Nadine Bossard

Cancer incidence and mortality in France over the period 1980-2005.

BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to provide updated estimates of national trends in cancer incidence and mortality for France for 1980-2005. METHODS Twenty-five cancer sites were analysed. Incidence data over the 1975-2003 period were collected from 17 registries working at the department level, covering 16% of the French population. Mortality data for 1975-2004 were provided by the Inserm. National incidence estimates were based on the use of mortality as a correlate of incidence, mortality being available at both department and national levels. Observed incidence and mortality data were modelled using an age-cohort approach, including an interaction term. Short-term predictions from that model gave estimates of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in 2005 for France. RESULTS The number of new cancer cases in 2005 was approximately 320,000. This corresponds to an 89% increase since 1980. Demographic changes were responsible for almost half of that increase. The remainder was largely explained by increases in prostate cancer incidence in men and breast cancer incidence in women. The relative increase in the world age-standardised incidence rate was 39%. The number of deaths from cancer increased from 130,000 to 146,000. This 13% increase was much lower than anticipated on the basis of demographic changes (37%). The relative decrease in the age-standardised mortality rate was 22%. This decrease was steeper over the 2000-2005 period in both men and women. Alcohol-related cancer incidence and mortality continued to decrease in men. The increasing trend of lung cancer incidence and mortality among women continued; this cancer was the second cause of cancer death among women. Breast cancer incidence increased regularly, whereas mortality has decreased slowly since the end of the 1990s. CONCLUSION This study confirmed the divergence of cancer incidence and mortality trends in France over the 1980-2005 period. This divergence can be explained by the combined effects of a decrease in the incidence of the most aggressive cancers and an increase in the incidence of less aggressive cancers, partly due to changes in medical practices leading to earlier diagnoses.

Ten-Year Survival Results of a Randomized Trial of Irradiation of Internal Mammary Nodes After Mastectomy

PURPOSE To evaluate the efficacy of irradiation of internal mammary nodes (IMN) on 10-year overall survival in breast cancer patients after mastectomy. METHODS AND PATIENTS This multicenter phase 3 study enrolled patients with positive axillary nodes (pN+) or central/medial tumors with or without pN+. Other inclusion criteria were age <75 and a Karnofsky index ≥70. All patients received postoperative irradiation of the chest wall and supraclavicular nodes and were randomly assigned to receive IMN irradiation or not. Randomization was stratified by tumor location (medial/central or lateral), axillary lymph node status, and adjuvant therapy (chemotherapy vs no chemotherapy). The prescribed dose of irradiation to the target volumes was 50 Gy or equivalent. The first 5 intercostal spaces were included in the IMN target volume, and two-thirds of the dose (31.5 Gy) was given by electrons. The primary outcome was overall survival at 10 years. Disease-free survival and toxicity were secondary outcomes. RESULTS T total of 1334 patients were analyzed after a median follow-up of 11.3 years among the survivors. No benefit of IMN irradiation on the overall survival could be demonstrated: the 10-year overall survival was 59.3% in the IMN-nonirradiated group versus 62.6% in the IMN-irradiated group (P=.8). According to stratification factors, we defined 6 subgroups (medial/central or lateral tumor, pN0 [only for medial/central] or pN+, and chemotherapy or not). In all these subgroups, IMN irradiation did not significantly improve overall survival. CONCLUSIONS In patients treated with 2-dimensional techniques, we failed to demonstrate a survival benefit for IMN irradiation. This study cannot rule out a moderate benefit, especially with more modern, conformal techniques applied to a higher risk population.

Cytoreductive Surgery With Intraperitoneal Chemohyperthermia for the Treatment of Pseudomyxoma Peritonei: A Prospective Study

PURPOSEPseudomyxoma peritonei is a rare disease. Recently, cytoreductive surgery with intraperitoneal hyperthermic chemotherapy has emerged as a promising treatment for this debilitating condition. The aim of this prospective study was to evaluate this treatment strategy.METHODTwenty-seven patients with pseudomyxoma peritonei who were treated by cytoreductive surgery and intraperitoneal chemohyperthermia between 1997 and 2003 were identified from a prospective database.RESULTSClinical presentation included suspected appendicitis (33 percent), increased abdominal girth (30 percent), and a suspected ovarian mass (26 percent). Twenty-two patients underwent surgery elsewhere before referral. Seventeen complications occurred in 12 patients (44 percent). Six were considered major: three anastomotic leaks, two pleural effusions, and one intra-abdominal abscess. Histologic examination demonstrated Grade 1, 2, and 3 disease in 8 (30 percent), 10 (37 percent), and 9 patients (33 percent), respectively. Pathologic grade showed a significant influence on the complication rate (P = 0 0.008). The actuarial five-year survival was 100 percent for patients with Grade 1 disease, whereas actuarial one-, two-, three-, and five-year survival for Grades 2 and 3 were 100, 80, 64, and 32 percent, respectively (P = 0.008).CONCLUSIONSCytoreductive surgery with intraperitoneal hyperthermic chemotherapy is a feasable treatment for pseudomyxoma peritonei. It is associated with acceptable morbidity when performed by an experienced surgical team. Histologic grade is the major determinant of survival.

Cancer incidence and mortality in France over the 1980–2012 period: Solid tumors

BACKGROUND Cancer incidence and mortality estimates for 19 cancers (among solid tumors) are presented for France between 1980 and 2012. METHODS Incidence data were collected from 21 local registries and correspond to invasive cancers diagnosed between 1975 and 2009. Mortality data for the same period were provided by the Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale. The national incidence estimates were based on the use of mortality as a correlate of incidence. The observed incidence and mortality data were modeled using an age-period-cohort model. The numbers of incident cases and deaths for 2010-2012 are the result of short-term projections. RESULTS In 2012, the study estimated that 355,000 new cases of cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer) and 148,000 deaths from cancer occurred in France. The incidence trend was not linear over the study period. After a constant increase from 1980 onwards, the incidence of cancer in men declined between 2005 and 2012. This recent decrease is largely related to the reduction in the incidence of prostate cancer. In women, the rates stabilized, mainly due to a change in breast cancer incidence. Mortality from most cancer types declined over the study period. A combined analysis of incidence and mortality by cancer site distinguished cancers with declining incidence and mortality (e.g., stomach) and cancers with increasing incidence and mortality (e.g., lung cancer in women). Some other cancers had rising incidence but declining mortality (e.g., thyroid). CONCLUSION This study reveals recent changes in cancer incidence trends, particularly regarding breast and prostate cancers.

Descriptive epidemiology of upper aerodigestive tract cancers in France: Incidence over 1980–2005 and projection to 2010

Over the 1998-2002 period, some French Départements have been shown to have the worlds highest incidence of upper aerodigestive tract (UADT) cancers in men. The objectives were to describe the changes in UADT cancer incidence in France over the 1980-2005 period, present projections for 2010, and describe the anatomical and histological characteristics of these tumours. The trend of cancer-incidence over 1980-2005 and projection up to 2010 were obtained using age-period-cohort models (data from eleven cancer registries) and incidence/mortality ratios in the area covered by these registries. The description of UADT cancers by anatomical and histological characteristics concerned data collected between 1980 and 2004 in eleven cancer registries. In men, cancer incidence decreased in all cancer sites and the world-standardized incidence rates decreased by 42.9% for lip-oral cavity-pharynx (LOCP) cancers and 50.4% for larynx cancer. In women, the world-standardized incidence rates increased by 48.6% for LOCP cancers and 66.7% for larynx cancer. Incidence increased the most for oropharynx, palate, and hypopharynx cancers. Incidence analysis by one-year cohorts revealed a progressive shift of the incidence peak towards younger and younger generations, with no change as yet in the mean age at diagnosis. In France, the incidence of these cancers is still higher than in other European and North American countries. This urges actions towards reducing the major risk factors for those cancers, namely alcohol and tobacco consumption, especially among young people, and reducing exposure to risk factors due to social inequalities.

Estimating net survival: the importance of allowing for informative censoring

Net survival, the one that would be observed if cancer were the only cause of death, is the most appropriate indicator to compare cancer mortality between areas or countries. Several parametric and non-parametric methods have been developed to estimate net survival, particularly when the cause of death is unknown. These methods are based either on the relative survival ratio or on the additive excess hazard model, the latter using the general population mortality hazard to estimate the excess mortality hazard (the hazard related to net survival). The present work used simulations to compare estimator abilities to estimate net survival in different settings such as the presence/absence of an age effect on the excess mortality hazard or on the potential time of follow-up, knowing that this covariate has an effect on the general population mortality hazard too. It showed that when age affected the excess mortality hazard, most estimators, including specific survival, were biased. Only two estimators were appropriate to estimate net survival. The first is based on a multivariable excess hazard model that includes age as covariate. The second is non-parametric and is based on the inverse probability weighting. These estimators take differently into account the informative censoring induced by the expected mortality process. The former offers great flexibility whereas the latter requires neither the assumption of a specific distribution nor a model-building strategy. Because of its simplicity and availability in commonly used software, the nonparametric estimator should be considered by cancer registries for population-based studies.

Cancer net survival on registry data: use of the new unbiased Pohar-Perme estimator and magnitude of the bias with the classical methods.

Net survival, the survival which might occur if cancer was the only cause of death, is a major epidemiological indicator required for international or temporal comparisons. Recent findings have shown that all classical methods used for routine estimation of net survival from cancer‐registry data, sometimes called “relative‐survival methods,” provide biased estimates. Meanwhile, an unbiased estimator, the Pohar‐Perme estimator (PPE), was recently proposed. Using real data, we investigated the magnitude of the errors made by four “relative‐survival” methods (Ederer I, Hakulinen, Ederer II and a univariable regression model) vs. PPE as reference and examined the influence of time of follow‐up, cancer prognosis, and age on the errors made. The data concerned seven cancer sites (2,51,316 cases) collected by FRANCIM cancer registries. Net survivals were estimated at 5, 10 and 15 years postdiagnosis. At 5 years, the errors were generally small. At 10 years, in good‐prognosis cancers, the errors made in nonstandardized estimates with all classical methods were generally great (+2.7 to +9% points in prostate cancer) and increased in age‐class estimations (vs. 5‐year ones). At 15 years, in bad‐ or average‐prognosis cancers, the errors were often substantial whatever the nature of the estimation. In good‐prognosis cancers, the errors in nonstandardized estimates of all classical methods were great and sometimes very important. With all classical methods, great errors occurred in age‐class estimates resulting in errors in age‐standardized estimates (+0.4 to +3.2% points in breast cancer). In estimating net survival, cancer registries should abandon all classical methods and adopt the new Pohar‐Perme estimator.

Breast cancer incidence using administrative data: correction with sensitivity and specificity

OBJECTIVE To estimate breast cancer incidence in the general population using a method that corrects for lack of sensitivity and specificity in the identification of incident breast cancer in inpatient claims data. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTINGS Two-phase study: phase 1 to identify incident cases in claims data, and phase 2 to estimate sensitivity and specificity in a subset of the population. Two algorithms (1: principal diagnosis; 2: principal diagnosis+specific surgery procedures) were used to identify incident cases in claims of women aged 20 years or older, living in a French district covered by a cancer registry. Sensitivity and specificity were estimated in one district and used to correct incident cases identified. RESULTS The sensitivity and specificity for algorithms 1 and 2 were 69.0% and 99.89%, and 64.4% and 99.93%, respectively. In contrast to specificity, the sensitivity for both algorithms was lower for women younger than 40 years and older than 65 years. Cases reported by cancer registries were closer to cases identified with algorithm 2 (-3.2% to +20.1%) and to corrected numbers with algorithm 1 (-1% to +15%). CONCLUSION To obtain reliable estimates of breast cancer incidence in the general population, sensitivity and specificity, which reflect medical and coding practice variations, are necessary.

Descriptive epidemiology of thyroid cancer in France: Incidence, mortality and survival

OBJECTIVES Describe time trends of incidence and mortality associated with thyroid cancer and provide 1 and 5-year survivals by histological group in French areas covered by cancer registries. MATERIAL AND METHODS Data for 1975 to 2004 were provided by one thyroid-dedicated and 11 general registries. Incidence estimates were obtained by correction of incidence from areas with registries, then projections for 2008 were derived. Overall and relative survivals by sex and age (diagnosis period 1989-1997; cut-off date 1st January 2002) were obtained from the dedicated and nine other registries. Comparisons between areas or time periods used world-standardized rates. RESULTS Between 1980 and 2005, incidence increased but mortality decreased in men and women. Annual cases increased five times and projections for 2008 were 8,000 cases and 400 deaths. The main increasing subtype was papillary carcinoma. One-year overall and relative survivals were 92 and 94%, respectively. Five-year overall and relative survivals were 87 and 93%, respectively. The highest survival (>94%) concerned papillary carcinomas and the lowest (<15%) anaplastic carcinomas. Survivals were generally higher in women than in men; precisely, higher in women for papillary and follicular carcinomas but higher in men for medullary and anaplastic carcinomas. Survivals increased with age, but for medullary carcinomas. Survivals from anaplastic carcinomas were very low whatever the age. CONCLUSION The increase of thyroid cancer frequency is dramatic but survivals are improving. Though the prognosis of the most increasing histological subtype is generally good, it remains very important to identify the causes of this steady increase to implement adequate preventive measures.

Thyroid cancer: is the incidence rise abating?

OBJECTIVE The aim of the present study was to determine recent trends in thyroid cancer incidence rates and to analyze histopathological characteristics and geographical distribution. METHODS Histologically proven 5367 cases were collected over the period 1998-2006 in France from the Rhône-Alpes thyroid cancer registry. Geographical variations of incidence were analyzed using a mixed Poisson model. RESULTS The average incidence rates, age standardized to the world population, were 3.9/100,000 in men and 12.3/100,000 in women, higher than those previously reported in France. After an initial increase during the first 3 years, a steady level of incidence was observed for the period 2001-2006. The annual incidence rate of microcarcinomas was correlated with that of all cancers in men and women (r=0.78 and 0.89; P<0.01) respectively. Papillary microcarcinomas represented 38% of tumors and two-thirds of them measured less than 5 mm in diameter. They were fortuitously discovered after thyroidectomy for benign diseases in 64% of cases. Histological marks of aggressiveness differed according to the size of the tumor. Despite recent advances in diagnosis, 13% of tumors were diagnosed at advanced stage especially in men. Geographical distribution of incidence based on subregional administrative entities showed lower incidence rates in rural than in urban zones in men (relative rate: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.62-0.84) and women (relative rate: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.73-0.93). CONCLUSION The present study suggests that the rise in thyroid cancer incidence is now abating. It could reflect standardization in diagnostic procedures. Further studies, performed on a more prolonged period, are necessary to confirm these data.