Pavel Moiseev
Russian Academy of Sciences
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Featured researches published by Pavel Moiseev.
Science | 2012
Harald Pauli; Michael Gottfried; Stefan Dullinger; Otari Abdaladze; Maia Akhalkatsi; José Luis Benito Alonso; Gheorghe Coldea; Jan Dick; Brigitta Erschbamer; Rosa Fernández Calzado; Dany Ghosn; Jarle I. Holten; Robert Kanka; George Kazakis; Jozef Kollár; Per Larsson; Pavel Moiseev; Dmitry Moiseev; Ulf Molau; Joaquín Molero Mesa; László Nagy; Giovanni Pelino; Mihai Puşcaş; Graziano Rossi; Angela Stanisci; Anne O. Syverhuset; Jean-Paul Theurillat; Marcello Tomaselli; Peter Unterluggauer; Luis Villar
Climb Every Mountain Mountaintop floras across Europe appear to be responding to climatic change in terms of upslope species range shifts. Pauli et al. (p. 353) systematically analyzed data gathered from standardized permanent plots on 66 high-mountain environments across Europe. On average, mountaintop species numbers have increased significantly during the last decade. However, this increase is a net effect of gains and losses, with losses particularly affecting mountains of Mediterranean regions and their endemic species. This turnover is largely consistent with model predictions and indicates that high-altitude species, and in particular the rich endemic alpine flora of many Mediterranean mountain ranges, will come under increasing pressure in the predicted warmer and drier climates in this region. European mountaintop flower species richness is increasing on northern summits but decreasing on southern summits. In mountainous regions, climate warming is expected to shift species’ ranges to higher altitudes. Evidence for such shifts is still mostly from revisitations of historical sites. We present recent (2001 to 2008) changes in vascular plant species richness observed in a standardized monitoring network across Europe’s major mountain ranges. Species have moved upslope on average. However, these shifts had opposite effects on the summit floras’ species richness in boreal-temperate mountain regions (+3.9 species on average) and Mediterranean mountain regions (–1.4 species), probably because recent climatic trends have decreased the availability of water in the European south. Because Mediterranean mountains are particularly rich in endemic species, a continuation of these trends might shrink the European mountain flora, despite an average increase in summit species richness across the region.
Global Change Biology | 2014
Frank Hagedorn; S. G. Shiyatov; Valeriy S. Mazepa; Nadezha M. Devi; Alndrey A. Grigor'ev; Alexandr A. Bartysh; Valeriy V. Fomin; Dennis S. Kapralov; Maxim Terent'ev; Harald Bugman; Andreas Rigling; Pavel Moiseev
High-altitude treelines are temperature-limited vegetation boundaries, but little quantitative evidence exists about the impact of climate change on treelines in untouched areas of Russia. Here, we estimated how forest-tundra ecotones have changed during the last century along the Ural mountains. In the South, North, Sub-Polar, and Polar Urals, we compared 450 historical and recent photographs and determined the ages of 11,100 trees along 16 altitudinal gradients. In these four regions, boundaries of open and closed forests (crown covers above 20% and 40%) expanded upwards by 4 to 8 m in altitude per decade. Results strongly suggest that snow was an important driver for these forest advances: (i) Winter precipitation has increased substantially throughout the Urals (~7 mm decade(-1) ), which corresponds to almost a doubling in the Polar Urals, while summer temperatures have only changed slightly (~0.05°C decade(-1) ). (ii) There was a positive correlation between canopy cover, snow height and soil temperatures, suggesting that an increasing canopy cover promotes snow accumulation and, hence, a more favorable microclimate. (iii) Tree age analysis showed that forest expansion mainly began around the year 1900 on concave wind-sheltered slopes with thick snow covers, while it started in the 1950s and 1970s on slopes with shallower snow covers. (iv) During the 20th century, dominant growth forms of trees have changed from multistemmed trees, resulting from harsh winter conditions, to single-stemmed trees. While 87%, 31%, and 93% of stems appearing before 1950 were from multistemmed trees in the South, North and Polar Urals, more than 95% of the younger trees had a single stem. Currently, there is a high density of seedlings and saplings in the forest-tundra ecotone, indicating that forest expansion is ongoing and that alpine tundra vegetation will disappear from most mountains of the South and North Urals where treeline is already close to the highest peaks.
Russian Journal of Ecology | 2006
D. S. Kapralov; S. G. Shiyatov; Pavel Moiseev; V. V. Fomin
Changes in the composition, structure, and altitudinal distribution of low forests at the upper limit of their growth over the past 50 years have been studied in the Tylaisko-Konzhakovsko-Serebryanskii Massif (the Northern Urals). The qualitative and quantitative assessment of these changes has been made on the basis of descriptions, photographs, and maps made in 1956 and 2005. The results show that the upper boundary of low forests on the majority of slopes has ascended. Considerable changes have occurred in the composition, density, and height of the tree layer in the communities that formed the upper low-forest boundary in 1956. Among a fairly large number of tree species growing in the subgoltzy belt (Picea obovata, Larix sibirica, Pinus sibirica, and Abies sibirica), the birch Betula tortuosa has expanded most actively, whereas the proportions of P. obovata and especially L. sibirica in low forests have decreased. These changes are explained by climate warming and increasing humidity.
Environmental Research Letters | 2016
Lena Hellmann; Leonid Agafonov; Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist; Olga V. Churakova; Elisabeth Düthorn; Jan Esper; Lisa Hülsmann; Alexander V. Kirdyanov; Pavel Moiseev; Vladimir S. Myglan; Anatoly N. Nikolaev; Frederick Reinig; Fritz H. Schweingruber; Olga Solomina; Willy Tegel; Ulf Büntgen
The area covered by boreal forests accounts for similar to 16% of the global and 22% of the Northern Hemisphere landmass. Changes in the productivity and functioning of this circumpolar biome not o ...
Russian Journal of Ecology | 2010
Pavel Moiseev; A. A. Bartysh; Z. Ya. Nagimov
The composition and structure of tree stands near the timberline have been studied on different slopes and at different elevations in the Tylaisko-Konzhakovsko-Serebryanskii Massif, the North Urals. It has been found that the upper limits of tree stands with different degrees of canopy closure have risen considerably (by about 100 m of elevation) since the mid-19th century, although the formation of these stands started as early as the late 18th century. Woodless areas in the eastern part of the massif started to be colonized by Larix sibirica in the late 18th to early 19th centuries; those in the western part, by Picea obovata in the mid-19th century; and in the southern part, by Betula tortuosa in the late 19th century. Analysis of meteorological data provides evidence for warming and increasing humidity of the climate since the late 19th century. Favorable climatic changes that facilitated the expansion of the forest have taken place both in the summer (prolongation of the growing period) and in winter seasons (increase of air temperature and precipitation). The observed differences in the composition and dynamics of tree stands between the studied areas of the mountain range are most probably explained by different requirements of tree species for the depth of snow cover and the degree of soil freezing.
Russian Journal of Ecology | 2008
N. B. Koshkina; Pavel Moiseev; A. V. Goryaeva
Quantitative and qualitative characteristics of cones and seeds and the emergence and survival of seedlings in the Siberian spruce (Picea obovata Ledeb.) were studied in different parts of the timberline ecotone on the Iremel’ Massif, the Southern Urals, from 2003 to 2006. In the productive year 2003, a decrease in the number of cones (from 110000 to 3000 per hectare), the yield of seeds (from 13 × 106 to 0.09 × 106 per hectare), and their laboratory germination rate (from 34 to 14%) with an increase in elevation above sea level was recorded. In 2004, significant differences in the number of seedlings per hectare were revealed between the lower, middle, and upper parts of the ecotone (85 200, 19 800, and 0–400 ind., respectively). It has been shown that the greater part of seedlings (76–96%) perish during the first cold period. New generations of spruce trees are formed only after productive years. Seed production and seedling mortality in spruce apparently depend not only on air temperature and soil moistening but also on snow depth and soil temperature, which change more abruptly along the altitudinal gradient.
Russian Journal of Ecology | 2013
A. A. Grigor’ev; Pavel Moiseev; Z. Ya. Nagimov
Changes in the altitudinal position of the timberline in high mountain areas of the Nether-Polar Urals and basic factors that influence such changes have been revealed on the basis of comparison of the age structure of Siberian larch (Larix sibirica) and arctic birch (Betula tortuosa) tree stands and photographs made in different years. On the mountain slopes studied, an upward shift of the timberline took place in areas covered in winter with thick snow (in the late 18th century), with Siberian larch being the pioneer species. Larch began colonizing areas with a thin snow cover in the 20th century. Birch appeared later and has since strengthened its positions. The increase in winter temperatures and precipitation facilitated the expansion of the forest.
Global Change Biology | 2017
Elena Pellizzari; Jesús Julio Camarero; Antonio Gazol; Elena Granda; Rohan Shetti; Martin Wilmking; Pavel Moiseev; Mario Pividori; Marco Carrer
Abstract Climate warming is expected to enhance productivity and growth of woody plants, particularly in temperature‐limited environments at the northernmost or uppermost limits of their distribution. However, this warming is spatially uneven and temporally variable, and the rise in temperatures differently affects biomes and growth forms. Here, applying a dendroecological approach with generalized additive mixed models, we analysed how the growth of shrubby junipers and coexisting trees (larch and pine species) responds to rising temperatures along a 5000‐km latitudinal range including sites from the Polar, Alpine to the Mediterranean biomes. We hypothesize that, being more coupled to ground microclimate, junipers will be less influenced by atmospheric conditions and will less respond to the post‐1950 climate warming than coexisting standing trees. Unexpectedly, shrub and tree growth forms revealed divergent growth trends in all the three biomes, with juniper performing better than trees at Mediterranean than at Polar and Alpine sites. The post‐1980s decline of tree growth in Mediterranean sites might be induced by drought stress amplified by climate warming and did not affect junipers. We conclude that different but coexisting long‐living growth forms can respond differently to the same climate factor and that, even in temperature‐limited area, other drivers like the duration of snow cover might locally play a fundamental role on woody plants growth across Europe. &NA; Climate warming is expected to increase plant productivity and growth especially in temperature‐limited environments; however, vegetation dynamics considering concurrently both shrubs and trees are still not well explored. We investigated, with a dendroecological approach, the growth trends and climate sensitivity of Juniperus communis L. and coexisting trees to better understand their responses to recent climate in three contrasting biomes, Polar, Alpine and Mediterranean, across the European continent. Shrub and tree growth forms revealed divergent growth trends in all biomes, with juniper performing better than trees at Mediterranean than at Polar and Alpine sites. The post‐1980s decline of tree growth in Mediterranean sites might be induced by drought stress amplified by climate warming and did not affect junipers. This study emphasizes that other climatic drivers, as drought or snow cover, in addition to temperature could play a fundamental role in defining future woody plant growth under the pressure of climate changes. Figure. No caption available.
Russian Journal of Ecology | 2016
Pavel Moiseev; M. O. Bubnov; N. M. Devi; Z. Ya. Nagimov
Relationships between stem diameter and phytomass of trees and their parts (single- and multistemmed growth forms) have been studied at different altitudinal levels of the present-day upper treeline ecotone on the Iremel’ Massif, the Southern Urals. The time course of changes in the structure and phytomass of birch–spruce stands during the past centuries has been reconstructed. It is shown that the expansion of forests to the mountains in this period has occurred against the background of rise in summer and winter temperatures and increase in the amount of solid precipitation in the Southern Urals.
Russian Journal of Ecology | 2008
T. S. Babenko; Z. Ya. Nagimov; Pavel Moiseev
As estimated by the International Panel on ClimateChange (IPCC), the average temperature of the earth’ssurface has increased by 0.3–0.6 ° C over the past100 years and by 0.2–0.3 ° C over the past 40 years, withthe temperature rise being greater at high latitudes thanin the temperate zone or in the tropics (