Nir J. Shaviv

The spiral structure of the Milky Way, cosmic rays, and ice age epochs on Earth

Abstract The short term variability of the galactic cosmic ray flux (CRF) reaching Earth has been previously associated with variations in the global low altitude cloud cover. This CRF variability arises from changes in the solar wind strength. However, cosmic ray variability also arises intrinsically from variable activity of and motion through the Milky Way. Thus, if indeed the CRF climate connection is real, the increased CRF witnessed while crossing the spiral arms could be responsible for a larger global cloud cover and a reduced temperature, thereby facilitating the occurrences of ice ages. This picture has been recently shown to be supported by various data [PhRvL 89 (2002) 051102]. In particular, the variable CRF recorded in Iron meteorites appears to vary synchronously with the appearance ice ages. Here, we expand upon the original treatment with a more thorough analysis and more supporting evidence. In particular, we discuss the cosmic ray diffusion model which considers the motion of the galactic spiral arms. We also elaborate on the structure and dynamics of the Milky Way’s spiral arms. In particular, we bring forth new argumentation using HI observations which imply that the galactic spiral arm pattern speed appears to be that which fits the glaciation period and the cosmic-ray flux record extracted from Iron meteorites. In addition, we show that apparent peaks in the star formation rate history, as deduced by several authors, coincides with particularly icy epochs, while the long period of 1 to 2 Gyr before present, during which no glaciations are known to have occurred, coincides with a significant paucity in the past star formation rate.

Cosmic ray diffusion from the galactic spiral arms, iron meteorites, and a possible climatic connection.

We construct a Galactic cosmic ray (CR) diffusion model. The CR flux reaching the Solar System should periodically increase each crossing of a Galactic spiral arm. We confirm this prediction in the CR exposure age record of iron meteorites. We find that although the geological evidence for the occurrence of iceage epochs in the past eon is not unequivocal, it appears to have a nontrivial correlation with the spiral arm crossings-agreeing in period and phase.

An outburst from a massive star 40 days before a supernova explosion

Some observations suggest that very massive stars experience extreme mass-loss episodes shortly before they explode as supernovae, as do several models. Establishing a causal connection between these mass-loss episodes and the final explosion would provide a novel way to study pre-supernova massive-star evolution. Here we report observations of a mass-loss event detected 40 days before the explosion of the type IIn supernova SN 2010mc (also known as PTF 10tel). Our photometric and spectroscopic data suggest that this event is a result of an energetic outburst, radiating at least 6 × 1047 erg of energy and releasing about 10−2 solar masses of material at typical velocities of 2,000 km s−1. The temporal proximity of the mass-loss outburst and the supernova explosion implies a causal connection between them. Moreover, we find that the outburst luminosity and velocity are consistent with the predictions of the wave-driven pulsation model, and disfavour alternative suggestions.

Precursors prior to type IIn supernova explosions are common: precursor rates, properties, and correlations

There is a growing number of Type IIn supernovae (SNe) which present an outburst prior to their presumably final explosion. These precursors may affect the SN display, and are likely related to poorly charted phenomena in the final stages of stellar evolution. By coadding Palomar Transient Factory (PTF) images taken prior to the explosion, here we present a search for precursors in a sample of 16 Type IIn SNe. We find five SNe IIn that likely have at least one possible precursor event (PTF 10bjb, SN 2010mc, PTF 10weh, SN 2011ht, and PTF 12cxj), three of which are reported here for the first time. For each SN we calculate the control time. We find that precursor events among SNe IIn are common: at the one-sided 99% confidence level, >50% of SNe IIn have at least one pre-explosion outburst that is brighter than 3 × 10^7 L_☉ taking place up to 1/3 yr prior to the SN explosion. The average rate of such precursor events during the year prior to the SN explosion is likely ≳ 1 yr^(–1), and fainter precursors are possibly even more common. Ignoring the two weakest precursors in our sample, the precursors rate we find is still on the order of one per year. We also find possible correlations between the integrated luminosity of the precursor and the SN total radiated energy, peak luminosity, and rise time. These correlations are expected if the precursors are mass-ejection events, and the early-time light curve of these SNe is powered by interaction of the SN shock and ejecta with optically thick circumstellar material.

Inhomogeneity in Cosmic Ray Sources as the Origin of the Electron Spectrum and the PAMELA Anomaly

Recent measurements of the positron/electron ratio in the cosmic ray (CR) flux exhibits an apparent anomaly, whereby this ratio increases between 10 and 100 GeV. We show that inhomogeneity of CR sources on a scale of order a kpc, can naturally explain this anomaly. If the nearest major CR source is about a kpc away, then low energy electrons (

Gamma-ray bursts from mini - jets

\sim 1

Inhomogeneity in the Supernova Remnant Distribution as the Origin of the PAMELA Anomaly

GeV) can easily reach us. At higher energies (

On climate response to changes in the cosmic ray flux and radiative budget

\gtrsim 10

Super-Eddington slim accretion discs with winds

GeV), the source electrons cool via synchrotron and inverse-Compton before reaching Earth. Pairs formed in the local vicinity through the proton/ISM interactions can reach Earth also at high energies, thus increasing the positron/electron ratio. A natural origin of source inhomogeneity is the strong concentration of supernovae in the galactic spiral arms. Assuming supernova remnants (SNRs) as the sole primary source of CRs, and taking into account their concentration near the galactic spiral arms, we consistently recover the observed positron fraction between 1 and 100 GeV. ATICs electron excess at

The Eddington Luminosity Limit for Multiphased Media

\sim 600