Pierfederico Torchio

Serological screening of coeliac disease: choosing the optimal procedure according to various prevalence values.

The aim of this study was to select the best approach for screening coeliac disease patients among populations with different grades of disease prevalence. The diagnostic performance was assessed of class A and G antigliadin antibodies and class A antiendomysium antibodies in 93 consecutive outpatients with suspected malabsorption, 44 of whom (47%) had coeliac disease according to duodenal histological tests. Class G antigliadin antibodies provided the worst diagnostic values, whereas a high diagnostic validity was found for the other two tests. The positive predictive value corrected for the disease prevalence expected in coeliac disease relatives (5%) and the general population (0.2%) fell to 30% and < 2% respectively for class A antigliadin antibodies, whereas it remained 100% for antiendomysium antibodies in both situations, providing an optimal value for their use as a screening test and as a valid alternative to duodenal biopsy when this is not feasible. The high cost of anti-endomysium antibodies and the invasive nature of duodenal biopsy prevent them being used widely as screening procedures. A cost effective two step approach was simulated measuring class A antigliadin antibodies in all subjects of the target population (first step), and performing a confirmation test (antiendomysium antibodies or duodenal biopsy) only in subjects positive for antigliadin antibodies. The results show that such a procedure should be recommended only for subjects with an expected low disease prevalence--that is, 5% for coeliac disease relatives and 0.2% for the general population--as the positive predictive value was always 100% with an acceptable false negative rate (6% and 11% respectively), irrespective of which of the two confirmation tests was used. This approach avoids the use of the confirmation test in 63% and 89% of subjects respectively for the two levels of prevalence, resulting in a considerable reduction of the cost. Patients seen for suspected malabsorption with an expected high prevalence of coeliac disease should not have such a serological screening procedure. In conclusion, antigliadin antibodies are useful to screen for asymptomatic coeliac disease in non-hospital communities if antiendomysium anti-bodies are used as a confirmation test: the latter is reasonable valid alternative to duodenal biopsy.

Mortality study on a cohort of Italian licensed pesticide users

This study describes the mortality experience in a cohort of 23,401 farmers, residing in southern Piedmont, Italy, and licensed to use pesticides. From 1970 to 1986 the cohort included 340,794 person-years and 2683 deaths were observed. A strong attenuation of the death risk was found due to the healthy worker effect (seen as an active role in the application for the license by the members of the cohort) and due to the limited comparability of the cohort with respect to the reference population. The standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were remarkably < 100 for all causes (SMR = 59; 95% confidence interval = 57-61) and for all tumors (SMR = 60; 95% CI 55-64), but they increased with the increasing duration of the follow-up. A risk increase was observed with respect to melanomas and eye tumors in the entire cohort and lymphoma and tumors of the connective tissue in the subcohort of subjects living in villages with mainly arable land.

AMOUNT AND DURATION OF ALCOHOL INTAKE AS RISK FACTORS OF SYMPTOMATIC LIVER CIRRHOSIS: A CASE-CONTROL STUDY

We carried out a hospital based case-control study involving 320 patients with symptomatic liver cirrhosis (LC) and 320 pair-matched control individuals, in order to estimate the dose-response relationship between both the daily amount and the duration of alcohol intake and the risk of LC. Lifetime alcohol consumption was measured by a standardized and reproducible questionnaire, and expressed as lifetime daily alcohol intake (LDAI) and duration of alcohol consumption (DAC). The odds ratio (OR) for LC was estimated by the conditional logistic regression. It increased from 1.0 for lifetime abstainers to 4.2 for LDAI of 225 g or more. Comparing durations of alcohol consumption of < or = 10 and > or = 30 years in the model, the ORs consistently decreased for all the LDAI categories: from 4.1 to 0.6 in the 25-50 g category; from 15.1 to 0.9 in the 75-100 g category; from 67.2 to 1.5 in the 125 g or more category. Our results suggest that the dose-dependent relationship between alcohol and LC may be mediated by the degree of individual susceptibility to the detrimental effect of alcohol to the liver.

A strong negative association between alcohol consumption and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients - A case-control study

We carried out a hospital-based, case-control study to assess the association of both the Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection and the lifetime daily alcohol intake with the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC). Cases were 62 consecutive inpatients of a Gastroenterology Division in whom a first diagnosis of HCC superimposed on LC was made. Two control groups were used: 310 patients without liver disease, matched 1:5 with cases and randomly selected from inpatients of the same hospital, and 97 consecutive asymptomatic inpatients in whom the first diagnosis of LC was made. Alcohol intake was quantified in all subjects by a standardized questionnaire. HBV infection was associated with HCC development in cirrhotics (odds ratio =6.8; 95% confidence interval =1.4−32.3), whereas we observed a trend towards a decreased HCC risk at increased alcohol intake values (odds ratio from 1 for lifetime abstainers to 0.2 for drinkers of 175 g/day or more). Our results suggest that alcohol intake is not a direct determinant of HCC, but its role is mediated by LC. Cirrhotics with high alcohol intake do not usually survive long enough to develop HCC.

Randomized trial of filgrastim vs. sequential filgrastim and molgramostim after dose-intensified carboplatin, cyclophosphamide, and etoposide: A phase I pilot study

This phase I randomized study was designed in order to verify if the sequential administration of filgrastim, a granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF), and molgramostim, a granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF), was superior to filgrastim alone in improving tolerance of dose-intensified carboplatin (CBDCA), cyclophosphamide (CTX), and etoposide (VP-16). A group of 10 heavily pretreated patients with stage IV disease and no therapeutic option were enrolled into the study. They received two courses of the same chemotherapy with CTX and VP-16 at doses of 1,500 mg/m2 and 400 mg/m2, respectively. CBDCA doses were escalated from 450 to 600 mg/m2. After chemotherapy each patient was allocated randomly to receive either 14 days of G-CSF (arm A) or 7 days of G-CSF followed by 7 days of GM-CSF (arm B). Crossover in the second chemotherapy course was accomplished. Both G-CSF and GM-CSF were given 5 microg/kg/day, subcutaneously. Twenty chemotherapy courses are evaluable, 10 in each arm. Absolute neutrophil count < 1 x 10(3)/microl was observed for 54 days in arm A vs. 68 days in arm B (P < 0.02); platelet (PLT) count < 20 x 10(3)/microl, 57 days vs. 30 days (P < 0.01); days of hospitalization 35 vs. 16 (P < 0.38); PLT transfusion, 107 vs. 58 (P < 0.01); packed red blood cell unit transfusions, 15 vs. 5 (P < 0.13). Seven patients had responses. These data indicate that dose-intensified chemotherapy may be delivered without bone marrow or peripheral stem cell support, with acceptable toxicity, and that, while G-CSF alone shortens days of neutropenia, the combination of the two cytokines shortens the time of thrombocytopenia and decreases the number of PLT transfusions.