P.C. Valery
Curtin University
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Featured researches published by P.C. Valery.
Neurology | 2011
Robyn M. Lucas; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Keith Dear; P.C. Valery; Michael P. Pender; Bruce Taylor; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Terry Dwyer; Alan Coulthard; Caron Chapman; I. van der Mei; David M. Williams; Anthony J. McMichael
Objectives: To examine whether past and recent sun exposure and vitamin D status (serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels) are associated with risk of first demyelinating events (FDEs) and to evaluate the contribution of these factors to the latitudinal gradient in FDE incidence in Australia. Methods: This was a multicenter incident case-control study. Cases (n = 216) were aged 18–59 years with a FDE and resident within one of 4 Australian centers (from latitudes 27°S to 43°S), from November 1, 2003, to December 31, 2006. Controls (n = 395) were matched to cases on age, sex, and study region, without CNS demyelination. Exposures measured included self-reported sun exposure by life stage, objective measures of skin phenotype and actinic damage, and vitamin D status. Results: Higher levels of past, recent, and accumulated leisure-time sun exposure were each associated with reduced risk of FDE, e.g., accumulated leisure-time sun exposure (age 6 years to current), adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53–0.94) for each ultraviolet (UV) dose increment of 1,000 kJ/m2 (range 508–6,397 kJ/m2). Higher actinic skin damage (AOR = 0.39 [95% CI 0.17–0.92], highest grade vs the lowest) and higher serum vitamin D status (AOR = 0.93 [95% CI 0.86–1.00] per 10 nmol/L increase in 25(OH)D) were independently associated with decreased FDE risk. Differences in leisure-time sun exposure, serum 25(OH)D level, and skin type additively accounted for a 32.4% increase in FDE incidence from the low to high latitude regions. Conclusions: Sun exposure and vitamin D status may have independent roles in the risk of CNS demyelination. Both will need to be evaluated in clinical trials for multiple sclerosis prevention.
Neurology | 2012
Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Robyn M. Lucas; I.A. Van Der Mei; Keith Dear; P.C. Valery; Michael P. Pender; Bruce Taylor; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Alan Coulthard; Caron Chapman; David M. Williams; Anthony J. McMichael; Terence Dwyer
Objective: To examine the association between past pregnancy, offspring number, and first clinical demyelination risk. Methods: Cases (n = 282) were aged 18–59 years with a first clinical diagnosis of CNS demyelination (first clinical demyelinating event [FCD]) and resident within 1 of 4 Australian centers (from latitudes 27° south to 43° south) from 2003 to 2006. Controls (n = 542) were matched to cases on age, sex, and study region, without first clinical diagnosis of CNS demyelination. Results: Higher offspring number was associated with FCD risk among women (p < 0.001) but not men (p = 0.71); difference in effect; p = 0.001. Among women, higher parity was associated with reduced risk of FCD (adjusted odds ratio 0.51 [95% confidence interval 0.36, 0.72] per birth) with a similar magnitude of effect observed among classic first demyelinating events (adjusted odds ratio 0.47 [95% confidence interval 0.29, 0.74]). The apparent beneficial effect of higher parity was also evident among parous women only (p < 0.001). Among cases, a clear female excess was evident for those with low but not high (4 or more) offspring number. Factors such as human leukocyte antigen DR15 genotype did not appear to modify the association between higher parity and a reduced FCD risk among women. Conclusions: These findings are consistent with a cumulative beneficial effect of pregnancy. Temporal changes toward an older maternal age of parturition and reduced offspring number may partly underlie the increasing female excess among MS cases over time.
Neurology | 2011
Robyn M. Lucas; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Keith Dear; P.C. Valery; Michael P. Pender; Jacqueline M. Burrows; Scott R. Burrows; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Dominic E. Dwyer; Terry Dwyer; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Meav-Lang J. Lay; Anthony J. McMichael; Bruce Taylor; I.A.F. van der Mei; David M. Williams
Objectives: To assess risk of a first clinical diagnosis of CNS demyelination (FCD) in relation to measures of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection within the context of other known risk factors. Methods: This was a multicenter incident case-control study. FCD cases (n = 282) aged 18–59 years and controls (n = 558, matched on age, sex, and region) were recruited from 4 Australian centers between November 1, 2003, and December 31, 2006. A nested study (n = 215 cases, n = 216 controls) included measurement of whole blood quantitative EBV DNA load and serum EBV-specific antibodies. Conditional logistic regression was used to analyze case-control differences. Results: There were no significant case-control differences in the proportion with detectable EBV DNA (55.8% vs 50.5%, respectively, p = 0.28), or in quantitative EBV DNA load (p = 0.33). Consistent with previous work, higher anti-EBV–specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) titers and a history of infectious mononucleosis were associated with increased FCD risk and there was an additive interaction with HLA-DRB1*1501 status. We found additional interactions between high anti-EBNA IgG titer and SNPs in HLA-A (adjusted odds ratios [AOR] = 19.84 [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.95 to 66.21] for both factors compared to neither) and CTLA-4 genes (AOR = 0.31 [95% CI 0.13 to 0.76] for neither factor compared to both). EBV DNA load was lower at higher serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations in controls (r = −0.17, p = 0.01). An adverse effect of higher EBV DNA load on FCD risk was increased with higher 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration (p[interaction] = 0.02). Conclusion: Past infection with EBV, but not current EBV DNA load in whole blood, is significantly associated with increased FCD risk. These associations appear to be modified by immune-related gene variants.
Clinical and Experimental Immunology | 2013
Ann Maree Hughes; Robyn M. Lucas; Anthony J. McMichael; Terry Dwyer; Michael P. Pender; I. van der Mei; Bruce Taylor; P.C. Valery; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Keith Dear; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; David Williams; Anne-Louise Ponsonby
The increasing prevalence of immune‐related diseases, including multiple sclerosis, may be partly explained by reduced microbial burden during childhood. Within a multi‐centre case–control study population, we examined: (i) the co‐morbid immune diseases profile of adults with a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination (FCD) and (ii) sibship structure in relation to an autoimmune (FCD) and an allergic (asthma) disease. FCD cases (nu2009=u2009282) were aged 18–59 years; controls (nu2009=u2009558) were matched on age, sex and region. Measures include: history of doctor‐diagnosed asthma; sibling profile (number; dates of birth); and regular childcare attendance. FCD cases did not differ from controls with regard to personal or family history of allergy, but had a greater likelihood of chronic fatigue syndrome [odds ratio (OR)u2009=u20093·11; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·11, 8·71]. Having any younger siblings showed reduced odds of FCD (ORu2009=u20090·68; 95% CI: 0·49, 0·95) but not asthma (ORu2009=u20091·47; 95% CI: 0·91, 2·38). In contrast, an increasing number of older siblings was associated with reduced risk of asthma (P trendu2009=u20090·04) but not FCD (P trendu2009=u20090·66). Allergies were not over‐represented among people presenting with FCD. Sibship characteristics influence both FCD and asthma risk but the underlying mechanisms differ, possibly due to the timing of the putative ‘sibling effect’.
American Journal of Epidemiology | 2013
P.C. Valery; Robyn M. Lucas; David Williams; Michael P. Pender; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Keith Dear; Terry Dwyer; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Anthony J. McMichael; I. van der Mei; Bruce Taylor; Anne-Louise Ponsonby
Inconsistent evidence exists regarding the association between work-related factors and risk of multiple sclerosis (MS). We examined the association between occupational exposures and risk of a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination (FCD), which is strongly associated with progression to MS, in a matched case-control study of 276 FCD cases and 538 controls conducted in Australia (2003-2006). Using a personal residence and work calendar, information on occupational history and exposure to chemicals and animals was collected through face-to-face interviews. Few case-control differences were noted. Fewer cases had worked as professionals (≥6 years) than controls (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.37, 0.96). After further adjustment for number of children, cases were more likely to have ever been exposed to livestock than controls (AOR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.03, 2.29). Among women, there was an increase in FCD risk associated with 10 or more years of exposure to livestock (AOR = 2.78, 95% CI: 1.22, 6.33) or 6 or more years of farming (AOR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.23, 3.25; also adjusted for number of children). Similar findings were not evident among men. Thus, farming and exposure to livestock may be important factors in the development of FCD among women, with this finding further revealed after the confounding effect of parity or number of children is considered.
Frontiers in Neurology | 2018
Rebecca D. Russell; Robyn M. Lucas; Vanessa Brennan; Jill Sherriff; Andrea Begley; Lucinda J. Black; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Keith Dear; Terry Dwyer; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Tony McMichael; Michael P. Pender; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Bruce V. Taylor; P.C. Valery; Ingrid Van der Mei; David M. Williams
Background/objectives Although the current evidence is insufficient to recommend a special diet for people with multiple sclerosis (MS), dietary advice for people with MS is prolific online and in the media. This study aimed to describe dietary changes made in the year following a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination (FCD), a common precursor to MS. Subjects/methods We used follow-up data from the Ausimmune Study, a multicentre matched case-control study examining the environmental risk factors for a FCD. A total of 244 cases (60 male, 184 female) completed a 1-year follow-up interview, which included a question about dietary changes. We described the number and proportion (%) of participants who reported making dietary changes and the type of change made. We investigated independent predictors of making a dietary change using a multivariable logistic regression model. Results A total of 38% (nu2009=u200992) of participants at the 1-year follow-up reported making at least one dietary change over the last year. There were no statistically significant independent associations between any participant characteristic and odds of making a dietary change. Of those who made at least one dietary change, the most common changes were increasing fruit and/or vegetable intake (27%, nu2009=u200925) and following a low-fat diet (25%, nu2009=u200923). Conclusion A considerable proportion of the study population reported making at least one dietary change in the year following a FCD, with the majority of changes being toward a healthier diet. Further research is warranted to investigate the reasons behind any dietary changes adopted by people with a FCD or with MS, and whether making a dietary change has benefits for the progression of demyelinating diseases, e.g., to a diagnosis of MS, as well as for general health and well-being.
Frontiers in Neurology | 2018
Chunrong Tao; Steve Simpson; Bruce Taylor; Leigh Blizzard; Robyn M. Lucas; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Simon Broadley; I. van der Mei; Keith Dear; Terence Dwyer; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; David M. Williams; Jeannette Lechner-Scott; Cameron Shaw; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Michael P. Pender; P.C. Valery
Background: Age at symptom onset (ASO) is a prognostic factor that could affect the accrual of disability in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. Some factors are known to influence the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS), but their influence on the ASO is less well-investigated. Objective: Examine the associations between known or emerging MS risk factors and ASO. Methods: This was a multicenter study, incident cases (n = 279) with first clinical diagnosis of demyelinating event aged 18–59 years recruited at four Australian centres (latitudes 27°-43°S), from 1 November 2003 to 31 December 2006. Environmental/behavioral variables and initial symptoms were recorded at baseline interview. Linear regression was used to assess the association between risk factors and ASO. Results: Five factors were significantly associated with ASO: a history of tobacco smoking was associated with 3.05-years later ASO (p = 0.002); a history of marijuana use was associated with 6.03-years earlier ASO (p < 0.001); progressive-onset cases had 5.61-years later ASO (p = 0.001); an initial presentation of bowel & bladder and cerebral dysfunctional were associated with 3.39 (p = 0.017) and 4.37-years (p = 0.006) later ASO, respectively. Other factors, including sex, offspring number, latitude of study site, history of infectious mononucleosis, HLA-DR15 & HLA-A2 genotype, 25(OH)D levels, and ultraviolet radiation exposure were not associated with ASO. Including all five significant variables into one model explained 12% of the total variance in ASO. Conclusion: We found a novel association between a history of tobacco smoking and later onset, whereas marijuana use was associated with earlier onset. Behavioral factors seem important drivers of MS onset timing although much of the variance remains unexplained.
Archive | 2010
Bruce V. Taylor; Robyn M. Lucas; P.C. Valery; David Williams; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Keith Dear; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Michael P. Pender; Ingrid Van der Mei; Carol Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Terence Dwyer; Anthony J. McMichael
Archive | 2009
Robyn M. Lucas; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Keith Dear; Bruce V. Taylor; Terence Dwyer; Anthony J. McMichael; P.C. Valery; Ingrid Van der Mei; David Williams; Michael P. Pender
13th Annnual Meeting of the Amer-Comm-for-Treatment-and-Res-in-Multiple-Sclerosis | 2008
Robyn M. Lucas; Bvm Taylor; Anne-Louise Ponsonby; Caron Chapman; Alan Coulthard; Keith Dear; Terry Dwyer; Trevor J. Kilpatrick; Anthony J. McMichael; Michael P. Pender; P.C. Valery; Iaf Van der Mei; David M. Williams