitis and differences in their clinical presentations in England: a multicentre, population-based prospective study

Julia Granerod; Helen E Ambrose; Nicholas W. S. Davies; Jonathan P. Clewley; Amanda L. Walsh; Dilys Morgan; Richard Cunningham; Mark Zuckerman; Ken Mutton; Tom Solomon; Katherine N. Ward; Michael P. Lunn; Sarosh R. Irani; Angela Vincent; David Brown; N. S. Crowcroft

BACKGROUND Encephalitis has many causes, but for most patients the cause is unknown. We aimed to establish the cause and identify the clinical differences between causes in patients with encephalitis in England. METHODS Patients of all ages and with symptoms suggestive of encephalitis were actively recruited for 2 years (staged start between October, 2005, and November, 2006) from 24 hospitals by clinical staff. Systematic laboratory testing included PCR and antibody assays for all commonly recognised causes of infectious encephalitis, investigation for less commonly recognised causes in immunocompromised patients, and testing for travel-related causes if indicated. We also tested for non-infectious causes for acute encephalitis including autoimmunity. A multidisciplinary expert team reviewed clinical presentation and hospital tests and directed further investigations. Patients were followed up for 6 months after discharge from hospital. FINDINGS We identified 203 patients with encephalitis. Median age was 30 years (range 0-87). 86 patients (42%, 95% CI 35-49) had infectious causes, including 38 (19%, 14-25) herpes simplex virus, ten (5%, 2-9) varicella zoster virus, and ten (5%, 2-9) Mycobacterium tuberculosis; 75 (37%, 30-44) had unknown causes. 42 patients (21%, 15-27) had acute immune-mediated encephalitis. 24 patients (12%, 8-17) died, with higher case fatality for infections from M tuberculosis (three patients; 30%, 7-65) and varicella zoster virus (two patients; 20%, 2-56). The 16 patients with antibody-associated encephalitis had the worst outcome of all groups-nine (56%, 30-80) either died or had severe disabilities. Patients who died were more likely to be immunocompromised than were those who survived (OR = 3·44). INTERPRETATION Early diagnosis of encephalitis is crucial to ensure that the right treatment is given on time. Extensive testing substantially reduced the proportion with unknown cause, but the proportion of cases with unknown cause was higher than that for any specific identified cause. FUNDING The Policy Research Programme, Department of Health, UK.


The Lancet | 2006

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN PERTUSSIS

N. S. Crowcroft; Richard Pebody

Pertussis causes nearly 300,000 deaths in children every year. Most deaths take place in developing countries, but the infection remains a priority everywhere. Pertussis vaccination protects infants and children against death and admission to hospital, but breakthrough disease in vaccinated people can happen. In high-mortality countries, the challenge is to improve timeliness and coverage of childhood vaccination and surveillance. In regions with low mortality and highest coverage, pertussis is frequently the least well-controlled disease in childhood vaccination programmes. Some countries have reported a rise in pertussis in adolescents, adults, and pre-vaccination infants, but how much these changes are real or a result of improved recognition and surveillance remains uncertain. In response, several countries have introduced adolescent and adult acellular pertussis vaccine boosters. The effect so far is unknown; assessment is impeded by poor data. Uncertainties still persist about key variables needed to model and design vaccination programmes, such as risk of transmission from adults and adolescents to infants. New vaccination strategies under investigation include vaccination of neonates, family members, and pregnant women.


Lancet Infectious Diseases | 2003

How best to estimate the global burden of pertussis

N. S. Crowcroft; Claudia Stein; Philippe Duclos; Maureen Birmingham

In most countries, pertussis surveillance is inadequate for accurately estimating numbers of cases or deaths. Good estimates are needed to help set priorities for vaccination programmes. We aimed to develop a simple, reliable, and explicit method for estimating pertussis cases and deaths for children under 15 years to calculate the global disease burden in 1999. We estimated the proportion of susceptible children becoming infected in countries with poor vaccination coverage (<70%) in 1999 at 30% by 1 year, 80% by 5 years, and 100% by 15 years of age and for countries with good coverage (> or =70%) at 10% by 1 year, 60% by 5 years, and 100% by 15 years. Vaccine efficacy was estimated at 80% for preventing infection and 95% for preventing deaths. We used UN population estimates and vaccination coverage reported to WHO (adjusted for specific survey data if available). Case fatality ratios for countries with high and low child mortality were derived from published and unpublished work. For some countries with good vital events registration we used reported deaths adjusted for underascertainment. In 1999 there were an estimated 48.5 million pertussis cases in children worldwide. Deaths from pertussis were estimated at 390000 and at 295000 after adjustment for local data sources. Based on this approach, disability-adjusted life years from pertussis (12.7 million) in 2000 exceeded those of other preventable diseases such as lung cancer (11.4 million) and meningitis (5.8 million). This simple approach yields estimates that can be used for setting vaccination programme priorities. Better data are needed on the public health importance of pertussis in high mortality countries, the benefits of incomplete vaccination, and the harm from delayed vaccination.


Epidemiology and Infection | 2010

Diphtheria in the United Kingdom, 1986–2008: the increasing role of Corynebacterium ulcerans

K. S. Wagner; J. White; N. S. Crowcroft; S. De Martin; G. Mann; Androulla Efstratiou

Diphtheria is an uncommon disease in the UK due to an effective immunization programme; consequently when cases do arise, there can be delays in diagnosis and case-fatality rates remain high. We reviewed 102 patients with infections caused by toxigenic corynebacteria (an average of four per year) reported in the UK between 1986 and 2008: 42 Corynebacterium diphtheriae, 59 C. ulcerans and one C. pseudotuberculosis, as well as 23 asymptomatic carriers. Five fatalities were reported, all in unvaccinated patients. The major risk factor for C. diphtheriae infection continued to be travel to an endemic country. C. ulcerans infections became more common than C. diphtheriae infections in the UK; they were associated with contact with companion animals. The occurrence of indigenous severe C. ulcerans infections and imported C. diphtheriae cases highlights the need to maintain UK routine vaccination coverage at the 95% level in the UK, as recommended by the World Health Organization.


Epidemiology and Infection | 2010

Causality in acute encephalitis: defining aetiologies

Julia Granerod; Richard Cunningham; Mark Zuckerman; Ken Mutton; Nicholas W. S. Davies; Amanda L. Walsh; Katherine N. Ward; David A. Hilton; Helen E Ambrose; Jonathan P. Clewley; Dilys Morgan; Michael P. Lunn; Tom Solomon; David W. Brown; N. S. Crowcroft

Defining the causal relationship between a microbe and encephalitis is complex. Over 100 different infectious agents may cause encephalitis, often as one of the rarer manifestations of infection. The gold-standard techniques to detect causative infectious agents in encephalitis in life depend on the study of brain biopsy material; however, in most cases this is not possible. We present the UK perspective on aetiological case definitions for acute encephalitis and extend them to include immune-mediated causes. Expert opinion was primarily used and was supplemented by literature-based methods. Wide usage of these definitions will facilitate comparison between studies and result in a better understanding of the causes of this devastating condition. They provide a framework for regular review and updating as the knowledge base increases both clinically and through improvements in diagnostic methods. The importance of new and emerging pathogens as causes of encephalitis can be assessed against the principles laid out here.


Neuropsychological Rehabilitation | 2007

The epidemiology of acute encephalitis

Julia Granerod; N. S. Crowcroft

Encephalitis means inflammation of the brain matter. Despite being a rare condition, encephalitis is of public health importance worldwide because it has high morbidity and mortality. Yet, many details about its epidemiology have yet to be elucidated. This review attempts to summarise what is known about the epidemiology of the infective causes of encephalitis and is based on a literature search of the Medline archives. Infection is the most common cause identified, with viruses being the most important known aetiological agents. Incidence varies between studies but is generally between 3.5 and 7.4 per 100,000 patient-years. Encephalitis affects peoples of all ages; however, incidence is higher in the paediatric population. Although both sexes are affected, most studies have shown a slight predominance in males. Encephalitis occurs worldwide; some aetiologies have a global distribution (herpesviruses) while others are geographically restricted (arboviruses). Although definite epidemiological trends are evident, it is difficult to make generalisations as few population-based studies exist, most cases are not reported to health authorities, and many possible pathogens are implicated but in most cases a cause is never found. A better understanding of the epidemiology of this devastating disease will pave the way for better prevention and control strategies.


Journal of Medical Microbiology | 2009

Role of PCR in the diagnosis of pertussis infection in infants: 5 years' experience of provision of a same-day real-time PCR service in England and Wales from 2002 to 2007.

Norman K. Fry; John S. Duncan; Karen Wagner; Oceanis Tzivra; Nita Doshi; David Litt; N. S. Crowcroft; Elizabeth Miller; Robert George; Timothy G. Harrison

As part of an enhanced surveillance programme for pertussis in England and Wales, a real-time PCR service for the detection of Bordetella pertussis was introduced for infants aged <or=6 months admitted to a paediatric intensive care unit or paediatric ward with a respiratory illness compatible with pertussis. Two real-time fluorescent resonance energy transfer hybridization probe LightCycler (Roche Diagnostics) PCR assays were used. One (designed in-house) targeted the pertussis toxin S1 promoter (ptxA-pr), and included an internal process control to test for sample inhibition and reagent performance. The other (already published) targeted the insertion element IS481. The analytical sensitivities of the assays were 100 and 10 fg per reaction for the ptxA-pr and IS481 PCRs, respectively. The ptxA-pr assay was specific for B. pertussis, whilst the IS481 PCR also showed some cross-reactivity with Bordetella holmesii and the type strain of Bordetella parapertussis. From April 2002 to March 2007, 848 samples were received from 774 patients and DNA was extracted. Of 824 samples that were suitable for testing, 183 (22.2 %) had evidence of Bordetella infection (18.9 % ptxA-pr and IS481; 3.3 % IS481 only), 621 (75.4 %) were negative and 20 (2.4 %) were inhibitory for the PCR. Within the targeted age group of <or=6 months, most patients (130/138) with evidence of Bordetella spp. by PCR were <or=3 months old. The overall percentage increase in laboratory-confirmed cases due to PCR compared with culture for the 5 year period described ranged from 9 to 26 % per year (mean 19 %). Real-time PCR is an invaluable tool both for enhanced epidemiological surveillance and for the provision of a rapid diagnosis of pertussis where results can affect patient and contact management.


Vaccine | 2009

A review of the international issues surrounding the availability and demand for diphtheria antitoxin for therapeutic use

Karen Wagner; Paul Stickings; Joanne M. White; S. Neal; N. S. Crowcroft; Dorothea Sesardic; Androulla Efstratiou

Diphtheria treatment requires early administration of diphtheria antitoxin (DAT), an immunoglobulin preparation that neutralises circulating diphtheria toxin. Here, we review issues relating to the supply and use of DAT and assess its availability by means of an international survey. Results showed that several countries do not currently hold DAT stockpiles due to low prevalence, and hence perceived risk of diphtheria, and/or difficulties in obtaining DAT supplies. The potential for importation of cases into any country exists globally, since diphtheria remains endemic in many regions. It is therefore important that DAT be readily available - particularly since waning diphtheria immunity has been observed among adult populations in countries with good vaccination coverage. Options for diphtheria therapy are discussed.


Journal of Clinical Microbiology | 2011

Diagnostic Strategy Used To Establish Etiologies of Encephalitis in a Prospective Cohort of Patients in England

Helen E Ambrose; Julia Granerod; Jonathan P. Clewley; Nicholas W. S. Davies; G. Keir; R. Cunningham; Mark Zuckerman; Ken Mutton; Katherine N. Ward; S. Ijaz; N. S. Crowcroft; David W. Brown

ABSTRACT The laboratory diagnostic strategy used to determine the etiology of encephalitis in 203 patients is reported. An etiological diagnosis was made by first-line laboratory testing for 111 (55%) patients. Subsequent testing, based on individual case reviews, resulted in 17 (8%) further diagnoses, of which 12 (71%) were immune-mediated and 5 (29%) were due to infection. Seventy-five cases were of unknown etiology. Sixteen (8%) of 203 samples were found to be associated with either N-methyl-d-aspartate receptor or voltage-gated potassium channel complex antibodies. The most common viral causes identified were herpes simplex virus (HSV) (19%) and varicella-zoster virus (5%), while the most important bacterial cause was Mycobacterium tuberculosis (5%). The diagnostic value of testing cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) for antibody was assessed using 139 samples from 99 patients, and antibody was detected in 46 samples from 37 patients. Samples collected at 14 to 28 days were more likely to be positive than samples taken 0 to 6 days postadmission. Three PCR-negative HSV cases were diagnosed by the presence of virus-specific antibody in the central nervous system (CNS). It was not possible to make an etiological diagnosis for one-third of the cases; these were therefore considered to be due to unknown causes. Delayed sampling did not contribute to these cases. Twenty percent of the patients with infections with an unknown etiology showed evidence of localized immune activation within the CNS, but no novel viral DNA or RNA sequences were found. We conclude that a good standard of clinical investigation and thorough first-line laboratory testing allows the diagnosis of most cases of infectious encephalitis; testing for CSF antibodies allows further cases to be diagnosed. It is important that testing for immune-mediated causes also be included in a diagnostic algorithm.


Archives of Disease in Childhood | 2004

Clusters of meningococcal disease in school and preschool settings in England and Wales: what is the risk?

K L Davison; Nick Andrews; Joanne White; Mary Ramsay; N. S. Crowcroft; A A Rushdy; E B Kaczmarski; P N Monk; J M Stuart

Aims: To assess the risk of further cases in educational settings in order to inform policy on managing cases and clusters of meningococcal disease. Methods: Between 1 April 1995 and 31 March 2001, surveillance in preschool and school settings in England and Wales identified 114 clusters of meningococcal disease. Twenty clusters were reported in preschool settings, 43 in primary, 46 in secondary, and five in independent schools. Seventy three clusters (64%) consisted of two or more confirmed cases, of which 30 had two or more serogroup C cases. Following the introduction of the national meningococcal serogroup C vaccination programme in 1999, no serogroup C clusters were observed between April 2000 and March 2001. Results: The relative risk of further cases in the four weeks after a single case compared with the background rate was raised in all settings, ranging from RR 27.6 (95% CI 15.2 to 39.9) in preschool settings to RR 3.6 (95% CI 2.5 to 4.6) in secondary schools. Absolute risk estimates ranged from 70/100 000 in preschool settings to 3.0/100 000 in secondary schools. The relative risk of clustering was similar for serogroup B and C strains. Most (68%) second cases occurred within seven days of the first case. Conclusions: Although there was a higher risk of further cases of meningococcal disease in schools and especially in preschool settings, it is not known whether widespread antibiotic use after single cases reduces risk of further cases and if there is a real risk of harm. Evidence of risk reduction is needed to inform public health policy.

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Julia Granerod

Health Protection Agency

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Ken Mutton

Manchester Royal Infirmary

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Nick Andrews

Health Protection Agency

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