Nick Chater
Cardiff University
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Mind & Language | 2003
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
This paper addresses the apparent mismatch between the normative and descriptive literatures in the cognitive science of conditional reasoning. Descriptive psychological theories still regard material implication as the normative theory of the conditional. However, over the last 20 years in the philosophy of language and logic the idea that material implication can account for everyday indicative conditionals has been subject to severe criticism. The majority view is now apparently in favour of a subjective conditional probability interpretation. A comparative model fitting exercise is presented that shows that a conditional probability model can explain as much of the data on abstract indicative conditional reasoning tasks as psychological theories that supplement material implication with various rationally unjustified processing assumptions. Consequently, when people are asked to solve laboratory reasoning tasks, they can be seen as simply generalising their everyday probabilistic reasoning strategies to this novel context.
In: Oaksford, M and Chater, N, (eds.) Rational models of cognition. (pp. 372-398). Oxford University Press: Oxford. (1998) | 1998
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
Archive | 2002
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
Archive | 1998
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
Archive | 1998
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
Archive | 2010
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
Psychologia , 32 pp. 217-242. (2003) | 2003
Michael Oaksford; Nick Chater
Archive | 2007
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater
In: Bermúdez, A and Millar, A, (eds.) Reason and Nature: Essays in the theory of rationality. (pp. 135-174). Oxford University Press: Oxford. (2002) | 2002
Nick Chater; Mike Oaksford
Archive | 2017
Mike Oaksford; Nick Chater