Peter F. Pope

The European IFRS experiment: objectives, research challenges and some early evidence

This paper provides an academic perspective on the development of the EUs harmonisation project based on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), on the costs and benefits of IFRS adoption in Europe, and on the research challenges that arise. The paper reviews the accumulating academic evidence, emphasizing the effectiveness and transparency of the enforcement framework, and documenting the main lessons to be learned from the research programme on EU IFRS implementation conducted within the INTACCT network. Results on the consequences of IFRS adoption and the quality of implementation are far from uniform across Europe, and depend on factors reflecting preparer incentives and the effectiveness of local enforcement. The paper also outlines a possible alternative proposal for the organisation and development of enforcement activities in Europe.

Research and Development Activity and Expected Returns in the United Kingdom

Fama and French (1992) show that size and book-to-price dominate CAPM beta and other variables such as the price-earnings ratio and dividend yield in explaining the cross-section of US stock returns. Comparable evidence for the UK points to a book-to-price effect, but not a size effect (Chan and Chui, 1996; Strong and Xu, 1997). In this paper, our first contribution is to show that a measure of research and development (RD) helps explain cross-sectional variation in UK stock returns. Our cross-sectional results on the association between stock returns and RD are consistent with recent US evidence reported by Lev and Sougiannis (1996, 1999) and Chan, Lakonishok and Sougiannis (2001).Fama and French (1993, 1995, 1996) also show that a three-factor model captures a high proportion of the time series variation in portfolio returns, again for the US. Our second contribution is to show, for the UK, that a modification to the three-factor model to take account of RD activity can significantly enhance the explanatory power of the three-factor model. We show that, as a practical matter, estimated risk premia based on the modified three-factor model can differ considerably from risk premia estimated using the CAPM or the three-factor model. In particular, risk premia for industries in which few firms undertake RD activities tend to be over-estimated.

The characteristics of firms subject to adverse rulings by the Financial Reporting Review Panel

Abstract This study presents evidence on the characteristics of firms judged by the Financial Reporting Review Panel (FRRP) as having published defective financial statements. Relative to a pairwise-matched control sample, FRRP firms are associated with weak performance in the defect year. In contrast, their performance in the post-defect period is indistinguishable from that of the control sample, suggesting that rather than being perennial underachieves, FRRP firms are average performers suffering temporary performance difficulties. FRRP firms are also less likely to have a Big Five auditor. Weaker evidence is also presented that FRRP firms are less likely to have an audit committee and a high proportion of outside directors. In contrast, their remaining governance characteristics are largely indistinguishable from those of the control sample. Moreover, there is no evidence that public censure by the FRRP leads to a higher incidence of executive turnover in subsequent years.

Information, Prices and Efficiency in a Fixed-Odds Betting Market

This paper examines the efficiency of the Association Football betting market in the United Kingdom. The notable features of this market are that the odds are fixed some time before matches occur and differ between bookmaking firms. While there is some evidence of ex post inefficiency, there does not appear to be profitable betting strategies that could have been implemented ex ante during the sample period. Copyright 1989 by The London School of Economics and Political Science.

Stock index futures mispricing: profit opportunities or risk premia?

This paper reports empirical evidence on stock index futures pricing based on about four years of synchronous hourly data from the UK. Reported index values are based on firm quotes. Identified arbitrage opportunities are therefore actually exploitable and economically significant. The analysis controls for cash market settlement procedures. The results show that ex-ante trading rules would have generated attractive profits after transaction costs and after the risks of dividend uncertainties, marking to market and possible delays in execution are considered. The far contract and the near contract tend to be mispriced in the same direction. The mild tendency of futures to be overpriced in rising markets and underpriced in falling markets appears to be unimportant. Finally, significant positive relationships are observed between the absolute magnitude of mispricing and time to maturity and between mispricing and index option implied volatility.

The determinants of the UK Big Firm premium

Abstract Our study attempts to determine whether, and if so why, the large auditing firms are able to earn a premium on their audit work in the UK. We start by confirming the apparent existence of a Big Firm premium during the period 1985-2002. We examine industry specialisation, non-audit service fee and monopoly pricing explanations for the premium. The results of our tests of industry specialisation are mixed. There is little evidence that this premium is associated with industry specialisation when specialists are defined at the national level. Significant premia are observed if specialisation is defined at the city level, particularly if the auditor is the industry leader. However, when appropriate allowance is made for endogeneity. by modelling both audit and non-audit fees in a simultaneous equations framework, the Big Firm premium disappears. We find evidence to suggest that non-audit fees earned by auditors from their audit clients are positively related to the size of the audit fee and vice versa. Finally, when the sample is stratified by the size of audit client, we find no systematic evidence of anti-competitive pricing.

Earnings management and the distribution of earnings relative to targets: UK evidence

Abstract In this paper we provide new evidence on discontinuities in the distribution of reported earnings, using a large sample of UK firms. We examine the discontinuity phenomenon in the context of earnings management. We report that the empirical distribution of earnings before discretionary working capital accruals does not reflect the unusually high frequencies of small surpluses and unusually low frequencies of small deficits relative to targets found in the distribution of actual (reported) earnings, i.e. after discretionary working capital accruals. We find that discretionary working capital accruals have the effect of significantly increasing the frequencies of firms achieving earnings targets both overall and by small margins. Thus, we document an explicit link between working capital accruals-based earnings management and the discontinuities observed in the empirical distribution of earnings relative to targets. We also examine earnings management before and after the issuance of FRS 3 ‘Reporting Financial Performance’ and find evidence that FRS 3 altered earnings management strategies adopted by companies.

The effect of large audit firm mergers on audit pricing in the UK

Abstract This paper examines the effects on UK audit market concentration and pricing of mergers between the large audit firms and the demise of Andersen. Based on data over the period 1985–2002, it appears that mergers contributed to a rise in concentration ratios to levels that suggest concern about the potential for monopoly pricing. The high concentration ratios have not improved the level of price competition in the UK audit market. Our pooled models suggest that concentration ratios are associated with higher audit fees. The evidence suggests that the effects of mergers between big firms on brand name fee premium and on price competition vary depending on the particular circumstances. The brand name premium is strongest for the largest quartile of companies prior to the mergers. After the Big Six mergers, the premium increases for average‐sized companies but falls for the smallest and largest companies. Following the PricewaterhouseCoopers merger, the premium increases for below median‐sized clients but decreases for above‐median sized clients. For the Deloitte‐Andersen transaction, the premium falls for the smallest and largest companies but increases for those in the second quartile. Our results provide evidence that auditees are likely to pay higher fees if their auditor merges with a larger counterpart. We attribute merger‐related fee hikes to product differentiation, rather than anti‐competitive pricing.

Conservative accounting and linear information valuation models

Prior research using the residual income valuation model and linear information models has generally found that estimates of firm value are negatively biased. We argue that this could result from the way in which accounting conservatism effects are reflected in such models. We build on the conservative accounting model of Feltham and Ohlson (1995) and the Dechow, Hutton and Sloan (1999) (DHS) methodology to propose a valuation model that includes a conservatism-correction term, based on the properties of past realizations of residual income and other information. Other information is measured using analyst-forecast-based predictions of residual income. We use data comparable to the DHS sample to compare the bias and inaccuracy of value estimates from our model and from models similar to those used by DHS and Myers (1999). Valuation biases are substantially less negative for our model, but valuation inaccuracy is not markedly reduced.

How do Individual Investors React to Global IFRS Adoption

We examine the impact of global IFRS adoption on cross-border equity investments by individual investors. Our proxy for cross-border equity investments is trading volume in the Open Market at Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The Open Market is a segment designed for German individual investors to trade a large selection of foreign stocks. Using a sample of 5,637 firms from 31 countries around the world, we find that stocks experience a significant increase in Open Market trading volume following mandatory adoption of IFRS. This effect is more pronounced for attention-grabbing stocks (e.g., stocks experiencing an increase in media coverage following IFRS adoption). Our results suggest that global IFRS adoption enhances cross-border equity investments by individual investors. However, this effect does not materialize equally across stocks due individual investors’ limited attention.