Rachel Marcus

Heart Rate Recovery: Validation and Methodologic Issues

OBJECTIVES The goal of this study was to validate the prognostic value of the drop in heart rate (HR) after exercise, compare it to other test responses, evaluate its diagnostic value and clarify some of the methodologic issues surrounding its use. BACKGROUND Studies have highlighted the value of a new prognostic feature of the treadmill test-rate of recovery of HR after exercise. These studies have had differing as well as controversial results and did not consider diagnostic test characteristics. METHODS All patients were referred for evaluation of chest pain at two university-affiliated Veterans Affairs Medical Centers who underwent treadmill tests and coronary angiography between 1987 and 1999 as predicted after a mean seven years of follow-up. All-cause mortality was the end point for follow-up, and coronary angiography was the diagnostic gold standard. RESULTS There were 2,193 male patients who had treadmill tests and coronary angiography. Heart rate recovery at 2 min after exercise outperformed other time points in prediction of death; a decrease of <22 beats/min had a hazard ratio of 2.6 (2.4 to 2.8 95% confidence interval). This new measurement was ranked similarly to traditional variables including age and metabolic equivalents but failed to have diagnostic power for discriminating those who had angiographic disease. CONCLUSIONS Heart rate at 1 or 2 min of recovery has been validated as a prognostic measurement and should be recorded as part of all treadmill tests. This new measurement does not replace, but is supplemental to, established scores.

Electrocardiographic predictors of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent arrhythmia in the United States and accounts for more than 750,000 strokes per year. Noninvasive predictors of AF may help identify patients at risk of developing AF. Our objective was to identify the electrocardiographic characteristics associated with onset of AF. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort analysis of 42,751 patients with electrocardiograms (ECGs) ordered by physicians discretion and analyzed using a computerized system. The population was followed for detection of AF on subsequent ECGs. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to test the association between these ECG characteristics and development of AF. RESULTS For a mean follow-up of 5.3 years, 1,050 (2.4%) patients were found to have AF on subsequent ECG recordings. Several ECG characteristics, such as P-wave dispersion (the difference between the widest and narrowest P waves), premature atrial contractions, and an abnormal P axis, were predictive of AF with hazard ratio of approximately 2 after correcting for age and sex. P-wave index, the SD of P-wave duration across all leads, was one of the strongest predictors of AF with a concordance index of 0.62 and a hazard ratio of 2.7 (95% CI 2.1-3.3) for a P-wave index >35. These were among the several independently predictive markers identified on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS Several ECG markers are independently predictive of future onset of AF. The P index, a measurement of disorganized atrial depolarization, is one of the strongest predictors of AF. The ECG contains valuable prognostic information that can identify patients at risk of AF.

The prognostic value of exercise testing in elderly men

PURPOSE Our purposes were to compare the responses to exercise testing in elderly (> or =65 years of age) and younger men, and to investigate whether exercise testing has similar prognostic value in the two age groups. METHODS We included all elderly (n = 1185) and younger (n = 2789) male veterans without established coronary heart disease who underwent routine clinical exercise testing between 1987 and 2000 at two academically affiliated Veterans Affairs medical center laboratories. Measurements included a standardized medical history, exercise testing, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS Compared with younger patients, elderly patients achieved a lower workload (a mean [+/- SD] of 7 +/- 3 vs. 10 +/- 4 metabolic equivalents [METs], P <0.001) and were more likely to have abnormal ST depression (27% [n = 324] vs. 16% [n = 436], P <0.001). During the mean follow-up of 6 years, annual mortality was twice as high among elderly patients as among younger patients (4% vs. 2%, P <0.001). The only exercise test variable that was associated significantly with time to death in both age groups was maximal METs achieved: each 1 MET increase in exercise capacity was associated with an 11% reduction in annual mortality. Exercise-induced ST depression was more common in those who subsequently died, but was not an independent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSION In elderly men, exercise testing provided prognostic information incremental to clinical data. Achieved workload (in METs) was the major exercise testing variable associated with all-cause mortality. Its prognostic importance was the same in elderly as in younger men.

Early repolarization in patients with spinal cord injury: prevalence and clinical significance.

Abstract Objectives: The objective was to examine the prevalence of early repolarization in a spinal cord injury (SCI) clinic and the relationship of level of injury to this electrocardiogram (ECG) finding. Background: ST elevation on the resting ECG can be either a normal variant or a sign of acute ischemia, evolving myocardial infarction, or pericarditis. It is frequently seen as a normal variant (early repolarization) in healthy individuals, but has also been reported in individuals with SCI. While the etiology of benign ST elevation (early repolarization) has not been clearly defined, current opinion is that this finding is seen in individuals with high vagal tone. Methods: Retrospective analysis was made of 315 individuals with SCI at T5 or above (140 with complete injuries), and 198 with SCI at T6 or below, and who had ECGs in the computerized database at the Palo Alto VA Medical Center. A comparison cohort of 32,841 able-bodied male controls also was identified in the same ECG database. Patient demographics and computerized ST measurements were analyzed. Results: The prevalence of ST elevation was significantly higher in both the total high-level injury group (19%) and the complete high-injury group (24.5%) than in either the low-injury (6.5%) or control groups (13%), with P < 0.001 for comparisons between both high- and low-injury groups and high injury vs control. The magnitude of ST elevation was also higher in the high-injury groups vs the low-injury and control groups. Conclusion: There is a higher prevalence of early repolarization in individuals with SCI at levels of injury that can disrupt central sympathetic command of the heart. It appears that either enhanced vagal tone or loss of sympathetic tone is responsible for ST elevation

Electrocardiographic findings in patients with chronic spinal cord injury

Prakash M, Raxwal V, Froelicher VF, Kalisetti D, Vieira A, O’Mara G, Marcus R, Myers J, Kiratli J, Perkash I: Electrocardiographic findings in patients with chronic spinal cord injury. Am J Phys Med Rehabil 2002;81:601–608. Objective To demonstrate the prevalence and prognostic value of electrocardiographic abnormalities in patients with chronic spinal cord injury. Methods All electrocardiographs obtained in the Palo Alto Veterans Affairs Medical Center since 1987 have been digitally recorded and stored in a computerized database. For this study, only the first electrocardiograph was considered for analysis. The subjects were divided according to age and level of spinal cord injury. The Social Security Death Index was used to ascertain vital status as of December 1999. Results Annual mortality was similar in those with chronic spinal cord injury and the able-bodied. However, individuals with a higher level of injury had a significantly higher death rate than those with a lower level of injury. The prognostic characteristics of electrocardiographic abnormalities were similar in both the able-bodied and those with spinal cord injury. Conclusion In general, electrocardiographic abnormalities had the same prevalence in the spinal cord injury subjects as in the able-bodied ones. The prognostic value of electrocardiographic abnormalities in subjects with spinal cord injury is similar to that observed in able-bodied subjects.