Olivier F. Morand

Endogenous Fertility, Income Distribution, and Growth

This article analyzes the interaction between growth and fertility via income distribution in a model in which fertility decisions are motivated by old-age support. It provides an explanation of the demographic transition of an economy from a stage of increasing fertility and low growth to a stage of low fertility, high human capital investments, and high growth.

A Qualitative Approach to Markovian Equilibrium in Infinite Horizon Economies with Capital

Using lattice programming and order theoretic fixpoint theory, we develop a new class of monotone iterative methods that provide a qualitative theory of Markovian equilibrium decision processes for a large class of infinite horizon economies with capital. The class of economies includes models with public policy, valued fiat money, monopolistic competition, production externalities, and various other nonconvexities in the production sets. The results can be adapted to construct symmetric Markov equilibrium in models with many agents and market incompleteness. As the methods are constructive, they provide the foundations for a rigorous analysis of numerical approximation schemes that study extremal Markovian equilibrium. Equilibrium comparative statics results relative to the space of economies are available. Of independent interest, we provide new conditions for preserving complementarity under maximization, and new generalized envelope theorems for nonconcave dynamic programming problems. Our fixed point algorithms are sharp, and are able to distinguish sufficient conditions under which Markovian equilibrium form a complete lattice of Lipschitz continuous, uniformly continuous and semicontinuous monotone functions as well as unique continuously differentiable equilibrium.

Economic Growth, Longevity, and the Epidemiological Transition

This paper integrates investments in health to a standard growth model where physical and human capital investments are the combined engines of growth. It shows the existence of two distinct health regimes separated by an “epidemiological transition.’’ The various patterns of this transition identified in the epidemiological literature can be mapped into the model. The model also leads to the important hypothesis that the epidemiological transition may induce an economy to switch to a modern growth regime.

Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in nonoptimal unbounded infinite horizon economies

In applied work in macroeconomics and finance, nonoptimal infinite horizon economies are often studied in the the state space is unbounded. Important examples of such economies are single vector growth models with production externalities, valued fiat money, monopolistic competition, and/or distortionary government taxation. Although sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of Markovian equilibrium are well known for the compact state space case, no similar sufficient conditions exist for unbounded growth. This paper provides such a set of sufficient conditions, and also present a computational algorithm that will prove asymptotically consistent when computing Markovian equilibrium.

Monotone Methods for Markovian Equilibrium in Dynamic Economies

In this paper, we provide an overview of an emerging class of “monotone map methods” in analyzing distorted equilibrium in dynamic economies. In particular, we focus on proving the existence and characterization of competitive equilibrium in non-optimal versions of the optimal growth models. We suggest two alternative methods: an Euler equation method for a smooth, strongly concave environment, and a value function method for a non-smooth supermodular environment. We are able to extend this analysis to study models that allow for unbounded growth or a labor–leisure choice.

Lattice Methods in Computation of Sequential Markov Equilibrium in Dynamic Games

This paper uses lattice programming methods along with the extension of Tarskis fixed point theorem due to Veinott (1992) and Zhou (1994) to establish sufficient conditions for existence of sequential symmetric Markov equilibrium in a large class of dynamic games. Our method is constructive and we provide specific algorithms for computing equilibrium. These results are applied to the classic fishwar game in the context of a finite horizon.

Existence and Uniqueness of Equilibrium in Nonoptimal Unbounded Infinite Horizon Economies with Capital

In applied work in macroeconomics and finance, nonoptimal infinite horizon economies are often studied in which the state space is unbounded. Important examples of such economies are single sector growth models with production externalities, valued fiat money, monopolistic competition, and/or distortionary government taxation. Although sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of Markovian equilibrium are well known for the compact state space case, no similar sufficient conditions exist for unbounded growth. This paper provides such a set of sufficient conditions, and also presents a computational algorithm that will prove asymptotically consistent when computing Markovian equilibrium.

Generalized Envelope Theorems: Applications to Dynamic Programming

We show in this paper that the class of Lipschitz functions provides a suitable framework for the generalization of classical envelope theorems for a broad class of constrained programs relevant to economic models, in which nonconvexities play a key role, and where the primitives may not be continuously differentiable. We give sufficient conditions for the value function of a Lipschitz program to inherit the Lipschitz property and obtain bounds for its upper and lower directional Dini derivatives. With strengthened assumptions we derive sufficient conditions for the directional differentiability, Clarke regularity, and differentiability of the value function, thus obtaining a collection of generalized envelope theorems encompassing many existing results in the literature. Some of our findings are then applied to decision models with discrete choices, to dynamic programming with and without concavity, to the problem of existence and characterization of Markov equilibrium in dynamic economies with nonconvexities, and to show the existence of monotone controls in constrained lattice programming problems.