Paco M. J. Welsing

The relationship between Disease activity, joint destruction, and functional capacity over the course of rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE To investigate the relationship between functional capacity, disease activity, and joint destruction over the course of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS The followup data on 378 patients with early RA (duration <1 year), included in an open, prospective study since 1985 at the Department of Rheumatology of the University Medical Center Nijmegen, were used. Functional capacity, disease activity, and joint destruction were assessed using the Health Assessment Questionnaire disability index (HAQ DI), the Disease Activity Score (DAS), and a modification of the sharp radiographic damage score, respectively. Multiple linear regression was used to model the data collected at 0, 3, 6, and 9 years after study start, to investigate which variables influenced functional capacity during the disease course. A general linear mixed model for longitudinal data, which included the variables identified as significant in the multiple linear regression models and several interaction terms between the variables, was run. RESULTS On average, the functional capacity of the patients, as measured by the HAQ DI, worsened over the course of the disease after an initial improvement. After an initial reduction in the extent of disease activity, the mean DAS remained more or less stable over the course of the disease. The mean modified sharp joint damage score worsened over the course of the disease, with a slower progression rate later in the disease. In the multiple linear regression at 0, 3, and 6 years after study start, disease activity was found to be an important factor influencing functional capacity, and at 6 and 9 years, joint damage had an important effect on functional capacity. Furthermore, at 6 and 9 years, there was an interaction effect of joint destruction with disease activity. In the general linear mixed model, disease activity, joint damage, and an interaction effect of disease activity and joint damage were the main factors explaining functional capacity. CONCLUSION The effect of disease activity and joint destruction on functional capacity changes over the course of the disease. In early RA, functional capacity is most associated with disease activity, and in late disease, with joint damage.

Low-Dose Prednisone Inclusion in a Methotrexate-Based, Tight Control Strategy for Early Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND Treatment strategies for tight control of early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are highly effective but can be improved. OBJECTIVE To investigate whether adding prednisone, 10 mg/d, at the start of a methotrexate (MTX)-based treatment strategy for tight control in early RA increases its effectiveness. DESIGN A 2-year, prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, multicenter trial (CAMERA-II [Computer Assisted Management in Early Rheumatoid Arthritis trial-II]). (International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number: ISRCTN 70365169) SETTING 7 hospitals in the Netherlands. PATIENTS 236 patients with early RA (duration <1 year). INTERVENTION Patients were randomly assigned to an MTX-based, tight control strategy starting with either MTX and prednisone or MTX and placebo. Methotrexate treatment was tailored to the individual patient at monthly visits on the basis of predefined response criteria aiming for remission. MEASUREMENTS The primary outcome was radiographic erosive joint damage after 2 years. Secondary outcomes included response criteria, remission, and the need to add cyclosporine or a biologic agent to the treatment. RESULTS Erosive joint damage after 2 years was limited and less in the group receiving MTX and prednisone (n = 117) than in the group receiving MTX and placebo (n = 119). The MTX and prednisone strategy was also more effective in reducing disease activity and physical disability, achieving sustained remission, and avoiding the addition of cyclosporine or biologic treatment. Adverse events were similar in both groups, but some occurred less in the MTX and prednisone group. LIMITATION A tight control strategy for RA implies monthly visits to an outpatient clinic, which is not always feasible. CONCLUSION Inclusion of low-dose prednisone in an MTX-based treatment strategy for tight control in early RA improves patient outcomes. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE Catharijne Foundation.

Early rheumatoid arthritis treated with tocilizumab, methotrexate, or their combination (U-Act-Early) : a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, strategy trial

BACKGROUND For patients with newly diagnosed rheumatoid arthritis, treatment aim is early, rapid, and sustained remission. We compared the efficacy and safety of strategies initiating the interleukin-6 receptor-blocking monoclonal antibody tocilizumab with or without methotrexate (a conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug [DMARD]), versus initiation of methotrexate monotherapy in line with international guidelines. METHODS We did a 2-year, multicentre, randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, strategy study at 21 rheumatology outpatient departments in the Netherlands. We included patients who had been diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis within 1 year before inclusion, were DMARD-naive, aged 18 years or older, met current rheumatoid arthritis classification criteria, and had a disease activity score assessing 28 joints (DAS28) of at least 2·6. We randomly assigned patients (1:1:1) to start tocilizumab plus methotrexate (the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm), or tocilizumab plus placebo-methotrexate (the tocilizumab arm), or methotrexate plus placebo-tocilizumab (the methotrexate arm). Tocilizumab was given at 8 mg/kg intravenously every 4 weeks with a maximum of 800 mg per dose. Methotrexate was started at 10 mg per week orally and increased stepwise every 4 weeks by 5 mg to a maximum of 30 mg per week, until remission or dose-limiting toxicity. We did the randomisation using an interactive web response system. Masking was achieved with placebos that were similar in appearance to the active drug; the study physicians, pharmacists, monitors, and patients remained masked during the study, and all assessments were done by masked assessors. Patients not achieving remission on their initial regimen switched from placebo to active treatments; patients in the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm switched to standard of care therapy (typically methotrexate combined with a tumour necrosis factor inhibitor). When sustained remission was achieved, methotrexate (and placebo-methotrexate) was tapered and stopped, then tocilizumab (and placebo-tocilizumab) was also tapered and stopped. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients achieving sustained remission (defined as DAS28 <2·6 with a swollen joint count ≤four, persisting for at least 24 weeks) on the initial regimen and during the entire study duration, compared between groups with a two-sided Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test. Analysis was based on an intention-to-treat method. This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01034137. FINDINGS Between Jan 13, 2010, and July 30, 2012, we recruited and assigned 317 eligible patients to treatment (106 to the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm, 103 to the tocilizumab arm, and 108 to the methotrexate arm). The study was completed by a similar proportion of patients in the three groups (range 72-78%). The most frequent reasons for dropout were adverse events or intercurrent illness: 27 (34%) of dropouts, and insufficient response: 26 (33%) of dropouts. 91 (86%) of 106 patients in the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm achieved sustained remission on the initial regimen, compared with 86 (84%) of 103 in the tocilizumab arm, and 48 (44%) of 108 in the methotrexate arm (relative risk [RR] 2·00, 95% CI 1·59-2·51 for tocilizumab plus methotrexate vs methotrexate, and 1·86, 1·48-2·32 for tocilizumab vs methotrexate, p<0·0001 for both comparisons). For the entire study, 91 (86%) of 106 patients in the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm, 91 (88%) of 103 in the tocilizumab arm, and 83 (77%) of 108 in the methotrexate arm achieved sustained remission (RR 1·13, 95% CI 1·00-1·29, p=0·06 for tocilizumab plus methotrexate vs methotrexate, 1·14, 1·01-1·29, p=0·0356 for tocilizumab vs methotrexate, and p=0·59 for tocilizumab plus methotrexate vs tocilizumab). Nasopharyngitis was the most common adverse event in all three treatment groups, occurring in 38 (36%) of 106 patients in the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm, 40 (39%) of 103 in the tocilizumab arm, and 37 (34%) of 108 in the methotrexate arm. The occurrence of serious adverse events did not differ between the treatment groups (17 [16%] of 106 patients in the tocilizumab plus methotrexate arm vs 19 [18%] of 103 in the tocilizumab arm and 13 [12%] of 108 in the methotrexate arm), and no deaths occurred during the study. INTERPRETATION For patients with newly diagnosed rheumatoid arthritis, strategies aimed at sustained remission by immediate initiation of tocilizumab with or without methotrexate are more effective, and with a similar safety profile, compared with initiation of methotrexate in line with current standards. FUNDING Roche Nederland BV.

The balance between severe cardiovascular and gastrointestinal events among users of selective and non-selective non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs

Objective: To simultaneously assess cardiovascular (CV) and gastrointestinal (GI) risk with traditional non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (tNSAIDs) and cyclo-oxygenase 2 (COX-2) inhibitors. Methods: Using the PHARMO Record Linkage System, including drug-dispensing and hospitalisation data of >2 million residents of The Netherlands, subjects with first hospitalisation for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), CV and GI events were identified. Use of COX-2 inhibitors and traditional non-selective NSAIDs was classified into remote, recent and current. Cases were matched to controls in a 1:4 ratio on age and event date. Multivariate analyses adjusted for gender, history of hospitalisations and medications. Results: Compared to remote use, AMI risk was increased among current users of COX-2 inhibitors combined (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.73, 95% CI 1.37 to 2.19) and tNSAIDs combined (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.61). AMI risk with celecoxib (OR 2.53, 95% CI 1.53 to 4.18), rofecoxib (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.22 to 2.10), ibuprofen (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.19 to 2.05) and diclofenac (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.87) was significantly increased. CV risk with current use of individual COX-2 inhibitors and tNSAIDs was significantly increased (OR from 1.17 to 1.64), as was GI risk with current use of rofecoxib (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.51 to 2.63), naproxen (OR 4.44, 95% CI 3.36 to 5.86), ibuprofen (OR 1.90, 95% CI 1.40 to 2.58), diclofenac (OR 4.77, 95% CI 3.94 to 5.76), other tNSAIDs (OR 2.59, 95% CI 2.08 to 3.21), but not celecoxib (OR 1.36, 95% CI 0.70 to 2.66). Compared to current use of celecoxib and AMI risk was significantly decreased with current use of naproxen (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.26 to 0.87) only. GI risk was increased with current naproxen (OR 3.26, 95% CI 1.59 to 6.70) and diclofenac (OR 3.50, 95% CI 1.76 to 6.98). Conclusions: AMI and CV risk increased similarly with individual COX-2 inhibitors and tNSAIDs, whereas GI risk was found to be greater with naproxen and diclofenac. Residual confounding and “channelling” cannot be excluded.

MORTALITY IN BRITISH HIP FRACTURE PATIENTS, 2000-2010: A POPULATION-BASED RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

BACKGROUND Data on recent trends in mortality after hip fracture are scarce. Aims were therefore to examine secular trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortality post hip fracture and to compare this to the general population from 2000 to 2010. METHODS Population-based cohort study within the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink and linked to cause of death data for 57.7% of patients. Patients with a first hip fracture (n=31,495) were matched to up to four controls by age, sex, index date, and practice. All subjects were followed for death, and lifestyle, disease and medication history adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated. RESULTS One-year all-cause mortality after hip fracture declined from 2009 and was 14% lower after, compared with before 2009 (22.3% to 20.5%, adj. HR 0.86, 95% CI: 0.81-0.92). The decline was observed for males (≥75years) and females (≥85years). Significant contributors to the decline in mortality post hip fracture were respiratory infections in females as were malignant diseases in males. However, one-year all-cause mortality remained unaltered over the decade when compared to controls with a 3.5-fold and 2.4-fold increased risk in males and females respectively. No significant changes were observed in the relative risks for one-year cause-specific mortality for both genders. CONCLUSIONS One-year mortality after hip fracture has declined over the last decade in the UK. However, the difference in one-year mortality between hip fracture patients and the general population remained unaltered. These observations highlight the need for the continued implementation of evidence-based standards for good hip fracture care.

Misclassification of disease activity when assessing individual patients with early rheumatoid arthritis using disease activity indices that do not include joints of feet

Objective To study whether assessment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) disease activity in individual patients using the disease activity score in 28 joints (DAS28) or other instruments excluding joints of feet may lead to misclassification of disease activity. Methods A cohort of RA patients was classified into three ‘regional radiographic damage progression’ groups: predominantly progression in feet, similar progression in hands and feet and predominantly progression in hands; both in early (0–2 years) and later (2–5 years) disease. Baseline and mean DAS28, individual DAS28 variables and tender joint counts (TJC) and swollen joint counts (SJC) of the feet were compared between groups. The longitudinal relation of DAS28 with radiographic damage was investigated using a mixed model analysis with rheumatoid factor status, baseline joint damage and TJC and SJC of the feet as covariates. Results Early (n=265) and later (n=200) in the disease course, by definition, the classification procedure resulted in 25% as predominantly foot, 25% as predominantly hand and 50% as similar progressors. In early RA predominantly foot progressors had higher TJC and SJC of the feet compared with predominantly hand progressors (p<0.001), but DAS28 was similar. This was not seen in later disease. The longitudinal relation between DAS28 and radiographic progression was influenced by the region of progression (predominantly foot progressors vs others, p<0.001), suggesting that DAS28 underestimates disease activity in predominantly foot progressors. In this group, joint counts for the feet were independently related to radiographic progression. Conclusions DAS28 underestimates actual disease activity and expected joint damage of individual early RA patients predominantly with disease in the feet.

Impact of self-reported comorbidity on physical and mental health status in early symptomatic osteoarthritis: the CHECK (Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee) study

OBJECTIVE To describe the relationship between comorbidity (absolute number as well as the presence of specific comorbidities) and pain, physical functioning and mental health status of participants with early symptomatic OA of the hip or knee. METHODS In the Netherlands, a prospective 10-year follow-up study was initiated by the Dutch Arthritis Association in participants with early symptomatic OA of the hip or knee: CHECK (Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee), which consists of 1002 individuals. At baseline, linear regression analysis was used to determine the influence of comorbidity on the outcome variables: Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain, WOMAC physical functioning, Medical Outcomes Study Short Form 36 (SF-36) Physical Component Summary and Mental Component Summary. RESULTS Of 979 subjects, 67% reported one or more comorbidities. After controlling for age, gender, social status and severity of radiographic OA (Kellgren and Lawrence score), back disorders have the largest effect on WOMAC pain and physical functioning, and one of the largest effects on physical status of SF-36, besides obesity. Mental status was negatively influenced by the additional presence of duodenal ulcer, thyroid disease, and migraine or chronic headache. CONCLUSION In early stage of OA, the presence of additional problems in the musculoskeletal system and of obesity have a negative effect on pain and physical health status. Also mental status is affected in early symptomatic OA by the presence of specific comorbidities. Comorbidity should be assessed and treated to improve the burden of illness in patients with early symptomatic OA.

Personalized biological treatment for rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic review with a focus on clinical applicability

OBJECTIVES To review studies that address prediction of response to biologic treatment in RA and to explore the clinical utility of the studied (bio)markers. METHODS A search for relevant articles was performed in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases. Studies that presented predictive values or in which these could be calculated were selected. The added value was determined by the added value on prior probability for each (bio)marker. Only an increase/decrease in chance of response ⩾15% was considered clinically relevant, whereas in oncology values >25% are common. RESULTS Of the 57 eligible studies, 14 (bio)markers were studied in more than one cohort and an overview of the added predictive value of each marker is presented. Of the replicated predictors, none consistently showed an increase/decrease in probability of response ⩾15%. However, positivity of RF and ACPA in case of rituximab and the presence of the TNF-α promoter 308 GG genotype for TNF inhibitor therapy were consistently predictive, yet low in added predictive value. Besides these, 65 (bio)markers studied once showed remarkably high (but not validated) predictive values. CONCLUSION We were unable to address clinically useful baseline (bio)markers for use in individually tailored treatment. Some predictors are consistently predictive, yet low in added predictive value, while several others are promising but await replication. The challenge now is to design studies to validate all explored and promising findings individually and in combination to make these (bio)markers relevant to clinical practice.

Quantitative Radiographic Features of Early Knee Osteoarthritis: Development Over 5 Years and Relationship with Symptoms in the CHECK Cohort

Objective. To evaluate whether computer-assisted, interactive digital analysis of knee radiographs enables identification of different quantitative features of joint damage, and to evaluate the relationship of such features with each other and with clinical characteristics during 5-year followup in early osteoarthritis (OA). Methods. Knee radiographs from the Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee (CHECK) study, including 1002 individuals with early OA complaints, were evaluated for different measures with knee images digital analysis (KIDA). To aid definition of different radiographic features of OA, principal component analysis of KIDA was used. Features were correlated (Pearson) to each other, evaluated for changes over time, and related to clinical outcome (Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index for pain and function) using baseline, 2-year, and 5-year followup data. Results. The identified radiographic features were joint space width (JSW: minimum, medial, lateral), varus angle, osteophyte area, eminence height, and bone density. The features progressed in severity at different times during followup: early (medial JSW, osteophyte area), late (minimum and lateral JSW, eminence height), and both early and late (varus angle, bone density). Correlations between different radiographic features varied between timepoints. The JSW features were most strongly related to each other (largest r = 0.82), but also, e.g., osteophytes and bone density were correlated (largest r = 0.33). The relationships with clinical outcome varied over time, but were most commonly found for osteophyte area and JSW. Conclusion. In this early OA cohort, different radiographic features were identified that progressed at different rates between timepoints. The relations between radiographic features and with clinical outcome varied over time. This implies that longitudinal evaluation of different features can improve insight into progression of OA.

Identifying Phenotypes of Knee Osteoarthritis by Separate Quantitative Radiographic Features May Improve Patient Selection for More Targeted Treatment

Objective. Expression of osteoarthritis (OA) varies significantly between individuals, and over time, suggesting the existence of different phenotypes, possibly with specific etiology and targets for treatment. Our objective was to identify phenotypes of progression of radiographic knee OA using separate quantitative features. Methods. Separate radiographic features of OA were measured by Knee Images Digital Analysis (KIDA) in individuals with early knee OA (the CHECK cohort: Cohort Hip & Cohort Knee), at baseline and at 2-year and 5-year followup. Hierarchical clustering was performed to identify phenotypes of radiographic knee OA progression. The phenotypes identified were compared for changes in joint space width (JSW), varus angle, osteophyte area, eminence height, bone density, for Kellgren-Lawrence (K-L) grade, and for clinical characteristics. Logistic regression analysis evaluated whether baseline radiographic features and demographic/clinical characteristics were associated with each of the specific phenotypes. Results. The 5 clusters identified were interpreted as “Severe” or “No,” “Early” or “Late” progression of the radiographic features, or specific involvement of “Bone density.” Medial JSW, varus angle, osteophyte area, eminence height, and bone density at baseline were associated with the Severe and Bone density phenotypes. Lesser eminence height and bone density were associated with Early and Late progression. Larger varus angle and smaller osteophyte area were associated with No progression. Conclusion. Five phenotypes of radiographic progression of early knee OA were identified using separate quantitative features, which were associated with baseline radiographic features. Such phenotypes might require specific treatment and represent relevant subgroups for clinical trials.