R. Marudanayagam

The rate of false-positive diagnosis of colorectal liver metastases in patients undergoing resection with the development of a novel, externally validated risk score

Background: Diagnostic error in patients undergoing resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) is unusual but exposes patients to unnecessary risks associated with treatment. The primary aim of this study was to determine the rate of and risk factors for a false‐positive diagnosis of colorectal liver metastases in patients undergoing hepatic resection. The secondary aim was to develop and validate a risk score to predict a false‐positive diagnosis. Methods: Patients were identified from prospectively maintained databases. Patients who underwent a first liver resection for presumed colorectal liver metastases were divided into 2 groups: CRLMPOS (colorectal liver metastases present on histology or appearance of complete pathologic response to preoperative chemotherapy) and CRLMNEG (all others). Univariable analysis and multivariable binary logistic regression were used to identify risk factors for CRLMNEG. Risk scores were developed for CRLMNEG both with and without the use of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen and were validated on an external cohort. Results: 3.1% of patients in both test and validation cohorts were CRLMNEG (39/1,252 and 59/1,900, respectively). CRLMNEG patients had fewer (P=.006) and smaller lesions (P < .001) with lower serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (P < .001), T (P=.031) and N (P < .001) and a lower Dukes’ stage of the primary (P < .001). The risk score performed well (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.869; standard error=0.030; P < .001) with reasonable performance on validation (area under receiver operating characteristic curve 0.743; standard error=0.058; P < .001]). Conclusion: A false‐positive diagnosis of colorectal liver metastases affected the same proportion of patients in 2 unrelated cohorts. This study identified risk factors for false‐positive diagnosis with development of a novel risk score supported by external validation.

Prognostic factors and survival after surgical resection of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor with validation of established and modified staging systems

BACKGROUND Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) display wide heterogeneity with highly variable prognosis. This study aimed to identify variables related to survival after surgical resection of PNET. METHODS A total of 143 patients were identified from a prospectively maintained database. Patient characteristics were analyzed and prognostic factors for overall survival and progression-free survival were evaluated. The WHO, ENETS and AJCC scoring systems were applied to the cohort, and their ability to predict patient outcomes were compared. RESULTS Multivariate analysis found that female gender, lymph node metastases and increasing WHO 2010 grade to be independently associated with reduced overall survival (P < 0.05). Patients requiring multi-visceral resection or debulking surgery found to be associated with shortest survival. ROC analysis found the ENETS and AJCC scoring systems to be similarly predictive of 5-year overall survival. Modified Ki67 significantly improved its accuracy in predicting 5-year overall survival (AUROC: 0.699 vs 0.605; P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS Multi-visceral or debulking surgery is associated with poor outcomes. There seems to be no significant difference between enucleation and anatomical segmental resection. Available scoring systems have reasonable accuracy in stratifying disease severity, with no system identified as being superior. Prognostic stratification with modified grading systems needs further validation before applied in clinical practice.

Pancreatoduodenectomy for periampullary cancer and biliary obstruction: impact of a pathway to avoid preoperative biliary drainage

Abstract Background Randomised trials have shown that preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) causes more harm than a straight to surgery approach for patients with jaundice and periampullary malignancy. However, it remains standard practice in many centres for jaundiced patients to undergo PBD. The aim of this study was to review the impact of a pathway to avoid PBD before pancreatoduodenectomy on clinical outcomes. Methods A pathway to avoid PBD was implemented at the start of the study period (August, 2015). A dedicated nurse specialist and surgeon visited each referring trust to raise awareness of the pathway. Inclusion criteria were patients with resectable periampullary cancers and jaundice; patients were selected for surgery without PBD if they had not undergone PBD before referral and bilirubin concentration did not exceed 450 μmol/L. Time from initial CT scan to referral to multidisciplinay team discussion to specialist clinic and surgery were recorded. Findings Over 12 months, 61 and 32 patients underwent pancreatoduodenectomy with and without PBD, respectively. 58 patients in the PBD group (95%) had undergone PBD before referral. There was no difference in demographic data or tumour types between the two groups. The duration of key intervals from referral to surgery were all shorter in the no PBD group than in the PBD group (median total duration 16 days [IQR 8–39] vs 65 [9–181], p vs 46/61, p=0·009) and venous resection (10/31 vs 4/46, p=0·014) in the no PBD group than in the PBD group. The sensitivity of initial staging CT for correctly staging resectable locally advanced disease was 91% and 50% in the no PBD and PBD groups, respectively (p=0·042). The accuracy of the initial CT scan to define locally advanced resectable disease was worse in the PBD group, presumably related to the difference in time between CT and surgery. Furthermore, average costs of treatment between presentation and surgery were £3178 cheaper in the no PBD group. Interpretation Early surgery to avoid PBD is possible within the National Health Service. By reducing the time to surgery more patients undergo potentially curative surgery and costs of treatment are reduced. An understanding about why surgery without PBD is not done routinely is needed, as is the development of strategies to support its more widespread practice. Funding Pancreatic Cancer UK.

Robotic hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgery: Initial experience from a UK centre

INTRODUCTION AND AIMS Robot-assisted surgery permits 3D vision with greater magnification and dexterity compared to conventional laparoscopy. It allows tissue dissection and suturing in constricted spaces, and in angles not possible with rigid instruments. However, there is limited evidence that the robotic platform is superior to laparoscopy for complex HPB procedures. The aim of this study was to evaluate our initial experience of robotic HPB surgery, including an economic evaluation of robotic (RLR) and open liver resection (OLR). P Prasad, R Marudanayagam, RP Sutcliffe Liver Unit, University Hospital Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust