Piero Luigi Almasio

Sustained virological response to interferon-α is associated with improved outcome in HCV-related cirrhosis: A retrospective study†‡

The effect of achieving a sustained virological response (SVR) following interferon‐α (IFNα) treatment on the clinical outcomes of patients with HCV‐related cirrhosis is unknown. In an attempt to assess the risk of liver‐related complications, HCC and liver‐related mortality in patients with cirrhosis according to the response to IFNα treatment, a retrospective database was developed including all consecutive patients with HCV‐related, histologically proven cirrhosis treated with IFNα monotherapy between January 1992 and December 1997. SVR was an undetectable serum HCV‐RNA by PCR 24 weeks after IFNα discontinuation. HCC was assessed by ultrasound every 6 months. Independent predictors of all outcomes were assessed by Cox regression analysis. Of 920 patients, 124 (13.5%) were classified as achieving a SVR. During a mean follow‐up of 96.1 months (range: 6‐167) the incidence rates per 100 person‐years of liver‐related complications, HCC and liver‐related death were 0, 0.66, and 0.19 among SVR and 1.88, 2.10, and 1.44 among non‐SVR (P < 0.001 by log‐rank test). Multivariate analyses found that non‐SVR was associated with a higher risk of liver‐related complications (hazard ratio, HR, not applicable), HCC (HR 2.59; 95% CI 1.13‐5.97) and liver‐related mortality (HR 6.97; 95% CI 1.71‐28.42) as compared to SVR. Conclusion: Thus, in patients with HCV‐related, histologically proven cirrhosis, achievement of a SVR after IFNα therapy was associated with a reduction of liver‐related mortality lowering both the risk of complications and HCC development. Irrespective of SVR achievement, all patients should continue surveillance because the risk of occurrence of HCC was not entirely avoided. (HEPATOLOGY 2007;45:579–587.)

Genome-wide meta-analyses identify three loci associated with primary biliary cirrhosis

A genome-wide association screen for primary biliary cirrhosis risk alleles was performed in an Italian cohort. The results from the Italian cohort replicated IL12A and IL12RB associations, and a combined meta-analysis using a Canadian dataset identified newly associated loci at SPIB (P = 7.9 × 10−11, odds ratio (OR) = 1.46), IRF5-TNPO3 (P = 2.8 × 10−10, OR = 1.63) and 17q12-21 (P = 1.7 × 10−10, OR = 1.38).

Survival and prognostic factors in 366 patients with compensated cirrhosis type B: a multicenter study

A multicenter longitudinal study was performed to assess the survival of hepatitis B surface antigen positive compensated cirrhosis, primarily in relation to hepatitis B virus replication and hepatitis delta virus infection, and to construct a prognostic index based on entry characteristics. This cohort study involved nine university medical centers in Europe. Three hundred and sixty-six Caucasian HBsAg positive patients with cirrhosis who had never had clinical manifestations of hepatic decompensation were enrolled and followed for a mean period of 72 months (6 to 202 months). Inclusion criteria were biopsy-proven cirrhosis, information on serum hepatitis B e antigen and antibody to hepatitis D virus at the time of diagnosis and absence of complications of cirrhosis. At entry 35% of the patients were HBeAg positive, 48% of the patients tested were HBV-DNA positive and 20% anti-HDV positive. Death occurred in 84 (23%) patients, mainly due to liver failure (45 cases) or hepatocellular carcinoma (23 cases). The cumulative probability of survival was 84% and 68% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Coxs regression analysis identified six variables that independently correlated with survival: age, albumin, platelets, splenomegaly, bilirubin and HBeAg positivity at time of diagnosis. According to the contribution of each of these factors to the final model, a prognostic index was constructed that allows calculation of the estimated survival probability. No difference in survival of hepatitis D virus infected and uninfected patients was observed. Termination of hepatitis B virus replication and/or biochemical remission during follow up correlated with a highly significant better survival. These data show that in compensated cirrhosis B, hepatitis B virus replication, age and indirect indicators of poor hepatic reserve and established portal hypertension significantly worsen the clinical course of the disease, whereas hepatitis D virus infection does not influence the prognosis. The highly significant improvement in life expectancy following cessation of hepatitis B virus replication and biochemical remission favors antiviral therapy in those patients with a guarded prognosis, as estimated by a prognostic index.

Sustained virologic response prevents the development of esophageal varices in compensated, Child-Pugh class A hepatitis C virus–induced cirrhosis. A 12-year prospective follow-up study†

The incidence of de novo development of esophageal varices (EV) in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis has been determined by few studies in the short term and never in the long term. The aims of the present study were to determine the incidence and the risk factors associated with the development of EV and to assess whether antiviral treatment and achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR) may prevent de novo EV development in patients with HCV‐induced cirrhosis. We studied 218 patients with compensated EV‐free, HCV‐induced cirrhosis consecutively enrolled between 1989 and 1992 at three referral centers in Milan, Italy. Endoscopic surveillance was performed at 3‐year intervals according to international guidelines. SVR was defined as undetectable serum HCV‐RNA 24 weeks after treatment discontinuation. During a median follow‐up of 11.4 years, 149/218 (68%) patients received antiviral treatment and 34 (22.8%) achieved SVR. None of the SVR patients developed EV compared with 22 (31.8%) of the 69 untreated subjects (P < 0.0001) and 45 (39.1%) of the 115 non‐SVR patients (P < 0.0001). On multivariate analysis, HCV genotype 1b (hazard ratio [HR] 2.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17‐4.90) and baseline model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) score (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.07‐1.35 for 1 point increase) were independent predictors of EV. Conclusion: In the long term, the achievement of SVR prevents the development of EV in patients with compensated HCV‐induced cirrhosis. Therefore, in these patients, endoscopic surveillance can be safely delayed or avoided. Genotype 1b infection and MELD score identify the subset of patients at higher risk of EV development who need tailored endoscopic surveillance. Hepatology 2010

Predicting Mortality Risk in Patients With Compensated HCV-Induced Cirrhosis: A Long-Term Prospective Study

OBJECTIVES:The identification of prognostic factors associated with mortality is crucial in any clinical setting.METHODS:We enrolled in a prospective study 352 patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced cirrhosis, consecutively observed between 1989 and 1992. At entry, patients underwent upper endoscopy to detect esophageal varices, and were then surveilled by serial clinical and ultrasonographic examination. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was calculated with information collected at enrollment. Baseline predictors and intercurrent events associated with mortality were assessed using the Cox regression model.RESULTS:During a median follow-up of 14.4 years, 194 subjects received a single course of interferon monotherapy, 131 patients developed decompensation (ascites, bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy), 109 patients had hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), 9 had liver transplant, and 158 died. Esophageal varices were associated with development of decompensation (hazard ratio (HR), 2.09; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.33–3.30) and liver-related death (HR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.41–3.66). A MELD score of 10 predicted overall mortality (HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.50–3.09). Overall survival of patients with MELD ≤10 was 80% at 10 years. HCC occurrence increased the risk of decompensation fivefold (HR, 5.52; 95% CI, 3.77–8.09). Hepatic and overall mortality hazard ratios were 8.62 (95% CI, 5.57–13.3) and 3.80 (95% CI, 2.67–5.42), respectively, for patients who developed HCC, and 16.9 (95% CI, 9.97–28.6) and 7.08 (95% CI, 4.88–10.2) for those who experienced decompensation.CONCLUSIONS:In patients with compensated HCV-induced cirrhosis, the presence of esophageal varices at baseline predicted decompensation and mortality. The development of HCC during follow-up strongly hastens the occurrence of decompensation, which is the main determinant of death. Patients with a MELD score ≤10 at study entry had a prolonged life expectancy.

Management of hepatitis C virus genotype 4: Recommendations of An International Expert Panel

HCV has been classified into no fewer than six major genotypes and a series of subtypes. Each HCV genotype is unique with respect to its nucleotide sequence, geographic distribution, and response to therapy. Genotypes 1, 2, and 3 are common throughout North America and Europe. HCV genotype 4 (HCV-4) is common in the Middle East and in Africa, where it is responsible for more than 80% of HCV infections. It has recently spread to several European countries. HCV-4 is considered a major cause of chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation in these regions. Although HCV-4 is the cause of approximately 20% of the 170 million cases of chronic hepatitis C in the world, it has not been the subject of widespread research. Therefore, this document, drafted by a panel of international experts, aimed to review current knowledge on the epidemiology, natural history, clinical, histological features, and treatment of HCV-4 infections.

Human leukocyte antigen polymorphisms in Italian primary biliary cirrhosis: a multicenter study of 664 patients and 1992 healthy controls

Genetic factors are critical in determining susceptibility to primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC), but there has not been a clear association with human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genes. We performed a multicenter case‐control study and analyzed HLA class II DRB1 associations using a large cohort of 664 well‐defined cases of PBC and 1992 controls of Italian ancestry. Importantly, healthy controls were rigorously matched not only by age and sex, but also for the geographical origin of the proband four grandparents (Northern, Central, and Southern Italy). After correction for multiple testing, DRB1*08 [odds ratio (OR), 3.3; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.4‐4.5] and DRB1*02 (OR 0.9; 95% CI 0.8‐1.2) were significantly associated with PBC, whereas alleles DRB1*11 (OR 0.4; 95% CI 0.3‐0.4) and DRB1*13 (OR 0.7; 95% CI 0.6‐0.9) were protective. When subjects were stratified according to their grandparental geographical origin, only the associations with DRB1*08 and DRB1*11 were common to all three areas. Associated DRB1 alleles were found only in a minority of patients, whereas an additive genetic model is supported by the gene dosage effect for DRB1*11 allele and the interaction of DRB1*11,*13, and *08. Lastly, no significant associations were detected between specific DRB1 alleles and relevant clinical features represented by the presence of cirrhosis or serum autoantibodies. In conclusion, we confirm the role for HLA to determine PBC susceptibility and suggest that the effect of HLA is limited to patient subgroups. We suggest that a large whole‐genome approach is required to identify further genetic elements contributing to the loss of tolerance in this disease. (HEPATOLOGY 2008;48:1906‐1912.)

IL-10 and TNF-α polymorphisms and the recovery from HCV infection

Abstract Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection becomes chronic in about 85% of infected individuals, whereas only 15% of infected people clear spontaneously the virus. It is conceivable that the host immunogenetic background influences the course of infection in term of recovery. Thus, in this study we have evaluated the effect of functionally relevant polymorphisms at tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα, i.e., 2 biallelic polymorphisms at nt -863 and nt-308 of the promoter) and interleukin-10 (IL-10) loci (i.e., 1 biallelic polymorphism at nt -1082 of the promoter), on the clearance of HCV infection. To this purpose, we compared 18 Sicilian patients who had spontaneously recovered from previous HCV infection with 42 Sicilian patients with current HCV infection and 135 Sicilian healthy patients. The results demonstrate a decreased frequency of the -863CC TNF-α promoter genotype (involved in high production of this pro-inflammatory cytokine) and an increased frequency of the -1082GG IL-10 promoter genotype (involved in high production of this anti-inflammatory cytokine) in patients recovered from HCV infection. The evaluation of combined TNF-α and IL-10 genotypes revealed a significant increase of the “anti-inflammatory genotype” (low-TNF/high-IL-10 producers) in resolved HCV infection group compared with patients with persistent HCV infection. On the whole, our findings suggest that a genetically determined control of the HCV-induced inflammatory response may play a role in the resolution of HCV infection.

Smoking as a cofactor for causation of chronic pancreatitis: a meta-analysis.

Objectives: To assess the evidence for tobacco smoking as a risk factor for the causation of chronic pancreatitis. Methods: We performed a meta-analysis with random-effects models to estimate pooled relative risks (RRs) of chronic pancreatitis for current, former, and ever smokers, in comparison to never smokers. We also performed dose-response, heterogeneity, publication bias, and sensitivity analyses. Results: Ten case-control studies and 2 cohort studies that evaluated, overall, 1705 patients with chronic pancreatitis satisfied the inclusion criteria. When contrasted to never smokers, the pooled risk estimates for current smokers was 2.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8-4.2) overall and 2.5 (95% CI, 1.3-4.6) when data were adjusted for alcohol consumption. A dose-response effect of tobacco use on the risk was ascertained: the RR for subjects smoking less than 1 pack per day was 2.4 (95% CI, 0.9-6.6) and increased to 3.3 (95% CI, 1.4-7.9) in those smoking 1 or more packs per day. The risk diminished significantly after smoking cessation, as the RR estimate for former smokers dropped to a value of 1.4 (95% CI, 1.1-1.9). Conclusions: Tobacco smoking may enhance the risk of developing chronic pancreatitis. Recommendation for smoking cessation, besides alcohol abstinence, should be incorporated in the management of patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Long-term course of interferon-treated chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS To evaluate whether sustained response to a-interferon improves clinical outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C. METHODS A cohort of 410 consecutive patients (65% with chronic hepatitis, 35% with cirrhosis) were treated with a-interferon in two trials (mean follow-up 62.1 months, range 7-109 months). All were serum HCV RNA positive before therapy and received first 10 then 5 million units of a-2b or a-nl interferon three times weekly for 6 to 12 months. Sustained response was defined as normal aminotransferases 12 months after stopping interferon. RESULTS Sixty-two patients (15.1%: 54 with chronic hepatitis, eight with cirrhosis) were sustained responders. At the end of follow-up, 56 out of 62 sustained responders (90.3%) were serum HCV RNA negative. No biochemical relapse after 12 months was seen in sustained responders, regardless of initial histology, HCV genotype or persistence of HCV RNA. Although three died of non-hepatic causes, no liver-related events were observed among sustained responders. Complications of liver disease occurred in 34 relapsers/non-responders: nine hepatocellular carcinomas, 21 ascites and four portal hypertensive bleedings. Eleven relapsers/nonresponders died: eight of hepatic and three of non-hepatic causes. Event-free survival was significantly longer in sustained responders than in all the remaining patients. In a regression analysis, sustained response to interferon, low age and absence of cirrhosis were independent predictors of event-free survival. CONCLUSIONS Hepatitis C virus is probably eradicated and progression of liver disease is prevented in most patients who remain HCV RNA negative with normal transaminases for more than 1 year after stopping treatment.