Pablo E. Serrano
McMaster University
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Featured researches published by Pablo E. Serrano.
JAMA | 2014
Carol-Anne Moulton; Chu-Shu Gu; Calvin Law; Ved Tandan; Richard Hart; Douglas Quan; Robert J. Smith; Diederick W. Jalink; Mohamed Husien; Pablo E. Serrano; Aaron Hendler; Masoom A. Haider; Leyo Ruo; Karen Y. Gulenchyn; Terri Finch; Jim A. Julian; Mark N. Levine; Steven Gallinger
IMPORTANCE Patients with colorectal cancer with liver metastases undergo hepatic resection with curative intent. Positron emission tomography combined with computed tomography (PET-CT) could help avoid noncurative surgery by identifying patients with occult metastases. OBJECTIVES To determine the effect of preoperative PET-CT vs no PET-CT (control) on the surgical management of patients with resectable metastases and to investigate the effect of PET-CT on survival and the association between the standardized uptake value (ratio of tissue radioactivity to injected radioactivity adjusted by weight) and survival. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A randomized trial of patients older than 18 years with colorectal cancer treated by surgery, with resectable metastases based on CT scans of the chest, abdomen, and pelvis within the previous 30 days, and with a clear colonoscopy within the previous 18 months was conducted between 2005 and 2013, involving 21 surgeons at 9 hospitals in Ontario, Canada, with PET-CT scanners at 5 academic institutions. INTERVENTIONS Patients were randomized using a 2 to 1 ratio to PET-CT or control. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was a change in surgical management defined as canceled hepatic surgery, more extensive hepatic surgery, or additional organ surgery based on the PET-CT. Survival was a secondary outcome. RESULTS Of the 263 patients who underwent PET-CT, 21 had a change in surgical management (8.0%; 95% CI, 5.0%-11.9%). Specifically, 7 patients (2.7%) did not undergo laparotomy, 4 (1.5%) had more extensive hepatic surgery, 9 (3.4%) had additional organ surgery (8 of whom had hepatic resection), and the abdominal cavity was opened in 1 patient but hepatic surgery was not performed and the cavity was closed. Liver resection was performed in 91% of patients in the PET-CT group and 92% of the control group. After a median follow-up of 36 months, the estimated mortality rate was 11.13 (95% CI, 8.95-13.68) events/1000 person-months for the PET-CT group and 12.71 (95% CI, 9.40-16.80) events/1000 person-months for the control group. Survival did not differ between the 2 groups (hazard ratio, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.60-1.21]; P = .38). The standardized uptake value was associated with survival (hazard ratio, 1.11 [90% CI, 1.07-1.15] per unit increase; P < .001). The C statistic for the model including the standardized uptake value was 0.62 (95% CI, 0.56-0.68) and without it was 0.50 (95% CI, 0.44-0.56). The difference in C statistics is 0.12 (95% CI, 0.04-0.21). The low C statistic suggests that the standard uptake value is not a strong predictor of overall survival. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Among patients with potentially resectable hepatic metastases of colorectal adenocarcinoma, the use of PET-CT compared with CT alone did not result in frequent change in surgical management. These findings raise questions about the value of PET-CT scans in this setting. TRIAL REGISTRATION clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00265356.
Journal of the Pancreas | 2014
Pablo E. Serrano; Stefano Serra; Hassan Al-Ali; Steven Gallinger; Paul D. Greig; Ian D. McGilvray; Carol-Anne Moulton; Alice C. Wei; Sean P. Cleary
CONTEXT Solid pseudopapillary tumors (SPT) are rare, generally low grade pancreatic neoplasms that occasionally display malignant behavior. OBJECTIVE To analyze the clinical and pathological features associated with increased risk of recurrence of SPT. METHODS Cohort study of patients with SPT who underwent resection of the primary tumor and in selected cases resection of metastatic disease from 1999-2013 at a single tertiary care Hepatopancreatobiliary center. Risk factors for recurrence were statistically analyzed. RESULTS There were 32 patients. The mean age was 35.65 years (standard deviation: 12.26), 26/32, 81.25% were female. Median size of resected tumors was 4.7 cm (1.1-14.5). Most were solid and cystic (22/32, 68.75%), encapsulated (27/32, 84.4%) and located in the pancreatic body or tail (22/32, 68.75%). All displayed strong β-catenin, cyclin D1, CD56, and progesterone receptor staining with loss of E-cadherin. Most stained positive for vimentin (15/16, 93.75%) and CD10 (17/18, 94.4%). Median follow-up was 43 months (range: 3-207); 3/32, 9.38% recurred (all after 5-years from curative resection) and 1 died by the end of the study period, 11 years after diagnosis. Patients who developed recurrences (n=3) more commonly had synchronous metastases at presentation (P=0.006), lymphovascular invasion (P=0.04) and invasion of tumor capsule (P=0.08) compared to those who did not have disease recurrence. CONCLUSIONS Lymphovascular invasion, synchronous metastases and local invasion of tumor capsule are associated with aggressive behavior. Since recurrences may occur >5 years from resection, this high-risk group should undergo extended follow-up. Progression and recurrence is slow, therefore, resection of liver metastases can offer long-term survival.
Annals of Surgery | 2015
Pablo E. Serrano; Robert Grant; Terri Berk; Dowan Kim; Hassan Al-Ali; Zane Cohen; Aaron Pollett; Robert H. Riddell; Mark S. Silverberg; Paul Kortan; Gary R. May; Steven Gallinger
OBJECTIVE To describe the natural history and outcomes of surveillance of duodenal neoplasia in familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP). BACKGROUND Duodenal cancer is the most common cause of death in FAP. METHODS Cohort study of patients prospectively enrolled in an upper endoscopic surveillance protocol from 1982 to 2012. The duodenum was assessed by side-viewing endoscopy and classified as stage 1 to 5 disease. Endoscopic and/or operative interventions were performed according to stage. RESULTS There were 218 patients in the protocol (98 with advanced stage). They had a median of 9 endoscopies (range: 2-25) over a median of 11 years (range: 1-26). Median age at diagnosis of stage 3 disease (adenoma: 2.1-10 mm) was 41 years and stage 4 disease (adenoma >10 mm) was 45 years. Median time from first esophagogastroduodenoscopy to stage 4 disease was 22.4 years. The risk of stage 4 disease was 34.3% [95% confidence interval (CI) 23.8-43.4] at 15 years. In multivariate analysis, sex, type of colorectal surgery, years since colorectal surgery, and stage were significantly associated with risk of progression to stage 4 disease. Five of 218 (2.3%) patients developed duodenal cancer at median age of 58 years (range: 51-65). The risk of developing duodenal cancer was 2.1% (95% CI: 0-5.2) at 15 years. CONCLUSIONS Patients with advanced duodenal polyposis progress in the severity of disease (size and degree of dysplasia); however, the rate of progression to carcinoma is slow. Aggressive endoscopic and surgical intervention, especially in the presence of large polyps and high-grade dysplasia, appears to be effective in preventing cancer deaths in FAP.
Journal of Oncology Practice | 2016
Pablo E. Serrano; Amiram Gafni; Chu-Shu Gu; Karen Y. Gulenchyn; Jim A. Julian; Calvin Law; Aaron Hendler; Carol-Anne Moulton; Steven Gallinger; Mark N. Levine
PURPOSE To evaluate whether positron emission tomography (PET) combined with computed tomography (PET-CT) is cost saving, or cost neutral, compared with conventional imaging in management of patients with resectable colorectal cancer liver metastases. METHODS Cost evaluation of a randomized trial that compared the effect of PET-CT on surgical management of patients with resectable colorectal cancer liver metastases. Health care use data ≤ 1 year after random assignment was obtained from administrative databases. Cost analysis was undertaken from the perspective of a third-party payer (ie, Ministry of Health). Mean costs with 95% credible intervals (CrI) were estimated by using a Bayesian approach. RESULTS The estimated mean cost per patient in the 263 patients who underwent PET-CT was
JMIR Research Protocols | 2018
Pablo E. Serrano; Sameer Parpia; Saeda Nair; Leyo Ruo; Marko Simunovic; Oren Levine; Emmanuelle Duceppe; Carol Rodrigues
45,454 CAD (range,
International Journal of Surgery Protocols | 2018
Pablo E. Serrano; Amiram Gafni; Sameer Parpia; Leyo Ruo; Marko Simunovic; Brandon Matthew Meyers; Harold I. Reiter; Alice Wei; Steven Gallinger; Paul J. Karanicolas; Julie Hallet; Nicolás Devaud; Mark N. Levine
1,340 to
Annals of Surgical Oncology | 2018
Pablo E. Serrano
181,420) and in the 134 control patients,
Gastroenterology | 2014
Dowan Kim; Pablo E. Serrano; Peter T. W. Kim; Paul D. Greig; Carol-Anne Moulton; Steven Gallinger; Alice C. Wei; Sean Cleary
40,859 CAD (range,
Annals of Surgical Oncology | 2015
Pablo E. Serrano; Sean P. Cleary; Neesha C. Dhani; Peter T. W. Kim; Paul D. Greig; Kenneth Leung; Carol-Anne Moulton; Steven Gallinger; Alice C. Wei
279 to
Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery | 2018
Jessica Bogach; Oren Levine; Sameer Parpia; Marlie Valencia; Leyo Ruo; Pablo E. Serrano
293,558), with a net difference of