Network


Latest external collaboration on country level. Dive into details by clicking on the dots.

Hotspot


Dive into the research topics where Patrick Duncan is active.

Publication


Featured researches published by Patrick Duncan.


Oecologia | 1997

Early survival in roe deer: causes and consequences of cohort variation in two contrasted populations

Jean-Marie Boutin; Daniel Delorme; Guy Van Laere; Patrick Duncan; Jean-Dominique Lebreton

Abstract Time- and sex-specific summer survival of roe deer fawns was estimated using capture-mark-recapture methods in two enclosed populations living in contrasting conditions. The population of Trois Fontaines (eastern France) was roughly constant in size throughout the study period, while in Chizé (western France), the population experienced frequent summer droughts and numbers decreased continuously during the study. Early survival of fawns was low and highly variable over the years at both Chizé and Trois Fontaines, and demonstrated marked variations between cohorts that need to be taken into account when modelling roe deer population dynamics. In Trois Fontaines, fawn survival was positively correlated with early body growth and total rainfall in May and June. In Chizé, fawn survival decreased with increasing density and tended to increase with increasing rainfall in May and June and adult female body mass. These factors explained more than 75% of the variability in early survival observed in both populations. Variation between cohorts had different consequences for the two populations. At Trois Fontaines, cohort variation was limited to a numerical effect on early survival. However at Chizé, cohort variation was long-lasting and affected the phenotypic quality of survivors at later ages, and thereby future survival and breeding abilities (both numerical and quality effects). Male and female fawns had similar survival over their first summer in both populations. This result contrasts with the lower survival of young males often observed in ungulates. Two ultimate causes can be proposed to account for the low and variable survival of roe deer fawns over the first summer: the high energy expenditures incurred by does during each breeding attempt and/or the low absolute body size of newborn roe deer fawns.


Advances in Ecological Research | 2009

Empirical evidence of density-dependence in populations of large herbivores

Christophe Bonenfant; Tim Coulson; Marco Festa-Bianchet; Anne Loison; Mathieu Garel; Leif Egil Loe; Pierrick Blanchard; Nathalie Pettorelli; Norman Owen-Smith; J. Du Toit; Patrick Duncan

Density‐dependence is a key concept in population dynamics. Here, we review how body mass and demographic parameters vary with population density in large herbivores. The demographic parameters we consider are age‐ and sex‐specific reproduction, survival and dispersal. As population density increases, the body mass of large herbivores typically declines, affecting individual performance traits such as age of first reproduction and juvenile survival. We documented density‐dependent variations in reproductive rates for many species from the Arctic to subtropical zones, both with and without predation. At high density, a trade‐off between growth and reproduction delays the age of primiparity and often increases the costs of reproduction, decreasing both survival and future reproductive success of adult females. Density‐dependent preweaning juvenile survival occurs more often in polytocous than monotocous species, while the effects of density on post‐weaning juvenile survival are independent of litter size. Responses of adult survival to density are much less marked than for juvenile survival, and may be exaggerated by density‐dependent changes in age structure. The role of density‐dependent dispersal in population dynamics remains uncertain, because very few studies have examined it. For sexually dimorphic species, we found little support for higher sensitivity to increasing density in the life history traits of males compared to females, except for young age classes. It remains unclear whether males of dimorphic species are sensitive to male density, female density or a combination of both. Eberhardts model predicting a sequential effect of density on demographic parameters (from juvenile survival to adult survival) was supported by 9 of 10 case studies. In addition, population density at birth can also lead to cohort effects, including a direct effect on juvenile survival and longterm effects on average cohort performance as adults. Density effects typically interact with weather, increasing in strength in years of harsh weather. For some species, the synchronization between plant phenology and reproductive cycle is a key process in population dynamics. The timing of late gestation as a function of plant phenology determines whether density‐dependence influences juvenile survival or adult female reproduction. The detection of density‐dependence can be made difficult by nonlinear relationships with density, high sampling variability, lagged responses to density changes, changes in population age structure, and temporal variation in the main factors limiting population growth. The negative feedbacks of population size on individual performance, and hence on life history traits, are thus only expected in particular ecological contexts and are most often restricted to certain age‐specific demographic traits.


Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences | 1994

On the Carrying Capacity for Large Ungulates of African Savanna Ecosystems

Hervé Fritz; Patrick Duncan

The effect of pastoral management on the standing crop biomass of large ungulates, an index of carrying capacity, is analysed at a regional level by using data compiled from published sources covering east and south Africa. The effect of primary production is controlled for by using two environmental factors, rainfall and soil nutrient availability, and the effect of species richness of the ungulate community is evaluated. The results confirm the dominant effect of rainfall, and demonstrate that soil nutrient levels also strongly affect the biomass of large ungulate communities. For a given level of rainfall, on rich soils (high nutrient availability) the biomass of large ungulates is about 20 times as great as on poor soils with low nutrient availability. The model based on rainfall and soil nutrient classes accounts for 87% of the variance in large ungulate biomass. Pastoral and natural ecosystems do not differ significantly in large ungulate biomass; there is therefore currently no evidence that extensive pastoral management increases carrying capacity for large ungulates above the levels observed in natural communities. Species richness, a measure of biodiversity, had a significant but very small effect on the biomass-rainfall relation in the complete data set. When analysed by pastoral management, the effect of this factor was significant for the set of natural ecosystems only. Pastoral management and species richness may therefore have compensatory effects. These results suggest that the carrying capacity is limited at the community, rather than the species, level.


Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences | 2002

Variations in adult body mass in roe deer: the effects of population density at birth and of habitat quality

Nathalie Pettorelli; Guy Van Laere; Patrick Duncan; Petter Kjellander; Olof Liberg; Daniel Delorme; Daniel Maillard

Body mass is a key determinant of fitness components in many organisms, and adult mass varies considerably among individuals within populations. These variations have several causes, involve temporal and spatial factors, and are not yet well understood. We use long‐term data from 20 roe deer cohorts (1977‐96) in a 2600 ha study area (Chizé, western France) with two habitats contrasting in quality (rich oak forest in the North versus poor beech forest in the South) to analyse the effects of both cohort and habitat quality on adult mass (i.e. median body mass between 4 and 10 years of age) of roe deer (Capreolus capreolus). Cohort strongly influenced the adult body mass of roe deer in both sexes: males born in 1994 were 5.2 kg heavier when aged between 4 and 10 years old than males born in 1986, while females born in 1995 were 4.7 kg heavier between 4 and 10 years old than females born in 1982. For a given cohort, adult males were, on average, 0.9 kg heavier in the rich oak forest than in the poor beech forest. A similar trend occurred for adult females (0.5 kg heavier in the oak forest). The effects of cohort and habitat were additive and accounted for ca. 40% of the variation observed in the adult mass of roe deer at Chizé (males: 41.2%; females: 40.2%). Population density during the spring of the birth accounted for about 35% of cohort variation, whereas rainfall in May‐June had no effect. Such delayed effects of density at birth on adult body mass probably affect population dynamics, and might constitute a mechanism by which delayed density‐dependence occurs in ungulate populations.


Oecologia | 1990

Comparative nutrient extraction from forages by grazing bovids and equids: a test of the nutritional model of equid/bovid competition and coexistence

Patrick Duncan; T. J. Foose; Iain J. Gordon; C. G. Gakahu; Monte Lloyd

SummaryRuminants are unevenly distributed across the range of body sizes observed in herbivorous mammals; among extant East African species they predominate, in numbers and species richness, in the medium body sizes (10–600 kg). The small and the large species are all hind-gut fermenters. Some medium-sized hind-gut fermenters, equid perissodactyls, coexist with the grazing ruminants, principally bovid artiodactyls, in grassland ecosystems. These patterns have been explained by two complementary models based on differences between the digestive physiology of ruminants and hind-gut fermenters. The Demment and Van Soest (1985) model accounts for the absence of ruminants among the small and large species, while the Bell/Janis/Foose model accounts both for the predominance of ruminants, and their co-existence with equids among the medium-sized species (Bell 1971; Janis 1976; Foose 1982). The latter model assumes that the rumen is competitively superior to the hind-gut system on medium quality forages, and that hind-gut fermenters persist because of their ability to eat more, and thus to extract more nutrients per day from high fibre, low quality forages. Data presented here demonstrate that compared to similarly sized grazing ruminants (bovids), hind-gut fermenters (equids) have higher rates of food intake which more than compensate for their lesser ability to digest plant material. As a consequence equids extract more nutrients per day than bovids not only from low quality foods, but from the whole range of forages eaten by animals of this size. Neither of the current nutritional models, nor refinements of them satisfactorily explain the preponderance of the bovids among medium-sized ungulates; alternative hypotheses are presented.


Oecologia | 2002

Megaherbivores influence trophic guilds structure in African ungulate communities

Hervé Fritz; Patrick Duncan; Iain J. Gordon; Andrew W. Illius

We used a data set of ungulate censuses from 31 natural ecosystems from East and Southern Africa to test two hypotheses: (1) megaherbivores should dominate ungulate communities in ecosystems with high rainfall and low soil nutrient status because of their ability to survive on poor quality food resources, and (2) the abundance of megaherbivores affects the abundance of the mesoherbivores, distinguishing the different feeding guilds: mesograzers, mesobrowsers and mesomixed feeders. Two axes of a multivariate analysis (77% of the variance) discriminated the sites well, the first separating sites dominated by megaherbivores from those dominated by mesoherbivores, and the second representing a gradient between mesograzers and mesobrowsers. Our analysis shows (1) that megaherbivores can be considered to be a separate trophic guild and (2) that mesograzers and mesobrowsers respond differently to variation in their trophic environments. The metabolic biomass density of megaherbivores increased with annual rainfall, but was not related to soil nutrient status, and as predicted, megaherbivores comprised a larger proportion of the biomass of ungulate communities in ecosystems with high rainfall and low nutrient soils. The metabolic biomass density of mesoherbivores increased with rainfall and soil nutrient status. Within the mesoherbivores, the metabolic biomass density of mesograzers showed the same trend, and seemed unaffected by megaherbivores. Conversely, mesobrowsers and mesomixed feeders appeared to be unaffected by rainfall or soil nutrient status, but mesomixed feeders declined when megaherbivores were abundant. This suggests that megaherbivores may compete with the mesomixed-feeder species for food or they may alter the vegetation communities unfavourably. A similar analysis using elephants alone instead of megaherbivores as a group showed that both mesobrowsers and mesomixed feeders were affected significantly by elephant, which is consistent with the fact that most of the effect of megaherbivores on browse resources or woodland habitat is due to elephants. This study shows that the different trophic guilds within African ungulate communities react differently to environmental factors (rain and soil), and that megaherbivores, and particularly elephants, appear to compete with mesomixed feeders and mesobrowsers. These results are relevant for the understanding of the functioning of African ungulate communities and call for further testing with longitudinal data.


Behaviour | 1980

Time-Budgets of Camargue Horses Ii. Time-Budgets of Adult Horses and Weaned Sub-Adults

Patrick Duncan

Time-budgets of adult and weaned sub-adult horses were studied in a small population of Camargue horses living in semi-liberty. The categories of activities used were: Standing resting, Lying flat, Lying up, Standing alert, Walking, Trotting, Galloping, Rolling and Foraging. The main differences in time-budgets were related to age and to sex : young horses spent more time lying (sleeping), males spent more time standing alert and in rapid movements (trot, gallop), while usually foraging less than did the adult females. During the three years of the study the population increased from 20 to 54 horses and there were considerable changes in social structure as the number of adult males increased. Associated with these developments there were some changes between years in the time-budgets: the most striking of which was a general trend for all horses to spend less time lying. Nonetheless the time-budgets showed a considerable constancy across years and age/sex-classes, especially with regard to time spent foraging. This conclusion may provide a clue as to why horses have an unusual social system based on long term relationships between a male and the females of his harem.


Oecologia | 2001

Population density and small-scale variation in habitat quality affect phenotypic quality in roe deer

Nathalie Pettorelli; Patrick Duncan; Jean-Pierre Ouellet; Guy Van Laere

We tested for fine-scale spatial heterogeneity in habitat quality in a roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) population in the Chizé reserve located in western France by measuring spatial variation in the availability and plant nitrogen content of principal and preferred plant species. There were significant differences in habitat quality within the reserve: the principal food plants in spring and summer occurred more frequently in the oak woodland in the north than in the beech woodland in the south of the reserve. Within species, plants in the north had higher nitrogen contents than in the south. There was a positive spatial covariation between habitat quality, local density and fawn body weight: animal densities and fawn body weights were highest in the north, the best habitat (i.e. the habitat with more abundant food of higher quality). These results differ from those recently obtained on red deer (Cervus elaphus). We suggest that spatial organization and foraging behaviour must be accounted for when considering the effect of habitat quality on individual fitness of ungulates.


Biological Conservation | 2002

The importance of protected areas as nocturnal feeding grounds for dabbling ducks wintering in western France

Matthieu Guillemain; Hervé Fritz; Patrick Duncan

We studied the diurnal and nocturnal habitat use of wintering dabbling ducks (Anas spp.) in two protected areas of an internationally important winter quarter in western France. The waterbodies of the reserves are heavily used by ducks during daylight hours, and 3–55% of these birds used the reserves at night: >50% of shoveler (A. clypeata), 20% of granivorous ducks (mallard A. platyrhynchos, teal A. crecca and pintail A. acuta), and lower numbers of herbivores (wigeon A. penelope and gadwall A. strepera). Radio-tracking showed that some ducks used the reserves by day and by night, and that some of them may switch from one protected site to another: radio-tagged birds were located in one of the two protected areas for 76% of the days and 81% of the nights they were sought, with granivores switching from waterbodies to wet grasslands within a reserve between the two periods. Such resident individuals may be ‘experienced’ wintering ducks, avoiding surrounding unprotected feeding habitats at night, while birds that leave the reserves at night may be subdominants and/or ‘naive’ individuals from a transient migratory sub-population. This study suggests that management of nature reserves should combine day-roosts with significant areas of nocturnal feeding grounds, since in protected areas both habitats may be successively used by wintering dabbling ducks across the 24-h cycle.


Journal of Wildlife Management | 2003

Effects of Hurricane Lothar on the Population Dynamics of European Roe Deer

Patrick Duncan; Daniel Delorme; Guy Van Laere; Nathalie Pettorelli; Daniel Maillard; Guy Renaud

Although extreme weather events-such as hurricanes-cause obvious changes in landscape and tree cover, the impact of such events on population dynamics of ungulates has not yet been measured accurately. We report a first quantification of the demographic consequences on roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) of the strongest hurricane (Lothar) that France has suffered in centuries. Based on long-term monitoring (>20 yr) of known-age individuals in 2 populations, we found that Lothar had no detectable negative effect on age- and sex-specific survival rates, except perhaps for old females. Likewise, although Lothar occurred during the time in the roe deer reproductive cycle when embryos are implanted, we found no evidence of a decrease in either the pregnancy rate or litter size. Our results show that roe deer populations are resistant to this kind of extreme weather event. The consequences for wildlife management are direct and important: (1) the hunting bag was low in 2000 due to restricted hunter access, and (2) the main effect of hurricane Lothar was to create openings within large forests that are good habitat for roe deer. We suggest that Lothar will paradoxally have a positive effect on roe deer population dynamics.

Collaboration


Dive into the Patrick Duncan's collaboration.

Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Hervé Fritz

Centre national de la recherche scientifique

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Géraldine Fleurance

Institut national de la recherche agronomique

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Daniel Delorme

Centre national de la recherche scientifique

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Daniel Maillard

Centre national de la recherche scientifique

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Nathalie Pettorelli

Zoological Society of London

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Nadège Edouard

Institut national de la recherche agronomique

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Sophie Grange

University of the Witwatersrand

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

Bertrand Dumont

Institut national de la recherche agronomique

View shared research outputs
Top Co-Authors

Avatar

R. Baumont

Institut national de la recherche agronomique

View shared research outputs
Researchain Logo
Decentralizing Knowledge