Paul Stehr-Green

Autism and thimerosal-containing vaccines

BACKGROUND In 1999, concerns were raised that vaccines containing the preservative Thimerosal might increase the risk of autism and/or other neurodevelopmental disorders. METHODS Between the mid-1980s through the late-1990s, we compared the prevalence/incidence of autism in California, Sweden, and Denmark with average exposures to Thimerosal-containing vaccines. Graphic ecologic analyses were used to examine population-based data from the United States (national immunization coverage surveys and counts of children diagnosed with autism-like disorders seeking special education services in California); Sweden (national inpatient data on autism cases, national vaccination coverage levels, and information on use of all vaccines and vaccine-specific amounts of Thimerosal); and Denmark (national registry of inpatient/outpatient-diagnosed autism cases, national vaccination coverage levels, and information on use of all vaccines and vaccine-specific amounts of Thimerosal). RESULTS In all three countries, the incidence and prevalence of autism-like disorders began to rise in the 1985-1989 period, and the rate of increase accelerated in the early 1990s. However, in contrast to the situation in the United States, where the average Thimerosal dose from vaccines increased throughout the 1990s, Thimerosal exposures from vaccines in both Sweden and Denmark-already low throughout the 1970s and 1980s-began to decrease in the late 1980s and were eliminated in the early 1990s. CONCLUSIONS The body of existing data, including the ecologic data presented herein, is not consistent with the hypothesis that increased exposure to Thimerosal-containing vaccines is responsible for the apparent increase in the rates of autism in young children being observed worldwide.

Use of an observational cohort study to estimate the effectiveness of the New Zealand group B meningococcal vaccine in children aged under 5 years

BACKGROUND In July 2004 a strain-specific vaccine was introduced to combat an epidemic of group B meningococcal disease in New Zealand. We estimated the effectiveness of this vaccine in pre-school-aged children. METHODS We conducted a cohort analysis of all children in New Zealand who were aged 6 months to <5 years at the time the vaccine became available for that age group in their area. We defined cases as children who were diagnosed with laboratory-confirmed epidemic strain meningococcal disease. We calculated person-days-at-risk using data from the National Immunization Register and population estimates from Statistics New Zealand. We estimated vaccine effectiveness as 1--relative risk. RESULTS Compared with unvaccinated children, fully vaccinated children were five to six times less likely to contract epidemic strain meningococcal disease in the 24 months after they became eligible to receive a full vaccination series, corresponding to an estimated vaccine effectiveness of 80.0% (95% confidence interval: 52.5-91.6) for children aged 6 months to <5 years and 84.8% (95% confidence interval: 59.4-94.3) for children aged 6 months to <3 years. CONCLUSIONS With over 3 million doses administered to individuals aged under 20 years throughout New Zealand, combined evidence from the Phase I and II clinical trials, the descriptive epidemiology of meningococcal disease, and this study provide evidence supporting the effectiveness of this vaccine in the 2 years following vaccination.

Post-Marketing Safety Monitoring of a New Group B Meningococcal Vaccine in New Zealand, 2004-2006

New Zealand introduced a new outer membrane vesicle vaccine in 2004 to combat an epidemic of group B meningococcal disease. An Independent Safety Monitoring Board oversaw intensive safety monitoring, which included hospital surveillance, health professional reporting (passive and active) and mortality monitoring. With over three million doses administered to individuals aged under 20 years, the monitoring results provide consistent evidence supporting the vaccine’s safety.

The Intensive Vaccines Monitoring Programme (IVMP) : An electronic system to monitor vaccine safety in New Zealand

New Zealand introduced a tailor-made vaccine (MeNZB) for epidemic control of Group B meningococcal disease. The Intensives Vaccine Monitoring Programme (IVMP), which prospectively collected data electronically on a cohort of children receiving vaccinations in sentinel practices across NZ, was developed as part of a national multi-faceted safety strategy. The main aim of the IVMP was to identify the presence of unexpected adverse events occurring with MeNZB vaccination. We describe the methodology and success factors plus consider the limitations encountered in this system which shows potential as a means for post-marketing vaccine and medicine surveillance in the future.

The risk of simple febrile seizures after immunisation with a new group B meningococcal vaccine, New Zealand

As part of safety monitoring during a group B meningococcal disease vaccination campaign in New Zealand, we examined the possible excess risk of vaccine-associated simple febrile seizures (SFS). We conducted a cohort analysis using data from active hospital-based surveillance in the South Auckland area and a national immunisation register. Based on analysis of approximately 63,000 doses, we found no statistically significant increase in SFS incidence within 1, 2, 4, or 7 days after vaccination for any/all doses administered to children aged 6 months through 4 years. We concluded that the vaccine is unlikely to induce a heightened risk of SFS.