Peter Hovind

Predictors for the development of microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria in patients with type 1 diabetes: inception cohort study

Abstract ObjectiveTo evaluate baseline predictors for the development of persistent microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria prospectively in patients with type 1 diabetes. DesignProspective observational study of an inception cohort. SettingOutpatient diabetic clinic in a tertiary referral centre, Gentofte, Denmark. Participants286 patients (216 adults) newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes consecutively admitted to the clinic between 1 September 1979 and 31 August 1984. Main outcome measuresPersistent microalbuminuria and persistent macroalbuminuria. ResultsDuring the median follow up of 18.0 years (range 1.0-21.5 years), total of 4706 patient years of follow up, 79 of 277 (29%) patients developed persistent microalbuminuria. 27 of 79 progressed further to persistent macroalbuminuria. The cumulative incidence of persistent microalbuminuria and persistent macroalbuminuria was 33.6% (95% confidence interval 27.2% to 40.0%) and 14.6% (8.9% to 20.3%), respectively. Significant predictors for the development of persistent microalbuminuria were a 10-fold increase in urinary albumin excretion rate (relative risk 3.78, 1.57 to 9.13), being male (2.41, 1.43 to 4.06), a 10 mm Hg increase in mean arterial blood pressure (1.38, 1.20 to 1.57), a 1% increase in haemoglobin A1c(1.18, 1.04 to 1.32), and a 1 cm increase in height (0.96, 0.95 to 0.98). 28 patients with microalbuminuria (35%) regressed to normoalbuminuria either transiently (n = 15) or permanently (n = 13). ConclusionsAround one third of patients newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes develop persistent microalbuminuria within the first 20 years of diabetes. Several potentially modifiable risk factors predict the development of persistent microalbuminaria and persistent macroalbuminuria.

Urinary Proteomics for Early Diagnosis in Diabetic Nephropathy

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is a progressive kidney disease, a well-known complication of long-standing diabetes. DN is the most frequent reason for dialysis in many Western countries. Early detection may enable development of specific drugs and early initiation of therapy, thereby postponing/preventing the need for renal replacement therapy. We evaluated urinary proteome analysis as a tool for prediction of DN. Capillary electrophoresis–coupled mass spectrometry was used to profile the low–molecular weight proteome in urine. We examined urine samples from a longitudinal cohort of type 1 and 2 diabetic patients (n = 35) using a previously generated chronic kidney disease (CKD) biomarker classifier to assess peptides of collected urines for signs of DN. The application of this classifier to samples of normoalbuminuric subjects up to 5 years prior to development of macroalbuminuria enabled early detection of subsequent progression to macroalbuminuria (area under the curve [AUC] 0.93) compared with urinary albumin routinely used to determine the diagnosis (AUC 0.67). Statistical analysis of each urinary CKD biomarker depicted its regulation with respect to diagnosis of DN over time. Collagen fragments were prominent biomarkers 3–5 years before onset of macroalbuminuria. Before albumin excretion starts to increase, there is a decrease in collagen fragments. Urinary proteomics enables noninvasive assessment of DN risk at an early stage via determination of specific collagen fragments.

Serum uric acid as a predictor for development of diabetic nephropathy in type 1 diabetes – an inception cohort study

OBJECTIVE Experimental and clinical studies have suggested that uric acid may contribute to the development of hypertension and kidney disease. Whether uric acid has a causal role in the development of diabetic nephropathy is not known. The objective of the present study is to evaluate uric acid as a predictor of persistent micro- and macroalbuminuria. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS This prospective observational follow-up study consisted of an inception cohort of 277 patients followed from onset of type 1 diabetes. Of these, 270 patients had blood samples taken at baseline. In seven cases, uric acid could not be determined; therefore, 263 patients (156 men) were available for analysis. Uric acid was measured 3 years after onset of diabetes and before any patient developed microalbuminuria. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 18.1 years (range 1.0–21.8), 23 of 263 patients developed persistent macroalbuminuria (urinary albumin excretion rate >300 mg/24 h in at least two of three consecutive samples). In patients with uric acid levels in the highest quartile (>249 μmol/l), the cumulative incidence of persistent macroalbumnuria was 22.3% (95% CI 10.3–34.3) compared with 9.5% (3.8–15.2) in patients with uric acid in the three lower quartiles (log-rank test, P = 0.006). In a Cox proportional hazards model with sex and age as fixed covariates, uric acid was associated with subsequent development of persistent macroalbuminuria (hazard ratio 2.37 [95% CI 1.04–5.37] per 100 μmol/l increase in uric acid level; P = 0.04). Adjustment for confounders did not change the estimate significantly. CONCLUSIONS Uric acid level soon after onset of type 1 diabetes is independently associated with risk for later development of diabetic nephropathy.

Genetic Variation in the Renin-Angiotensin System and Progression of Diabetic Nephropathy

The impact of polymorphisms in the genes coding for angiotensinogen (M235T), ACE (ID), and angiotensin II type 1 receptor (A(1166)-->C) on decline in GFR and doubling of s-creatinine or development of ESRD in patients with type 1 diabetes and diabetic nephropathy (DN) was tested. From 1985, all patients (n = 169) who had established diabetic nephropathy and were treated with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition (ACE-I) were identified consecutively at Steno Diabetes Center. Patients were followed for a median of 6 yr (range, 3 to 15 yr), with nine (range, three to 29) measurements of GFR ((51)Cr-EDTA). In a Cox proportional hazards model corrected for other risk factors, the D allele (ACE/ID) was associated with time to doubling of s-creatinine/ESRD (rate ratio, 1.81 per allele; 95% confidence interval, 1.09 to 3.03; P = 0.02). A new interaction hypothesis was generated demonstrating that the following variables were associated with accelerated decline in GFR: albuminuria (estimate, 2.12 ml/min per yr per 10-fold increase in albuminuria; P < 0.001), mean BP (estimate, 0.88 ml/min per yr per 10 mmHg; P = 0.02), hemoglobin A(1c) (estimate, 0.54 min/min per yr per 1%; P = 0.02), and number of M (M235T)/D (ID)/A (A(1166)-->C) alleles (estimate, 0.45 ml/min per yr per allele; P = 0.049). Number of M/D/A alleles also influenced time to doubling of s-creatinine or ESRD. In this study of patients with type 1 diabetes, the D allele of the ACE/ID polymorphism in addition to nongenetic risk factors independently accelerated progression of DN during ACE-I. Interaction between polymorphisms in the renin-angiotensin system also influenced the loss of kidney function. This new genetic interaction model needs to be confirmed in future studies.

Evolving strategies for renoprotection: diabetic nephropathy.

A cumulative incidence of diabetic nephropathy of 25-40% has been documented after duration of diabetes of at least 25 years in both type 1 and type 2 diabetic patients. Diabetic nephropathy has become the leading cause (25-44%) of end-stage renal failure in Europe, the United States and Japan. Until the early 1980s, no renoprotective treatment was available for use in diabetic nephropathy. Death occurred on average 5-7 years after the onset of persistent proteinuria. It should be recalled that development of treatment modalities occurred in reverse order: in the early 1980s, antihypertensive treatment of diabetic nephropathy was introduced, and in the early 1990s, primary and secondary prevention with improved glycaemic control and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition. The two main treatment strategies for primary prevention of diabetic nephropathy are improved glycaemic control and blood pressure lowering, particularly using drugs such as angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. Megatrials and meta-analyses have clearly demonstrated the beneficial effect of both the above-mentioned treatment modalities. Secondary prevention, that is, treatment modalities applied to diabetic patients with high risk of development of diabetic nephropathy (e.g. those with microalbuminuria) has been documented, applying angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in both type 1 and type 2 diabetic patients. Furthermore, improved metabolic control reduces the risk of progression. In special cases (such as pancreas transplantation) even reversal of diabetic glomerular lesions has been documented. Antihypertensive treatment of patients with overt nephropathy induces a reduction in albuminuria, a reduction in the rate of decline of glomerular filtration rate, delays development of end-stage renal failure and improves survival. Many potential treatment modalities in preventing and treating diabetic nephropathy are presently being evaluated.

Urinary Liver-Type Fatty Acid-Binding Protein Predicts Progression to Nephropathy in Type 1 Diabetic Patients

OBJECTIVE Urinary liver-type fatty acid-binding protein (u-LFABP) is a marker of tubulointerstitial inflammation and has been shown to be increased in patients with type 1 diabetes and is further increased in patients who progress to micro- and macroalbuminuria. Our aim was to evaluate u-LFABP as a predictor of progression to micro- and macroalbuminuria in type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS From an inception cohort of 277 patients, u-LFABP, adjusted for urinary creatinine (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay), was measured in 24-h urine samples from 165 normoalbuminuric patients 9.6 ± 3.5 (mean ±SD) years after onset of type 1 diabetes. The outcome measured was development of persistent micro- or macroalbuminuria or death. RESULTS Patients were followed for a median of 18 (range 1–19) years; 39 progressed to microalbuminuria, 8 of those progressed further to macroalbuminuria, and 24 died. In a Cox regression model, baseline log u-LFABP levels predicted the development of microalbuminuria, adjusted for known risk factors (sex, age, A1C, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, albumin excretion rate, serum creatinine, and smoking) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.3 [95% CI 1.1–4.6]) and log u-LFABP predicted mortality (adjusted HR 3.0 [1.3–7.0]). u-LFABP (above versus below the median) predicted the development of macroalbuminuria (adjusted HR 2.6 [1.2–5.4]). As a continuous variable, u-LFABP tended to predict macroalbuminuria (HR 1.9, P = 0.2), but numbers were small. CONCLUSIONS High levels of the tubular inflammation marker u-LFABP predict the initiation and progression to diabetic nephropathy and all-cause mortality, independent of urinary albumin excretion rate and other established risk factors.

Vitamin D Levels, Microvascular Complications, and Mortality in Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE To evaluate vitamin D as a predictor of all-cause mortality, progression from normoalbuminuria to micro- or macroalbuminuria, and the development of background or proliferative retinopathy in patients with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS A prospective observational follow-up study in which an inception cohort of type 1 diabetic patients was followed from onset of diabetes diagnosed between 1979 and 1984. Plasma vitamin D [25(OH)D3] levels were determined by high performance liquid chromatography/tandem mass spectrometry in 227 patients before the patients developed microalbuminuria. Values equal to or below the 10% percentile (15.5 nmol/L) were considered severe vitamin D deficiency. RESULTS Median (range) vitamin D was 44.6 (1.7–161.7) nmol/L. Vitamin D level was not associated with age, sex, urinary albumin excretion rate (UAER), or blood pressure. During follow-up, 44 (18%) patients died. In a Cox proportional hazards model, the hazard ratio for mortality in subjects with severe vitamin D deficiency was 2.7 (1.1–6.7), P = 0.03, after adjustment for UAER, HbA1c, and conventional cardiovascular risk factors (age, sex, blood pressure, cholesterol, smoking). Of the 220 patients, 81 (37%) developed microalbuminuria and 27 (12%) of these progressed to macroalbuminuria. Furthermore, 192 (87%) patients developed background retinopathy, whereas 34 (15%) progressed to proliferative retinopathy. Severe vitamin D deficiency at baseline did not predict the development of these microvascular complications. CONCLUSIONS In patients with type 1 diabetes, severe vitamin D deficiency independently predicts all-cause mortality but not development of microvascular complications in the eye and kidney. Whether vitamin D substitution in type 1 diabetic patients can improve the prognosis remains to be investigated.

Irbesartan Treatment Reduces Biomarkers of Inflammatory Activity in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Microalbuminuria An IRMA 2 Substudy

The impact of irbesartan treatment on biomarkers of low-grade inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, growth factors, and advanced glycation end products (AGEs) during the Irbesartan in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Microalbuminuria (IRMA 2) study was evaluated. IRMA 2 was a 2-year multicenter, randomized, double-blind trial in patients comparing irbesartan (150 or 300 mg once daily) versus placebo. The primary end point was onset of overt nephropathy. A subgroup (n = 269, 68%) was analyzed for biomarkers at baseline and after 1 and 2 years. High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin (IL)-6, fibrinogen, adhesion molecules, transforming growth factor-β, and AGE peptides were assessed. Irbesartan treatment yielded significant changes in hs-CRP (based on generalized estimating equation regression coefficient) with a 5.4% decrease per year versus a 10% increase per year in the placebo group (P < 0.001). Fibrinogen decreased 0.059 g/l per year from baseline versus placebo’s 0.059 g/l increase per year (P = 0.027). IL-6 showed a 1.8% increase per year compared with placebo’s 6.5% increase per year (P = 0.005). Changes in IL-6 were associated with changes in albumin excretion (P = 0.04). There was no treatment effect on the other biomarkers. Irbesartan (300 mg once daily) reduces low-grade inflammation in this high-risk population, and this may reduce the risk of micro- and macrovascular disease.

Effect of Adjunct Metformin Treatment in Patients with Type-1 Diabetes and Persistent Inadequate Glycaemic Control. A Randomized Study

Background Despite intensive insulin treatment, many patients with type-1 diabetes (T1DM) have longstanding inadequate glycaemic control. Metformin is an oral hypoglycaemic agent that improves insulin action in patients with type-2 diabetes. We investigated the effect of a one-year treatment with metformin versus placebo in patients with T1DM and persistent poor glycaemic control. Methodology/Principal Findings One hundred patients with T1DM, preserved hypoglycaemic awareness and HaemoglobinA1c (HbA1c) ≥8.5% during the year before enrolment entered a one-month run-in on placebo treatment. Thereafter, patients were randomized (baseline) to treatment with either metformin (1 g twice daily) or placebo for 12 months (double-masked). Patients continued ongoing insulin therapy and their usual outpatient clinical care. The primary outcome measure was change in HbA1c after one year of treatment. At enrolment, mean (standard deviation) HbA1c was 9.48% (0.99) for the metformin group (n = 49) and 9.60% (0.86) for the placebo group (n = 51). Mean (95% confidence interval) baseline-adjusted differences after 12 months with metformin (n = 48) versus placebo (n = 50) were: HbA1c, 0.13% (−0.19; 0.44), p = 0.422; Total daily insulin dose, −5.7 U/day (−8.6; −2.9), p<0.001; body weight, −1.74 kg (−3.32; −0.17), p = 0.030. Minor and overall major hypoglycaemia was not significantly different between treatments. Treatments were well tolerated. Conclusions/Significance In patients with poorly controlled T1DM, adjunct metformin therapy did not provide any improvement of glycaemic control after one year. Nevertheless, adjunct metformin treatment was associated with sustained reductions of insulin dose and body weight. Further investigations into the potential cardiovascular-protective effects of metformin therapy in patients with T1DM are warranted. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00118937

Endothelial dysfunction and inflammation predict development of diabetic nephropathy in the Irbesartan in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Microalbuminuria (IRMA 2) study

Objective. To evaluate risk factors for progression from persistent microalbuminuria to diabetic nephropathy in the Irbesartan in Patients with Type 2 diabetes and Microalbuminuria (IRMA 2) study, including biomarkers of endothelial dysfunction, chronic low‐grade inflammation, growth factors and advanced glycation end products (AGE peptides). Methods. IRMA 2 was a 2‐year multicentre, randomized, double‐blind trial comparing irbesartan (150 and 300 mg once daily) versus placebo. The primary end‐point was time to onset of diabetic nephropathy. Samples from a subgroup from the placebo and the 300 mg irbesartan treatment group were used in this post‐hoc analysis (n = 269, 68 %). Nine biomarkers were analysed: high sensitivity C‐reactive protein (hs‐CRP), interleukin 6 (IL‐6), fibrinogen, von Willebrand Factor (vWf), soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule‐1 (sVCAM‐1), soluble intercellular cell adhesion molecule‐1 (sICAM‐1), sE‐selectin, transforming growth factor‐beta (TGF‐β) and AGE peptides. Mean standard deviation scores (Z‐scores) were used to combine biomarker information. Results. In a Cox enter model with combined Z‐scores for biomarkers of endothelial dysfunction (vWf, sVCAM‐1, sICAM‐1, sE‐selectin) and for biomarkers of inflammation (hs‐CRP, IL‐6, fibrinogen), endothelial dysfunction (hazard ratio for a 28 % increase ( = 1 SD) in Z‐score) 3.20 (1.56 to 6.56), p = 0.001) and UAER (HR for a 75 % increase ( = 1 SD) in UAER) 2.61 (1.30 to 5.23), p = 0.007) were found as independent predictors. Independently, IL‐6 and vWf predicted the end‐point. In addition, endothelial Z‐score was associated with progression of albuminuria (p = 0.038). Conclusion. Endothelial dysfunction and possibly inflammation are novel predictors of progression to diabetic nephropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes and microalbuminuria independently of traditional risk factors. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00317915.