Nitesh V. Chawla

SMOTEBoost: Improving Prediction of the Minority Class in Boosting

Many real world data mining applications involve learning from imbalanced data sets. Learning from data sets that contain very few instances of the minority (or interesting) class usually produces biased classifiers that have a higher predictive accuracy over the majority class(es), but poorer predictive accuracy over the minority class. SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling TEchnique) is specifically designed for learning from imbalanced data sets. This paper presents a novel approach for learning from imbalanced data sets, based on a combination of the SMOTE algorithm and the boosting procedure. Unlike standard boosting where all misclassified examples are given equal weights, SMOTEBoost creates synthetic examples from the rare or minority class, thus indirectly changing the updating weights and compensating for skewed distributions. SMOTEBoost applied to several highly and moderately imbalanced data sets shows improvement in prediction performance on the minority class and overall improved F-values.

New perspectives and methods in link prediction

This paper examines important factors for link prediction in networks and provides a general, high-performance framework for the prediction task. Link prediction in sparse networks presents a significant challenge due to the inherent disproportion of links that can form to links that do form. Previous research has typically approached this as an unsupervised problem. While this is not the first work to explore supervised learning, many factors significant in influencing and guiding classification remain unexplored. In this paper, we consider these factors by first motivating the use of a supervised framework through a careful investigation of issues such as network observational period, generality of existing methods, variance reduction, topological causes and degrees of imbalance, and sampling approaches. We also present an effective flow-based predicting algorithm, offer formal bounds on imbalance in sparse network link prediction, and employ an evaluation method appropriate for the observed imbalance. Our careful consideration of the above issues ultimately leads to a completely general framework that outperforms unsupervised link prediction methods by more than 30% AUC.

SVMs Modeling for Highly Imbalanced Classification

Traditional classification algorithms can be limited in their performance on highly unbalanced data sets. A popular stream of work for countering the problem of class imbalance has been the application of a sundry of sampling strategies. In this paper, we focus on designing modifications to support vector machines (SVMs) to appropriately tackle the problem of class imbalance. We incorporate different ldquorebalancerdquo heuristics in SVM modeling, including cost-sensitive learning, and over- and undersampling. These SVM-based strategies are compared with various state-of-the-art approaches on a variety of data sets by using various metrics, including G-mean, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, F-measure, and area under the precision/recall curve. We show that we are able to surpass or match the previously known best algorithms on each data set. In particular, of the four SVM variations considered in this paper, the novel granular SVMs-repetitive undersampling algorithm (GSVM-RU) is the best in terms of both effectiveness and efficiency. GSVM-RU is effective, as it can minimize the negative effect of information loss while maximizing the positive effect of data cleaning in the undersampling process. GSVM-RU is efficient by extracting much less support vectors and, hence, greatly speeding up SVM prediction.

Data Mining for Imbalanced Datasets: An Overview

A dataset is imbalanced if the classification categories are not approximately equally represented. Recent years brought increased interest in applying machine learning techniques to difficult “real-world” problems, many of which are characterized by imbalanced data. Additionally the distribution of the testing data may differ from that of the training data, and the true misclassification costs may be unknown at learning time. Predictive accuracy, a popular choice for evaluating performance of a classifier, might not be appropriate when the data is imbalanced and/or the costs of different errors vary markedly. In this Chapter, we discuss some of the sampling techniques used for balancing the datasets, and the performance measures more appropriate for mining imbalanced datasets.

When will it happen?: relationship prediction in heterogeneous information networks

Link prediction, i.e., predicting links or interactions between objects in a network, is an important task in network analysis. Although the problem has attracted much attention recently, there are several challenges that have not been addressed so far. First, most existing studies focus only on link prediction in homogeneous networks, where all objects and links belong to the same type. However, in the real world, heterogeneous networks that consist of multi-typed objects and relationships are ubiquitous. Second, most current studies only concern the problem of whether a link will appear in the future but seldom pay attention to the problem of when it will happen. In this paper, we address both issues and study the problem of predicting when a certain relationship will happen in the scenario of heterogeneous networks. First, we extend the link prediction problem to the relationship prediction problem, by systematically defining both the target relation and the topological features, using a meta path-based approach. Then, we directly model the distribution of relationship building time with the use of the extracted topological features. The experiments on citation relationship prediction between authors on the DBLP network demonstrate the effectiveness of our methodology.

Automatically countering imbalance and its empirical relationship to cost

Learning from imbalanced data sets presents a convoluted problem both from the modeling and cost standpoints. In particular, when a class is of great interest but occurs relatively rarely such as in cases of fraud, instances of disease, and regions of interest in large-scale simulations, there is a correspondingly high cost for the misclassification of rare events. Under such circumstances, the data set is often re-sampled to generate models with high minority class accuracy. However, the sampling methods face a common, but important, criticism: how to automatically discover the proper amount and type of sampling? To address this problem, we propose a wrapper paradigm that discovers the amount of re-sampling for a data set based on optimizing evaluation functions like the f-measure, Area Under the ROC Curve (AUROC), cost, cost-curves, and the cost dependent f-measure. Our analysis of the wrapper is twofold. First, we report the interaction between different evaluation and wrapper optimization functions. Second, we present a set of results in a cost- sensitive environment, including scenarios of unknown or changing cost matrices. We also compared the performance of the wrapper approach versus cost-sensitive learning methods—MetaCost and the Cost-Sensitive Classifiers—and found the wrapper to outperform the cost-sensitive classifiers in a cost-sensitive environment. Lastly, we obtained the lowest cost per test example compared to any result we are aware of for the KDD-99 Cup intrusion detection data set.

Bringing Big Data to Personalized Healthcare: A Patient-Centered Framework

ABSTRACTFaced with unsustainable costs and enormous amounts of under-utilized data, health care needs more efficient practices, research, and tools to harness the full benefits of personal health and healthcare-related data. Imagine visiting your physician’s office with a list of concerns and questions. What if you could walk out the office with a personalized assessment of your health? What if you could have personalized disease management and wellness plan? These are the goals and vision of the work discussed in this paper. The timing is right for such a research direction—given the changes in health care, reimbursement, reform, meaningful use of electronic health care data, and patient-centered outcome mandate. We present the foundations of work that takes a Big Data driven approach towards personalized healthcare, and demonstrate its applicability to patient-centered outcomes, meaningful use, and reducing re-admission rates.

A unifying view on dataset shift in classification

The field of dataset shift has received a growing amount of interest in the last few years. The fact that most real-world applications have to cope with some form of shift makes its study highly relevant. The literature on the topic is mostly scattered, and different authors use different names to refer to the same concepts, or use the same name for different concepts. With this work, we attempt to present a unifying framework through the review and comparison of some of the most important works in the literature.

Identifying and evaluating community structure in complex networks

We compare and evaluate different metrics for community structure in networks. In this context we also discuss a simple approach to community detection, and show that it performs as well as other methods, but at lower computational complexity.

Link Prediction and Recommendation across Heterogeneous Social Networks

Link prediction and recommendation is a fundamental problem in social network analysis. The key challenge of link prediction comes from the sparsity of networks due to the strong disproportion of links that they have potential to form to links that do form. Most previous work tries to solve the problem in single network, few research focus on capturing the general principles of link formation across heterogeneous networks. In this work, we give a formal definition of link recommendation across heterogeneous networks. Then we propose a ranking factor graph model (RFG) for predicting links in social networks, which effectively improves the predictive performance. Motivated by the intuition that people make friends in different networks with similar principles, we find several social patterns that are general across heterogeneous networks. With the general social patterns, we develop a transfer-based RFG model that combines them with network structure information. This model provides us insight into fundamental principles that drive the link formation and network evolution. Finally, we verify the predictive performance of the presented transfer model on 12 pairs of transfer cases. Our experimental results demonstrate that the transfer of general social patterns indeed help the prediction of links.