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Dive into the research topics where Paula Ray is active.

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Featured researches published by Paula Ray.


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 2000

Efficacy, safety and immunogenicity of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children.

Steven Black; Henry R. Shinefield; Bruce Fireman; Edwin Lewis; Paula Ray; John Hansen; Laura Elvin; Kathy M. Ensor; Jill Hackell; George R. Siber; Frank Malinoski; Dace V. Madore; Ih Chang; Robert Kohberger; Wendy J. Watson; Robert Austrian; Kathy Edwards

Objective. To determine the efficacy, safety and immunogenicity of the heptavalent CRM197 pneumococcal conjugate vaccine against invasive disease caused by vaccine serotypes and to determine the effectiveness of this vaccine against clinical episodes of otitis media. Methods. The Wyeth Lederle Heptavalent CRM197 (PCV) was given to infants at 2, 4, 6 and 12 to 15 months of age in a double blind trial; 37 868 children were randomly assigned 1:1 to receive either the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine or meningococcus type C CRM197 conjugate. The primary study outcome was invasive disease caused by vaccine serotype. Other outcomes included overall impact on invasive disease regardless of serotype, effectiveness against clinical otitis media visits and episodes, impact against frequent and severe otitis media and ventilatory tube placement. In addition the serotype‐specific efficacy against otitis media was estimated in an analysis of spontaneously draining ears. Results. In the interim analysis in August, 1998, 17 of the 17 cases of invasive disease caused by vaccine serotype in fully vaccinated children and 5 of 5 of partially vaccinated cases occurred in the control group for a vaccine efficacy of 100%. Blinded case ascertainment was continued until April, 1999. As of that time 40 fully vaccinated cases of invasive disease caused by vaccine serotype had been identified, all but 1 in controls for an efficacy of 97.4% (95% confidence interval, 82.7 to 99.9%), and 52 cases, all but 3 in controls in the intent‐to‐treat analysis for an efficacy of 93.9% (95% confidence interval, 79.6 to 98.5%). There was no evidence of any increase of disease caused by nonvaccine serotypes. Efficacy for otitis media against visits, episodes, frequent otitis and ventilatory tube placement was 8.9, 7.0, 9.3 and 20.1% with P < 0.04 for all. In the analysis of spontaneously draining ears, serotype‐specific effectiveness was 66.7%. Conclusion. This heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate appears to be highly effective in preventing invasive disease in young children and to have a significant impact on otitis media.


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 1999

Safety and immunogenicity of heptavalent pneumococcal CRM197 conjugate vaccine in infants and toddlers.

Henry R. Shinefield; Steven Black; Paula Ray; Ih Chang; Ned Lewis; Bruce Fireman; Jill Hackell; Peter R. Paradiso; George R. Siber; Robert Kohberger; Dace V. Madore; Frank J. Malinowski; Alan Kimura; Chinh T. Le; Irene Landaw; Janet Aguilar; John Hansen

OBJECTIVES The objectives of this study were (1) to determine the safety and immunogenicity of heptavalent pneumococcal CRM197 conjugate (PNCRM7) vaccine in infants and (2) to determine the effect of concurrent hepatitis B immunization during the primary series and the effect of concurrent diphtheria and tetanus toxoid and acellular pertussis [DTaP (ACEL-IMUNE)] and conjugate CRM197 Haemophilus influenzae type b [HbOC (HibTITER) immunization at time of the booster dose on the safety and immunogenicity of PNCRM7and these other concurrently administered vaccines. METHODS This was a randomized double-blinded study in 302 healthy infants in the Northern California Kaiser Permanente (NCKP) Health Plan. Infants received either PNCRM7 vaccine or meningococcal group C conjugate vaccine as a control at 2, 4 and 6 months of age and a booster at 12 to 15 months of age. Study design permitted the evaluation of immunology and safety of concurrent administration of routine vaccines. Antibody titers were determined on blood samples drawn before and 1 month after the primary series and the booster dose. RESULTS After the third dose of PNCRM7 geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) ranged from 1.01 for serotype 9V to 3.72 microg/ml for serotype 14. More than 90% of all subjects had a post-third dose titer of > or =0.15 microg/ml for all serotypes, and the percentage of infants with a post-third dose titer of > or =1.0 microg/ml ranged from 51% for type 9V to 89% for type 14. After the PNCRM7 booster dose, the GMCs of all seven serotypes increased significantly over both post-Dose 3 and pre-Dose 4 antibody levels. In the primary series there were no significant differences in GMCs of pneumococcal antibodies between the subjects given PN-CRM7 alone or concurrently with hepatitis B vaccine. At the toddler dose concurrent administration of PNCRM7 and DTaP and HbOC resulted in a near conventional threshold for statistical significance of a post-Dose 4 GMC for serotype 23F [alone 6.75 mirog/ml vs. concurrent 4.11 microg/ml (P = 0.057)] as well as significantly lower antibody GMCs for H. influenza polyribosylribitol phosphate, diphtheria toxoid, pertussis toxin and filamentous hemagglutinin. For all antigens there were no differences between study groups in defined antibody titers that are considered protective. CONCLUSION We conclude that PNCRM7 vaccine was safe and immunogenic. When this vaccine was administered concurrently at the booster dose with DTaP and HbOC vaccines, lower antibody titers were noted for some of the antigens when compared with the antibody response when PNCRM7 was given separately. Because the GMCs of the booster responses were all generally high and all subjects achieved similar percentages above predefined antibody titers, these differences are probably not clinically significant.


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 2006

Effectiveness of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children younger than 5 years of age for prevention of pneumonia: Updated analysis using World Health Organization standardized interpretation of chest radiographs

John Hansen; Steven Black; Henry R. Shinefield; Thomas Cherian; Jane Benson; Bruce Fireman; Edwin Lewis; Paula Ray; Janelle Lee

Background: A World Health Organization (WHO) working group in 2001 developed a method for standardizing interpretation of chest radiographs in children for epidemiologic purposes. We reevaluated radiographs from the Kaiser Permanente Pneumococcal Efficacy trial using this method. Methods: Seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine was evaluated in a randomized, controlled study including 37,868 infants. Effectiveness against pneumonia was previously evaluated using the original treating radiologist reading. There were 2841 sets of radiographs from this trial and all available radiographs were scanned and read blindly by 2 WHO crosstrained readers (A and B); discordance between the 2 primary readers was resolved through a consensus reading by an adjudicating panel of 2 radiologists. Results: Of the 2841 radiographs, 2446 were available for scanning and were reviewed using WHO-defined descriptive categories. Two hundred fifty of the 2446 radiographs were read as positive by both readers. An additional 129 were read as positive by reader A only and 142 by reader B only for a total of 521 radiographs that were read as positive by one or both of the reviewers. The concordance rate between the 2 reviewers was 250 of 521 (48%). Of the 271 discordant radiographs, 45 of 129 (34.9%) of reader A and 66 of 142 (46.5%) for reader B were finalized as positive by the adjudicating panel. Overall, 361 radiographs were finalized as positive (12.7%). With these 361 images as the standard, the sensitivity and specificity of reader A were 82% and 97%, respectively, and for reader B, 88% and 97%, respectively. Kappa between the 2 readers was 0.58. Of 25 control radiographs read as positive by both A and B, 80% were also read as positive by the panel and all 25 control negative radiographs were read as negative by the panel. Using original readings by point-of-care radiologists, efficacy against first episode of radiograph confirmed pneumonia was 17.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.8–28.9%) in intent-to-treat and 20.5% (95% CI = 4.4–34%) in per protocol. Using the WHO method, the efficacy against first episode of radiograph confirmed pneumonia adjusting for age, gender and year of vaccination of 25.5% (95% CI = 6.5–40.7%, P = 0.011) for intent-to-treat and 30.3% (95% CI = 10.7–45.7%, P = 0.0043) for per protocol. Conclusion: Using WHO criteria for reading of radiographs increased point estimates of vaccine efficacy presumably as a result of improved specificity.


Pediatrics | 2010

Measles-Mumps-Rubella-Varicella Combination Vaccine and the Risk of Febrile Seizures

Nicola P. Klein; Bruce Fireman; W. K. Yih; Edwin Lewis; Martin Kulldorff; Paula Ray; Roger Baxter; Simon J. Hambidge; Jim Nordin; Allison L. Naleway; Edward A. Belongia; Tracy A. Lieu; James Baggs

OBJECTIVE: In February 2008, we alerted the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices to preliminary evidence of a twofold increased risk of febrile seizures after the combination measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (MMRV) vaccine when compared with separate measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) and varicella vaccines. Now with data on twice as many vaccine recipients, our goal was to reexamine seizure risk after MMRV vaccine. METHODS: Using 2000–2008 Vaccine Safety Datalink data, we assessed seizures and fever visits among children aged 12 to 23 months after MMRV and separate MMR + varicella vaccines. We compared seizure risk after MMRV vaccine to that after MMR + varicella vaccines by using Poisson regression as well as with supplementary regressions that incorporated chart-review results and self-controlled analyses. RESULTS: MMRV vaccine recipients (83 107) were compared with recipients of MMR + varicella vaccines (376 354). Seizure and fever significantly clustered 7 to 10 days after vaccination with all measles-containing vaccines but not after varicella vaccination alone. Seizure risk during days 7 to 10 was higher after MMRV than after MMR + varicella vaccination (relative risk: 1.98 [95% confidence interval: 1.43–2.73]). Supplementary analyses yielded similar results. The excess risk for febrile seizures 7 to 10 days after MMRV compared with separate MMR + varicella vaccination was 4.3 per 10 000 doses (95% confidence interval: 2.6–5.6). CONCLUSIONS: Among 12- to 23-month-olds who received their first dose of measles-containing vaccine, fever and seizure were elevated 7 to 10 days after vaccination. Vaccination with MMRV results in 1 additional febrile seizure for every 2300 doses given instead of separate MMR + varicella vaccines. Providers who recommend MMRV should communicate to parents that it increases the risk of fever and seizure over that already associated with measles-containing vaccines.


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 2002

Efficacy, immunogenicity and safety of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in low birth weight and preterm infants

Henry R. Shinefield; Steven Black; Paula Ray; Bruce Fireman; Joan Schwalbe; Edwin Lewis

Objective. To determine the efficacy, immunogenicity and safety of the heptavalent CRM197 pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in low birth weight (LBW) and preterm (PT) infants against invasive pneumococcal disease caused by vaccine types. Methods. In a randomized double blind trial of 37 868 infants given either PCV or meningococcal type C conjugate vaccine (MCV), 1756 infants <750 g <2500 g (LBW) and 4340 infants from 32 to <38 weeks old (PT) were identified. Risk of invasive pneumococcal disease in LBW and PT infants was compared with risk in normal birth weight (NBW) and full term (FT) infants. Local and systemic events observed within 48 h of recent vaccine were assessed by telephone interviews and similar comparisons made. Premature infant Emergency Department visits and hospitalization were also identified and compared with FT and NBW infants. Results. Initiation of immunization and intervals between doses were similar for all groups. The risk ratio for invasive pneumococcal diseases for LBW infants compared with NBW infants was 2.6 (P = 0.03), and for PT compared with FT infants the risk ratio was 1.6 (P = 0.06). Vaccine efficacy for both groups was 100%. PCV was as immunogenic in LBW and PT as in NBW and FT infants. Fever and local events after PCV vaccination were similar when adjusted for clustering among multiple doses per child. When stratified for individual doses there was more redness and swelling for LBW infants and more swelling for PT infants after Dose 3. Isolated local and systemic reactions were more commonly seen with PCV than with MCV, a pattern similar to that in NBW and FT infants. Hospitalization rates were similar for PCV and MCV recipients. Conclusion. These data support the use of PCV in LBW infants and PT infants.


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 2004

Safety of cold-adapted live attenuated influenza vaccine in a large cohort of children and adolescents

Randy Bergen; Steve Black; Henry R. Shinefield; Edwin Lewis; Paula Ray; John Hansen; Robert E. Walker; Colin Hessel; Julie Cordova; Paul M. Mendelman

Objective. To determine the safety of cold-adapted trivalent intranasal influenza virus vaccine (CAIV) in children and adolescents. Study design. A randomized, double blind, placebo-controlled safety trial in healthy children age 12 months to 17 years given CAIV (FluMist; MedImmune Vaccines, Inc.) or placebo (randomization, 2:1). Children <9 years of age received a second dose of CAIV or placebo 28 to 42 days after the first dose. Enrolled children were then followed for 42 days after each vaccination for all medically attended events. Prespecified outcomes included 4 prespecified diagnostic groups and 170 observed individual diagnostic categories. The relative risk and the 2-sided 90% confidence interval were calculated for each diagnostic group and individual category by clinical setting, dose and age. More than 1500 relative risk analyses were performed. Results. A total of 9689 evaluable children were enrolled in the study. Of the 4 prespecified diagnostic categories (acute respiratory tract events, systemic bacterial infection, acute gastrointestinal tract events and rare events potentially associated with wild-type influenza), none was associated with vaccine. Of the biologically plausible individual diagnostic categories, 3, acute gastrointestinal events, acute respiratory events and abdominal pain, had different analyses that demonstrated increased and decreased relative risks, making their association with the vaccine unlikely. For reactive airway disease a significant increased relative risk was observed in children 18 to 35 months of age with a relative risk of 4.06 (90% confidence interval, 1.29 to 17.86) in this age group. The individual diagnostic categories of upper respiratory infection, musculoskeletal pain, otitis media with effusion and adenitis/adenopathy had at least one analysis that achieved a significant increased risk ratio. All of these events were infrequent. Conclusion. CAIV was generally safe in children and adolescents. The observation of an increased risk of asthma/reactive airway disease in children <36 months of age is of potential concern. Further studies are planned to evaluate the risk of asthma/reactive airway disease after vaccine.


Vaccine | 2010

Rates of autoimmune diseases in Kaiser Permanente for use in vaccine adverse event safety studies

Nicola P. Klein; Paula Ray; Diane M. Carpenter; John Hansen; Edwin Lewis; Bruce Fireman; Steven Black; Claudia Galindo; Johannes E. Schmidt; Roger Baxter

Safety monitoring following new vaccine introduction includes assessment of potential new onset autoimmune diseases (AID). As knowledge regarding AID background rates is limited, we evaluated the incidence of 11 AID in Northern California Kaiser Permanente. AID cases were identified using electronic records of members aged 10-62 years from 1998 to 2004, excluding those with AID diagnoses from 1996 to 1997. Using prespecified criteria, all identified cases of rare diseases were verified by medical record review, while a sample of cases was reviewed for common diseases; incidence rates were calculated based on the proportion of confirmed cases. Overall, the incidence of AID varied from 0.8/100,000 person-years (PY) for autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA) to 54.1/100,000 PY for thyroiditis. Incidence rates in increasing order were AIHA, juvenile rheumatoid arthritis, Guillain-Barre Syndrome, idiopathic thromobocytopenia purpura, transverse myelitis, systemic lupus erythematosus, uveitis, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, Type 1 diabetes mellitus and thyroiditis; incidence rates also varied according to age and gender. These background incidence rates should prove useful for future observational vaccine safety studies and will help guide evaluation of potential vaccine AID events following introduction of new vaccines.


Pediatric Research | 1999

Efficacy of Heptavalent Conjugate Pneumococcal Vaccine (Wyeth Lederle) in 7,000 Infants and Children: Results of the Northern California Kaiser Permanente Efficacy Trial

Steven Black; Henry R. Shinefield; Paula Ray; Edwin Lewis; Bruce Fireman; Robert Austrian; George R. Siber; Jill Hackell; Robert Kohberger; Ih Chang

Efficacy of Heptavalent Conjugate Pneumococcal Vaccine (Wyeth Lederle) in 7,000 Infants and Children: Results of the Northern California Kaiser Permanente Efficacy Trial


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 2006

Encephalopathy after whole-cell pertussis or measles vaccination: lack of evidence for a causal association in a retrospective case-control study.

Paula Ray; Jean Hayward; David Michelson; Edwin Lewis; Joan Schwalbe; Steve Black; Henry R. Shinefield; Michael Marcy; Ken Huff; Joel I. Ward; John P. Mullooly; Robert T. Chen; Robert L. Davis

Background: Whole-cell pertussis (wP) and measles vaccines are effective in preventing disease but have also been suspected of increasing the risk of encephalopathy or encephalitis. Although many countries now use acellular pertussis vaccines, wP vaccine is still widely used in the developing world. It is therefore important to evaluate whether wP vaccine increases the risk of neurologic disorders. Methods: A retrospective case–control study was performed at 4 health maintenance organizations. Records from January 1, 1981, through December 31, 1995, were examined to identify children aged 0 to 6 years old hospitalized with encephalopathy or related conditions. The cause of the encephalopathy was categorized as known, unknown or suspected but unconfirmed. Up to 3 controls were matched to each case. Conditional logistic regression was used to analyze the relative risk of encephalopathy after vaccination with diphtheria–tetanus–pertussis (DTP) or measles–mumps–rubella (MMR) vaccines in the 90 days before disease onset as defined by chart review compared with an equivalent period among controls indexed by matching on case onset date. Results: Four-hundred fifty-two cases were identified. Cases were no more likely than controls to have received either vaccine during the 90 days before disease onset. When encephalopathies of known etiology were excluded, the odds ratio for case children having received DTP within 7 days before onset of disease was 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.45–3.31, P = 0.693) compared with control children. For MMR in the 90 days before onset of encephalopathy, the odds ratio was 1.23 (95% confidence interval = 0.51–2.98, P = 0.647). Conclusions: In this study of more than 2 million children, DTP and MMR vaccines were not associated with an increased risk of encephalopathy after vaccination.


Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal | 2001

Incidence and hospitalization rates of varicella and herpes zoster before varicella vaccine introduction : a baseline assessment of the shifting epidemiology of varicella disease

Paul M. Coplan; Steven Black; Carlos Rojas; Henry R. Shinefield; Paula Ray; Edwin Lewis; Harry Guess

Background. A 15-year postmarketing evaluation of the impact of varicella vaccine on the age distribution of varicella disease is being conducted at Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Northern California (KPMCP). We report on a baseline assessment of the age-specific incidence and hospitalization rates of varicella and herpes zoster that was conducted before vaccine introduction. Methods. To assess the annual incidence of varicella, a telephone survey was conducted in a random sample of ∼8000 youths 5 to 19 years of age. The annual incidence of hospitalizations for varicella and herpes zoster in 1994 was assessed with the use of the computerized database at KPMCP. Results. Varicella annual incidence was 10.3% in 5- to 9-year-olds, 1.9% in 10- to 14-year-olds and 1.2% in the 15- to 19-year age groups, respectively. Hospitalization rates among the entire KPMCP membership were 2.6 and 2.1 per 100 000 person years for varicella and zoster, respectively. Varicella incidence in the 15- to 19-year age group was higher among African-Americans than among Caucasians. Conclusions. Varicella rates were similar in the 5- to 9- and 10- to 14-year age groups to rates from other published studies conducted in 1972 to 1978, 1980 to 1988 and 1990 to 1992; however, the rate in 15- to 19-year-olds was 2 to 4 times higher than published rates in the same age category.

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Steven Black

Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center

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Robert T. Chen

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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Tracy A. Lieu

University of California

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